The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) today reported results for
the first quarter of 2009:
Consolidated Highlights �
Three months ended March
31, ($ in millions, except per share amounts and ratios,
NM=not meaningful)
2009
�
2008
% Change
Consolidated revenues $ 7,883 � �
$
8,087 �
(2.5 ) Net (loss) income �
(274 ) � �
348 �
NM �
Net (loss)
income per diluted share �
(0.51 ) � �
0.62 �
NM �
Operating income* �
454 � �
�
747 �
(39.2 ) Operating income per
diluted share* �
0.84 � � �
1.33 �
(36.8
) Book value per share �
22.65 � �
36.39
**
(37.8 ) Book value per share, excluding the impact
of unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income
securities* �
�
28.78
� �
�
37.31
**
�
(22.9
�
)
Catastrophe losses �
516 � � �
568 �
(9.2 ) Property-Liability combined ratio �
96.8 � � �
94.0 �
2.8 pts
Property-Liability combined ratio excluding the effect of
catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates (�underlying
combined ratio�)* �
�
88.9
� � �
�
85.8
�
�
3.1 pts
�
* Measures used in this release
that are not based on accounting principles generally accepted in
the United States of America (�non-GAAP�) are defined and
reconciled to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and
operating measures are defined in the �Definitions of Non-GAAP and
Operating Measures� section of this document.
** As a result of the adoption of
FSP EITF 03-6-1 in the first quarter of 2009, prior periods have
been restated.
�
�Our proactive approach to maintaining Allstate�s financial
strength has served us well in a difficult environment,� said
Thomas J. Wilson, chairman, president and chief executive officer
of The Allstate Corporation. �Despite continued severe weather and
challenging investment markets, we have strong capital and
liquidity levels as a result of aggressive risk mitigation and
capital management.
�Our property-casualty business delivered solid operating
performance with an underlying combined ratio within full year
guidance. The company generated $454 million in operating income as
catastrophe losses and lower investment income negatively impacted
results. Realized capital losses and non-cash charges for deferred
acquisition costs and deferred taxes resulted in a net loss of $274
million for the quarter. Allstate�s capital position remains strong
with estimated statutory surplus of $13.0 billion at Allstate
Insurance Company and $3.4 billion at Allstate Life Insurance
Company. In addition, there is $3.3 billion of assets at the parent
company level at the end of the quarter. This strength will enable
us to achieve our 2009 priorities: keeping Allstate financially
strong, improving customer loyalty and continuing to reinvent
protection and retirement for the consumer,� said Wilson.
Consolidated Financial Results
Total revenues for the first quarter of 2009 were $7.88 billion,
a decline of 2.5% ($204 million) compared to the first quarter of
2008. This reflected a decrease in net investment income and
property-liability premiums. Allstate�s first quarter net loss was
$274 million, compared to a net loss of $1.13 billion in the prior
quarter and net income of $348 million in the first quarter of
2008. First quarter 2009 operating income of $454 million was
offset by $488 million in after-tax net realized capital losses,
which included a $254 million increase in the deferred tax
valuation allowance, and an after-tax charge of $224 million for
accelerated amortization of deferred policy acquisition and
deferred sales inducement costs (commonly referred to as �DAC
unlock�) at Allstate Financial.
Solid Underwriting Performance at Allstate
Property-Liability
Allstate�s pricing discipline and superior claims management
produced a strong underlying combined ratio in the
Property-Liability business even with winter weather increasing
frequencies. However, Allstate�s customers experienced a high
number of wind and hail storms for the second winter in a row,
resulting in significant catastrophe costs. Property-Liability also
recorded lower premiums written due to an overall decline in
policies in force. At the same time, new auto business increased
appreciably and Allstate�s internal measure of customer loyalty
also rose.
Allstate brand standard auto premiums written for the first
quarter of 2009 decreased 2.4% and total policies in force declined
1.8% versus the prior year quarter due to a slight decline in the
renewal ratio. However, new issued applications increased 14.8% as
a result of new sales and marketing strategies. The standard auto
loss ratio rose 3.3 points from the first quarter of 2008 due to
both higher loss frequency and higher injury severity. Winter
weather events in the Eastern states impacted frequencies. Average
costs per injury claim increased consistently with relevant price
indices, while average costs for property damage claims
decreased.
