O'Reilly Tops EPS, Misses Sales - Analyst Blog
February 09 2012 - 9:15AM
Zacks
O’Reilly Automotive
Inc. (ORLY) reported a 35% jump in adjusted profit to 93
cents per share in the fourth quarter of 2011 from 69 cents per
share in the prior-year quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus
Estimate by 7 cents per share. Adjusted net profit was $121 million
compared with $98 million in the fourth quarter of 2010.
Including special items, net income
and earnings per share in the quarter stood at $123 million and 94
cents, respectively. This compared favorably with net income of
$105.8 million and earnings per share of 74 cents in the prior-year
quarter.
Sales in the quarter grew 6% to
$1.39 billion from $1.31 billion in the comparable quarter of 2010
but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.41 billion.
Comparable store sales (sales for stores open for at least one
year) rose 3.3% for the quarter versus 9.2% in the same quarter a
year ago.
Gross profit increased 9% to $695
million from $636 million for the fourth quarter of 2010.
Consequently, gross margin expanded 130 basis points to 49.9% from
the year-ago quarter. Selling, general and administrative expenses
went up 4% to $491 million from $472 million in the prior-year
quarter. Adjusted operating income rose 24% to $204 million from
$164 million in the fourth quarter of 2010. Adjusted operating
margin was 14.7%, a 214 basis point expansion from the year-ago
quarter.
Fiscal 2011
Performance
O’Reilly’s adjusted earnings per
share in fiscal 2011 were $3.81, a 25% increase from $3.05 earned
in the prior year, outperforming the Zacks Consensus Estimate of
$3.74. Adjusted net income was $522 million versus $433 million in
fiscal 2010. Including special items, net income and earnings per
share were a respective $507.7 million and $3.71 compared with $419
million and $2.95 in fiscal 2010.
Revenues upped 7% to reach $5.79
billion but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.23 billion.
Comparable store sales for the year increased 4.6% compared with
8.8% in fiscal 2010.
Store Update
During the quarter, O’Reilly opened
34 new stores bringing total store openings to 183 for fiscal 2011.
With 13 stores closed during the year, the company has met its goal
of 170 (net) store openings in 2011.
Share
Repurchase
During the quarter under study, the
company has repurchased 1.8 million shares of its common stock at
an average price of $75.60, for a total investment of $136 million.
During fiscal 2011, O’Reilly repurchased 15.9 million shares of its
common stock at an average price per share of $61.49, for a total
investment of $976 million.
Following the end of the fourth
quarter and till the date of this release, the company has
repurchased an additional 0.1 million shares of its common stock at
an average price per share of $79.45, for a total investment of $10
million. The company has approximately $514 million remaining
under its share repurchase program.
Financial
Position
O’Reilly had cash and cash
equivalents of $361 million as of December 31, 2011, a significant
increase from $29.7 million as of December 31, 2010. Long-term debt
was $796 million at year end, up from $357 million as of December
31, 2010. This translated into a long-term debt-to-capitalization
ratio of 21.9%, significantly up from 10.1% at the end of fiscal
2010.
In fiscal 2011, cash flow from
operations improved substantially to $1.12 billion from $704
million in the previous year. Free cash flow increased a whopping
134% to $791 million due to working capital improvement and reduced
level of capital expenditures.
Guidance
O’Reilly has projected earnings per
share in the range of 99 cents–$1.03 and consolidated comparable
store sales to increase in a band of 4% to 6% for the first quarter
of 2012.
For full year 2012, the company
anticipates adjusted earnings per share in the range of $4.27 to
$4.37 and consolidated comparable store sales to increase by 3% to
6%. The company also provided revenue guidance of $6.15 billion to
$6.25 billion, gross margin in the vicinity of 48.9% to 49.3%, and
operating margin to range from 15% to 15.5%.
The company plans to open 180 new
stores along with the relocation or renovation of nearly 50
existing stores in fiscal 2012. The company expects capital
expenditures in the range of $315 million to $345 million and to
earn free cash flow between $600 million and $650 million.
Our Take
O’Reilly is continuously benefiting
from its dual market strategy and a strong distribution network.
The CSK acquisition is expected to boost the company’s earnings and
savings, and will help it to outgrow its competitors. These along
with improved results have led the company to retain a Zacks #2
Rank on its stock, which translates into a short-term (1 to 3
months) rating of Buy.
O'Reilly is the third largest
specialty retailer of automotive aftermarket parts, tools,
supplies, equipment, and accessories in the U.S., selling products
to both Do-it-Yourself (DIY) customers (53% of sales) and
Do-it-for-Me (DIFM) or professional installers (47%).
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