NMI Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: NMIH) today reported net income of
$76.8 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, for the third quarter
ended September 30, 2022, which compares to $75.4 million, or $0.86
per diluted share, in the second quarter ended June 30, 2022 and
$60.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, in the third quarter
ended September 30, 2021. Adjusted net income for the quarter was
$76.8 million, or $0.90 per diluted share, which compares to $74.3
million, or $0.86 per diluted share, in the second quarter ended
June 30, 2022 and $61.8 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, in the
third quarter ended September 30, 2021. The non-GAAP financial
measures adjusted net income, adjusted diluted earnings per share
and adjusted return on equity are presented in this release to
enhance the comparability of financial results between periods. See
"Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" and our reconciliation of such
measures to their most comparable GAAP measures, below.
Adam Pollitzer, President and Chief Executive
Officer of National MI, said, “We’re proud to have delivered strong
results in the third quarter, with significant new business
production and increasing persistency driving growth in our
high-quality insured portfolio, and favorable credit performance
and expense discipline driving record profitability and strong
returns. We continue to manage with discipline and a focus on
through-the-cycle performance, and took further steps during the
quarter to insulate our business from the impact of any economic
stress that may emerge. Looking forward, we're well positioned to
continue to serve our customers and their borrowers, support our
talented team, and deliver sustained performance for our
shareholders.”
Selected third quarter 2022 highlights
include:
- Primary insurance-in-force at
quarter end was $179.2 billion, compared to $168.6 billion at the
end of the second quarter and $143.6 billion at the end of the
third quarter of 2021
- Net premiums earned were $118.3
million, compared to $120.9 million in the second quarter and
$113.6 million in the third quarter of 2021. Net premiums earned in
the third quarter reflect a $5.5 million impact from ceded premiums
related to the company’s seasoned quota share reinsurance agreement
established during the period
- Underwriting and operating expenses
were $27.1 million, compared to $30.7 million in the second quarter
and $34.7 million in the third quarter of 2021
- Insurance claims and claim expenses
was a benefit of $3.4 million, compared to a benefit of $3.0
million in the second quarter and an expense of $3.2 million in the
third quarter of 2021
- Shareholders’ equity was $1.5
billion at quarter end and book value per share was $18.21. Book
value per share excluding the impact of net unrealized gains and
losses in the investment portfolio was $20.85, up 5% compared to
$19.91 per share in the second quarter and 19% compared to $17.46
per share in the third quarter of 2021
- Annualized return on equity for the
quarter was 20.1%, compared to 19.7% in the second quarter and
16.2% in the third quarter of 2021
- At quarter-end, total PMIERs
available assets were $2.3 billion and net risk-based required
assets were $1.2 billion
|
Quarter Ended |
Quarter Ended |
Quarter Ended |
Change(1) |
Change(1) |
|
9/30/2022 |
6/30/2022 |
9/30/2021 |
Q/Q |
Y/Y |
INSURANCE METRICS
($billions) |
Primary Insurance-in-Force |
$ |
179.2 |
|
$ |
168.6 |
|
$ |
143.6 |
|
6 |
% |
25 |
% |
New Insurance Written -
NIW |
|
|
|
|
|
Monthly premium |
|
16.7 |
|
|
15.7 |
|
|
16.9 |
|
6 |
% |
(1) |
% |
Single premium |
|
0.6 |
|
|
0.9 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
(39) |
% |
(54) |
% |
Total(2) |
|
17.2 |
|
|
16.6 |
|
|
18.1 |
|
4 |
% |
(5) |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
FINANCIAL
HIGHLIGHTS (Unaudited, $millions, except per share amounts) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Premiums Earned |
|
118.3 |
|
|
120.9 |
|
|
113.6 |
|
(2) |
% |
4 |
% |
Insurance Claims and Claim
(Benefits) Expenses |
|
(3.4) |
|
|
(3.0) |
|
|
3.2 |
|
12 |
% |
(206) |
% |
Underwriting and Operating
Expenses |
|
27.1 |
|
|
30.7 |
|
|
34.7 |
|
(12) |
% |
(22) |
% |
Net Income |
|
76.8 |
|
|
75.4 |
|
|
60.2 |
|
2 |
% |
28 |
% |
Adjusted Net Income |
|
76.8 |
|
|
74.3 |
|
|
61.8 |
|
3 |
% |
24 |
% |
Book Value per Share
(excluding net unrealized gains and losses)(3) |
|
20.85 |
|
|
19.91 |
|
|
17.46 |
|
5 |
% |
19 |
% |
Loss Ratio |
|
(2.9) |
% |
|
(2.5) |
% |
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
Expense Ratio |
|
22.9 |
% |
|
25.4 |
% |
|
30.5 |
% |
|
|
(1) Percentages may not be replicated based
on the rounded figures presented in the table.(2) Total may not
foot due to rounding. (3) Book value per share (excluding net
unrealized gains and losses) is defined as total shareholder's
equity, excluding the after-tax effects of unrealized gains and
losses on our investment portfolio, divided by shares
outstanding.
Conference Call and
Webcast Details The company
will hold a conference call, which will be webcast live today,
November 1, 2022, at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern
Time. The webcast will be available on the company's website,
www.nationalmi.com, in the "Investor Relations" section. The
conference call can also be accessed by dialing (877) 270-2148 in
the U.S., or (412) 902-6510 internationally by referencing NMI
Holdings, Inc.
About NMI Holdings, Inc.
NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH), is the parent
company of National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (National MI), a
U.S.-based, private mortgage insurance company enabling low down
payment borrowers to realize home ownership while protecting
lenders and investors against losses related to a borrower's
default. To learn more, please visit www.nationalmi.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
Certain statements contained in this press
release or any other written or oral statements made by or on
behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the
Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the
"Exchange Act"), and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995 (the "PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a "safe harbor" for
any forward-looking statements. All statements other than
statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by
reference in this release are forward-looking statements, including
any statements about our expectations, outlook, beliefs, plans,
predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or
performance. These statements are often, but not always, made
through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipate,"
"believe," "can," "could," "may," "predict," "assume," "potential,"
"should," "will," "estimate," "perceive," "plan," "project,"
"continuing," "ongoing," "expect," "intend" and similar words or
phrases. All forward-looking statements are only predictions and
involve estimates, known and unknown risks, assumptions and
uncertainties that may turn out to be inaccurate and could cause
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them.
Many risks and uncertainties are inherent in our industry and
markets. Others are more specific to our business and operations.
