For-Profit Educators Face Long Term Headwinds
June 07 2011 - 8:16AM
Marketwired
Shares of for-profit educators have been on the upswing this month
as the controversial "gainful employment" rules were finally
published. Although short term sentiment has brightened in the
industry, analysts remain concerned about the sector in the long
run. The Bedford Report examines the outlook for companies in the
Education & Training Services industry and provides equity
research on Corinthian Colleges, Inc. (NASDAQ: COCO) and Apollo
Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: APOL). Access to the full company reports can
be found at:
www.bedfordreport.com/2011-06-07/STOCK-RESEARCH-ON-COCO
www.bedfordreport.com/2011-06-07/STOCK-RESEARCH-ON-APOL
Last week the Education Department released its final rule
prohibiting for-profit and professional certificate programs from
accessing student-loan money if their former students aren't able
to repay the loans. If graduates owe too much relative to their
income, or too few former students are paying back their tuition
loans on time, schools stand to lose access to Pell grants and
federal student aid. The regulations come in reaction to reports of
high tuition charges, high pressure sales tactics, high dropout
rates and job placements that don't pay enough for students to pay
back federally insured loans.
The DOE said it expects 18 percent of for-profit schools'
programs to fail its tests at some point, and 5 percent of programs
to lose eligibility under the new law.
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Analysts at UBS claim that the DOE's guidelines are
"significantly more relaxed than originally feared." Analysts at
the firm added that they expect "all listed for-profit education
companies to comply with the new requirements and for their shares
to re-rate sharply."
With the possibility of several schools losing eligibility,
Citigroup analyst James Samford claimed that "the bears in the
space will say this is a smaller addressable market, with more
competition. There's still a fundamental slowdown in the
industry."
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