By Kate Davidson and Richard Rubin
White House budget director Mick Mulvaney said Wednesday that
the date by which Congress would need to raise the debt limit may
come sooner than the administration had anticipated.
"My understanding is that the receipts currently are coming in a
little bit slower than expected and you may soon hear from
[Treasury Secretary Steven] Mnuchin regarding a change in the
date," Mr. Mulvaney told a House panel. Mr. Mnuchin is testifying
before the House Ways and Means Committee this afternoon.
A 16-month suspension of the federal borrowing limit expired in
March, and the Treasury Department began employing emergency
cash-conservation steps soon thereafter to avoid breaching the debt
ceiling.
Analysts expected those steps would allow Treasury to keep
paying its bills until this fall. But that estimate is dependent on
the strength of Treasury receipts over spring and summer
months.
Mr. Mulvaney said the White House doesn't yet have a final
stated policy for the legislative approach it would like Congress
to take on raising the debt ceiling. He said he met with Mr.
Mnuchin for an hour Tuesday to discuss the issue, and the two are
waiting for National Economic Council Director Gary Cohn to return
from his overseas trip with President Donald Trump to continue
those discussions.
Raising the statutory debt limit will present challenging
internal politics for Republicans, who have frequently opposed such
increases or insisted on conditions.
The exact timing will be tricky, too. Congress is scheduled to
be on recess for most of August, creating a relatively short window
for action either before or after.
Another issue facing Congress is the administration's interest
in possibly extending the 10-year budget scoring window for its tax
and fiscal plan as a way to getting around congressional rules that
forbid bigger deficits after a decade.
That move might help Republicans get their proposed tax and
fiscal policies to comply with congressional budgeting rules that
would otherwise limit them.
Sen. Pat Toomey (R., Pa.) floated the idea last month to
overcome obstacles posed by the process known as reconciliation,
which lets a tax cut pass on a majority Senate vote but prevents
additions to long-run deficits.
Mr. Mulvaney told a House panel that Congress should be able to
extend the window without changing the law. "We are exploring the
possibility of also looking a little further out, especially when
you start to talk about changes in mandatory spending," he told
lawmakers at a House Budget Committee meeting.
The benefits of changes to mandatory spending often don't show
up within the first decade, he said. "I think it's a more
reasonable way to look at the budget window," he said.
Mandatory spending, including programs such as Medicare,
Medicaid and food stamps, aren't subject to annual appropriation. A
longer budget window could let Republicans get fiscal credit for
proposals that are enacted now and then are phased in and don't
take effect for many years in the future.
Mr. Mulvaney also insisted the administration wasn't
double-counting the revenue that it is claiming from faster
economic growth in its budget proposal. He said the tax plan itself
would be revenue neutral because the administration would limit tax
breaks.
That seems to suggest a significant shift for the
administration, which has repeatedly said that it is backing huge
planned tax cuts and that growth caused by such cuts would offset
some of the fiscal cost of the tax plan. The administration hasn't
identified enough limits on tax breaks to offset its tax-rate
cuts.
The budget director also defended the administration's decision
to leave Social Security and Medicare largely untouched in a budget
proposal released this week, adding he was skeptical officials
could balance the budget.
"It's probably the last time," he said. "It would be very
difficult in the future to do that because of the role those
programs do play in our future spending."
The White House spending blueprint released Tuesday imposes deep
cuts to mandatory spending programs such as Medicaid, food stamps,
disability insurance and student loans. The proposal also projects
tax cuts would generate significant economic growth and enough
revenue to help eliminate the deficit over the next decade.
Mr. Mulvaney said this week the budget was designed around
President Trump's campaign promises, including his commitment to
boost spending for the military and his pledge not to cut Social
Security and Medicare.
But deficit hawks have already criticized the plan for refusing
to tackle those two items, which are viewed as the two biggest
drivers of government spending.
"That means in 10 years we are going to have to look at Social
Security, Medicare, again look at Medicaid perhaps, to be
responsible and sustainable again because those three programs are
eating up so much of our budget," said Rep. Todd Rokita (R.,
Ind.).
Rep. Tom Cole (R., Okla.) added, "That math can't be sustained,
and it will crowd out eventually defense and other important
areas."
Mr. Mulvaney acknowledged lawmakers would be "hard-pressed" to
address the country's long-term debt problem without also tackling
mandatory spending programs.
Republican lawmakers praised the administration's efforts to
balance the budget, but raised concerns about cuts to regional
economic development programs and medical research, and a plan to
overhaul the air-traffic control system.
Mr. Cole said proposed cuts to the National Institutes of Health
and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention were "penny-wise and
pound-foolish."
"Sometime in the president's term you will have a pandemic," he
said. "Cutting the CDC I think leaves you very vulnerable and the
American people very vulnerable."
He also defended the budget's rosy economic projections, which
assume sustained economic 3% growth starting in 2021, a much faster
pace than the Congressional Budget Office has forecast.
Write to Kate Davidson at kate.davidson@wsj.com and Richard
Rubin at richard.rubin@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 24, 2017 14:25 ET (18:25 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2017 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.