U.S. Government Bond Yields Fall Ahead of Fed Meeting
September 26 2018 - 11:08AM
Dow Jones News
By Akane Otani
U.S. Treasury prices rose Wednesday as investors awaited the
conclusion of the Federal Reserve's latest two-day policy
meeting.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was
recently at 3.083%, compared with 3.102% Tuesday.
The 10-year yield, which falls as bond prices rise, finished
Tuesday at its second-highest level of the year, driven higher by
anticipation of potentially hawkish messaging from the Fed and
renewed optimism about the global economy.
Bond traders say they have largely priced in the Fed raising
short-term interest rates by a quarter-percentage point. What they
will be closely watching for is the central bank's expected rate
path beyond 2018.
The Fed's so-called dot plot, which shows committee members'
projections for interest rates in the future, is set to show
forecasts for 2021 for the first time. Bond investors and analysts
will be parsing it and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's news conference
for signs that the Fed might accelerate its pace of interest-rate
increases -- something that could put fresh pressure on
Treasurys.
"We easily see the Fed continuing the hiking cycle into 2020
before it likely comes to an end that year," said RBC Capital
Markets in a note.
Mr. Powell may also field further questions about tariffs, which
some analysts have worried could dampen growth and eventually
warrant a more gradual pace of rate increases.
"He is likely to throw shade on the notion that tariffs are a
significant downside risk," RBC Capital Markets analysts said.
Write to Akane Otani at akane.otani@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 26, 2018 10:53 ET (14:53 GMT)
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