Important factors that could cause actual events or results to
differ materially from those indicated in such statements include,
but are not limited to: uncertainty relating to the coronavirus
(“COVID-19”) pandemic and the measures taken by governmental
authorities and other third parties to contain the spread of
COVID-19, including their impact on the global economy, the U.S.
housing, real estate, housing finance and mortgage insurance
markets, and our business, operations and personnel; changes in the
charters, business practices, policy or priorities of Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac (collectively, the GSEs), which may include
decisions that have the impact of decreasing or discontinuing the
use of mortgage insurance as credit enhancement generally, or with
first time homebuyers or on very high loan-to-value mortgages; or
changes in the direction of housing policy objectives of the
Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA”), such as the FHFA's
priority to increase the accessibility to and affordability of
homeownership for low-and-moderate income borrowers and
underrepresented communities; our ability to remain an eligible
mortgage insurer under the private mortgage insurer eligibility
requirements (“PMIERs”) and other requirements imposed by the GSEs,
which they may change at any time; retention of our existing
certificates of authority in each state and the District of
Columbia (“D.C.”) and our ability to remain a mortgage insurer in
good standing in each state and D.C.; our future profitability,
liquidity and capital resources; actions of existing competitors,
including other private mortgage insurers and government mortgage
insurers such as the Federal Housing Administration, the U.S.
Department of Agriculture's Rural Housing Service and the U.S.
Department of Veterans Affairs, and potential market entry by new
competitors or consolidation of existing competitors; developments
in the world's financial, capital and credit markets and our access
to such markets, including reinsurance; adoption of new or changes
to existing laws, rules and regulations that impact our business or
financial condition directly or the mortgage insurance industry
generally or their enforcement and implementation by regulators,
including the implementation of the final rules defining and/or
concerning "Qualified Mortgage" and "Qualified Residential
Mortgage"; U.S. federal tax reform and other potential changes in
tax law and their impact on us and our operations; legislative or
regulatory changes to the GSEs' role in the secondary mortgage
market or other changes that could affect the residential mortgage
industry generally or mortgage insurance industry in particular;
potential legal and regulatory claims, investigations, actions,
audits or inquiries that could result in adverse judgements,
settlements, fines or other reliefs that could require significant
expenditures or have other negative effects on our business;
changes in general economic, market and political conditions and
policies (including rising interest rates and inflation) and
investment results or other conditions that affect the housing
market or the markets for home mortgages or mortgage insurance; our
ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans,
including our ability to access the capital, credit and reinsurance
markets and to enter into, and receive approval of, reinsurance
arrangements on terms and conditions that are acceptable to us, the
GSEs and our regulators; lenders, the GSEs, or other market
participants seeking alternatives to private mortgage insurance;
our ability to implement our business strategy, including our
ability to write mortgage insurance on high quality low down
payment residential mortgage loans, implement successfully and on a
timely basis, complex infrastructure, systems, procedures, and
internal controls to support our business and regulatory and
reporting requirements of the insurance industry; our ability to
attract and retain a diverse customer base, including the largest
mortgage originators; failure of risk management or pricing or
investment strategies; decrease in the length of time our insurance
policies are in force; emergence of unexpected claim and coverage
issues, including claims exceeding our reserves or amounts we had
expected to experience; potential adverse impacts arising from
natural disasters (including those that may be caused or
exacerbated by climate change), including, with respect to affected
areas, a decline in new business, adverse effects on home prices,
and an increase in notices of default on insured mortgages;
potential adverse impacts arising from the occurrence of any
man-made disasters or public health emergencies, including
pandemics; the inability of our counter-parties, including third
party reinsurers, to meet their obligations to us; failure to
maintain, improve and continue to develop necessary information
technology systems or the failure of technology providers to
perform; effectiveness and security of our information technology
systems and digital products and services, including the risks
these systems, products or services may fail to operate as expected
or planned, or expose us to cybersecurity or third-party risks
(including the exposure of our confidential customer and other
confidential information); and ability to recruit, train and retain
key personnel. These risks and uncertainties also include, but are
not limited to, those set forth under the heading "Risk Factors"
detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for
the year ended December 31, 2021, as subsequently updated through
other reports we file with the SEC. All subsequent written and oral
forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or persons
acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by
these cautionary statements. We caution you not to place undue
reliance on any forward-looking statement, which speaks only as of
the date on which it is made, and we undertake no obligation to
publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect
new information, future events or circumstances that occur after
the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the
occurrence of unanticipated events except as required by law.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial
Measures
We believe the use of the non-GAAP measures of
adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted
EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio, adjusted
combined ratio and book value per share (excluding net unrealized
gains and losses) and enhances the comparability of our fundamental
financial performance between periods, and provides relevant
information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align
with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by
management. These measures are not prepared in accordance with GAAP
and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of
performance. These measures have been presented to increase
transparency and enhance the comparability of our fundamental
operating trends across periods. Other companies may calculate
these measures differently; their measures may not be comparable to
those we calculate and present.
Adjusted income before tax is
defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the pre-tax effects of
the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant
liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital
markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our
investment portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or
non-operating items in the periods in which such items are
incurred.
Adjusted net income is defined
as GAAP net income, excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or
loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability,
periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets
transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment
portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items in
the periods in which such items are incurred. Adjustments to
components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable
federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.
Adjusted diluted EPS is defined
as adjusted net income divided by adjusted weighted average diluted
shares outstanding. Adjusted weighted average diluted shares
outstanding is defined as weighted average diluted shares
outstanding, adjusted for changes in the dilutive effect of
non-vested shares that would otherwise have occurred had GAAP net
income been calculated in accordance with adjusted net income.
There will be no adjustment to weighted average diluted shares
outstanding in the periods that non-vested shares are anti-dilutive
under GAAP.
Adjusted return on equity is
calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis
by the average shareholders' equity for the period.
Adjusted expense ratio is
defined as GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the
pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with
capital markets transactions, divided by net premiums earned.
Adjusted combined ratio is
defined as the total of GAAP underwriting and operating expenses,
excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in
connection with capital markets transactions and insurance claims
and claims expenses, divided by net premiums earned.
Book value per share (excluding net
unrealized gains and losses) is defined as total
shareholder's equity, excluding the after-tax effects of unrealized
gains and losses on investments, divided by shares outstanding.
Although adjusted income before tax, adjusted
net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity,
adjusted expense ratio, adjusted combined ratio and book value per
share (excluding net unrealized gains and losses) exclude certain
items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in
the future, the excluded items: (1) are not viewed as part of the
operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) are
impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not
necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These
adjustments, and the reasons for their treatment, are described
below.
(1) Change in fair value of warrant
liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period
are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the
statement of operations in the period in which the change occurred.
The change in fair value of our warrant liability can vary
significantly across periods and is influenced principally by
equity market and general economic factors that do not impact or
reflect our current period operating results. Furthermore, all
unexercised warrants expired in April 2022 and, as such, no change
in fair value will be recognized in future reporting periods. We
believe trends in our operating performance can be more clearly
identified by excluding fluctuations related to the change in fair
value of our warrant liability.
(2) Capital markets transaction costs.
Capital markets transaction costs result from activities that are
undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital
position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital
markets reinsurance transactions that may vary in their size and
timing due to factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital
profile, and overall market cycles.
(3) Net realized investment gains and
losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or
losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing is
highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market
opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles
that do not reflect our current period operating results.
