Athabasca Oil Corporation (TSX: ATH) (“Athabasca” or the “Company”)
is pleased to provide a corporate update highlighted by strong
operational performance at Leismer, a steadfast commitment to debt
reduction and inclusion to Canada’s headline equity index.
Operations Update
At Leismer, the Company successfully completed a
two-week plant turnaround on schedule and on budget in May. Bitumen
production has since been restored to ~20,000 bbl/d. The asset is
expected to exit the year at ~21,000 bbl/d as the five initial well
pairs on Pad L8 ramp-up to plateau production. In June, the Company
will spud two infill well pairs at Pad L6, followed by five
additional well pairs at Pad L8, that will support production in
2023 and beyond. The asset is expected to grow to ~24,000 bbl/d
over the next three years within corporate capital guidance.
The Company is forecasting annual 2022 corporate
production to be at the upper end of its guidance range of 33,000 –
34,000 boe/d (92% Liquids). Capital expenditure guidance remains at
$128 million.
Executing Significant Deleveraging with Clear
Targets
The Company is planning to utilize 100% of
near‐term Free Cash Flow to reduce its Term Debt. Year-to-date the
Company has redeemed a total of ~C$141 million (~US$110 million)
with a current US$240 million principal balance on its Term Debt.
This achieves ~63% of its US$175 million debt reduction target
which is anticipated to be reached in H1 2023. Cash balances at the
end of May were ~$190 million and the Company anticipates achieving
a net cash position before year-end.
For 2022, Athabasca forecasts Adjusted Funds
Flow of ~$300 million and Free Cash Flow of ~$180 million (US$85
WTI, US$13.50 Western Canadian Select heavy differential). The
Company further expects to generate ~$900 million in Free Cash Flow
during the three year timeframe of 2022-24 (US$85 WTI, US$12.50 WCS
differential flat pricing). Every US$5 WTI impacts Free Cash Flow
by ~$45 million annually (unhedged).
The transition of enterprise value to equity
holders is materializing and is expected to unlock significant
shareholder value. Athabasca is committed to further enhancing
shareholder returns by utilizing Free Cash Flow and cash balances
for share buy-backs or dividends once its debt target is achieved.
Additional guidance on the Company’s return of capital strategy
will be provided in H2 2022.
Indexation Update
On June 3, 2022, S&P Dow Jones Indices
announced the results of their quarterly index rebalance. Athabasca
will be added to the S&P/TSX Composite Index (“TSX Composite
Index”). The index changes will be effective prior to the opening
of trading on June 20, 2022. The TSX Composite Index is the
headline index for Canada and is the principal benchmark measure
for the Canadian equity markets, represented by the largest
companies on the TSX. Inclusion to the index is expected to broaden
the Company’s shareholder participation through index and other
broader market funds.
About Athabasca Oil Corporation
Athabasca Oil Corporation is a Canadian energy
company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and
light oil assets. Situated in Alberta’s Western Canadian
Sedimentary Basin, the Company has amassed a significant land base
of extensive, high-quality resources. Athabasca’s common shares
trade on the TSX under the symbol “ATH”. For more information,
visit www.atha.com.
For more information, please contact:
Matthew Taylor |
|
Robert Broen |
Chief Financial Officer |
|
President and CEO |
1-403-817-9104 |
|
1-403-817-9190 |
mtaylor@atha.com |
|
rbroen@atha.com |
|
|
|
Reader Advisory:
This News Release contains forward-looking
information that involves various risks, uncertainties and other
factors. All information other than statements of historical fact
is forward-looking information. The use of any of the words
“anticipate”, “plan”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “may”,
“will”, “target”, “forecast”, “goal”, “aspiration”, “commit” and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking
information. The forward-looking information is not historical
fact, but rather is based on the Company’s current plans,
objectives, goals, strategies, estimates, assumptions and
projections about the Company’s industry, business and future
operating and financial results. This information involves known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause
actual results or events to differ materially from those
anticipated in such forward-looking information. No assurance can
be given that these expectations will prove to be correct and such
forward-looking information included in this News Release should
not be unduly relied upon. This information speaks only as of the
date of this News Release. In particular, this News Release
contains forward-looking information pertaining to, but not limited
to, the following: our strategic plans; future debt levels and
repayment plans; the allocation of future capital; timing for
shareholder returns including share buybacks and dividends, our
drilling plans in Leismer; Leismer ramp-up to expected production
rates; Adjusted Funds Flow and Free Cash Flow; Net Cash; Expected
Production levels; and other matters.
