TIDMEVR

RNS Number : 0575A

Evraz Plc

31 January 2022

EVRAZ Q4 2021 TRADING UPDATE

31 January 2022 - EVRAZ plc (LSE: EVR; "EVRAZ" or the "Group") today released its trading update for the fourth quarter and full year of 2021.

Q4 2021 vs Q3 2021 HIGHLIGHTS

-- In Q4 2021, EVRAZ' consolidated crude steel output fell by 0.6% QoQ, mainly because of maintenance outages in November in North America.

-- Total sales of steel products increased by 7.0% QoQ. Sales of construction products were buoyed by market demand in the period, while sales of railway products were higher following the completion of capital repairs at EVRAZ ZSMK's rail and beam shop and EVRAZ NTMK's wheel shop.

-- Total raw coking coal production surged by 34.4% QoQ, mainly because of the completion of longwall moves at the Raspadskaya, Osinnikovskaya and Yerunakovskaya- VIII mines.

   --      Coking coal concentrate production grew by 11.2% QoQ amid greater coal mining volumes. 

-- External sales volumes of coking coal products rose by 4.0% QoQ, as an increase in coal mining volumes allowed for greater coking coal concentrate sales volumes amid favourable market conditions.

-- Output of iron ore products climbed by 7.0% QoQ, driven by higher production volumes of pellets at EVRAZ KGOK and higher production of saleable concentrate at EVRAZ ZSMK following the completion of capital repairs.

-- External sales of iron ore products jumped by 58.1% QoQ following the start of sales to China through the port of Ust-Luga.

-- Sales of vanadium products surged by 33.0% QoQ, primarily due to higher demand in Europe and North America.

FY2021 vs FY2020 HIGHLIGHTS

-- The Group's consolidated crude steel production edged down by 0.4% YoY, as crude steel production volumes fell after Russia introduced an export duty (effective until the end of 2021), which led to lower margins from pig iron production at EVRAZ ZSMK.

-- Total sales of steel products dropped by 4.5% YoY. This was partly because of the impact that the export duty introduced in Russia in 2021 had on the output of semi-finished products for export, and partly because of a high-base effect following the fulfilment of a contract with the key customer in 2020 in North America.

-- Production of raw coking coal grew by 12.7% YoY. The main driver of the increase was the resumption of work at Razrez Raspadsky, which had halted operations from May to September 2020 amid poor market conditions. Another contributor was the transfer of operations at Esaulskaya to the new longwall no. 29.

-- Coking coal concentrate production grew by 2.8% YoY following the increase in coal mining volumes.

-- External sales volumes of coking coal products fell by 14.0% YoY amid lower raw coking coal sales following the change in the product mix in favour of coking coal concentrate to meet customer needs.

-- Output of iron ore products rose by 1.4% YoY, partly driven by higher production volumes of sinter in connection with the implementation of new initiatives in the efficiency improvement programme for 2021, and partly by a low-base effect following capital repairs performed in 2020 at EVRAZ KGOK's sinter machine no. 1.

-- External iron ore product sales fell by 17.4% YoY as a result of concentrate shortage in Q1 2021, an increase in EVRAZ NTMK's demand for pig iron in 2021.

-- Sales of vanadium products rose by 5.7% YoY due to overall stronger demand in 2021, caused by the recovery of key steel consuming sectors globally.

 
 Product, '000 tonnes         Q4       Q3     Q4 2021/ Q3 2021, change    12m       12m     12m 2021/ 12m 2020, change 
                              2021     2021                                2021     2020 
-------------------------  -------  -------  -------------------------  -------  --------  --------------------------- 
 Total crude steel 
  production                 3,384    3,403                      -0.6%   13,569    13,630                        -0.4% 
   Russia                    2,904    2,912                      -0.3%   11,690    12,050                        -3.0% 
   North America               480      491                      -2.2%    1,879     1,580                        18.9% 
 Total raw coking coal 
  mined                      6,699    4,983                      34.4%   23,272    20,653                        12.7% 
 Total coking coal 
  concentrate 
  production                 4,166    3,746                      11.2%   15,962    15,528                         2.8% 
 Iron ore products 
  production                 3,751    3,504                       7.0%   14,399    14,205                         1.4% 
 Total sales of steel 
  products(1)                3,188    2,979                       7.0%   12,469    13,062                        -4.5% 
   Semi-finished products    1,357    1,338                       1.4%    5,541     6,183                       -10.4% 
   Finished products         1.831    1,641                      11.6%    6,928     6,879                         0.7% 
 Total sales of 
  third-party steel 
  products                     210      213                      -1.4%      774       848                        -8.7% 
 Sales of coking coal 
  products                   2,561    2,462                       4.0%   10,608    12,336                       -14.0% 
 Sales of iron ore 
  products                     479      303                      58.1%    1,430     1,732                       -17.4% 
 Sales of vanadium in 
  slag                       2,460    1,834                      34.1%    7,053     6,129                        15.1% 
 Sales of vanadium final 
  products(2)                3,809    2,864                      33.0%   13,288   12,567*                         5.7% 
-------------------------  -------  -------  -------------------------  -------  --------  --------------------------- 
 

Note. Numbers in this table and the tables below may not add up to totals due to rounding.

