Gap Between UK Retailers Widens Over Holidays-Ernst & Young
January 18 2009 - 7:31PM
Dow Jones News
The gap between winners and losers in the U.K. retail sector
widened over the holidays as consumers slashed spending amid fears
about the deteriorating economy and rising unemployment, Ernst
& Young said Monday.
"Overall, Christmas was weak but not the total disaster that
some commentators were predicting. However, retailers operating in
different sectors suffered or enjoyed vastly different fortunes,"
Jason Gordon, retail director at Ernst & Young said.
Food, value and niche retailers with a strong offer and brand
execution delivered strong sales from stores open one year over the
Christmas and New Year period. Grocery chains, value-based fashion
retailers such as New Look and Associated British Foods PLC's
(ABF.LN) Primark and niche players such as Game Group PLC (GMG.LN)
outperformed the broader retail sector.
In stark contrast, big-ticket retailers in electricals,
furniture and do-it-yourself as well as some mid-market fashion
brands struggled to attract customers.
"The recession is accelerating the gap between the weaker and
stronger players and between the performance of different sectors,
as consumers trade down to value products and delay major
home-related purchases," Gordon said.
Christmas 2008 also saw deeper discounting than ever before.
Pre-Christmas discount levels averaged at over 38%, according to a
recent survey by Ernst & Young. Including the first two weeks
of January, post-Christmas markdowns averaged a record 62%, with
some discounts of up to 90%, Gordon said.
The sales ended earlier than last year, indicating that many
retailers managed stock levels more effectively than in previous
years.
Winners bought less stock and took decisive action, often by
going on sale earlier, Gordon said. Although footwear retailers
were helped by the cold weather, many delivered solid figures,
buoyed by well planned and executed promotional events.
"In contrast, against the backdrop of record price cuts, many
other retailers' discounting activities weren't anywhere near as
effective as planned," he said.
Turning to 2009, it is clear that it will be a "white-knuckle
ride for much of the sector", with more casualties to come, he
said. "As unemployment rises and house prices continue to slide,
consumers will continue to batten down the hatches, preferring to
save rather than spend."
But food and value-focused retailers, in particular, will
continue to prove resilient.
"The inevitable shakeout of capacity in the worst hit sectors
will allow remaining players to increase market share; and
lowly-valued - but fundamentally sound - businesses will offer
attractive takeover opportunities for potential investors," Gordon
said.
Ernst & Young is the administrator of DVD, CDs and video
games retailer zavvi U.K. It was also briefly the administrator of
coffee and tea chain Whittard of Chelsea, which it subsequently
sold to private equity firm, EPIC Private Equity, for an
undisclosed sum.
-By Lilly Vitorovich, Dow Jones Newswires; 44-0-207 842 9290;
lilly.vitorovich@dowjones.com
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