Allstate brand homeowners premiums written for the first quarter
of 2009 declined 1.2% and total policies in force fell 4.2% versus
the same period a year ago, driven by a 15.3% decline in new issued
applications. Allstate�s risk management programs led to the drop
in homeowners business. The loss ratio on homeowners increased 2.5
points in the first quarter of 2009 compared to the first quarter
of 2008 due to higher claim frequencies and severities, partially
offset by lower catastrophe losses.
Catastrophe losses for the first quarter of 2009 totaled $516
million, including $60 million of favorable prior year reserve
reestimates primarily related to Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. This
was the third worst first quarter catastrophe loss in Allstate�s
history. Last year�s first quarter catastrophe loss of $568 million
included $117 million in unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates
primarily attributable to Hurricane Katrina litigation in
Louisiana.
The underlying combined ratio rose from 85.8 in the first
quarter of 2008 to 88.9 in the first quarter of 2009, which was
within Allstate�s 87-89 outlook for the year. Allstate anticipates
that the underlying combined ratio will remain within previously
announced outlook for the full year 2009.
�Focus to Win� at Allstate Financial
The restructuring of Allstate Financial that includes cutting
expenses, repositioning the cost structure and refocusing the
business on high return growth opportunities, is on plan. While
risk mitigation programs have benefited Allstate Financial�s
investment portfolio, investment losses continued in the first
quarter reflecting continued deterioration in the economy and
investment markets. To further protect the portfolio, Allstate
Financial is proactively reducing the risk of rising interest rates
by shortening the duration of its fixed income investments despite
the negative impact on earnings.
Allstate Financial�s operating income was $85 million in the
first quarter of 2009, a $58 million decline from the first quarter
of 2008. Allstate Financial�s benefit spread during the first
quarter of 2009 increased 35.1% to $150 million from the prior year
quarter of $111 million, driven by favorable life and immediate
annuity mortality. However, the investment spread during the first
quarter declined to $101 million versus $253 million in the first
quarter of 2008, primarily because of the company�s ongoing efforts
to maintain a strong liquidity position and reduce risks in its
investment portfolio. Operating expenses rose to $121 million in
the first quarter of 2009 from $118 million in the same period of
2008. Also included in operating income in the first quarter of
2009 was a restructuring charge of $18 million related to the Focus
to Win program.
During the first quarter of 2009, Allstate completed its annual
comprehensive review of interest-sensitive life, annuities and
other investment products to determine amortization and balances of
deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and deferred sales
inducement costs (DSI). Based on that assessment, the company
recorded a pre-tax charge of $322 million for accelerated
amortization, principally the result of an increase in expected
realized investment losses.
Lower operating income and after-tax net realized capital losses
totaling $170 million, and DAC unlock contributed to a net loss for
Allstate Financial of $327 million in the first quarter of 2009,
compared to a net loss of $111 million for the same period in
2008.
Conservative Investment Management
While the investment markets remain difficult, Allstate�s
proactive risk mitigation and return optimization programs continue
to benefit shareholder value. The company remains focused on
reducing its exposure to rising interest rates and real estate
investments while maintaining a significant exposure to corporate
credit to capture appreciation as spreads tighten.
Allstate�s consolidated investment portfolio totaled $93.87
billion at March 31, 2009, a decline of $2.13 billion from year-end
2008, which was due primarily to net reductions in contractholder
funds at Allstate Financial and increases in unrealized net capital
losses. 72.9% of the overall investment portfolio was invested in
fixed income securities of which 94.1% were rated investment grade.
In the first quarter of 2009, the fixed income portfolio generated
cash flow of $2.07 billion, consistent with amounts due. The strong
ratings and continuing cash performance reflect the high quality of
this portfolio.
Allstate manages risks and returns in its portfolio through risk
mitigation and return optimization strategies, including macro
hedges to protect against extreme negative movements in interest
rates and equity valuations. The company also manages risk through
the proactive disposition of securities, having reduced exposure to
real estate and financial assets, among other exposures. During
2009, Allstate is moving to reduce exposure to rising interest
rates by shortening its fixed income portfolio duration. It is also
continuing to actively reduce its exposure to commercial real
estate. Through March 31, 2009, the fixed income portfolio duration
was reduced by approximately 10% (0.5 years) and exposure to
commercial real estate declined by $1.03 billion primarily due to
collections and sales.
