Airline Stocks, Battered by Coronavirus, Rise on Stimulus Talk
March 06 2020 - 12:55PM
Dow Jones News
By Maria Armental
Airline stocks were among the biggest gainers Friday on
speculation the Trump Administration may step in with an stimulus
package to stem financial losses tied to the coronavirus
epidemic.
White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said the
administration was considering "timely and targeted" measures to
help workers and sectors affected by the outbreak and related
market swings.
"People who may be stranded at home and will lose pay, we want
to help them," Mr. Kudlow told Fox Business Network. He said the
administration might seek to aid small businesses "with some cash
flow" and that larger-scale sectors "might need some temporary
assistance."
Airline stocks were some of the most battered by the outbreak as
companies imposed travel restrictions on workers and people
postponed or cancelled trips.
Canaccord Genuity analyst Ken Herbert said on Friday that the
impact on airline profitability "appears to be worsening by the
day.
"It now appears that the models based on the SARS pandemic are
too conservative, and we use as a base case for our analysis a 5%
drop in passenger traffic in 2020," Mr. Herbert wrote in a note
Friday. "While it is likely the industry will see a V-shaped
recovery in the impacted regions (in fact manufacturing activity in
most of China appears to be recovering), the geographic impact of
the virus is much greater than any of the prior examples."
The International Air Transport Association most recently
estimated global revenue losses this year for passenger carriers of
$63 billion to $113 billion. IATA previously estimated $29.3
billion in lost revenues based on an assumption that the impact
would be largely confined to markets associated with China, where
health officials believe the epidemic originated.
"In little over two months, the industry's prospects in much of
the world have taken a dramatic turn for the worse," IATA Chief
Executive Alexandre de Juniac said in a statement. "It is unclear
how the virus will develop, but whether we see the impact contained
to a few markets and a $63 billion revenue loss, or a broader
impact leading to a $113 billion loss of revenue, this is a
crisis."
"As governments look to stimulus measures," Mr. de Juniac wrote,
"the airline industry will need consideration for relief on taxes,
charges and slot allocation. These are extraordinary times."
American Airlines Group Inc. shares rose 1.3% to $16.25; Delta
Air Lines Inc. increased 1.7% to $45.79; United Airlines Holdings
Inc. climbed 4.3% to $53.78; Hawaiian Holdings Inc. advanced 6% to
$17.83; and Alaska Air Group Inc. gained 4.8% to $45.55.
Write to Maria Armental at maria.armental@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 06, 2020 12:40 ET (17:40 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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