(4) Other infrequent, unusual or
non-operating items. Items that are the result of unforeseen or
uncommon events, and are not expected to recur with frequency in
the future. Identification and exclusion of these items provides
clarity about the impact special or rare occurrences may have on
our current financial performance. Past adjustments under this
category include infrequent, unusual or non-operating adjustments
related to severance, restricted stock modification and other
expenses incurred in connection with the CEO transition announced
in September 2021 and the effects of the release of the valuation
allowance recorded against our net federal and certain state net
deferred tax assets in 2016 and the re-measurement of our net
deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform in 2017. We
believe such items are infrequent or non-recurring in nature, and
are not indicative of the performance of, or ongoing trends in, our
primary operating activities or business.
(5) Net unrealized gains and losses on
investments. The recognition of the net unrealized gains or losses
on investment can vary significantly across periods and is
influenced by factors such as interest rate movement, overall
market and economic conditions, and tax and capital profiles. These
valuation adjustments may not necessarily result in economic gains
or losses and not reflective of ongoing operations. Trends in the
profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more
clearly identified without the fluctuations of these unrealized
gains or losses.
Investor ContactJohn M.
SwensonVice President, Investor Relations and
Treasuryjohn.swenson@nationalmi.com(510) 788-8417
Consolidated
statements of operations and comprehensive
income (loss) (unaudited) |
For the three months ended September 30, |
|
For the nine months ended September 30, |
|
|
2022 |
|
|
|
2021 |
|
|
|
2022 |
|
|
|
2021 |
|
Revenues |
($ In Thousands, except for per share data) |
Net premiums earned |
$ |
118,317 |
|
|
$ |
113,594 |
|
|
$ |
355,682 |
|
|
$ |
330,361 |
|
Net investment income |
|
11,945 |
|
|
|
9,831 |
|
|
|
33,065 |
|
|
|
28,027 |
|
Net realized investment gains |
|
14 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
475 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
Other revenues |
|
301 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
1,016 |
|
|
|
1,597 |
|
Total revenues |
|
130,577 |
|
|
|
124,041 |
|
|
|
390,238 |
|
|
|
360,000 |
|
Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance claims and claim (benefits) expenses |
|
(3,389 |
) |
|
|
3,204 |
|
|
|
(7,044 |
) |
|
|
12,806 |
|
Underwriting and operating expenses |
|
27,144 |
|
|
|
34,669 |
|
|
|
90,779 |
|
|
|
103,460 |
|
Service expenses |
|
197 |
|
|
|
787 |
|
|
|
963 |
|
|
|
1,859 |
|
Interest expense |
|
8,036 |
|
|
|
7,930 |
|
|
|
24,128 |
|
|
|
23,767 |
|
Gain from change in fair value of warrant liability |
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,113 |
) |
|
|
(454 |
) |
Total expenses |
|
31,988 |
|
|
|
46,590 |
|
|
|
107,713 |
|
|
|
141,438 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income
taxes |
|
98,589 |
|
|
|
77,451 |
|
|
|
282,525 |
|
|
|
218,562 |
|
Income tax expense |
|
21,751 |
|
|
|
17,258 |
|
|
|
62,563 |
|
|
|
47,956 |
|
Net income |
$ |
76,838 |
|
|
$ |
60,193 |
|
|
$ |
219,962 |
|
|
$ |
170,606 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
$ |
0.91 |
|
|
$ |
0.70 |
|
|
$ |
2.58 |
|
|
$ |
1.99 |
|
Diluted |
$ |
0.90 |
|
|
$ |
0.69 |
|
|
$ |
2.53 |
|
|
$ |
1.96 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average common shares
outstanding |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
84,444 |
|
|
|
85,721 |
|
|
|
85,369 |
|
|
|
85,563 |
|
Diluted |
|
85,485 |
|
|
|
86,880 |
|
|
|
86,420 |
|
|
|
86,794 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio(1) |
|
(2.9 |
)% |
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
(2.0 |
)% |
|
|
3.9 |
% |
Expense ratio(2) |
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
30.5 |
% |
|
|
25.5 |
% |
|
|
31.3 |
% |
Combined ratio(3) |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
33.3 |
% |
|
|
23.5 |
% |
|
|
35.2 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income |
$ |
76,838 |
|
|
$ |
60,193 |
|
|
$ |
219,962 |
|
|
$ |
170,606 |
|
Other comprehensive loss, net
of tax: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized losses in
accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax benefit
of $15,932 and $2,165 for the three months ended September 30, 2022
and 2021, and $59,112 and $9,168 for the nine month ended September
30, 2022 and 2021, respectively |
|
(59,936 |
) |
|
|
(8,144 |
) |
|
|
(222,374 |
) |
|
|
(34,487 |
) |
Reclassification adjustment
for realized gains included in net income, net of tax expense of $3
and $1 for the three months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021, and
$100 and $3 for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021,
respectively |
|
(10 |
) |
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
(377 |
) |
|
|
(12 |
) |
Other comprehensive loss, net
of tax |
|
(59,946 |
) |
|
|
(8,146 |
) |
|
|
(222,751 |
) |
|
|
(34,499 |
) |
Comprehensive income
(loss) |
$ |
16,892 |
|
|
$ |
52,047 |
|
|
$ |
(2,789 |
) |
|
$ |
136,107 |
|
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing
insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums
earned.(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing
other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums
earned.(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to
rounding.