With respect to forward-looking information
contained in this News Release, assumptions have been made
regarding, among other things: commodity prices; foreign exchange
rates; the regulatory framework governing royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which the Company
conducts and will conduct business and the effects that such
regulatory framework will have on the Company, including on the
Company’s financial condition and results of operations; the
Company’s financial and operational flexibility; the Company’s
financial sustainability; the Company’s ability to obtain qualified
staff and equipment in a timely and cost-efficient manner; the
applicability of technologies for the recovery and production of
the Company’s reserves and resources; future capital expenditures
to be made by the Company; future sources of funding for the
Company’s capital programs; the Company’s future debt levels;
future production levels; the Company’s ability to obtain financing
and/or enter into joint venture arrangements, on acceptable terms;
operating costs; compliance of counterparties with the terms of
contractual arrangements; impact of increasing competition
globally; collection risk of outstanding accounts receivable from
third parties; geological and engineering estimates in respect of
the Company’s reserves and resources; recoverability of reserves
and resources; the geography of the areas in which the Company is
conducting exploration and development activities and the quality
of its assets. Certain other assumptions related to the Company’s
Reserves and Resources are contained in the report of McDaniel
& Associates Consultants Ltd. (“McDaniel”) evaluating
Athabasca’s Proved Reserves, Probable Reserves and Contingent
Resources as at December 31, 2021 (which is respectively referred
to herein as the "McDaniel Report”).
Actual results could differ materially from
those anticipated in this forward-looking information as a result
of risk and uncertainties, including the risk factors set forth in
the Company’s Annual Information Form (“AIF”) dated March 2, 2022
available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, including, but not limited to:
weakness in the oil and gas industry; exploration, development and
production risks; prices, markets and marketing; market conditions;
climate change and carbon pricing risk; statutes and regulations
regarding the environment; regulatory environment and changes in
applicable law; gathering and processing facilities, pipeline
systems and rail; reputation and public perception of the oil and
gas sector; environment, social and governance goals; political
uncertainty; continued impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; state of
capital markets; ability to finance capital requirements; access to
capital and insurance; abandonment and reclamation costs; changing
demand for oil and natural gas products; anticipated benefits of
acquisitions and dispositions; royalty regimes; foreign exchange
rates and interest rates; reserves; hedging; operational
dependence; operating costs; project risks; supply chain
disruption; financial assurances; diluent supply; third party
credit risk; indigenous claims; reliance on key personnel and
operators; income tax; cybersecurity; advanced technologies;
hydraulic fracturing; liability management; seasonality and weather
conditions; unexpected events; internal controls; limitations of
insurance; litigation; natural gas overlying bitumen resources;
competition; chain of title and expiration of licenses and leases;
breaches of confidentiality; new industry related activities or new
geographical areas; and risks related to our debt and
securities.
Also included in this News Release are estimates
of Athabasca's 2022 Outlook and 2022-24 Outlook which are based on
the various assumptions as to production levels, commodity prices,
currency exchange rates and other assumptions disclosed in this
News Release. To the extent any such estimate constitutes a
financial outlook, it was approved by management and the Board of
Directors of Athabasca, and is included to provide readers with an
understanding of the Company’s outlook, however the information may
not be appropriate for other purposes. Management does not have
firm commitments for all of the costs, expenditures, prices or
other financial assumptions used to prepare the financial outlook
or assurance that such operating results will be achieved and,
accordingly, the complete financial effects of all of those costs,
expenditures, prices and operating results are not objectively
determinable. The actual results of operations of the Company and
the resulting financial results may vary from the amounts set forth
herein, and such variations may be material. The financial outlook
contained in this New Release was made as of the date of this News
release and the Company disclaims any intention or obligations to
update or revise such financial outlook, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, unless required pursuant
to applicable law.
Non-GAAP Measures
The "Adjusted Funds Flow", “Free Cash Flow” and
“Net Debt or Net Cash” are financial measures contained in this
News Release do not have standardized meanings which are prescribed
by IFRS and they are considered to be non-GAAP financial measures.
These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented
by other issuers and should not be considered in isolation with
measures that are prepared in accordance with IFRS.
Adjusted Funds Flow, Free Cash Flow Net Debt
Adjusted Funds Flow and Free Cash Flow are
non-GAAP financial measures and are not intended to represent cash
flow from operating activities, net earnings or other measures of
financial performance calculated in accordance with IFRS. The
Adjusted Funds Flow and Free Cash Flow measures allow management
and others to evaluate the Company’s ability to fund its capital
programs and meet its ongoing financial obligations using cash flow
internally generated from ongoing operating related activities.
Adjusted Funds Flow is calculated by adjusting for changes in
non-cash working capital and settlement of provisions from cash
flow from operating activities. Free Cash Flow is calculated by
subtracting capital expenditures from Adjusted Funds Flow. Net Debt
is defined as the face value of term debt, plus accounts payable
and accrued liabilities, plus current portion of provisions and
other liabilities less current assets, and excluding risk
management contracts. Net Cash refers to Net Debt if the
calculation is negative.
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