Neutral Stance on Deere - Analyst Blog
December 24 2013 - 1:00PM
Zacks
On Dec 20, we reiterated our
Neutral recommendation on Deere & Company (DE)
based on expected benefits from recovery in the construction sector
and investment in Brazil. However, lower commodity prices and farm
incomes continue to be major concerns for this producer of
agricultural and forestry equipment, construction equipment and
engines
Why Reiterated?
In line with its intention to invest its resources and thereby
boost its core businesses, Deere is reviewing strategic options for
the John Deere Water division and entered into an agreement to sell
60% of John Deere Landscapes ownership for $300 million in Oct. The
John Deere Water division manufactures and distributes precision
agricultural irrigation equipment and supplies. John Deere
Landscapes distributes irrigation equipment, nursery products and
landscape supplies, including seed, fertilizer and hardscape
materials, primarily to landscape service professionals.
Deere expects worldwide sales of construction and forestry
equipment to increase approximately 10% for 2014. The gain reflects
further economic recovery and higher housing starts in the U.S. as
well as sales increases outside the U.S. and Canada.
In September, Deere completed the purchase of Bauer Built
Manufacturing in order to expand its portfolio of agricultural
equipment and enhance its ability to serve larger farms in key
markets globally. Demand for the Deere Bauer Series planters have
grown quickly in the last few years predominantly in North America.
Apart from North America, there is lot of potential in Brazil and
Argentina where large farms demand such highly productive
machines.
Despite these positives, the risks surrounding the stock have
forced us to maintain a neutral stance on Deere. Lower commodity
prices and farm incomes, lower equipment sales outlook,
weakness in European markets, and higher production costs and
research and development costs associated with interim Tier 4 are
detrimental to the company’s performance.
Other Stocks to Consider
Deere currently retains a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked
stocks in the retail sector include Kubota
Corporation (KUBTY), H&E Equipment Services
Inc. (HEES) and Alamo Group, Inc. (ALG).
While Kubota carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), Alamo Group and
H&E Equipment Services hold a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
ALAMO GROUP INC (ALG): Free Stock Analysis Report
DEERE & CO (DE): Free Stock Analysis Report
H&E EQUIP SVCS (HEES): Free Stock Analysis Report
KUBOTA CORP ADR (KUBTY): Get Free Report
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