(1) Includes tonnes of pig iron

(2) In tonnes of pure vanadium

* The 2020 data has been adjusted

STEEL SEGMENT

Total production volumes

 
                                                  Q4 2021/ Q3 2021,                              12m 2021/ 12m 2020, 
 Product, '000 tonnes      Q4 2021   Q3 2021           change            12m 2021   12m 2020           change 
------------------------  --------  --------  ------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------------------------ 
 Pig iron production         2,701     2,716                     -0.6%     10,819     11,157                     -3.0% 
  EVRAZ ZSMK                 1,429     1,445                     -1.1%      5,733      6,208                     -7.7% 
  EVRAZ NTMK                 1,272     1,271                      0.1%      5,086      4,949                      2.8% 
 Crude steel production      2,904     2,912                     -0.3%     11,690     12,050                     -3.0% 
   EVRAZ ZSMK                1,817     1,824                     -0.4%      7,272      7,671                     -5.2% 
   EVRAZ NTMK                1,087     1,088                     -0.1%      4,418      4,379                      0.9% 
 Total steel products 
  production, net of 
  re--rolled volume          2,693     2,721                     -1.0%     10,763     11,082                     -2.9% 
   EVRAZ ZSMK                1,571     1,643                     -4.4%      6,321      6,766                     -6.6% 
   EVRAZ NTMK                1,010       985                      2.5%      4,049      3,999                      1.3% 
   EVRAZ Caspian Steel         112        93                     20.4%        393        317                     24.0% 
 Iron ore products 
  production                 3,751     3,504                      7.0%     14,399     14,205                      1.4% 
   Pellets (EVRAZ KGOK)      1,704     1,563                      9.0%      6,484      6,548                     -1.0% 
   Sinter (EVRAZ KGOK)         943       946                     -0.3%      3,732      3,582                      4.2% 
   Concentrate saleable 
    (EVRAZ KGOK, EVRAZ 
    ZSMK)                    1,104       995                     11.0%      4,183      4,075                      2.7% 
 Coking coal concentrate 
  production                   347       366                     -5.2%      1,514      1,930                    -21.6% 
   From own raw coal(1)        287       305                     -5.9%      1,275      1,518                    -16.0% 
   From third-party raw 
    coal                        60        61                     -1.6%        239        412                    -42.0% 
 Gross vanadium slag 
  production(2)              4,856     5,198                     -6.6%     20,058     19,533                      2.7% 
------------------------  --------  --------  ------------------------  ---------  ---------  ------------------------ 
 

Note. Numbers in this table and the tables below may not add up to totals due to rounding.

(1) From Coal segment

(2) In tonnes of pure vanadium

In Q4 2021, pig iron production at the Group's Russian mills remained mostly flat QoQ. In FY2021, pig iron production dropped by 3.0% YoY because of a shortage of sinter and coke, as well as because of the export duty introduction (effective until the end of 2021) which led to lower margins from production at EVRAZ ZSMK.

Crude steel production volumes remained mostly flat QoQ and fell by 3.0% YoY amid lower pig iron production at EVRAZ ZSMK.

Total output of steel products decreased by 1.0% QoQ. While semi-finished product volumes were lower at EVRAZ ZSMK, construction product volumes were higher at EVRAZ NTMK and EVRAZ Caspian Steel amid increased market demand. In FY2021, total output of steel products fell by 2.9% YoY, mainly because of unfavourable prices for semi-finished products and reduced railway product volumes at EVRAZ ZSMK amid lower demand from Russian Railways.

Output of iron ore products climbed by 7.0% QoQ. This was driven by higher production volumes of pellets at EVRAZ KGOK following capital repairs at roasting furnace no. 4 in September and greater production volumes of saleable concentrate at EVRAZ ZSMK following capital repairs at the Abagurskaya processing plant in Q3 2021 . In FY2021, output of iron ore products rose by 1.4% YoY. This was partly because of higher production volumes of sinter in connection with the implementation of new initiatives in the efficiency improvement programme for 2021, and partly because of a low-base effect following capital repairs performed in 2020 at EVRAZ KGOK's sinter machine no. 1. Another factor was an increase in production volumes of concentrate saleable at EVRAZ ZSMK amid higher incoming stocks of primary concentrate in 2021.

