Interim Management Statement
May 14 2010 - 2:00AM
UK Regulatory
TIDMIPM
RNS Number : 9073L
Irish Life & Permanent Grp HldgsPLC
14 May 2010
Irish Life & Permanent Group Holdings plc
Interim Management Statement
Friday 14th May 2010
7.00am
Irish Life & Permanent plc (IL&P) issued the following update on the group's
business. A conference call for analysts will be hosted by management at 9.00am
today, the details of which are set out at the end of this statement.
The Group's Annual General Meeting takes place today at 11.30am in the RDS in
Dublin.
Group Overview
Recent indications are that the Irish economy has begun to emerge from
recession. The numbers unemployed fell in 2 of the last 3 months, retail sales
increased in February and March and the April construction purchasing index
recorded its highest level for two and a half years. The action taken in
addressing the fiscal deficit, together with the gains in competitiveness, will
support the return of sustained economic growth.
The Group's businesses are generally performing in line with expectations. Our
investment management business is performing strongly while demand in the life
business is mixed. In the bank, loan demand has fallen further. Mortgage loan
arrears in Ireland continue to rise, reflecting the higher level of
unemployment, but early arrears are showing some signs of stabilising. Very
significant progress has been made in the bank's funding programme in the year
to date.
Insurance & Investment
New business
Sales of insurance and investment products are in line with budgeted
expectations. ILIM continues to record strong institutional inflows on the back
of its investment performance and product offerings. Investment only sales for
the first quarter were up over 60% on Q1 2009. The life business is seeing
strong growth in single premium sales - up 39% in the first quarter and up 75%
including Irish Life International - but recurring premiums were down 30%,
principally reflecting the impact of reductions in salaries, and in numbers
employed, on corporate pension schemes.
In-force
Retail persistency experience in the year to date is better than 2009 with Q1
lapses running at circa 140% of long-term assumptions (Q1'09: 190%) and Q2 lapse
experience reducing further. This reflects the wide range of initiatives taken,
and changes made in products and distribution, to improve business retention.
Corporate business has seen a marked reduction in lapses since peaking mid-2009
but premium reductions due to lower salaries are continuing.
Persistency experience, and progress in returning to our long term assumptions,
will be closely monitored as we go through the year and reviewed at the year end
based on the full year experience.
Risk experience - in particular morbidity - continues to be positive and expense
experience is in line with expectations with the completion of the remaining
cost reductions targeted in the bancassurance channel.
Embedded value
The performance of investment markets up to Monday of this week has resulted in
a positive variance in short-term investment fluctuations (STIFs) in the order
of EUR40m. This reflects both market returns and the effect of a weaker euro.
The shareholder liquidity support to unit-linked property funds has been unwound
in full since the year end following the sale of properties by the funds. These
sales reflect a more positive outlook for the commercial property market.
Banking
Funding
The bank has made significant progress in its funding programme year to date. It
has completed term debt issuance of EUR4.8bn representing some 75% of the term
re-financing requirement for the year. Treasury is also carrying excess funding
to support liquidity management through the year. ECB drawings are currently
EUR8bn (Dec 2009: EUR9.75bn).
The bank continues to successfully grow its retail deposit book in a highly
competitive market and growth in the book is ahead of target, up 7% in the four
months to the end of April.
Net interest income
Net interest income for the first half of the year is expected to be in line
with target. The increased cost of term debt has been partly offset by the
action taken in re-pricing part of the bank's mortgage loan book in February.
The recent highly volatile and uncertain conditions in financial markets would,
if they persist, further increase pressure on funding costs and margins for the
bank and across the market.
Credit quality
Arrears (over 90 days) in the Irish residential mortgage book continue to rise
reflecting the further increase in unemployment through 2009 and into the start
of 2010. Early arrears (under 90 days) cases have levelled off in the 3 months
to April which may indicate that they are nearing the peak. Arrears in the
consumer finance book show signs of levelling off / reducing which would be
expected given the short duration of the book. Arrears in the UK mortgage book
continue to trend downward having peaked in the first quarter of 2009.
Costs
Cost reduction remains a priority given the reduction in volumes and margins
across the business. In the first quarter 10% of the bank branch network was
closed and staff numbers reduced by 140 (FTE). A fundamental re-assessment of
the future cost structure of the bank is currently in progress.
Associate - Allianz Ireland
Economic activity continues to affect premium values. However, claims trends are
improving and investment returns are favourable year to date.
Group
Capital
The group remains strongly capitalised. In March the Financial Regulator ("FR")
introduced new capital requirements for the banking sector in Ireland and based
on initial discussions with the FR the Group expects that, as currently
structured, the current capital resources of the bank are sufficient to meet the
new regulatory targets.
The proposed raising of additional capital in the life company, secured on the
in-force book, is still under consideration in the context of recent FSA
discussion papers on such transactions.
The implementation of changes in the statutory reserving approach for life
expenses is expected to result in the release of circa EUR50m of capital later
this year.
Strategy
All five Irish banks participating in NAMA have prepared, or are preparing,
viability plans for submission to the EU by end June. The outcomes from this
process will create a number of opportunities for the Group as the Irish banking
sector is restructured.
We are currently engaging with advisors and with rating agencies on how best to
maximise the various restructuring opportunities.
The Group's Interim results announcement date is scheduled for 25th August 2010.
Conference Call & Contact Details
Kevin Murphy, Group CEO and David McCarthy, Group Finance Director, will host a
conference call for analysts at 9.00am on Friday May 14th 2010.
To join the conference call, please dial in to the relevant number below 5
minutes before and ask for the Irish Life & Permanent call
Ireland (01) 247 7824
UK (0) 20 7075 1520
Other +353 1 247 7824
Pass code: 282009#
The conference call will also be available via the LIVE<GO> service on Bloomberg
and Thomson Reuters www.streetevents.com.
Conference Call Replay
Replay facility available until midnight 21st May 2010. The telephone numbers
and access code are:
Ireland (01) 431 1246
UK (0) 20 3364 5943
US 1866 286 6997
Other +353 1 431 1246
Pass code: 267370#
Contact details
David McCarthy, Finance Director
Tel: +353 1 856 3050
Barry Walsh, Head of Investor Relations
Tel: +353 1 704 2678
Orla Brannigan, Investor Relations
Tel: +353 1 7041345
Ray Gordon, Gordon MRM
Tel: +353 1 665 0450
Disclaimer - Forward Looking Statements
This document may contain forward-looking statements with respect to certain
plans and current goals and expectations relating to the future financial
condition, business performance and results of the Irish Life & Permanent group.
By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty
because they relate to future events and circumstances that are beyond the
control of the Irish Life & Permanent group including, amongst other things,
Irish domestic and global economic and business conditions, market related risks
such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, inflation, deflation,
the impact of competition, changes in customer preferences, risks concerning
borrower credit quality, delays in implementing proposals, the timing, impact
and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or other combinations within
relevant industries, the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, the
impact of tax or other legislation and other regulations in the jurisdictions in
which the Irish Life & Permanent group and its affiliates operate. As a result,
the Irish Life & Permanent group's actual future financial conditions, business
performance and results may differ materially from the plans, goals, and
expectations expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
END
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