Earning Scorecard: MSI - Analyst Blog
February 13 2012 - 7:00AM
Zacks
Motorola Solutions
Inc. (MSI), a leading communications equipment
manufacturer, declared excellent fourth quarter 2011 financial
results, beating both the top and bottom line estimates. The solid
performance was mainly on the back of solid demand across both
Government and Enterprise segments.
Fourth Quarter
Highlights
Quarterly GAAP net income from
continuing operation was $184 million or 54 cents per share
compared with $292 million or 49 cents per share in the prior-year
quarter. However, adjusted (excluding special items) EPS in the
reported quarter came in at 78 cents, surpassing the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of 74 cents. Quarterly total revenue was $2,300
million, up 5% year over year and marginally beat the Zacks
Consensus Estimate of $2,286 million.
Quarterly gross margin was 50.4%
compared with 49.8% in the prior-year quarter. Quarterly operating
margin came in at 12% versus 12.4% in the prior-year quarter.
Agreements of
Analysts
Of the four analysts covering the
stock in the last 7 days, none revised the estimates for the first
and second quarter of fiscal 2012. Likewise, for fiscal 2012 and
fiscal 2013, out of the six analysts covering the stock in the last
7 days, none revised the estimates.
Currently, the Zacks Consensus EPS
Estimate for the first quarter of fiscal 2012 is pegged at 46
cents, which indicates a loss of 0.54% year over year. However, for
the second quarter of fiscal 2012, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate
of 58 cents reflects a gain of 2.19%. Likewise, for fiscal 2012 and
fiscal 2013, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimates are pegged at $2.64
and $3.08 indicating a profit of 16.3% and 16.79%,
respectively.
Magnitude of Estimate
Revisions
During the last 7 days, the current
Zacks Consensus Estimates for the first and second quarter of 2012
were in line with the previous estimates of 46 cents and 58 cents
per share, respectively.
Similarly, for fiscal 2012 and
2012, the current Zacks Consensus Estimates were in line with the
previous estimate of $2.64 and $3.08 per share, respectively.
Earning
Surprises
Motorola Solutionsproduced an
earnings surprise of 4 cents or 5.41%. The ongoing quarter and the
second quarter of 2012 contain downside potentials of 6.52% and
0.00%, respectively (essentially a proxy for future earnings
surprises).
Similarly, fiscal 2012 and 2013
reflect downside risks of 1.89% and 1.95%, respectively.
Our
Recommendation
Motorola Solutions is the largest
developer of public safety products and commands nearly half of the
total U.S market. The company entered into an agreement with
Verizon Wireless to install a standard-based public safety
broadband network for mission-critical operations leveraging on the
nationwide LTE network of the carrier. Verizon Wireless is a joint
venture between Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)
and Vodafone Group plc. (VOD).
We, thus, maintain our long-term
Neutral recommendation on Motorola Solutions Inc. Currently,
Motorola Solutions Inc. has a Zacks #4 Rank, implying a short-term
Sell rating on the stock. This was primarily due to its current
valuation, which soared over 29% last year.
About Earnings Estimate
Scorecard
Len Zacks, PhD in mathematics
from MIT, proved over 30 years ago that earnings estimate revisions
are the most powerful force impacting stock prices. He turned this
ground breaking discovery into two of the most celebrating stock
rating systems in use today. The Zacks Rank for stock trading in a
1 to 3 month time horizon and the Zacks Recommendation for
long-term investing (6+ months). These “Earnings Estimate
Scorecard” articles help analyze the important aspects of estimate
revisions for each stock after their quarterly earnings
announcements. Learn more about earnings estimates and our proven
stock ratings at: http://www.zacks.com/education/
MOTOROLA SOLUTN (MSI): Free Stock Analysis Report
VODAFONE GP PLC (VOD): Free Stock Analysis Report
VERIZON COMM (VZ): Free Stock Analysis Report
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