Apollo Group Inc.
(APOL), one of the world’s largest private education providers,
reported earnings of $1.28 per share for first-quarter 2012, which
beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.18. However, quarterly
earnings were down 21.5% from the prior-period earnings of $1.63
primarily due to fall in Degreed Enrollments.
On a reported basis, including
one-time items, earnings came in at $1.14 a share compared with
earnings per share of $1.61 in the prior-year quarter.
Apollo delivered total revenue of
$1,178.7 million during the quarter, down 11.1% from the year-ago
quarter. The decline was due to lower enrollments at the University
of Phoenix, partially offset by selective tuition price increases
and better student retention rates. However, total revenue came
ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,159 million.
Degreed Enrolment at University of
Phoenix dropped 14.8% to 373,100 primarily due to a slump in New
Degreed Enrollment during fiscal 2011. As per the company,
operational initiatives implemented to support students and improve
educational outcome resulted in a decline in New Degreed Enrolment
during the previous fiscal. However, during first-quarter 2012, New
Degreed Enrollment registered a growth of 12.7% from the prior-year
period.
Further
Analysis
Instructional and student advisory
cost inched up 0.2% to $456.8 million during the quarter. As a
percentage of net revenue, cost grew 450 basis points to 38.8%,
primarily due to the company’s continuous effort to invest for
improvising students’ educational outcome.
Marketing expenses inched down 0.2%
to $165.8 million. However, a reduction in interest net revenue led
to a decline in marketing expenses as a percentage of net revenue
by 160 basis points to 14.1% from the prior period.
Admission advisory expenses
declined 10.9% to $101.4 million compared with the prior-period
figure, but remained consistent as a percentage of net revenue.
Benefits from lower admissions advisory headcounts were offset by
increased employee compensation costs.
Apollo’s general and administrative
expenses plunged 5.8% to $79.9 million. However, it increased by 40
basis points to 6.8% as a percentage of net revenue, primarily due
to increased compensation expenses.
Apollo’s bad debt expenses for
University of Phoenix decreased by 26.9% during the quarter to
$41.6 million. As a percentage of revenue, it came in at 3.5%,
representing a decrease of 80 basis points from 4.3% reported in
the prior-year quarter. A decrease in gross accounts receivable
attributable to the implementation of university orientation
coupled with a fall in Degreed Enrollment at University of Phoenix
and shift in mix of student from Associates to Bachelors degree
program led to the decline in bad debt expense.
On a reported basis, operating
income for the quarter came in at $264.5 million compared with an
operating income of $407.1 million a year ago. Operating margin
contracted 830 basis points to 22.4% due to a fall in revenue.
Excluding one-time items, i.e.
goodwill and other intangibles impairment charges, restructuring
and other charges and litigation charges, operating income declined
to $286.8 million from $411.8 million in the prior-year quarter.
Operating margin contracted 670 basis points to 24.3%.
Financial
Position
Apollo ended the quarter with cash
and cash equivalents of $1.20 billion compared with $1.57 billion
as of August 31, 2011. The decrease in cash was primarily impacted
by increased capital expenditure including Carnegie acquisition,
debt repayments and share buyback, which were partially offset by
cash generated from operations. At the end of quarter, the
company’s total outstanding debt stood at $114.3 million compared
with $599 million as of August 31, 2011. During the quarter, Apollo
repaid $500 million of its borrowings.
During the reported quarter, Apollo
repurchased shares worth $78.2 million, representing 1.7 million
shares at an average price of $45.84 per share. Moreover,
subsequent to the first-quarter end to December 31, the company
made an additional expenditure of $128.3 million toward
repurchasing 2.6 million shares at an average price of $49.71 per
share. At the end of the quarter, the company was left with
approximately $293.5 million under its current $500 million share
repurchase authorization. Apollo ended the quarter with
shareholders’ equity of $1,323.7 million.
Guidance
Apollo provided a positive outlook
as the company registered an encouraging growth in New Degreed
Enrollment in the quarter after a dull fiscal 2011.Besides, trends
showed an improvement in admission advisor effectiveness. Hence,
the company now expects net revenue in the range of $4.10–$4.30
billion in fiscal 2012 instead of $4.10 - $4.20 billion forecasted
earlier. However, Apollo has lowered its upper end operating income
expectation for fiscal 2012 to $655 - $750 million from $655 – 780
million.
Our Take
Apollo Group is the industry leader
in the U.S. private education services sector. The company has an
experience of more than 35 years in the education industry and
possesses one of the most powerful brands, University of Phoenix,
in the sector. This provides a hard-to-replicate competitive
advantage to the company and bolsters its leading position in the
market.
Moreover, in a drive to boost
students’ retention, Apollo Group has recently acquired the
Downtown based math curricula publisher, Carnegie Learning. The
acquisition is expected to add 7 cents to 9 cents per share to
Apollo’s earnings in fiscal 2012.
However, intense competition from
other companies offering postsecondary education, such as
DeVry Inc. (DV), Strayer Education
Inc. (STRA) and Career Education Corp.
(CECO) and stringent regulation by federal authorities remain
matters of concern.
Apollo retains a Zacks #3 Rank,
which translates into a short-term ‘Hold’ rating. Our long-term
recommendation on the stock remains ‘Neutral’.
APOLLO GROUP (APOL): Free Stock Analysis Report
CAREER EDU CORP (CECO): Free Stock Analysis Report
DEVRY INC (DV): Free Stock Analysis Report
STRAYER EDUC (STRA): Free Stock Analysis Report
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