Corn Higher as Increased Export Demand Confirmed
November 23 2020 - 03:35PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Corn for March delivery rose 1.2% to $4.33 1/4 a bushel, on
the Chicago Board of Trade Monday, after the USDA confirmed more
U.S. corn exports being purchased.
--Soybeans for January delivery rose 0.9% to $11.91 1/2 a
bushel.
--Wheat for March delivery rose 0.8% to 6.04 1/2 a bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Busy Buyer: Some 334,000 metric tons of U.S. corn exports have
been sold to unknown destinations, the USDA confirmed Monday. It's
the latest sale of U.S. corn reported by the agency, with the
'unknown destinations' designator commonly used for exports sent to
China. Corn futures have also been following soybeans higher amid
dry weather in Brazil. "Producers generally have corn to sell, and
the outlook from here is only bullish if beans continue to trade
higher," said Doug Bergman of RCM Alternatives.
Hitting the Wall: Soybean futures trading on the CBOT again
failed to burst through the $12 per bushel barrier, this despite
market sentiment that rains in Brazil over the weekend were not
enough to offset the damage being done to soybean crops there.
"January soybean futures have been unable to rise above $12 [per
bushel] for the 3rd time in the past 10 days," said AgResource.
"The Brazilian drought continues to garner the attention of the
trade amid deepening crop losses. A 128-129 [million metric ton]
Brazilian 2020 soy crop is garnering considerable attention as to
how it would impact a US soybean balance sheet that cannot stand
any additional demand."
INSIGHTS
Follow the Clouds: Brazilian rainfall is expected to be the main
driver for grains this week, even with the Thanksgiving holiday on
Thursday. "Trade will once again closely monitor South American
weather during this week's trade," said Karl Setzer of
AgriVisor.
Strong Showing: Although winter wheat in the U.S., Russia and
Brazil are having issues growing due to dry weather conditions,
wheat in Europe appears to be having an easier time. According to
data from the French agricultural ministry, winter barley
conditions are 95% good or excellent, up from 79% a year ago.
Additionally, planting of the winter wheat crop is at 95%, ahead of
last year's 88%. "Weather conditions for winter crops in Europe
appear to be a sight better than South America," said Dan Hueber of
the Hueber Report.
Rising Tide: Inventories of U.S. ethanol are expected to grow
again this week, said Terry Reilly of Futures International.
Ethanol inventories are expected to increase by 25,000 barrels to
75,000 barrels - similar to the 44,000 barrel uptick reported by
the EIA last week. If inventories do increase, it will mark the
fourth week in a row that ethanol inventories have risen. That
would coincide with the resurgence of coronavirus infections
nationwide, which has sent many states back into economic shutdowns
and limited gasoline/ethanol consumption.
AHEAD:
--The EIA releases its weekly update on ethanol production and
inventories at 10:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.
--The Chicago Board of Trade will be closed in observance of
Thanksgiving on Thursday. It will close early on Friday, reopening
at its regular schedule next week.
--Grains and livestock trading on the Chicago Board of Trade
will close at 1:05 p.m. ET Friday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 23, 2020 15:20 ET (20:20 GMT)
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