JPMorgan Posts Record Profit, But Interest Rates Cloud Outlook -- 2nd Update
April 12 2019 - 5:05PM
Dow Jones News
By David Benoit and Rachel Louise Ensign
The country's largest bank, JPMorgan Chase & Co., said a
bright economy and strong lending drove it to a record profit in
the first quarter.
That gave its stock price a boost, and the wider stock market a
lift as well. The S&P 500 climbed 0.7%.
JPMorgan executives said the U.S. consumer is in good shape,
pointing to healthy credit-card spending and auto lending. Business
clients, too, have signaled growing confidence in recent weeks, the
executives said.
"Those underlying drivers continue to chug along nicely," Chief
Financial Officer Marianne Lake said on a conference call with
reporters Friday.
Yet the results from JPMorgan and other banks Friday suggest
they may be enjoying a last push from a period of rising interest
rates that has now stalled.
Three years of modest rate increases have allowed banks to
charge borrowers more without significantly increasing what they
pay depositors, driving profits to record levels. The Federal
Reserve interrupted that streak in March when it kept rates steady
and indicated it was unlikely to raise them at all this year. Some
have suggested the Fed could cut rates if economic conditions
worsen.
The shift sent bank stocks sliding in March and led analysts to
lower estimates for bank profits in the first quarter and the
coming two years.
JPMorgan exceeded analysts' expectations, reporting a profit of
$9.18 billion, or $2.65 a share. Wells Fargo & Co. and PNC
Financial Services Group Inc. also reported higher profits
Friday.
The three banks all posted higher net interest income -- the
amount it makes on lending minus what it pays on deposits -- from a
year ago. But that growth essentially disappeared compared with the
fourth quarter, a clue that the benefits of rising rates are
waning.
Wells Fargo lowered its net interest income projections for
2019. JPMorgan left its guidance unchanged despite the year's
strong start. The banks said they expect deposit costs to keep
rising.
"It was a better-than-expected quarter for the banks, which was
encouraging to see," said Carter Henderson, portfolio specialist
and director of institutional development at Fort Pitt Capital
Group. "But I think that's as good as it's going to get for these
big banks this year because in the first quarter they were still
getting that tailwind from the last Fed hike in December."
Investors are looking ahead to next week's batch of quarterly
earnings results, which includes more results from big banks
including Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc., Bank of America
Corp. and Morgan Stanley.
While banks' core lending businesses could suffer if rates
stall, their home-lending businesses could get a boost. Rising
mortgage rates had contributed to a slowdown in the housing
market.
At Wells Fargo, the largest U.S. home lender, mortgage
originations fell 23% in the first quarter from the year-ago
period. They fell 18% at JPMorgan.
Wells Fargo Chief Financial Officer John Shrewsberry said the
bank expects mortgage volume to rise in the second quarter, in part
from refinancings.
Profit at JPMorgan's consumer bank was up 19%, to $3.96 billion.
The bank's core consumer loan volume rose 3% and the margins it
made jumped, with card spending driving the gains.
At the commercial bank, profit increased slightly to $1.05
billion compared with $1.03 billion the prior year.
The bank's total core loans rose 2% to $942.7 billion, and while
the bank put aside more to handle potential bad loans, credit
quality remained strong overall.
On the Wall Street side of the operation, profit dropped 18% to
$3.25 billion. A quiet market pulled down trading revenue 17% to
$5.47 billion, which had been expected. A 10% increase in
investment banking revenue offset some of the pain.
The bank's asset and wealth management unit made $661 million
compared with $770 million a year earlier.
Costs increased 2% to $16.4 billion. The bank has said it would
continue putting money into technology and expansion, including its
first branch openings in years. Return on equity, a key measure of
profitability, was 16% in the first quarter, compared with 15% a
year ago.
At Wells Fargo, the fourth-largest U.S. bank by assets,
first-quarter profit rose 14% to $5.86 billion, helped by one-time
gains. Revenue, however, declined across all of its businesses as
it continues to deal with the aftershocks from its fake-account
scandal.
Jessica Menton contributed to this article.
Write to David Benoit at david.benoit@wsj.com and Rachel Louise
Ensign at rachel.ensign@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 12, 2019 16:50 ET (20:50 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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