Oil Resumes Downward Trajectory, U.S. Stockpiles May Gain Further
September 02 2015 - 2:04AM
Dow Jones News
By Eric Yep
Oil prices fell in Asian trade Wednesday, extending losses from
the previous session, as financial markets continued to show
weakness and U.S. oil stockpiles likely grew further.
The oil market has been extremely volatile over the past couple
of weeks. A massive three-day surge in oil prices of over 25% was
reversed on Tuesday, with losses of around 8% as worries about
China's economy resurfaced.
U.S. stocks closed sharply lower overnight on weak sentiment,
and Asian markets were lower amid cautious trade Wednesday with the
Shanghai Composite Index last down 3%.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light, sweet crude futures
for delivery in October traded at $44.38 a barrel at 0349 GMT, down
$1.03 in the Globex electronic session. October Brent crude on
London's ICE Futures exchange fell $0.87 to $48.69 a barrel.
After being violently whipsawed in recent days, oil prices are
headed lower again as markets are reminded of the supply glut,
Michael Wittner, head of commodities research at Societe Generale
said in a report.
He said over the next couple of months up to early November
there will be little in the demand-supply fundamentals to provide
any sustainable uplift for oil prices amid a seasonal fall in crude
demand. "Amidst all of the gut-wrenching oil market gyrations, the
watchword certainly remains 'caution'," Mr. Wittner said.
Early inventory data reaffirmed the surplus in U.S. oil markets
and pulled oil prices lower.
Late Tuesday, the American Petroleum Institute said U.S. crude
stocks rose much more than expected last week, by 7.6 million
barrels to 457 million barrels. The more definitive inventory data
from the U.S. Energy Information Administration is due later
Wednesday.
A separate study published Tuesday by the EIA concluded that
lifting the current ban on U.S. oil exports wouldn't increase U.S.
gasoline prices and could even help lower them, helping strengthen
the case for exporting the surplus oil piling up in U.S. storage
tanks.
In the event that the ban on U.S. oil exports is lifted, it will
help the North American crude market reconnect with global oil
flows, and help remove some of the oversupply concerns weighing on
U.S. oil prices.
Paul Horsnell, head of commodities research at Standard
Chartered Bank, said bearish views in the market are propping up
the bear case for oil in 2016 and a rebuilding of short positions
will continue to cause volatility in prices, but with little clear
direction.
He however believes that oil supplies will become tighter going
into 2016, and added that U.S. oil production is already responding
to lower prices and domestic oil production may already be lower
than was expected. Brent crude will move from an average of $51 a
barrel in the first quarter of 2016 to $75 a barrel in the fourth
quarter, Mr. Horsnell said.
Nymex reformulated gasoline blendstock for October--the
benchmark gasoline contract--fell 187 points to $1.3769 a gallon,
while October diesel traded at $1.5591, 188 points lower.
ICE gasoil for September changed hands at $469.50 a metric ton,
down $12.25 from Tuesday's settlement.
Write to Eric Yep at eric.yep@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 02, 2015 01:49 ET (05:49 GMT)
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