Digital Asset Exchanges and the digital asset industry as a whole.
In particular, in the two weeks that followed the February 7,
2014 halt of Bitcoin withdrawals from Mt. Gox, the value of one
Bitcoin fell on other exchanges from around $795 on February 6,
2014 to $578 on February 20, 2014. Additionally, in January 2015,
Bitstamp announced that approximately 19,000 Bitcoin had been
stolen from its operational or “hot” wallets. Further, in August
2016, it was reported that almost 120,000 Bitcoins worth around
$78 million were stolen from Bitfinex, a large Digital Asset
Exchange. The value of Bitcoin and other digital assets immediately
decreased over 10% following reports of the theft at Bitfinex and
the Shares suffered a corresponding decrease in value. In July
2017, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (“FinCEN”) assessed
a $110 million fine against
BTC-E,
a now defunct Digital Asset Exchange, for facilitating crimes such
as drug sales and ransomware attacks. In addition, in December
2017, Yapian, the operator of Seoul-based cryptocurrency exchange
Youbit, suspended digital asset trading and filed for bankruptcy
following a hack that resulted in a loss of 17% of Yapian’s assets.
Following the hack, Youbit users were allowed to withdraw
approximately 75% of the digital assets in their exchange accounts,
with any potential further distributions to be made following
Yapian’s pending bankruptcy proceedings. In addition, in January
2018, the Japanese digital asset exchange, Coincheck, was hacked,
resulting in losses of approximately $535 million, and in
February 2018, the Italian Digital Asset Exchange, Bitgrail, was
hacked, resulting in approximately $170 million in losses.
Most recently in May 2019, one of the world’s largest Digital Asset
Exchanges, Binance, was hacked, resulting in losses of
approximately $40 million.
Negative perception, a lack of stability in the Digital Asset
Markets and the closure or temporary shutdown of Digital Asset
Exchanges due to fraud, failure or security breaches may reduce
confidence in the Bitcoin Network and result in greater volatility
in the prices of Bitcoin. Furthermore, the closure or temporary
shutdown of a Digital Asset Exchange used in calculating the Index
Price may result in a loss of confidence in the Trust’s ability to
determine its Digital Asset Holdings on a daily basis. These
potential consequences of such a Digital Asset Exchange’s failure
could adversely affect the value of the Shares.
The Index has a
limited history and a failure of the Index Price could adversely
affect the value of the Shares.
The Index has a limited history and the Index Price is a composite
reference rate calculated using volume-weighted trading price data
from various Digital Asset Exchanges chosen by the Index Provider.
The Digital Asset Exchanges chosen by the Index Provider have also
changed over time. For example, effective January 19, 2020,
the Index Provider removed Bittrex and added LMAX Digital as part
of its scheduled quarterly review. On April 6, 2020, the Index
Provider removed itBit and did not add any constituents as part of
its scheduled quarterly review. The Index Provider may remove or
add Digital Asset Exchanges to the Index in the future at its
discretion. For more information on the inclusion criteria for
Digital Asset Exchanges in the Index, see “Item 1.
Business—Overview of the Bitcoin Industry and Market— Bitcoin
Value—The Index and the Index Price.”
Although the Index is designed to accurately capture the market
price of Bitcoin, third parties may be able to purchase and sell
Bitcoin on public or private markets not included among the
constituent Digital Asset Exchanges of the Index, and such
transactions may take place at prices materially higher or lower
than the Index Price. Moreover, there may be variances in the
prices of Bitcoin on the various Digital Asset Exchanges, including
as a result of differences in fee structures or administrative
procedures on different Digital Asset Exchanges. For example, based
on data provided by the Index Provider, on any given day during the
year ended December 31, 2021, the maximum differential between
the 4:00 p.m., New York time spot price of any single Digital Asset
Exchange included in the Index and the Index Price was 0.64% (8.50%
based on Old Index Price) and the average of the maximum
differentials of the 4:00 p.m., New York time, spot price of each
Digital Asset Exchange included in the Index and the Index Price
was 0.32% (8.47% based on Old Index Price). During this same
period, the average differential between the 4:00 p.m., New York
time, spot prices of all the Digital Asset Exchanges included in
the Index and the Index Price was 0.0003% (0.24% based on Old Index
Price). During this same period, the average differential between
the 4:00 p.m., New York time spot prices of all the Digital Asset
Exchanges included in the Index and the Index Price was 0.0003%.
All Digital Asset Exchanges that were included in the Index
throughout the period were considered in this analysis. To the
extent such prices differ materially from the Index Price,
investors may lose confidence in the Shares’ ability to track the
market price of Bitcoins, which could adversely affect the value of
the Shares.
The Index Price used
to calculate the value of the Trust’s Bitcoin may be volatile, and
purchasing activity in the Digital Asset Markets associated with
Basket creations may affect the Index Price and Share trading
prices, adversely affecting the value of the Shares.
The price of Bitcoin on public Digital Asset Exchanges has a very
limited history, and during this history, Bitcoin prices on the
Digital Asset Markets more generally, and on Digital Asset
Exchanges individually, have been volatile and subject to influence
by many factors, including operational interruptions. While the
Index is designed to limit exposure to the interruption of
individual Digital Asset Exchanges, the Index Price, and the price
of Bitcoin generally, remains subject to volatility experienced by
Digital Asset Exchanges, and such volatility could adversely affect
the value of the Shares. For example, since the beginning of the
Trust’s operations, the Index Price ranged from $117.03 to
$67,352.59 ($117.03 to $67,397.98 based on Old Index Price), with
the straight average being $9,535.36 ($9,508.58 based on Old Index
Price) through December 31, 2021. In addition, in the twelve months
from January 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021, the Index Price ranged
from $29,311.80 to $67,352.59 ($29,235.54 to $67,397.98 based on
Old Index Price). The Sponsor has not observed a material
difference between the Index Price and average prices from the
constituent Digital Asset Exchanges individually or as a group. The
price of Bitcoin more generally has experienced volatility similar
to the Index Price during these periods. For additional information
on movement of the Index Price and the price of Bitcoin, see “Item
7. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations—Historical Digital Asset Holdings and Bitcoin
Prices.”
Furthermore, because the number of Digital Asset Exchanges is
limited, the Index will necessarily be composed of a limited number
of Digital Asset Exchanges. If a Digital Asset Exchange were
subjected to regulatory, volatility or other pricing issues, the
Index Provider would have limited ability to remove such Digital
Asset Exchange from the Index, which could skew the price of
Bitcoin as represented by the Index. Trading on a limited number of
Digital Asset Exchanges may result in less favorable prices and
decreased liquidity of Bitcoin and, therefore, could have an
adverse effect on the value of the Shares.