Net investment income for the quarter was $1.18 billion, down
22.9% ($350 million) from $1.53 billion in the first quarter of
2008, due to lower overall yields, increased short-term investment
balances reflecting liquidity management activities, and lower
average asset balances.
Net realized capital losses for the quarter were $359 million
pre-tax, due primarily to $620 million of impairment write-downs on
investments where losses in value were determined to be
other-than-temporary, $143 million of net losses on the valuation
of limited partnerships, and $105 million of losses on securities
where we could no longer assert our intent to hold them until their
value recovers. Partially offsetting these write-downs was $418
million of net gains on sales, mainly of U.S. government fixed
income securities sold by Allstate Financial to support our
strategy to reduce portfolio duration. In addition, the company
realized $91 million of net gains from derivative instruments
primarily from its macro hedging program.
Unrealized net capital losses rose to $9.40 billion, pretax, in
the first quarter, an increase of $590 million when compared to
year-end 2008, resulting primarily from increases of $388 million
in fixed income unrealized net losses and $205 million in equity
unrealized net losses. $8.88 billion of the unrealized net loss at
March 31, 2009 relates to the fixed income portfolio, of which
79.6% of the unrealized losses were on securities that were rated
investment grade. Allstate expects to hold these assets until they
recover in value, and maintains prudent levels of liquidity in
order to minimize the risk of unanticipated sales.
Deferred tax valuation allowances increased to $379 million in
the first quarter of 2009 compared to $49 million at December 31,
2008. Of the $330 million increase, $254 million was recorded as
income tax expense in net income and realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax in the presentation of operating income, and $76
million was recorded as accumulated other comprehensive income in
equity.
On April 9, 2009, the Financial Accounting Standards Board
issued new staff positions covering fair value measurement /
disclosure and other-than-temporary impairment. These rules will be
adopted by Allstate effective April 1, 2009, and reflected in the
company�s second quarter 2009 results. The impact of this guidance
is currently being studied and assessed. The company expects that
it will result in an increase to retained income offset by a
decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income.
Strong Capital Position
�Allstate�s capital position remained strong in the first
quarter,� said Don Civgin, vice president and chief financial
officer. �At the end of the first quarter, we held $12.2 billion in
GAAP equity with $3.3 billion in assets available at the holding
company level. Statutory surplus at March 31, 2009 was estimated to
be $13.0 billion at Allstate Insurance Company and $3.4 billion at
Allstate Life Insurance Company.�
Allstate continues to be focused on maintaining capital and
liquidity strength through these difficult financial markets. In
addition to the $3.35 billion of deployable invested assets at
Kennett Capital Holdings, LLC and The Allstate Corporation, it
continues to have access to $1.00 billion of funds from either
commercial paper issuance or an unsecured credit facility, neither
of which was drawn at March 31, 2009. This provides ample capital
for the company�s modest expected fixed charges of $650 million
annually and $750 million of debt maturing in December 2009. The
debt maturing in December 2009 is anticipated to be refinanced. As
of March 31, 2009, the company held $23.05 billion, a quarter of
the total portfolio, in cash and highly liquid assets convertible
to cash within 90 days without significant additional realized
capital loss. This is an increase in highly liquid assets of $2.49
billion since December 31, 2008.
�This substantial liquidity position mitigates the risk of
having to liquidate assets that are currently in an unrealized loss
position,� said Civgin. �This liquidity reserve has served Allstate
well, but carries with it the burden of lower investment returns.
As we navigate our way through the financial market turmoil,
Allstate will continue to balance the risks and returns inherent in
our liquidity position.�
At Allstate.com click on �Investors�, or go directly to
http://ir.allstate.com/, to access additional information about
Allstate�s results under �Quarterly Investor Info� and access a
webcast of the conference call to discuss first quarter 2009
results. The conference call will be held on Friday, May 8, 2009,
at 9 a.m. ET.