Consolidated balance
sheets (unaudited) |
September 30, 2022 |
|
December 31, 2021 |
Assets |
(In Thousands, except for share data) |
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost
of $2,248,737 and $2,078,773 as of September 30, 2022 and December
31, 2021, respectively) |
$ |
1,973,931 |
|
|
$ |
2,085,931 |
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of $2,159 and
$3,165 as of September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021,
respectively) |
|
125,812 |
|
|
|
76,646 |
Premiums receivable |
|
67,202 |
|
|
|
60,358 |
Accrued investment income |
|
13,342 |
|
|
|
11,900 |
Prepaid expenses |
|
4,694 |
|
|
|
3,530 |
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net |
|
59,483 |
|
|
|
59,584 |
Software and equipment, net |
|
32,156 |
|
|
|
32,047 |
Intangible assets and goodwill |
|
3,634 |
|
|
|
3,634 |
Prepaid reinsurance premiums |
|
1,454 |
|
|
|
2,393 |
Reinsurance recoverable |
|
19,755 |
|
|
|
20,320 |
Other assets |
|
102,380 |
|
|
|
94,238 |
Total assets |
$ |
2,403,843 |
|
|
$ |
2,450,581 |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities |
|
|
|
Debt |
$ |
395,683 |
|
|
$ |
394,623 |
Unearned premiums |
|
130,652 |
|
|
|
139,237 |
Accounts payable and accrued expenses |
|
73,945 |
|
|
|
72,000 |
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses |
|
94,944 |
|
|
|
103,551 |
Reinsurance funds withheld |
|
3,716 |
|
|
|
5,601 |
Warrant liability, at fair value |
|
— |
|
|
|
2,363 |
Deferred tax liability, net |
|
166,609 |
|
|
|
164,175 |
Other liabilities |
|
12,428 |
|
|
|
3,245 |
Total liabilities |
|
877,977 |
|
|
|
884,795 |
|
|
|
|
Shareholders' equity |
|
|
|
Common stock - class A shares, $0.01 par value; 86,463,874 shares
issued and 83,796,313 shares outstanding as of September 30, 2022
and 85,792,849 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31,
2021 (250,000,000 shares authorized) |
|
865 |
|
|
|
858 |
Additional paid-in capital |
|
969,359 |
|
|
|
955,302 |
Treasury Stock, at cost: 2,667,561 and 0 common shares as of
September 30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively |
|
(51,195 |
) |
|
|
— |
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income, net of tax |
|
(221,266 |
) |
|
|
1,485 |
Retained earnings |
|
828,103 |
|
|
|
608,141 |
Total shareholders'
equity |
|
1,525,866 |
|
|
|
1,565,786 |
Total liabilities and
shareholders' equity |
$ |
2,403,843 |
|
|
$ |
2,450,581 |
Non-GAAP
Financial Measure
Reconciliations(unaudited) |
|
As of and for the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
9/30/2022 |
|
6/30/2022 |
|
9/30/2021 |
|
9/30/2022 |
|
9/30/2021 |
As
Reported |
($ In Thousands, except for per share data) |
Revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums earned |
$ |
118,317 |
|
|
$ |
120,870 |
|
|
$ |
113,594 |
|
|
$ |
355,682 |
|
|
$ |
330,361 |
|
Net investment income |
|
11,945 |
|
|
|
10,921 |
|
|
|
9,831 |
|
|
|
33,065 |
|
|
|
28,027 |
|
Net realized investment gains |
|
14 |
|
|
|
53 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
475 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
Other revenues |
|
301 |
|
|
|
376 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
1,016 |
|
|
|
1,597 |
|
Total revenues |
|
130,577 |
|
|
|
132,220 |
|
|
|
124,041 |
|
|
|
390,238 |
|
|
|
360,000 |
|
Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance claims and claim (benefits) expenses |
|
(3,389 |
) |
|
|
(3,036 |
) |
|
|
3,204 |
|
|
|
(7,044 |
) |
|
|
12,806 |
|
Underwriting and operating expenses |
|
27,144 |
|
|
|
30,700 |
|
|
|
34,669 |
|
|
|
90,779 |
|
|
|
103,460 |
|
Service expenses |
|
197 |
|
|
|
336 |
|
|
|
787 |
|
|
|
963 |
|
|
|
1,859 |
|
Interest expense |
|
8,036 |
|
|
|
8,051 |
|
|
|
7,930 |
|
|
|
24,128 |
|
|
|
23,767 |
|
Gain from change in fair value of warrant liability |
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,020 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,113 |
) |
|
|
(454 |
) |
Total expenses |
|
31,988 |
|
|
|
35,031 |
|
|
|
46,590 |
|
|
|
107,713 |
|
|
|
141,438 |
|
Income before income
taxes |
|
98,589 |
|
|
|
97,189 |
|
|
|
77,451 |
|
|
|
282,525 |
|
|
|
218,562 |
|
Income tax expense |
|
21,751 |
|
|
|
21,745 |
|
|
|
17,258 |
|
|
|
62,563 |
|
|
|
47,956 |
|
Net
income |
$ |
76,838 |
|
|
$ |
75,444 |
|
|
$ |
60,193 |
|
|
$ |
219,962 |
|
|
$ |
170,606 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized investment
gains |
|
(14 |
) |
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(475 |
) |
|
|
(15 |
) |
Gain from change in fair value
of warrant liability |
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,020 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,113 |
) |
|
|
(454 |
) |
Capital markets transaction
costs |
|
— |
|
|
|
(55 |
) |
|
|
481 |
|
|
|
205 |
|
|
|
2,474 |
|
Other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items |
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
1,289 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
1,289 |
|
Adjusted income before
taxes |
|
98,575 |
|
|
|
96,061 |
|
|
|
79,218 |
|
|
|
281,142 |
|
|
|
221,856 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income tax expense on
adjustments(1) |
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(23 |
) |
|
|
139 |
|
|
|
(57 |
) |
|
|
555 |
|
Adjusted net
income |
$ |
76,827 |
|
|
$ |
74,339 |
|
|
$ |
61,821 |
|
|
$ |
218,636 |
|
|
$ |
173,345 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average diluted
shares outstanding |
|
85,485 |
|
|
|
86,577 |
|
|
|
86,880 |
|
|
|
86,420 |
|
|
|
86,794 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted
EPS |
$ |
0.90 |
|
|
$ |
0.86 |
|
|
$ |
0.69 |
|
|
$ |
2.53 |
|
|
$ |
1.96 |
|
Adjusted diluted
EPS |
$ |
0.90 |
|
|
$ |
0.86 |
|
|
$ |
0.71 |
|
|
$ |
2.53 |
|
|
$ |
2.00 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return-on-equity |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
19.7 |
% |
|
|
16.2 |
% |
|
|
19.0 |
% |
|
|
15.8 |
% |
Adjusted
return-on-equity |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
19.4 |
% |
|
|
16.6 |
% |
|
|
18.9 |
% |
|
|
16.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Expense
ratio(2) |
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
30.5 |
% |
|
|
25.5 |
% |
|
|
31.3 |
% |
Adjusted expense
ratio(3) |
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
29.0 |
% |
|
|
25.5 |
% |
|
|
30.2 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined
ratio(4) |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
33.3 |
% |
|
|
23.5 |
% |
|
|
35.2 |
% |
Adjusted combined
ratio(5) |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
31.8 |
% |
|
|
23.5 |
% |
|
|
34.1 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Book value per
share(6) |
$ |
18.21 |
|
|
$ |
18.01 |
|
|
$ |
17.68 |
|
|
|
|
|
Book
value per share (excluding net unrealized gains
and losses)(7) |
$ |
20.85 |
|
|
$ |
19.91 |
|
|
$ |
17.46 |
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Marginal tax impact of non-GAAP
adjustments is calculated based on our statutory U.S. federal
corporate income tax rate of 21%, except for those items that are
not eligible for an income tax deduction. Such non-deductible items
include gains or losses from the change in the fair value of our
warrant liability and certain costs incurred in connection with the
CEO transition, which are limited under Section 162(m) of the
Internal Revenue Code.(2) Expense ratio is calculated by
dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums
earned.(3) Adjusted expense ratio is calculated by dividing
adjusted underwriting and operating expense (underwriting and
operating expenses excluding costs related to capital markets
reinsurance transactions) by net premiums earned.(4) Combined
ratio is calculated by dividing the total of underwriting and
operating expenses and insurance claims and claims expense by net
premiums earned.(5) Adjusted combined ratio is calculated by
dividing the total of adjusted underwriting and operating expenses
(underwriting and operating expenses excluding costs related to
capital market reinsurance transaction) and insurance claims and
claims expense by net premiums earned.(6) Book value per
share is calculated by dividing total shareholder's equity by
shares outstanding.(7) Book value per share (excluding net
unrealized gains and losses) is defined as total shareholder's
equity, excluding the after-tax effects of unrealized gains and
losses on our investment portfolio, divided by shares
outstanding.
