Triumph Stays Neutral - Analyst Blog
January 20 2012 - 1:09PM
Zacks
We reiterate our Neutral recommendation on Triumph Group
Inc. (TGI).
The recent rebound in commercial air traffic is anticipated to
intensify demand growth for new Aerostructures products, equipment
and services related to repair and overhaul. On such a scenario,
aerospace players like Triumph Group are certain to benefit from
increased demand for new age jet engines, which are fuel efficient
and equipped with reduced noise levels and exhaust emissions.
Triumph Group recorded improved results in the second quarter of
2012 driven by significant operating income growth coupled with
operating margin expansion, especially in Aerospace Systems and
Aerostructures. The segmental growth resulted from the company’s
commendable execution in all its businesses. We believe that the
company’s continued focus on execution and the cost control
programs will reinforce its top line, going forward.
However, demand for military and defense products is largely
dependent upon government budgets, particularly the U.S. defense
budget. Therefore, a cut in defense spending or levels of military
flight operations could curtail its prospects in this market,
affecting the company’s financial results. Nonetheless, the
geopolitical security issues, higher energy costs and currency
fluctuations could also limit Triumph’s business and profitability
for the quarters ahead.
Triumph operates in a cyclical commercial aerospace market,
which contains significant downturn risk. The adverse situation of
an overcapacity in the market may contract margins. Moreover, the
company’s aftermarket sales like repair and overhaul services are
also exposed to the risk of third party payments.
Mention may also be made of Triumph’s dependence on a few large
customers, due to which the company may fall pray to the decline in
financial conditions of its clients during turbulent times. The
company’s exposure to competition from big and small industry
players, remain a cause of concern.
Challenging the above threats to profitability, the company
holds a favorable outlook for fiscal 2012, expecting to enhance its
current revenue stream and EPS. The company remains committed
toward paying dividends to its shareholders and recently announced
a public offering. The strategy of asset acquisition of a leading
provider of repair and refurbishment of aircraft interiors, appear
accretive in the upcoming financials.
Based in Wayne, Pennsylvania, Triumph Group offers a variety of
products and services to the aerospace industry. The company serves
commercial and regional airlines, air cargo carriers, as well as
OEMs of commercial, regional, business and military aircrafts. It
faces stiff competition from its peers, such as AAR
Corp. (AIR) and Goodrich Corp. (GR).
Triumph Group holds a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a
short-term Hold rating (1-3 months).
AAR CORP (AIR): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOODRICH CORP (GR): Free Stock Analysis Report
TRIUMPH GRP INC (TGI): Free Stock Analysis Report
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