Based in part upon the TEV/Adjusted EBITDA multiples described above, and using net debt provided to Deutsche Bank, and taking into account Deutsche Bank’s professional judgment and experience, Deutsche Bank calculated ranges of estimated implied values per ordinary share of Gamesys by applying multiples of TEV to the estimates provided to Deutsche Bank of Gamesys’ 2021 Adjusted EBITDA of 9.0x to 11.0x. The analysis resulted in ranges of implied estimated equity value of 1,618p to 2,039p per ordinary share of Gamesys.
Deutsche Bank noted that the implied value of the consideration, assuming (1) the Cash Offer Price was 1,850p per share, (2) the Maximum Cash Alternative Price was 1,771p, and (3) the Maximum Stock Alternative Price was 1,541p, in each case based upon the per share closing prices on April 9, 2021 of Bally’s common stock and Gamesys ordinary shares of $61.70 and 1,927p, respectively.
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis — Gamesys
Deutsche Bank performed a discounted cash flow analysis of Gamesys using financial and other information and data provided by Gamesys’ and Bally’s management to calculate ranges of implied value of Gamesys ordinary shares as of April 11, 2021. In performing the discounted cash flow analysis, Deutsche Bank applied a range of discount rates of 8.5% to 10.5% to (1) unlevered free cash flows expected to be generated by Gamesys during calendar years 2021 through 2025, using the mid-year convention and (2) estimated terminal values calculated using a range of perpetuity growth rates of 1.5% to 2.5%. For purposes of its financial analysis, Deutsche Bank calculated unlevered free cash flow as (v) Adjusted EBITDA, less certain other non-cash items, cash taxes, capital expenditures and change in net working capital.
Deutsche Bank derived the foregoing range of discount rates using a weighted average cost of capital analysis based on a risk free rate of 1.70% and certain other financial metrics, including betas, for Gamesys and the other selected companies described above. This analysis resulted in ranges of implied estimated equity value of 2,156p to 3,280p per ordinary share of Gamesys.
Deutsche Bank noted that the implied value of the consideration, assuming (1) the Cash Offer Price was 1,850p per share, (2) the Maximum Cash Alternative Price was 1,771p, and (3) the Maximum Stock Alternative Price was 1,541p, in each case based upon the per share closing prices on April 9, 2021 of Bally’s common stock and the Gamesys ordinary shares of $61.70 and 1,927p, respectively.
Control Premia — Gamesys
Deutsche Bank reviewed the implied premiums to stock price in 12 cross-border stock offerings into the United Kingdom announced since September 2009,, based on the one-day closing stock prices of the target companies involved in such transactions prior to announcement of the relevant transaction. Deutsche Bank noted that the mean one-day premium was 36% and that the median one-day premium was 40%. Deutsche Bank also noted that applying control premia of 30.0% to 45.0% to the closing price per ordinary share of Gamesys of 1,927p on April 9, 2021, resulted in a range of implied values of 2,505p to 2,794p per ordinary share of Gamesys.
Selected Public Companies Analysis — Bally’s
Deutsche Bank reviewed and compared certain financial information and commonly used valuation measurements for Bally’s with corresponding financial information and valuation measurements for Gamesys and the following publicly traded United States gaming operators: Caesars Entertainment Corp., Penn National Gaming Inc., MGM Resorts International, Boyd Gaming Corp., Red Rock Resorts Inc. and Golden Entertainment Inc.
Although none of the selected companies is directly comparable to Bally’s, the companies included were chosen because they are publicly traded companies with financial and operating characteristics that, for purposes of analysis, Deutsche Bank considered similar to those of Bally’s. Accordingly, the analysis of publicly traded companies was not simply mathematical. Rather, it involved complex considerations and qualitative judgments, reflected in the opinion of Deutsche Bank, concerning differences in financial and operating characteristics of the selected companies and other factors that could affect the public trading value of such companies.