The Allstate Corporation (NYSE: ALL) is the nation�s largest
publicly held personal lines insurer. Widely known through the
�You�re In Good Hands With Allstate�� slogan, Allstate is
reinventing protection and retirement to help individuals in
approximately 17 million households protect what they have today
and better prepare for tomorrow. Customers can access Allstate
products and services such as auto insurance and homeowners
insurance through more than 14,700 exclusive Allstate agencies and
financial representatives in the U.S. and Canada, or in select
states at allstate.com and 1-800 Allstate�. Encompass� Insurance
brand property and casualty products are sold exclusively through
independent agents. The Allstate Financial Group provides life
insurance, supplemental accident and health insurance, annuity,
banking and retirement products designed for individual,
institutional and worksite customers that are distributed through
Allstate agencies, independent agencies, financial institutions and
broker-dealers. Customers also can access information about
Allstate Financial Group products and services at
myallstatefinancial.com.
� �
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES CONDENSED
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS � � Three Months Ended
March 31,
($ in millions, except per share data) 2009 � 2008 �
Revenues Property-liability insurance premiums earned $
6,582 $ 6,764 Life and annuity premiums and contract charges 484
452 Net investment income 1,176 1,526 Realized capital gains and
losses (359 ) (655 ) 7,883 � 8,087 � �
Costs and expenses
Property-liability insurance claims and claims expense 4,720 4,676
Life and annuity contract benefits 387 397 Interest credited to
contractholder funds 579 624 Amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs 1,397 1,075 Operating costs and expenses 801 792
Restructuring and related charges 45 (1 ) Interest expense 88 � 88
� 8,017 � 7,651 � � Gain (loss) on disposition of operations 3 � (9
) �
(Loss) income from operations before income tax expense
(131 ) 427 � Income tax expense 143 � 79 � �
Net (loss)
income $ (274 ) $ 348 � �
Earnings per share: �
Net
(loss) income per share - Basic $ (0.51 ) $ 0.62 � �
Weighted average shares - Basic 538.9 � 560.8 � �
Net
(loss) income per share - Diluted $ (0.51 ) $ 0.62 � �
Weighted average shares - Diluted 538.9 � 562.8 � �
Cash
dividends declared per share $ 0.20 � $ 0.41 � � �
THE
ALLSTATE CORPORATION SEGMENT RESULTS � � Three Months
Ended March 31, ($ in millions, except ratios) � 2009 2008
Property-Liability � Premiums written $ 6,269 � $ 6,514 � �
Premiums earned $ 6,582 $ 6,764 Claims and claims expense 4,720
4,676 Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs 949 1,011
Operating costs and expenses 678 670 Restructuring and related
charges 27 � (1 ) Underwriting income 208 � 408 � � Net investment
income 344 470 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge
derivative instruments (3 ) 1 Income tax expense on operations 135
� 250 � � Operating income 414 629 � Realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax (316 ) (125 ) Reclassification of periodic
settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments,
after-tax 2 � (1 ) � Net income $ 100 � $ 503 � � Catastrophe
losses $ 516 � $ 568 � � Operating ratios: Claims and claims
expense ratio 71.7 69.1 Expense ratio 25.1 � 24.9 � Combined ratio
96.8 � 94.0 � � Effect of catastrophe losses on combined ratio 7.8
� 8.4 � � Effect of prior year reserve reestimates on combined
ratio (0.8 ) 1.5 � � Effect of catastrophe losses included in prior
year reserve reestimate on combined ratio
(0.9
)
1.7 � � Effect of Discontinued Lines and Coverages on combined
ratio 0.1 � 0.1 � �
Allstate Financial Premiums and
deposits* $ 1,533 � $ 3,046 � � Investments $ 59,576 � $ 73,023 � �
Premiums and contract charges $ 484 $ 452 Net investment income 819
1,015 Periodic settlements and accruals on non-hedge derivative
instruments 1 9 Contract benefits 387 397 Interest credited to
contractholder funds 542 630 Amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs 109 117 Operating costs and expenses 121 118
Restructuring and related charges 18 - Income tax expense on
operations 42 � 71 � � Operating income 85 143 � Realized capital
gains and losses, after-tax (170 ) (281 ) DAC and DSI amortization
relating to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax (19 ) 39
DAC and DSI unlocking related to realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax (224 ) - Reclassification of periodic settlements and
accruals on non-hedge derivative instruments, after-tax (1 ) (6 )
Gain (Loss) on disposition of operations, after-tax 2 � (6 ) � Net
loss $ (327 ) $ (111 ) �
Corporate and Other Net investment
income $ 13 $ 41 Operating costs and expenses 90 92 Income tax
benefit on operations (32 ) (26 ) � Operating loss (45 ) (25 ) �
