Earnings Preview: NetApp - Analyst Blog
May 24 2011 - 9:21AM
Zacks
NetApp Inc. (NTAP) is scheduled to announce its
fourth quarter 2011 results on May 25. Upward revisions to
estimates reflect positive sentiments on the stock.
Third Quarter Overview
NetApp reported decent third quarter 2011 numbers, with earnings
per share (EPS) exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However,
revenue missed our estimate marginally.
A surge in product demand fueled by new product launches and
enhanced customer satisfaction led to a 25.3% year-over-year
increase in total revenue. Growth across other segments was also
encouraging.
Tight cost control and a stable average selling price supported
gross margin expansion. Operating margin, too, outperformed due to
control on operating expenses, bringing in non-GAAP earnings of 45
cents, which was up from 33 cents in the year-ago quarter.
Fourth Quarter Outlook
NetApp expects revenues to be approximately $1.38 billion (+/-
2%), representing 7% to 11% sequential and approximately 15% to 20%
year-over-year growth. NetApp expects further increases in product
demand, but fears some supply constraints in the fourth
quarter.
The expected GAAP EPS is between 38 cents and 42 cents and
non-GAAP EPS is between 49 cents and 53 cents. The company also
projects shares outstanding to be approximately 414 million.
Agreement of Analysts
Out of the 15 analysts providing estimates for the fourth
quarter, 4 increased their estimates in the last thirty days, of
which one was in the past 7 days. Out of the 17 analysts tracking
the stock for fiscal 2011, 3 raised their estimates in the last
thirty days, of which 2 were in the past 7 days. There was no
movement noticed in the opposite direction for both the fourth
quarter and fiscal 2011.
Some analysts believe that NetApp's core competencies in Network
Attached Storage and Internet-based storage networking protocol
will position the company well to benefit from further adoption of
server virtualization, unified storage and the shift toward 10G
Ethernet infrastructure. Moreover, increasing storage spending,
strong exposure to midrange systems and overall share gains would
help NetApp drive revenue upside.
However, a few analysts prefer to remain cautious on account of
margin contraction, which could be due to NetApp’s aggressive
investing activities. Moreover, they believe that the integration
of LSI Corp.’s (LSI) Engenio business could be
challenging, as the OEM business model is very different from the
company’s core model.
Magnitude of Estimate Revisions
The magnitude of revisions has been minimal since the company
reported its third quarter results. Overall, estimates for the
upcoming quarter remained constant over the last ninety days.
For fiscal 2011, estimates increased a cent to $1.68 over the
past ninety days. For 2012, estimates went up from $1.82 ninety
days ago to $1.87.
Recommendation
We remain encouraged by improved results in the third quarter
and believe that the momentum will continue based on strong
partnership programs and product launches. Moreover, we are
optimistic about NetApp’s merger and acquisition strategy.
NetApp is performing impressively, despite stiff competition
from technical behemoths such as IBM Inc. (IBM)
and EMC Corporation (EMC) in the data storage and
management software segments.
NetApp is currently rated Buy (Zacks #2 Rank).
EMC CORP -MASS (EMC): Free Stock Analysis Report
INTL BUS MACH (IBM): Free Stock Analysis Report
LSI CORP (LSI): Free Stock Analysis Report
NETAPP INC (NTAP): Free Stock Analysis Report
Zacks Investment Research
Life Storage (NYSE:LSI)
Historical Stock Chart
From May 2024 to Jun 2024
Life Storage (NYSE:LSI)
Historical Stock Chart
From Jun 2023 to Jun 2024