Historical Quarterly Data |
|
2022 |
|
|
|
2021 |
|
|
September 30 |
|
June 30 |
|
March 31 |
|
December 31 |
|
September 30 |
|
June 30 |
Revenues |
($ In Thousands, except for per share data) |
Net premiums earned |
$ |
118,317 |
|
|
$ |
120,870 |
|
|
$ |
116,495 |
|
|
$ |
113,933 |
|
|
$ |
113,594 |
|
|
$ |
110,888 |
|
Net investment income |
|
11,945 |
|
|
|
10,921 |
|
|
|
10,199 |
|
|
|
10,045 |
|
|
|
9,831 |
|
|
|
9,382 |
|
Net realized investment gains |
|
14 |
|
|
|
53 |
|
|
|
408 |
|
|
|
714 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
Other revenues |
|
301 |
|
|
|
376 |
|
|
|
339 |
|
|
|
380 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
483 |
|
Total revenues |
|
130,577 |
|
|
|
132,220 |
|
|
|
127,441 |
|
|
|
125,072 |
|
|
|
124,041 |
|
|
|
120,765 |
|
Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance claims and claim (benefits) expenses |
|
(3,389 |
) |
|
|
(3,036 |
) |
|
|
(619 |
) |
|
|
(500 |
) |
|
|
3,204 |
|
|
|
4,640 |
|
Underwriting and operating expenses |
|
27,144 |
|
|
|
30,700 |
|
|
|
32,935 |
|
|
|
38,843 |
|
|
|
34,669 |
|
|
|
34,725 |
|
Service expenses |
|
197 |
|
|
|
336 |
|
|
|
430 |
|
|
|
650 |
|
|
|
787 |
|
|
|
481 |
|
Interest expense |
|
8,036 |
|
|
|
8,051 |
|
|
|
8,041 |
|
|
|
8,029 |
|
|
|
7,930 |
|
|
|
7,922 |
|
Gain from change in fair value of warrant liability |
|
— |
|
|
|
(1,020 |
) |
|
|
(93 |
) |
|
|
(112 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(658 |
) |
Total expenses |
|
31,988 |
|
|
|
35,031 |
|
|
|
40,694 |
|
|
|
46,910 |
|
|
|
46,590 |
|
|
|
47,110 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income
taxes |
|
98,589 |
|
|
|
97,189 |
|
|
|
86,747 |
|
|
|
78,162 |
|
|
|
77,451 |
|
|
|
73,655 |
|
Income tax expense |
|
21,751 |
|
|
|
21,745 |
|
|
|
19,067 |
|
|
|
17,639 |
|
|
|
17,258 |
|
|
|
16,133 |
|
Net income |
$ |
76,838 |
|
|
$ |
75,444 |
|
|
$ |
67,680 |
|
|
$ |
60,523 |
|
|
$ |
60,193 |
|
|
$ |
57,522 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
$ |
0.91 |
|
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
$ |
0.79 |
|
|
$ |
0.71 |
|
|
$ |
0.70 |
|
|
$ |
0.67 |
|
Diluted |
$ |
0.90 |
|
|
$ |
0.86 |
|
|
$ |
0.77 |
|
|
$ |
0.69 |
|
|
$ |
0.69 |
|
|
$ |
0.65 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average common shares
outstanding |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic |
|
84,444 |
|
|
|
85,734 |
|
|
|
85,953 |
|
|
|
85,757 |
|
|
|
85,721 |
|
|
|
85,647 |
|
Diluted |
|
85,485 |
|
|
|
86,577 |
|
|
|
87,310 |
|
|
|
87,117 |
|
|
|
86,880 |
|
|
|
86,819 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other data |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss Ratio(1) |
|
(2.9 |
)% |
|
|
(2.5 |
)% |
|
|
(0.5 |
)% |
|
|
(0.4 |
)% |
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
|
4.2 |
% |
Expense Ratio(2) |
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
28.3 |
% |
|
|
34.1 |
% |
|
|
30.5 |
% |
|
|
31.3 |
% |
Combined ratio(3) |
|
20.1 |
% |
|
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
27.7 |
% |
|
|
33.7 |
% |
|
|
33.3 |
% |
|
|
35.5 |
% |
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing
insurance claims and claim (benefit) expenses by net premiums
earned.(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing
underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums
earned.(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to
rounding.
Portfolio Statistics
The table below highlights trends in our primary
portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.
Primary portfolio
trends |
As of and for the three months ended |
|
September 30,2022 |
|
June 30,2022 |
|
March 31,2022 |
|
December 31,2021 |
|
September 30,2021 |
|
June 30,2021 |
|
($ Values In Millions, except as noted below) |
New insurance written |
$ |
17,239 |
|
|
$ |
16,611 |
|
|
$ |
14,165 |
|
|
$ |
18,342 |
|
|
$ |
18,084 |
|
|
$ |
22,751 |
|
New risk written |
|
4,616 |
|
|
|
4,386 |
|
|
|
3,721 |
|
|
|
4,786 |
|
|
|
4,640 |
|
|
|
5,650 |
|
Insurance in force
(IIF)(1) |
|
179,173 |
|
|
|
168,639 |
|
|
|
158,877 |
|
|
|
152,343 |
|
|
|
143,618 |
|
|
|
136,598 |
|
Risk in force(1) |
|
46,259 |
|
|
|
43,260 |
|
|
|
40,522 |
|
|
|
38,661 |
|
|
|
36,253 |
|
|
|
34,366 |
|
Policies in force
(count)(1) |
|
580,525 |
|
|
|
551,543 |
|
|
|
526,976 |
|
|
|
512,316 |
|
|
|
490,714 |
|
|
|
471,794 |
|
Average loan size($ value in
thousands)(1) |
$ |
309 |
|
|
$ |
306 |
|
|
$ |
301 |
|
|
$ |
297 |
|
|
$ |
293 |
|
|
$ |
290 |
|
Coverage percentage(2) |
|
25.8 |
% |
|
|
25.7 |
% |
|
|
25.5 |
% |
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
25.2 |
% |
|
|
25.2 |
% |
Loans in default
(count)(1) |
|
4,096 |
|
|
|
4,271 |
|
|
|
5,238 |
|
|
|
6,227 |
|
|
|
7,670 |
|
|
|
8,764 |
|
Default rate(1) |
|
0.71 |
% |
|
|
0.77 |
% |
|
|
0.99 |
% |
|
|
1.22 |
% |
|
|
1.56 |
% |
|
|
1.86 |
% |
Risk in force on defaulted
loans(1) |
$ |
284 |
|
|
$ |
295 |
|
|
$ |
362 |
|
|
$ |
435 |
|
|
$ |
546 |
|
|
$ |
625 |
|
Net premium yield(3) |
|
0.27 |
% |
|
|
0.30 |
% |
|
|
0.30 |
% |
|
|
0.31 |
% |
|
|
0.32 |
% |
|
|
0.34 |
% |
Earnings from
cancellations |
$ |
1.8 |
|
|
$ |
2.2 |
|
|
$ |
2.9 |
|
|
$ |
5.1 |
|
|
$ |
7.7 |
|
|
$ |
7.0 |
|
Annual persistency(4) |
|
80.1 |
% |
|
|
76.0 |
% |
|
|
71.5 |
% |
|
|
63.8 |
% |
|
|
58.1 |
% |
|
|
53.9 |
% |
Quarterly run-off(5) |
|
4.0 |
% |
|
|
4.3 |
% |
|
|
5.0 |
% |
|
|
6.7 |
% |
|
|
8.1 |
% |
|
|
8.0 |
% |
(1) Reported as of the end of
the period.(2) Calculated as end of period
risk-in-force (RIF) divided by end of period
IIF.(3) Calculated as net premiums earned, divided
by average primary IIF for the period,
annualized.(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF
that remains on our books after a given twelve-month
period.(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that
is no longer on our books after a given three month period.
