Time to Buy This Precious Metal ETF? - ETF News And Commentary
November 05 2013 - 8:00AM
Zacks
The precious metal space has been under pressure for much of 2013
as safe haven assets were shunned in favor of high growth products.
Hopes of Fed tapering had further put pressure on precious metals
as the dollar continued to gain strength (Precious Metal ETFs
Crumble in Fed Meeting Aftermath).
However, the Fed decision of ‘No Taper for now’ once again bought
life back to precious metals. While gold and silver bounced back to
trade higher, one metal which may have been overlooked by investors
during this trend towards a reversal is palladium.
Metal in Focus
Palladium is one of the most popular niche commodities and can be
considered an extremely lucrative investment avenue. Last year, the
metal lost its momentum somewhat, attributable to a weak automobile
sector and sluggish demand for jewelry.
However, with some new trends in the space, there is plenty of hope
for a return to glory for this metal in the very near future
(Inside the Palladium ETF's Recent Surge (PALL)).
Primary Driver
The primary driver behind this strength in the metal is the
Automobile sector. The automotive industry is a big driver of
demand in the palladium market, specifically in catalytic
converters to manage vehicle emissions. With a rebound in the auto
industry, the demand for the metal remains steady.
Investors should note that auto sales in the U.S. are holding
steady at over 15 million units (annual rate). This keeps the
streak of months with the rate of sales above 15 million alive, and
suggest that the automobile market is quite strong (These 3 ETFs
Could Soar on Strong Car Sales).
Additionally, the Fed’s decision to keep interest rates low will
further provide a boost to the sector as customers will be offered
cheap financing thereby increasing the demand for cars. This will
eventually result in increase in demand for palladium metal.
Also, with car sales picking up in Europe and China emerging as the
strong market for vehicles, the demand for the metal will shoot up
leading to further upside in the metal.
ETF in Focus
With the auto industry expected to remain robust globally going
forward, and demand for the metal and consequently its price on the
rise, investors may be able to take advantage of palladium. For
those who are willing to go long in palladium, the following ETF
option is available:
ETF Securities Physical Palladium Shares
(PALL)
For a bullion-backed approach to palladium ETF investing, investors
can look to ETFS Physical Palladium Shares or PALL. PALL is an ETF
which is backed by physical metal and holds the metal in the form
of bullion, or ingots. The metal is securely stored in London and
Zürich on behalf of the custodian, JP Morgan Chase Bank.
Investing in PALL represents a cost-effective and
suitable mode for investors. The transaction costs for buying and
selling the shares will be much lower than purchasing, storing and
insuring physical palladium for most investors (Palladium and
Platinum ETFs to Soar?).
This ETF is designed to track the spot price of palladium bullion.
PALL is the most liquid option available in palladium ETF space,
trading with volumes of 78,000 shares a day and it has $510 million
in assets under management.
The expense ratio of 60 basis points also appears to be on par with
other ETFs in the precious metals space, although it is obviously
higher than what we see in the much more popular gold market. The
fund delivered a return of 20.5% over a period of one year.
Bottom Line
Palladium will continue to see strong demand as the auto industry
continues to grow. Also, auto sales in China are expected to
improve if the government renews some of its policy incentives that
helped the country overtake the U.S. as the biggest auto
market.
According to the Chinese government, total vehicle sales in China
are expected to rise 7.8% to 20.8 million vehicles in 2013 from
19.3 million last year, led by strong demand for passenger vehicles
and economic recovery. So in all, palladium represents a good
investment opportunity in the precious metals space.
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SPDR-GOLD TRUST (GLD): ETF Research Reports
ETFS-PALLADIUM (PALL): ETF Research Reports
ETFS-PLATINUM (PPLT): ETF Research Reports
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