Output of vanadium slag fell by 6.6% QoQ, mostly driven by lower vanadium content in pig iron and reduced pig iron duplex processing volumes. In FY2021, output of vanadium slag rose by 2.7% YoY, mainly because of higher pig iron duplex processing volumes during the year.

Total sales volumes

 
 Product, '000 tonnes      Q4 2021     Q3     Q4 2021/ Q3 2021, change    12m       12m     12m 2021/ 12m 2020, change 
                                       2021                                2021     2020 
------------------------  --------  -------  -------------------------  -------  --------  --------------------------- 
 Coke                           60       78                     -23.3%      284       390                       -27.2% 
 Steel products, 
  external sales             2,758    2,559                       7.8%   10,823    11,377                        -4.9% 
 Semi-finished products      1,357    1,338                       1.4%    5,541     6,039                        -8.2% 
   Slabs                       790      709                      11.4%    3,036     2,592                        17.1% 
   Billets                     425      533                     -20.3%    2,050     2,933                       -30.1% 
   Other steel 
    products(1)                142       96                      47.9%      455       514                       -11.5% 
 Finished products           1,401    1,221                      14.7%    5,282     5,338                        -1.0% 
   Construction products       922      799                      15.4%    3,458     3,392                         1.9% 
   Railway products            378      250                      51.2%    1,193     1,299                        -8.2% 
   Other steel products        101      172                     -41.3%      631       647                        -2.5% 
 Steel products, 
  inter-segment sales            7        7                       0.0%       29        67                       -56.7% 
 Third-party steel 
  products, external 
  sales                        210      213                      -1.4%      774       848                        -8.7% 
 Iron ore products, 
  external sales               479      303                      58.1%    1,430     1,732                       -17.4% 
 Pellets                       479      303                      58.1%    1,430     1,732                       -17.4% 
 Sales of vanadium in 
  slag                       2,460    1,834                      34.1%    7,053     6,129                        15.1% 
 Sales of vanadium final 
  products(2)                3,809    2,864                      33.0%   13,288   12,567*                         5.7% 
------------------------  --------  -------  -------------------------  -------  --------  --------------------------- 
 

Note. Numbers in this table and the tables below may not add to totals due to rounding .

(1) Includes tonnes of pig iron

(2) In tonnes of pure vanadium

* The 2020 data has been adjusted

In Q4 2021, external sales of steel products rose by 7.8% QoQ. In FY2021, they dropped by 4.9% YoY. Sales of semi-finished products increased by 1.4% QoQ amid the push to utilise stockpiled material before the year-end. In FY2021, semi-finished product sales volumes fell by 8.2% YoY because of a reduction in the output of semi-finished products following the introduction of the export duty in 2021.

Sales of finished products rose by 14.7% QoQ. This was driven by higher construction product sales amid healthy market demand in Q4 2021, as well as by greater railway product sales following the completion of capital repairs at EVRAZ ZSMK's rail and beam shop and EVRAZ NTMK's wheel shop in Q3 2021. In FY2021, sales volumes of finished products edged down by 1.0% YoY because of reduced demand from Russian Railways for EVRAZ ZSMK's rails.

External s ales of iron ore products jumped by 58.1% QoQ following the start of sales to China through the port of Ust-Luga. In FY2021, iron ore sales volumes dropped by 17.4% YoY amid a shortage of concentrate in Q1 2021, an increase in EVRAZ NTMK's demand for pig iron in 2021.

Sales of vanadium products surged by 33.0% QoQ, primarily due to higher demand in Europe and North America after a traditionally low market activity in Q3 during the summer months. In FY2021, sales of final vanadium products increased by 5.7% YoY due to overall stronger demand in 2021, caused by the recovery of key steel consuming sectors globally.