New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF)
and Premiums
The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF,
as of the dates and for the periods indicated.
Primary
NIW |
Three months ended |
|
September 30,2022 |
|
June 30,2022 |
|
March 31,2022 |
|
December 31,2021 |
|
September 30,2021 |
|
June 30,2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
Monthly |
$ |
16,676 |
|
$ |
15,695 |
|
$ |
13,094 |
|
$ |
16,972 |
|
$ |
16,861 |
|
$ |
19,422 |
Single |
|
563 |
|
|
916 |
|
|
1,071 |
|
|
1,370 |
|
|
1,223 |
|
|
3,329 |
Primary |
$ |
17,239 |
|
$ |
16,611 |
|
$ |
14,165 |
|
$ |
18,342 |
|
$ |
18,084 |
|
$ |
22,751 |
Primary and pool
IIF |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
March 31, 2022 |
|
December 31, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
June 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
Monthly |
$ |
158,897 |
|
$ |
148,488 |
|
$ |
139,156 |
|
$ |
133,104 |
|
$ |
124,767 |
|
$ |
117,629 |
Single |
|
20,276 |
|
|
20,151 |
|
|
19,721 |
|
|
19,239 |
|
|
18,851 |
|
|
18,969 |
Primary |
|
179,173 |
|
|
168,639 |
|
|
158,877 |
|
|
152,343 |
|
|
143,618 |
|
|
136,598 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pool |
|
1,078 |
|
|
1,114 |
|
|
1,162 |
|
|
1,229 |
|
|
1,339 |
|
|
1,460 |
Total |
$ |
180,251 |
|
$ |
169,753 |
|
$ |
160,039 |
|
$ |
153,572 |
|
$ |
144,957 |
|
$ |
138,058 |
The following table presents the amounts related
to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR
Transaction, 2018 QSR Transaction, 2020 QSR Transaction, 2021 QSR
Transaction, 2022 QSR Transaction, and 2022 Seasoned QSR
Transaction and collectively, the QSR Transactions),
insurance-linked note transactions (the 2017 ILN Transaction, 2018
ILN Transaction, 2019 ILN Transaction, 2020-1 ILN Transaction,
2020-2 ILN Transaction, 2021-1 ILN Transaction, and 2021-2 ILN
Transaction and collectively, the ILN Transactions), and
traditional excess-of-loss reinsurance transactions (2022-1 XOL
Transaction and 2022-2 XOL Transaction and collectively, the XOL
Transactions) for the periods indicated.
|
For the three months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
March 31, 2022 |
|
December 31, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
June 30, 2021 |
|
(In Thousands) |
The QSR Transactions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceded risk-in-force |
$ |
12,511,797 |
|
|
$ |
9,040,944 |
|
|
$ |
8,504,853 |
|
|
$ |
8,194,604 |
|
|
$ |
7,610,870 |
|
|
$ |
7,113,707 |
|
Ceded premiums earned |
|
(42,265 |
) |
|
|
(30,231 |
) |
|
|
(29,005 |
) |
|
|
(28,490 |
) |
|
|
(28,366 |
) |
|
|
(27,537 |
) |
Ceded claims and claim expenses |
|
248 |
|
|
|
(403 |
) |
|
|
(159 |
) |
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
840 |
|
|
|
1,194 |
|
Ceding commission earned |
|
10,193 |
|
|
|
6,146 |
|
|
|
5,886 |
|
|
|
6,208 |
|
|
|
6,142 |
|
|
|
5,961 |
|
Profit commission |
|
23,899 |
|
|
|
17,778 |
|
|
|
16,723 |
|
|
|
16,142 |
|
|
|
15,191 |
|
|
|
14,391 |
|
The ILN Transactions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceded premiums |
$ |
(10,730 |
) |
|
$ |
(10,132 |
) |
|
$ |
(10,939 |
) |
|
$ |
(11,344 |
) |
|
$ |
(10,390 |
) |
|
$ |
(10,169 |
) |
The XOL Transactions |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ceded Premiums |
$ |
(4,808 |
) |
|
$ |
(2,907 |
) |
|
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
Primary NIW by
FICO |
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30,2022 |
|
June 30,2022 |
|
September 30,2021 |
|
September 30,2022 |
|
September 30,2021 |
|
($ In Millions) |
>= 760 |
$ |
6,815 |
|
$ |
7,990 |
|
$ |
8,073 |
|
$ |
21,177 |
|
$ |
32,377 |
740-759 |
|
3,663 |
|
|
2,900 |
|
|
3,254 |
|
|
8,951 |
|
|
12,812 |
720-739 |
|
2,751 |
|
|
2,056 |
|
|
2,563 |
|
|
6,744 |
|
|
9,678 |
700-719 |
|
2,245 |
|
|
1,650 |
|
|
2,099 |
|
|
5,534 |
|
|
6,255 |
680-699 |
|
1,477 |
|
|
1,277 |
|
|
1,487 |
|
|
3,998 |
|
|
4,139 |
<=679 |
|
288 |
|
|
738 |
|
|
608 |
|
|
1,611 |
|
|
1,971 |
Total |
$ |
17,239 |
|
$ |
16,611 |
|
$ |
18,084 |
|
$ |
48,015 |
|
$ |
67,232 |
Weighted average FICO |
|
748 |
|
|
751 |
|
|
749 |
|
|
749 |
|
|
753 |
Primary NIW by
LTV |
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2022 |
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
95.01% and above |
$ |
1,610 |
|
|
$ |
1,577 |
|
|
$ |
1,957 |
|
|
$ |
4,553 |
|
$ |
6,585 |
|
90.01% to 95.00% |
|
9,398 |
|
|
|
8,253 |
|
|
|
8,344 |
|
|
|
24,706 |
|
|
29,336 |
|
85.01% to 90.00% |
|
4,505 |
|
|
|
4,772 |
|
|
|
4,961 |
|
|
|
13,145 |
|
|
19,071 |
|
85.00% and below |
|
1,726 |
|
|
|
2,009 |
|
|
|
2,822 |
|
|
|
5,611 |
|
|
12,240 |
|
Total |
$ |
17,239 |
|
|
$ |
16,611 |
|
|
$ |
18,084 |
|
|
$ |
48,015 |
|
$ |
67,232 |
|
Weighted average LTV |
|
92.6 |
% |
|
|
92.2 |
% |
|
|
91.8 |
% |
|
|
92.3 |
% |
|
91.3 |
% |
Primary NIW
bypurchase/refinance mix |
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2022 |
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
Purchase |
$ |
16,944 |
|
$ |
16,203 |
|
$ |
16,400 |
|
$ |
46,545 |
$ |
53,220 |
Refinance |
|
295 |
|
|
408 |
|
|
1,684 |
|
|
1,470 |
|
14,012 |
Total |
$ |
17,239 |
|
$ |
16,611 |
|
$ |
18,084 |
|
$ |
48,015 |
$ |
67,232 |
The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by
book year as of the date indicated.