Realized capital gains and losses, after-tax (2 ) (19 ) � Net loss
$ (47 ) $ (44 ) �
Consolidated net (loss) income $ (274 ) $
348 � � �
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND SUBSIDIARIES
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION � �
March 31, December 31, ($ in millions, except par value data) 2009
2008
Assets Investments Fixed income securities, at fair
value (amortized cost $77,322 and $77,104) $ 68,438 $ 68,608 Equity
securities, at fair value (cost $2,947 and $3,137) 2,410 2,805
Mortgage loans 9,710 10,229 Limited partnership interests 2,482
2,791 Short-term, at fair value (amortized cost $8,124 and $8,903)
8,125 8,906 Other 2,708 � 2,659 � Total investments 93,873 95,998
Cash 837 415 Premium installment receivables, net 4,766 4,842
Deferred policy acquisition costs 8,379 8,542 Reinsurance
recoverables, net 6,651 6,403 Accrued investment income 906 884
Deferred income taxes 3,486 3,794 Property and equipment, net 1,044
1,059 Goodwill 874 874 Other assets 2,180 3,748 Separate Accounts
7,375 � 8,239 �
Total assets $ 130,371 � $ 134,798 �
Liabilities Reserve for property-liability insurance claims
and claims expense $ 19,124 $ 19,456 Reserve for life-contingent
contract benefits 12,669 12,881 Contractholder funds 56,621 58,413
Unearned premiums 9,685 10,024 Claim payments outstanding 629 790
Other liabilities and accrued expenses 6,338 6,663 Long-term debt
5,659 5,659 Separate Accounts 7,375 � 8,239 �
Total
liabilities 118,100 � 122,125 � �
Equity Preferred
stock, $1 par value, 25 million shares authorized, none issued - -
Common stock, $.01 par value, 2.0 billion shares authorized and 900
million issued, 536 million and 536 million shares outstanding 9 9
Additional capital paid-in 3,129 3,130 Retained income 29,825
30,207 Deferred ESOP expense (46 ) (49 ) Treasury stock, at cost
(364 million and 364 million shares) (15,836 ) (15,855 )
Accumulated other comprehensive income: Unrealized net capital
gains and losses (3,767 ) (3,738 ) Unrealized foreign currency
translation adjustments (3 ) 5 Unrecognized pension and other
postretirement benefit cost (1,069 ) (1,068 ) Total accumulated
other comprehensive loss (4,839 ) (4,801 )
Total shareholders�
equity 12,242 12,641 Noncontrolling interest 29 � 32 �
Total
equity 12,271 � 12,673 �
Total liabilities and equity $
130,371 � $ 134,798 � � �
THE ALLSTATE CORPORATION AND
SUBSIDIARIES CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH
FLOWS � �
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2009 �
2008 ($ in millions)
Cash flows from
operating activities
Net (loss) income
$ (274 ) $ 348
Adjustments to reconcile net
(loss) income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation, amortization and other non-cash items (74 ) (59 )
Realized capital gains and losses 359 655 Gain (loss) on
disposition of operations (3 ) 9 Interest credited to
contractholder funds 579 624 Changes in: Policy benefits and other
insurance reserves (244 ) 8 Unearned premiums (330 ) (281 )
Deferred policy acquisition costs 381 (36 ) Premium installment
receivables, net 71 19 Reinsurance recoverables, net (81 ) (38 )
Income taxes 1,443 47 Other operating assets and liabilities (305 )
(176 ) Net cash provided by operating activities 1,522 � 1,120 �
Cash flows from investing activities Proceeds from sales
Fixed income securities 4,483 8,012 Equity securities 1,872 3,252
Limited partnership interests 154 114 Mortgage loans 12 - Other
investments 16 96 Investment collections Fixed income securities
1,203 1,062 Mortgage loans 472 135 Other investments 31 26
Investment purchases Fixed income securities (5,425 ) (5,274 )
Equity securities (1,933 ) (2,906 ) Limited partnership interests
(144 ) (333 ) Mortgage loans (10 ) (345 ) Other investments - (21 )
Change in short-term investments, net 707 (3,430 ) Change in other
investments, net (48 ) (226 ) Disposition of operations 12 -
Purchases of property and equipment, net (53 ) (52 ) Net cash
provided by investing activities 1,349 � 110 �
Cash flows from
financing activities Change in short-term debt, net - 2
Contractholder fund deposits 1,298 2,824 Contractholder fund
withdrawals (3,577 ) (3,503 ) Dividends paid (220 ) (216 ) Treasury
stock purchases (3 ) (431 ) Shares reissued under equity incentive
plans, net - 4 Excess tax benefits on share-based payment
arrangements (6 ) 1 Other 59 � 37 � Net cash used in financing
activities (2,449 ) (1,282 )
Net increase (decrease) in cash
422 (52 )
Cash at beginning of period 415 � 422 �
Cash at
end of period $ 837 � $ 370 � �
Definitions of Non-GAAP and Operating Measures
We believe that investors� understanding of Allstate�s
performance is enhanced by our disclosure of the following non-GAAP
financial measures. Our methods of calculating these measures may
differ from those used by other companies and therefore
comparability may be limited.