Slab and iron ore products cash cost

 
 Cash cost, US$/t            Q4      Q3     Q4 2021 / Q3 2021, change     12m      12m    12m 2021 / 12m 2020, change 
                             2021    2021                                 2021     2020 
-------------------------  ------  ------  --------------------------  -------  -------  ---------------------------- 
 Slab cash cost 
  (vertically integrated)     358     309                       15.9%      308      213                         44.6% 
 Iron ore products (Fe 
  62%)                         47      40                       17.5%       42       36                         16.7% 
-------------------------  ------  ------  --------------------------  -------  -------  ---------------------------- 
 
 

Average selling prices

 
 US$/tonne (ex-works)                                                                     Q4      Q3      12m     12m 
                                                                                          2021    2021    2021    2020 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 Coke                                                                                      488     380     357     155 
 Steel products                                                                            726     761     696     442 
   Semi-finished products(1)                                                               605     691     598     333 
   Construction products                                                                   834     827     782     479 
   Railway products                                                                        917     900     877     818 
   Other steel products                                                                    760     862     756     498 
   Pellets                                                                                  81     154     129      60 
 Metal Bulletin Ferro-Vanadium basis 78% min, free DDP, consumer plant, 1st grade 
  Western Europe(2)                                                                      32.32   38.22   34.35   25.02 
 Ryan's Notes N.A. FeV 80% min, US ex-warehouse, duty paid(2)                            33.39   37.66   34.77   23.85 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 

(1) Includes prices for pig iron

(2) US$/kgV

In Q1 2022, pig iron production volumes are expected to increase QoQ because of a low-base effect as EVRAZ ZSMK's pig iron output recovers.

Iron ore product output is expected to decrease slightly QoQ in Q1 2022, because there are fewer working days in February.

STEEL, NORTH AMERICA SEGMENT

Production and sales volumes

 
       Product, '000 tonnes          Q4     Q3 2021       Q4 2021/       12m 2021    12m    12m 2021/ 12m 2020, change 
                                     2021              Q3 2021, change               2020 
---------------------------------  ------  --------  -----------------  ---------  ------  --------------------------- 
 Crude steel                          480       491              -2.2%      1,879   1,580                        18.9% 
   EVRAZ US mills                     221       223              -1.1%        831     838                        -0.8% 
   EVRAZ Canadian mills (1)           260       268              -3.2%      1,048     742                        41.2% 
 Total steel products production, 
  net of re-rolled volume (1)         440       430               2.3%      1,655   1,669                        -0.8% 
   EVRAZ US mills (1)                 301       278               8.4%      1,128   1,104                         2.2% 
   EVRAZ Canadian mills (1)           139       153              -8.8%        527     565                        -6.7% 
 Sales of steel products (1)          430       420               2.3%      1,646   1,686                        -2.4% 
   Semi-finished products               0         0                n/a          0     144                      -100.0% 
   Construction products               57        63              -9.5%        268     262                         2.3% 
   Railway products                   103        90              14.4%        383     404                        -5.2% 
   Flat-rolled products               142       172             -17.2%        625     382                        63.6% 
   Tubular products (1)               128        96              33.7%        370     493                       -24.9% 
---------------------------------  ------  --------  -----------------  ---------  ------  --------------------------- 
 

(1) Forecast 2020 updated in accordance with the actual data

In Q4 2021, crude steel production was 2.2% lower QoQ, mainly because of a maintenance outages in November. In FY2021, crude steel production climbed by 18.9% YoY, primarily because of high market demand for flat-rolled products.

Semi-finished product sales fell by 100.0% YoY following the fulfilment of a contract with the key customer in 2020.

Sales of construction products dropped by 9.5% QoQ as a result of logistical challenges at the end of the year amid the new wave of the pandemic in the US. In FY2021, construction product sales rose by 2.3% YoY amid strong market demand and because product price growth outpaced that of raw materials.

Sales of railway products increased by 14.4% QoQ, mostly as a result of a low-base effect following a non-repeat outage in Q3. In FY2021, sales of railway products decreased by 5.2% YoY, primarily due to the unplanned steelmaking downtime earlier in the year and softer customer demand H1 2021.

In Q4 2021, flat-rolled product sales fell by 17.2% QoQ. This was mainly due to seasonal decline as the customers focused on managing their inventory at the end of the year. In FY2021, sales of flat-rolled products were up by 63.6% YoY due to a spike in demand in 2021 following quick market recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and limited available supply.

In Q4 2021, t ubular product sales surged by 33.7% QoQ, mainly due to continuing improvement of the OCTG market demand. In FY2021, tubular products sales were 24.9% lower YoY mainly due to completion of 2020 customer orders earlier in the year.

Average selling prices

 
 US$/tonne (ex-works)          Q4      Q3      12m     12m 
                               2021    2021    2021    2020 
---------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 Construction products (1)    1,146   1,015     961     665 
 Flat-rolled products(1)      1,782   1,470   1,319     755 
 Tubular products(2)          1,724   1,619   1,610   1,334 
---------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 

(1) Forecast 2020 updated in accordance with the actual data

(2) Forecast 2020 and Q3 2021 updated in accordance with the actual data

In Q1 2022, steel production and sales volumes are forecasted to be relatively flat QoQ as market sentiments are expected to remain stable in the product segments served by EVRAZ.