Primary IIF and
RIF |
As of September 30, 2022 |
|
IIF |
|
RIF |
|
(In Millions) |
September 30, 2022 |
$ |
46,695 |
|
$ |
12,385 |
2021 |
|
74,507 |
|
|
19,025 |
2020 |
|
36,869 |
|
|
9,386 |
2019 |
|
9,621 |
|
|
2,527 |
2018 |
|
3,755 |
|
|
965 |
2017 and before |
|
7,726 |
|
|
1,971 |
Total |
$ |
179,173 |
|
$ |
46,259 |
The tables below present our total primary IIF
and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of
the dates indicated.
Primary IIF by
FICO |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
>= 760 |
$ |
87,152 |
|
$ |
83,769 |
|
$ |
73,080 |
740-759 |
|
31,770 |
|
|
29,195 |
|
|
24,676 |
720-739 |
|
25,089 |
|
|
23,240 |
|
|
19,898 |
700-719 |
|
17,852 |
|
|
16,221 |
|
|
13,206 |
680-699 |
|
12,185 |
|
|
11,160 |
|
|
8,678 |
<=679 |
|
5,125 |
|
|
5,054 |
|
|
4,080 |
Total |
$ |
179,173 |
|
$ |
168,639 |
|
$ |
143,618 |
Primary RIF by
FICO |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
>= 760 |
$ |
22,125 |
|
$ |
21,159 |
|
$ |
18,200 |
740-759 |
|
8,298 |
|
|
7,564 |
|
|
6,280 |
720-739 |
|
6,574 |
|
|
6,044 |
|
|
5,086 |
700-719 |
|
4,747 |
|
|
4,289 |
|
|
3,432 |
680-699 |
|
3,223 |
|
|
2,936 |
|
|
2,243 |
<=679 |
|
1,292 |
|
|
1,268 |
|
|
1,012 |
Total |
$ |
46,259 |
|
$ |
43,260 |
|
$ |
36,253 |
Primary IIF by
LTV |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
95.01% and above |
$ |
17,269 |
|
$ |
16,068 |
|
$ |
13,179 |
90.01% to 95.00% |
|
84,396 |
|
|
77,804 |
|
|
63,828 |
85.01% to 90.00% |
|
53,456 |
|
|
51,029 |
|
|
44,451 |
85.00% and below |
|
24,052 |
|
|
23,738 |
|
|
22,160 |
Total |
$ |
179,173 |
|
$ |
168,639 |
|
$ |
143,618 |
Primary RIF by
LTV |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
95.01% and above |
$ |
5,308 |
|
$ |
4,914 |
|
$ |
3,932 |
90.01% to 95.00% |
|
24,921 |
|
|
22,974 |
|
|
18,810 |
85.01% to 90.00% |
|
13,167 |
|
|
12,553 |
|
|
10,902 |
85.00% and below |
|
2,863 |
|
|
2,819 |
|
|
2,609 |
Total |
$ |
46,259 |
|
$ |
43,260 |
|
$ |
36,253 |
Primary RIF by Loan
Type |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed |
99 |
% |
|
99 |
% |
|
99 |
% |
Adjustable rate mortgages: |
|
|
|
|
|
Less than five years |
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
Five years and longer |
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
1 |
|
Total |
100 |
% |
|
100 |
% |
|
100 |
% |
The table below presents a summary of the change
in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.
Primary
IIF |
For the three months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Millions) |
IIF, beginning of period |
$ |
168,639 |
|
|
$ |
158,877 |
|
|
$ |
136,598 |
|
NIW |
|
17,239 |
|
|
|
16,611 |
|
|
|
18,084 |
|
Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions |
|
(6,705 |
) |
|
|
(6,849 |
) |
|
|
(11,064 |
) |
IIF, end of period |
$ |
179,173 |
|
|
$ |
168,639 |
|
|
$ |
143,618 |
|
Geographic Dispersion
The following table shows the distribution by state of our
primary RIF as of the periods indicated.
Top 10 primary RIF by
state |
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
California |
10.7 |
% |
|
10.8 |
% |
|
10.2 |
% |
Texas |
8.7 |
|
|
9.0 |
|
|
9.9 |
|
Florida |
8.2 |
|
|
8.3 |
|
|
8.6 |
|
Virginia |
4.2 |
|
|
4.3 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
Georgia |
4.1 |
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
3.7 |
|
Illinois |
4.0 |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
3.7 |
|
Washington |
3.9 |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
3.5 |
|
Colorado |
3.5 |
|
|
3.7 |
|
|
4.0 |
|
Maryland |
3.4 |
|
|
3.5 |
|
|
3.8 |
|
Pennsylvania |
3.4 |
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
3.2 |
|
Total |
54.1 |
% |
|
54.7 |
% |
|
55.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
The table below presents selected primary
portfolio statistics, by book year, as of September 30,
2022.
