MARKET COMMENT: S&P/ASX 200 May Rise On U.S. Economic Data
March 26 2013 - 7:33PM
Dow Jones News
2303 GMT [Dow Jones] Australia's S&P/ASX 200 may rise after
offshore markets put aside concern about Cyprus, and took a
"glass-half full" view of mixed U.S. economic data. U.S. February
durable goods rose 5.7%, topping expectations, although non-defense
capital goods excluding aircraft, a proxy for business spending
plans, fell the most since July. Case-Shiller's January 20-city
home price index rose 1%, with the annual rate hitting a six-year
high of 8.1%. But February new home sales fell 4.6% to 411,000, the
biggest fall in two years, and the Conference Board's U.S. February
consumer confidence index fell to 59.7 vs 67.5 expected. The data
left open the question as to whether U.S. economy has become self
sustaining. But reasonable valuations, combined with central bank
stimulus and limited prospects of returns on bonds may continue to
underpin equities, particularly if the S&P 500 hits a record
high, amid expectations of a strong U.S. earnings period starting
April 8. The S&P 500 rose 0.8% to 1563.77, its highest close
since October 2007, and just shy of its record high of 1565.15. But
fears that depositors in crisis-hit euro-zone nations could face
haircuts similar to those imposed on Cyprus may continue to
restrain equities. Cypriot banks are due to reopen Thursday with
limits on withdrawals to prevent capital flight. Investors will
also be watching China, where the swap market is signalling
interest rate increases for the first time since 2011. ADRs suggest
BHP (BHP.AU) will rise 0.6% to A$32.13, with Nymex crude oil up
1.6%. JPM has upgraded Fortescue (FMG.AU) and CBA has upgraded QBE
(QBE.AU). The index closed down 0.8% at 4950.2 Tuesday.
(david.rogers1@wsj.com)
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