Operating income is net (loss) income, excluding:
- realized capital gains and
losses, after-tax, except for periodic settlements and accruals on
non-hedge derivative instruments, which are reported with realized
capital gains and losses but included in operating income,
- amortization of DAC and DSI, to
the extent they resulted from the recognition of certain realized
capital gains and losses,
- gain (loss) on disposition of
operations, after-tax, and
- adjustments for other
significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a)
the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably
unlikely to recur within two years, or (b) there has been no
similar charge or gain within the prior two years.
Net (loss) income is the GAAP measure that is most directly
comparable to operating income.
We use operating income as an important measure to evaluate our
results of operations. We believe that the measure provides
investors with a valuable measure of the Company�s ongoing
performance because it reveals trends in our insurance and
financial services business that may be obscured by the net effect
of realized capital gains and losses, gain (loss) on disposition of
operations and adjustments for other significant non-recurring,
infrequent or unusual items. Realized capital gains and losses and
gain (loss) on disposition of operations may vary significantly
between periods and are generally driven by business decisions and
external economic developments such as capital market conditions,
the timing of which is unrelated to the insurance underwriting
process. Consistent with our intent to protect results or earn
additional income, operating income includes periodic settlements
and accruals on certain derivative instruments that are reported in
realized capital gains and losses because they do not qualify for
hedge accounting or are not designated as hedges for accounting
purposes. These instruments are used for economic hedges and to
replicate fixed income securities, and by including them in
operating income, we are appropriately reflecting their trends in
our performance and in a manner consistent with the economically
hedged investments, product attributes (e.g. net investment income
and interest credited to contractholder funds) or replicated
investments. Non-recurring items are excluded because, by their
nature, they are not indicative of our business or economic trends.
Accordingly, operating income excludes the effect of items that
tend to be highly variable from period to period and highlights the
results from ongoing operations and the underlying profitability of
our business. A byproduct of excluding these items to determine
operating income is the transparency and understanding of their
significance to net income variability and profitability while
recognizing these or similar items may recur in subsequent periods.
Operating income is used by management along with the other
components of net (loss) income to assess our performance. We use
adjusted measures of operating income and operating income per
diluted share in incentive compensation. Therefore, we believe it
is useful for investors to evaluate net (loss) income, operating
income and their components separately and in the aggregate when
reviewing and evaluating our performance. We note that investors,
financial analysts, financial and business media organizations and
rating agencies utilize operating income results in their
evaluation of our and our industry�s financial performance and in
their investment decisions, recommendations and communications as
it represents a reliable, representative and consistent measurement
of the industry and the Company and management�s performance. We
note that the price to earnings multiple commonly used by insurance
investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses operating
income as the denominator. Operating income should not be
considered as a substitute for net (loss) income and does not
reflect the overall profitability of our business.
The following table reconciles operating income and net (loss)
income for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008.