COAL SEGMENT

Production volumes

 
 Product, '000 tonnes         Q4      Q3     Q4 2021/ Q3 2021, change   12m 2021    12m     12m 2021/ 12m 2020, change 
                              2021    2021                                           2020 
--------------------------  ------  ------  -------------------------  ---------  -------  --------------------------- 
 Raw coking coal (mined)     6,699   4,983                      34.4%     23,272   20,653                        12.7% 
 Coking coal concentrate 
  (production)               3,819   3,380                      13.0%     14,448   13,598                         6.3% 
--------------------------  ------  ------  -------------------------  ---------  -------  --------------------------- 
 

In Q4 2021, overall raw coking coal output surged by 34.4% QoQ, mainly because of the completion of longwall moves at the Raspadskaya, Osinnikovskaya and Yerunakovskaya-VIII mines. In FY2021, production of raw coking coal climbed by 12.7% YoY. The main driver of the increase was the resumption of work at Razrez Raspadsky, which had halted operations from May to September 2020 amid poor market conditions. Another contributor was the transfer of operations at Esaulskaya to the new longwall no. 29.

Output of coking coal concentrate rose by 13.0% QoQ and 6.3% YoY following an increase in coal mining volumes.

Sales volumes

 
 Product, '000 tonnes          Q4      Q3     Q4 2021/ Q3 2021, change    12m      12m     12m 2021/ 12m 2020, change 
                               2021    2021                               2021     2020 
---------------------------  ------  ------  -------------------------  -------  -------  --------------------------- 
 External sales               2,561   2,462                       4.0%   10,608   12,336                       -14.0% 
   Raw coking coal              145     104                      40.0%      686    2,271                       -69.8% 
   Coking coal concentrate    2,416   2,358                       2.5%    9,922   10,065                        -1.4% 
 Intersegment sales           1,443   1,533                      -5.9%    6,197    6,990                       -11.3% 
    Raw coking coal             507     522                      -3.0%    2,172    2,323                        -6.5% 
  Coking coal concentrate       936   1,010                      -7.4%    4,025    4,667                       -13.8% 
---------------------------  ------  ------  -------------------------  -------  -------  --------------------------- 
 

In Q4 2021, external sales volumes of coking coal products climbed by 4.0% QoQ. In FY2021, they fell by 14.0% YoY. Raw coking coal sales volumes jumped by 40.0% QoQ in connection with raw coking coal output growth. In FY2021, external sales volumes of coking coal products decreased by 69.8% YoY following the change in the product mix in favour of coking coal concentrate to meet customer needs.

Coking coal concentrate sales volumes rose by 2.5% QoQ amid an increase in coal mining volumes and favourable market conditions.

Coking coal concentrate cash cost

 
 Cash cost, US$/t            Q4      Q3     Q4 2021 / Q3 2021, change    12m     12m    12m 2021 / 12m 2020, change 
                             2021    2021                                2021    2020 
-------------------------  ------  ------  --------------------------  ------  ------  ---------------------------- 
 Coking coal concentrate     42      48              -12.5%              41      31                32.3% 
-------------------------  ------  ------  --------------------------  ------  ------  ---------------------------- 
 

Note: Starting from 2021, the methodology has been changed.

Average selling prices

 
                               Q4      Q3     12m     12m 
  US$/tonne (ex-works)       2021    2021    2021    2020 
-------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 Raw coking coal              164      97      89      34 
 Coking coal concentrate      204     131     122      62 
-------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------ 
 

In Q1 2022, raw coal production is expected to decrease QoQ amid longwall movements at the Raspadskaya, Uskovskaya and Alardinskaya mines , as well as unfavourable mining and geological conditions at the Esaulskaya mine.

Notes:

Semi-finished products include slabs, billets, pipe blanks and other semi-finished products.

Construction products include beams, channels, angles, rebars, wire rods, wire and other construction products.

Railway products include rails, wheels, tyres and other railway products.

Flat-rolled products include commodity plate, specialty plate and other flat products.

Tubular products include large-diameter line pipes, ERW pipes and casings, seamless pipes and other tubular products.

Other steel products include rounds, grinding balls, mine uprights, strips, etc.

For further information:

Media Relations:

Moscow: +7 495 937 6871

London: + 4 4 207 290 1096

media@evraz.com

Investor Relations:

Moscow: +7 495 232 1370

London: + 4 4 207 290 1095

ir@evraz.com

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