Goldcorp's Earnings Miss, Profit Slides - Analyst Blog
May 03 2013 - 7:20AM
Zacks
Goldcorp Inc.’s (GG) first-quarter 2013
adjusted earnings (excluding one-time items) of 31 cents a share
missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 40 cents and were well below
50 cents a share earned in the year-ago quarter.
Profit, as reported, amounted to $309 million or 33 cents
per share in the reported quarter, down roughly 35% from $479
million or 51 cents in the prior-year quarter, hurt by a
double-digit decline in sales.
Goldcorp, which is among the prominent gold miners along with
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX), Newmont
Mining Corporation (NEM) and Kinross Gold
Corporation (KGC), posted revenues of $1.02 billion in the
quarter, down roughly 16% year over year. It missed the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of $1.39 billion.
Gold sales jumped 9% year over year to 595,100 ounces in the
reported quarter and production increased 17.1% to 614,600 ounces.
Silver production, on the other hand, declined 14.9% year over year
to 5.6 million ounces from 6.6 million ounces in the prior-year
quarter. All-in sustaining costs totaled $1,135 per ounce, $565 per
ounce on a by-product basis and $710 per ounce on a co-product
basis.
Mining Highlights
At the Red Lake Mine in Canada, gold production went up almost
27.4% year over year to 145,500 ounces in the quarter. Total cash
cost was $476 per ounce, a year-over-year decline of almost 9%.
At Porcupine in Ontario, gold production increased 10.7% to
67,200 ounces with total cash cost coming in at $797 per ounce.
Gold production at Musselwhite climbed 11.1% to 59,100 ounces at
a total cash cost of $841 per ounce.
At the Penasquito mine, gold production declined 12.4% to 60,100
ounces. Total cash cost was $611 per ounce of gold on a by-product
basis compared with negative $751 in year-ago quarter. Silver
production at the mine was about 3.9 million ounces compared with 5
million ounces in the year-ago quarter.
At the Los Filos mine, gold production came down 1.5% to 81,500
ounces at total cash cost of $589 per ounce.
At Marlin, gold production declined 6% year over year to 50,000
ounces at a cash cost of $102 per ounce on a by-product basis.
Silver production declined 4.8% to 1.6 million ounces.
At Alumbrera, gold and copper production totaled 24,700 ounces
and 18.8 million pounds, respectively, a year-over-year decline of
10.5% and 22%, respectively. Total cash cost was $14 per ounce on a
by-product basis.
At Pueblo Viejo, where Goldcorp holds a 40% interest with the
rest owned by Barrick Gold, gold production was 64,100 ounce in the
quarter. Pueblo Viejo achieved commercial production in Jan 2013
and ramp up to full capacity is expected in the second half of
2013.
Financial Position
As of Mar 31, 2013, cash and cash equivalents were $1,463
million versus $1,394 million as of Mar 31 2012. Long-term debt
stood at $2,275 as of Mar 31, 2013, compared with $748 million as
of Mar 31, 2012. The company’s adjusted operating cash flow was
$400 million in the reported quarter.
Project Update
Goldcorp is conducting several studies related to a number of
its growth projects. The company’s next generation projects under
construction, including Cerro Negro in Argentina, Eleonore in
Quebec and Cochenour in Ontario, are forecast to deliver
high-margin, low-cost growth over the next five years with over
half of the capital spending related to these projects awaiting
completion by the end of 2013.
Construction of the Cerro Negro project continued to progress
steadily in the first quarter. The permit for the construction of
the power line to connect to the grid was delayed than expected and
received during the quarter. Initial gold production may be
deferred until the first quarter of 2014.
Eleonore remains on track to produce first gold in late 2014.
Outlook
Goldcorp reiterated its guidance for 2013 and expects gold
production to between 2.55 million and 2.80 million ounces. Total
cash costs are projected between $525 and $575 per ounce of gold on
a by-product basis and in the range of $700 to $750 per ounce of
gold on a co-product basis. All-in sustaining costs are expected
between $1,000 and $1,100 per ounce.
Capital expenditures for 2013 are anticipated at roughly $2.8
billion.
With over $4 billion of liquidity and strong credit ratings
Goldcorp remains confident that it can fund its capital programs
both at its operating mines and new projects in any foreseeable
gold price scenario.
Currently, Goldcorp retains a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).
BARRICK GOLD CP (ABX): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOLDCORP INC (GG): Free Stock Analysis Report
KINROSS GOLD (KGC): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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