2nd UPDATE: Autonomy Outlook Disappoints Upgrade Hopes
July 16 2009 - 6:39AM
Dow Jones News
U.K. information-retrieval software company Autonomy Corp. PLC
(AU.LN) has a history of success, outperforming market expectations
every quarter for the last two years, but a 10% fall in its shares
Thursday following yet another better-than-forecast performance
reflects just how used to upgrades the market has become.
The company makes software that helps companies keep track of
their growing mountain of e-mails, phone calls and documents, and
the regulatory burden of information recording and retrieval has
boosted demand for Autonomy's products substantially.
Through a series of well-placed acquisitions, the company has
increased demand for its core technology platform, Intelligent Data
Operating Layer, or IDOL - most recently, the buy earlier this year
of content management software company Interwoven.
The second quarter ended June 30 was the first full quarter of
Interwoven input, which has now been fully integrated, and while
earnings were ahead of expectations, the share price reflects some
disappointment that an upgrade to full year forecasts wasn't
forthcoming, Seymour Pierce analyst Derek Brown believes.
At 0948 GMT Autonomy shares were down 10.3% or 137p at
1180p.
The company's deferred revenue also provided something for the
bears, despite reversing a previous quarter slump.
The figure - which refers to sales already invoiced but not
booked because the work hasn't yet been carried out - rose to $170
million in the second quarter, from $163.7 million.
It wasn't enough for Evolution Securities analyst Roger
Phillips, who had been expecting something north of $185 million as
the uncertainty caused by the Interwoven acquisition receded and
its customers, which had put off committing to new services in the
previous quarter, renewed contracts for Autonomy's products.
Autonomy's second key gauge of future performance, its order
backlog, may have also affected positive sentiment despite the
group saying this had increased slightly.
"We see this as a credible result given the macro backdrop, but
given the expectations built into the current valuation it is
likely that the market will be looking for more than modest
growth," Investec analyst Julian Yates said in a note to clients
Thursday.
Autonomy has managed to grow its business strongly in the
current downturn due to increasing demand for regulatory
compliance, according to Chief Excecutive Mike Lynch.
The first phase which spurred demand for Autonomy's products is
the archiving of documents and basic e-discovery, or the search and
retrieval of information for legal cases. Now the second phase is
now starting to gather pace, with Autonomy's e-discovery product
that can automatically identify and retrieve relevant information
for a legal case from a swathe of company documents.
Lynch told analysts on a conference call Autonomy has already
sold the service to one major client and has received interest from
four or five more as companies rush to comply with the increase in
litigation requirements.
It's also seeing a rise in deals, albeit smaller ones, for its
means-based marketing products which track and target a company's
online activities to improve marketing results.
Companies using this service include Tesco PLC (TSCO.LN), John
Lewis Partnership and Barclays Group PLC (BCS).
While the economic downturn has stymied much of the growth from
marketing services as companies look to cut budgets, Lynch believes
this will be a strong area of growth in the economic recovery.
The Cambridge, England-based company reported a 55% rise in
revenue in the three months to end-June to $195 million, and
earnings per share adjusted for non-cash items, restructuring costs
and share of losses from associates up 38% to $0.26, in line with a
pre-announcement issued two weeks ago.
Company Web site: www.autonomy.com
-By Kathy Sandler, Dow Jones Newswires; 44-207-842-9293;
kathy.sandler@dowjones.com