For the three months ended
March 31,
Property-Liability �
Allstate Financial �
Consolidated �
Per diluted share
($ in millions, except per
share data)
2009
�
2008
2009
�
2008
2009
�
2008
2009
�
2008
Operating income $ 414 $ 629 $ 85 $ 143 $ 454 $ 747 $ 0.84 $
1.33 Realized capital gains and losses (1) (314 ) (194 ) (43 ) (432
) (359 ) (655 )
Income tax (expense) benefit
(2 ) 69 � (127 ) 151 � (129 ) 230 �
Realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax
(316 ) (125 ) (170 ) (281 ) (488 ) (425 ) (0.90 ) (0.76 )
DAC and DSI (amortization)
accretion relating to realized capital gains and losses,
after-tax
-- -- (19 ) 39 (19 ) 39 (0.03 ) 0.07 DAC and DSI unlocking related
to realized capital gains and losses, after-tax -- -- (224 ) --
(224 ) -- (0.42 ) --
Reclassification of periodic
settlements and accruals on non- hedge derivative instruments,
after-tax
2 (1 ) (1 ) (6 ) 1 (7 ) -- (0.01 ) Gain (loss) on disposition of
operations, after-tax -- � -- � 2 � (6 ) 2 � (6 ) -- � (0.01 )
Net income (loss)
$
100 �
$
503 �
$
(327 )
$
(111 )
$
(274 )
$
348 �
$
(0.51 )
$
0.62 � �
(1) Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2008, income from
EMA LP is reported in realized capital gains and losses. EMA LP
income for periods prior to the fourth quarter of 2008 is reported
in net investment income. The amount of EMA LP income included in
the Property-Liability, Allstate Financial and Consolidated in net
investment income in the three months ended March 31, 2008 was $30
million, $16 million and $44 million, respectively.
Combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes and prior
year reserve reestimates (�underlying combined ratio�) is a
non-GAAP ratio, which is computed as the difference between three
GAAP operating ratios: the combined ratio, the effect of
catastrophes on the combined ratio and the effect of prior year
reserve reestimates on the combined ratio. The most directly
comparable GAAP measure is the combined ratio. We believe that this
ratio is useful to investors and it is used by management to reveal
the trends in our Property-Liability business that may be obscured
by catastrophe losses and prior year reserve reestimates. These
catastrophe losses cause our loss trends to vary significantly
between periods as a result of their incidence of occurrence and
magnitude, and can have a significant impact on the combined ratio.
Prior year reserve reestimates are caused by unexpected loss
development on historical reserves. We believe it is useful for
investors to evaluate these components separately and in the
aggregate when reviewing our underwriting performance. We also
provide it to facilitate a comparison to our outlook on the 2009
combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and prior
year reserve reestimates. The combined ratio excluding the effect
of catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates should not be
considered a substitute for the combined ratio and does not reflect
the overall underwriting profitability of our business. A
reconciliation of the combined ratio excluding the effect of
catastrophes and prior year reserve reestimates to combined ratio
is provided in the following table.
�
Three months ended
March 31,
2009 � �
2008
Combined ratio excluding the
effect of catastrophes and prior
year reserve reestimates
(�underlying combined ratio�)
88.9 85.8 Effect of catastrophe losses 7.8 8.4 Effect of prior year
non-catastrophe reserve reestimates 0.1 � (0.2 )
Combined ratio
(GAAP) 96.8 � 94.0 � � Effect of prior year catastrophe reserve
reestimates (0.9 ) 1.7 � �
In this news release, we provide our outlook on the 2009
combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophe losses and prior
year reserve reestimates. A reconciliation of this measure to the
combined ratio is not possible on a forward-looking basis because
it is not possible to provide a reliable forecast of catastrophes.
Future prior year reserve reestimates are expected to be zero
because reserves are determined based on our best estimate of
ultimate loss reserves as of the reporting date.
Book value per share, excluding the impact of unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, is a ratio
that uses a non-GAAP measure. It is calculated by dividing
shareholders� equity after excluding the impact of unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities and related DAC
and life insurance reserves by total shares outstanding plus
dilutive potential shares outstanding. Book value per share is the
most directly comparable GAAP measure.