|
As of September 30, 2022 |
Book
Year |
OriginalInsuranceWritten |
|
RemainingInsurance inForce |
|
%Remainingof OriginalInsurance |
|
PoliciesEver inForce |
|
Number ofPolicies inForce |
|
Numberof LoansinDefault |
|
# ofClaimsPaid |
|
IncurredLoss Ratio(Inceptionto
Date)(1) |
|
CumulativeDefaultRate(2) |
|
Currentdefaultrate(3) |
|
($ Values In Millions) |
|
|
2013 |
$ |
162 |
|
$ |
5 |
|
3 |
% |
|
655 |
|
38 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1.0 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
2.6 |
% |
2014 |
|
3,451 |
|
|
222 |
|
6 |
% |
|
14,786 |
|
1,374 |
|
30 |
|
50 |
|
4.0 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
2.2 |
% |
2015 |
|
12,422 |
|
|
1,332 |
|
11 |
% |
|
52,548 |
|
7,363 |
|
147 |
|
125 |
|
2.8 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
2.0 |
% |
2016 |
|
21,187 |
|
|
2,911 |
|
14 |
% |
|
83,626 |
|
15,009 |
|
315 |
|
141 |
|
2.5 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
2.1 |
% |
2017 |
|
21,582 |
|
|
3,256 |
|
15 |
% |
|
85,897 |
|
17,140 |
|
526 |
|
115 |
|
3.4 |
% |
|
0.7 |
% |
|
3.1 |
% |
2018 |
|
27,295 |
|
|
3,755 |
|
14 |
% |
|
104,043 |
|
19,145 |
|
648 |
|
103 |
|
5.5 |
% |
|
0.7 |
% |
|
3.4 |
% |
2019 |
|
45,141 |
|
|
9,621 |
|
21 |
% |
|
148,423 |
|
40,171 |
|
673 |
|
27 |
|
6.6 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
1.7 |
% |
2020 |
|
62,702 |
|
|
36,869 |
|
59 |
% |
|
186,174 |
|
118,938 |
|
625 |
|
3 |
|
3.9 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
2021 |
|
85,574 |
|
|
74,507 |
|
87 |
% |
|
257,972 |
|
231,306 |
|
1,027 |
|
1 |
|
5.3 |
% |
|
0.4 |
% |
|
0.4 |
% |
2022 |
|
48,015 |
|
|
46,695 |
|
97 |
% |
|
132,911 |
|
130,041 |
|
104 |
|
— |
|
4.9 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
0.1 |
% |
Total |
$ |
327,531 |
|
$ |
179,173 |
|
|
|
1,067,035 |
|
580,525 |
|
4,096 |
|
566 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Calculated as total
claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums
earned, net of reinsurance.(2) Calculated as the
sum of the number of claims paid ever to date and number of loans
in default divided by policies ever in
force.(3) Calculated as the number of loans in
default divided by number of policies in force.
The following table provides a reconciliation of
the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance
claims and claim (benefits) expenses:
|
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Thousands) |
Beginning balance |
$ |
98,462 |
|
|
$ |
101,235 |
|
|
$ |
103,551 |
|
|
$ |
90,567 |
|
Less reinsurance
recoverables(1) |
|
(19,588 |
) |
|
|
(19,726 |
) |
|
|
(20,320 |
) |
|
|
(17,608 |
) |
Beginning balance, net of
reinsurance recoverables |
|
78,874 |
|
|
|
81,509 |
|
|
|
83,231 |
|
|
|
72,959 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Add claims incurred: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Claims and claim (benefits) expenses incurred: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year(2) |
|
9,348 |
|
|
|
3,649 |
|
|
|
28,135 |
|
|
|
19,275 |
|
Prior years(3) |
|
(12,737 |
) |
|
|
(445 |
) |
|
|
(35,179 |
) |
|
|
(6,469 |
) |
Total claims and claim (benefits) expenses incurred |
|
(3,389 |
) |
|
|
3,204 |
|
|
|
(7,044 |
) |
|
|
12,806 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less claims paid: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Claims and claim expenses paid: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year(2) |
|
47 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
Prior years(3) |
|
249 |
|
|
|
526 |
|
|
|
925 |
|
|
|
1,566 |
|
Total claims and claim expenses paid |
|
296 |
|
|
|
529 |
|
|
|
998 |
|
|
|
1,581 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve at end of period, net
of reinsurance recoverables |
|
75,189 |
|
|
|
84,184 |
|
|
|
75,189 |
|
|
|
84,184 |
|
Add reinsurance
recoverables(1) |
|
19,755 |
|
|
|
20,420 |
|
|
|
19,755 |
|
|
|
20,420 |
|
Ending balance |
$ |
94,944 |
|
|
$ |
104,604 |
|
|
$ |
94,944 |
|
|
$ |
104,604 |
|
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable
under the QSR Transactions. (2) Related to insured loans with their
most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if
a loan defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later
re-defaulted in the current year, the default would be included in
the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and
included $23.3 million attributed to net case reserves and
$4.2 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine
months ended September 30, 2022 and $14.0 million
attributed to net case reserves and $4.8 million attributed to
net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30,
2021.(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior
years, which have been continuously in default before the start of
the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and
included $29.2 million attributed to net case reserves and
$4.7 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine
months ended September 30, 2022 and $1.8 million
attributed to net case reserves and $5.0 million attributed to
net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30,
2021.
The following table provides a reconciliation of
the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods
indicated.
|
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
Beginning default inventory |
4,271 |
|
|
8,764 |
|
|
6,227 |
|
|
12,209 |
|
Plus: new defaults |
1,354 |
|
|
1,624 |
|
|
3,586 |
|
|
4,486 |
|
Less: cures |
(1,511 |
) |
|
(2,694 |
) |
|
(5,654 |
) |
|
(8,964 |
) |
Less: claims paid |
(16 |
) |
|
(24 |
) |
|
(59 |
) |
|
(59 |
) |
Less: rescission and claims
denied |
(2 |
) |
|
— |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
(2 |
) |
Ending default inventory |
4,096 |
|
|
7,670 |
|
|
4,096 |
|
|
7,670 |
|
The following table provides details of our
claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the QSR
Transactions, for the periods indicated.
|
For the three months ended |
|
For the nine months ended |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
($ In Thousands) |
Number of claims paid(1) |
|
16 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
59 |
|
|
|
59 |
|
Total amount paid for
claims |
$ |
376 |
|
|
$ |
674 |
|
|
$ |
1,249 |
|
|
$ |
1,982 |
|
Average amount paid per
claim |
$ |
24 |
|
|
$ |
28 |
|
|
$ |
21 |
|
|
$ |
34 |
|
Severity(2) |
|
55 |
% |
|
|
55 |
% |
|
|
46 |
% |
|
|
60 |
% |
(1) Count includes three and 19
claims settled without payment during the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2022, respectively, and six and ten claims
settled without payment during the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2021, respectively.(2) Severity
represents the total amount of claims paid including claim expenses
divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is
perfected, and is calculated including claims settled without
payment.
The following table shows our average reserve
per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR
Transactions, as of the periods indicated.
Average reserve per
default: |
As of September 30, 2022 |
|
As of September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Thousands) |
Case(1) |
$ |
21.5 |
|
$ |
12.6 |
IBNR(1)(2) |
|
1.7 |
|
|
1.0 |
Total |
$ |
23.2 |
|
$ |
13.6 |
(1) Defined as the gross
reserve per insured loan in default.(2) Amount
includes claims adjustment expenses.
The following table provides a comparison of the
PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates
indicated.
|
As of |
|
September 30, 2022 |
|
June 30, 2022 |
|
September 30, 2021 |
|
(In Thousands) |
Available Assets |
$ |
2,275,487 |
|
$ |
2,169,388 |
|
$ |
1,992,964 |
Risk-Based Required
Assets |
|
1,172,581 |
|
|
1,240,143 |
|
|
1,365,656 |
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