We use the trend in book value per share, excluding unrealized
net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities, in
conjunction with book value per share to identify and analyze the
change in net worth attributable to management efforts between
periods. We believe the non-GAAP ratio is useful to investors
because it eliminates the effect of items that can fluctuate
significantly from period to period and are generally driven by
economic developments, primarily capital market conditions, the
magnitude and timing of which are generally not influenced by
management, and we believe it enhances understanding and
comparability of performance by highlighting underlying business
activity and profitability drivers. We note that book value per
share, excluding unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed
income securities, is a measure commonly used by insurance
investors as a valuation technique. Book value per share, excluding
unrealized net capital gains and losses on fixed income securities,
should not be considered as a substitute for book value per share,
and does not reflect the recorded net worth of our business. The
following table shows the reconciliation.
�
As of
March 31,
($ in millions, except per share data) 2009 �
2008 �
Book value per share Numerator: Shareholders�
equity $ 12,242 � $ 20,303 � Denominator: Shares outstanding and
dilutive potential shares outstanding 540.5 � 557.9 � Book value
per share $ 22.65 � $ 36.39 � �
Book value per share, excluding
the impact of unrealized net capital gainsand losses on
fixed income securities
Numerator: Shareholders� equity $ 12,242 $ 20,303 Unrealized net
capital gains and losses on fixed income securities (3,314 ) (514 )
Adjusted shareholders� equity $ 15,556 � $ 20,817 � Denominator:
Shares outstanding and dilutive potential shares outstanding 540.5
� 557.9 �
Book value per share, excluding
the impact of unrealized net capital gainsand losses on fixed
income securities
$
28.78 �
$
37.31 � �
Premiums written is the amount of premiums charged for
policies issued during a fiscal period. Premiums earned is a GAAP
measure. Premiums are considered earned and are included in
financial results on a pro-rata basis over the policy period. The
portion of premiums written applicable to the unexpired terms of
the policies is recorded as unearned premiums on our Condensed
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position. A reconciliation of
premiums written to premiums earned is presented in the following
table.
�
Three months ended
March 31,
($ in millions)
2009 �
2008 Premiums written
�
$
6,269 $ 6,514 Decrease in Property-Liability unearned premiums 337
294 Other (24 ) (44 )
Premiums earned
�
$
6,582 � $ 6,764 �
Premiums and deposits is an operating measure that we use
to analyze production trends for Allstate Financial sales. It
includes premiums on insurance policies and annuities and all
deposits and other funds received from customers on deposit-type
products including the net new deposits of Allstate Bank, which we
account for under GAAP as increases to liabilities rather than as
revenue.
The following table illustrates where premiums and deposits are
reflected in the condensed consolidated financial statements.
�
Three months ended
March 31,
($ in millions)
2009 �
2008 Total premiums and deposits $
1,533 $ 3,046 Deposits to contractholder funds (1,298 ) (2,824 )
Deposits to separate accounts (28 ) (33 ) Change in unearned
premiums and other adjustments 39 � 39 �
Life and annuity
premiums 1 $ 246 � $ 228 � �
(1) Life and annuity contract charges in the amount of $238
million and $224 million for the three months ended March 31, 2009
and 2008, respectively, which are also revenues recognized for
GAAP, have been excluded from the table above, but are a component
of the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations line item
life and annuity premiums and contract charges.
Forward-Looking Statements and Risk Factors
This news release contains forward-looking statements about our
outlook for the combined ratio excluding the effect of catastrophes
and prior year reserve reestimates for 2009. These statements are
subject to the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and
are based on management�s estimates, assumptions and projections.
Actual results may differ materially from those projected based on
the risk factors described below.
- Premiums written and premiums
earned, the denominator of the underlying combined ratio may be
materially less than projected. Policyholder attrition may be
greater than anticipated resulting in a lower amount of insurance
in force.
- Unanticipated increases in the
severity or frequency of standard auto insurance claims may
adversely affect our underwriting results. Changes in the severity
or frequency of claims may affect the profitability of our Allstate
Protection segment. Changes in bodily injury claim severity are
driven primarily by inflation in the medical sector of the economy
and litigation. Changes in auto physical damage claim severity are
driven primarily by inflation in auto repair costs, auto parts
prices and used car prices. The short-term level of claim frequency
we experience may vary from period to period and may not be
sustainable over the longer term. A decline in gas prices and a
significant increase in miles driven are examples of factors
leading to a short-term frequency change. A significant long-term
increase in claim frequency could have an adverse effect on our
underwriting results.
We undertake no obligation to publicly correct or update any
forward-looking statements. This news release contains unaudited
financial information.
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