US index futures are lower on Thursday as Fitch’s credit rating
downgrade is still reverberating through markets, with investors
cautious amid global economic and political uncertainties. The
market watches economic indicators in Europe, corporate results and
the interest rate decision in England.
By 7:00 AM, Dow Jones futures (DOWI:DJI) were down 55 points, or
0.16%. S&P 500 futures were down 0.22%, while Nasdaq-100
futures were down 0.34%. The 10-year Treasury yield is at
4.151%.
On Thursday’s US economic agenda, investors will follow the
jobless claims, at 8:30 am, with a consensus of 227,000 new claims,
and the composite and services PMIs, at 9:45 am, with the
expectation that both will show activity recovery. At 8:30 am,
the productivity data for the non-agricultural sector for June will
be released, with a consensus of expansion of 2%, and the unit cost
of labor for the second quarter. At 10:00 am, it will be the
turn of June’s industrial orders, which analysts forecast growth of
2.20%, in addition to the July services PMI measured by the
Institute for Supply Management.
In Europe, Germany recorded a trade surplus of 18.7 billion
euros, beating expectations of 15 billion euros, indicating
business growth despite uncertainties about the bloc’s economy as a
whole.
Turning to economic indicators, Germany’s PMI for the composite
and services sectors in July were in line with market forecasts,
clocking in at 48.5 and 52.30, respectively. Importantly,
readings below 50 indicate a contraction in activity.
In the euro zone, the composite and services PMIs for July
reached 48.60 and 50.90 respectively, also in line with
expectations at 48.90 and 51.10. On the other hand, the
producer price index in the region exceeded forecasts, registering
a drop of 0.40% in June in the monthly comparison, when a retreat
of 0.20% was expected.
In the United Kingdom, the composite and services PMIs were
50.70 and 51.50, respectively, in line with estimates, even amid a
scenario of accelerated inflation in the country.
In the context of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest rate
decision, the interest rate was increased by 25 basis points to
5.25%, the 14th consecutive increase, in order to contain
inflation. The Monetary Policy Committee voted 6-3 in favor of
the hike, with some preferring a 50 basis point hike and one
keeping rates unchanged. Consumer price inflation dipped to
7.9% in June, but the central bank is monitoring the tight job
market. Salaries continue to grow uncomfortably for the
institution, with an increase of 7.7% in May.
In Asia, markets ended without a single trend, reflecting
stronger PMI data from Japan and China, in addition to yesterday’s
Wall Street losses. In Japan, the Composite and Services PMIs
registered 52.10 and 53.90, respectively. In China, the second
largest economy in the world, the composite and services PMIs
released by Caixin reached 51.90 and 54.10, respectively,
surpassing market forecasts.
In commodities markets, West Texas Intermediate crude for
September is down -0.21% at $79.32 a barrel. Brent crude for
October is down -0.29% near $82.96 a barrel. Iron ore futures
traded in Dalian, China fell 2.99% to $112.81 a tonne.
Stocks on Wall Street fell sharply and bond yields rose on
Wednesday after positive job data and the announcement of increased
debt issuance by the US Treasury. Dow Jones dropped 348.16
points or 0.98% to 35,282.52 points. S&P 500 dropped 63.34
points or 1.38% to 4,513.39 points. Nasdaq Composite dropped
310.47 points or 2.17% to 13,973.45 points.
Investor uncertainty was compounded by the downgrade of the US
credit rating by Fitch Ratings, which raised concerns about the
possibility of a recession and the sustainability of stock market
growth. In addition, the ADP report indicating an increase in
job creation in July in the US has affected risk appetite, as this
number may influence the Federal Reserve to consider a further hike
in interest rates. Given this scenario, the Payroll data
forecast for Friday becomes crucial for the market, as it will help
to understand the next steps of monetary policy.
Ahead of Thursday’s corporate results, investors await reports
from ABInBev (NYSE:BUD), Warner Bros Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD),
Cheniere (AMEX:LNG), Wayfair (NYSE:W), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP),
Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE), Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS)
and Cigna (NYSE:CI) prior to market opening. After the close,
reports are expected from Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple
(NASDAQ:AAPL), Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN), Block (NYSE:SQ), Airbnb
(NASDAQ:ABNB), DraftKings (NASDAQ:DKNG) , Cloudflare (NYSE:NET),
Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT), Petrobras (NYSE:PBR), among others.
Wall Street Corporate Highlights for Today
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) – Meta has
released AudioCraft, an open source artificial intelligence tool
that allows users to create music and audio from text
prompts. The tool comes with three models and has been trained
using company-licensed music. However, concerns about
copyright infringement have been raised by artists and industry
experts alike, as the software learns by recognizing and
replicating patterns in web data. Alphabet
(NASDAQ:GOOGL) also introduced a similar tool, MusicLM, earlier
this year.
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) – Apple’s High Yield
Savings Account in partnership with Goldman
Sachs (NYSE:GS) surpasses $10 billion in customer
deposits. Launched in April, the account offers a 4.15% annual
percentage yield on savings accounts. Apple continues to
expand its presence in the financial sector with the launch of the
“buy now, pay later” service in the US in March.
Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) – Wells Fargo will
commit $60 million to support the nonprofit Concordance, helping
workers with criminal records return to the
workforce. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM)
also has a similar initiative called Second Chance, hiring the 10%
of new employees in the US with a criminal record. Companies
are looking to provide opportunities and address labor shortages,
as it is estimated that nearly a quarter of the US population is
excluded from the talent pool due to criminal
records. According to the Prison Policy Initiative, more than
1 million people are held in state penitentiaries, with high rates
of criminal recidivism.
JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) – Jamie Dimon,
CEO of JPMorgan, warned that regulators could make it harder for
small businesses to access mortgages and loans with capital
increases proposed by the Fed and FDIC. He expressed concern
about the lack of foresight and calibration in regulators’ rules,
saying this may already have taken a toll on US economic
growth. Dimon also criticized the stress tests and called for
an end to the debt ceiling. As for the downgrade of the US
credit rating by Fitch Ratings, he said the markets make the
decisions, not the ratings agencies.
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) – BofA Global
Research has revised its forecast for the US economy, predicting a
“soft landing” and stronger economic growth in 2023. They no longer
expect a recession in 2024 and see GDP growing 2.0% on average this
year. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates more
gradually, with cuts of 75 basis points in 2024 and 100 basis
points in 2025. Other banks have also raised their economic outlook
based on recent growth data and a resilient job market.
UBS (NYSE:UBS) – UBS plans to retain most
of Credit Suisse’s relationship managers in Asia following the
acquisition, with a view to maintaining its leadership position in
the wealth management industry in the region. The merger will
give UBS more relationship managers than its main rivals
combined. However, there are cultural and strategic challenges
to integrating the two Swiss banks. While Credit Suisse has
taken a bolder approach to lending and supporting businesses, UBS
is more conservative. Bank integration can be complex, but it
is crucial to UBS’s success in the Asian wealth management
market.
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A) – Warren
Buffett downplayed Fitch’s downgrade in the US and said that
Berkshire Hathaway bought $10 billion of US Treasuries last Monday,
without changing its future plans. He emphasized confidence in
the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) – BYD’s loss in India
could be Tesla’s
gain. While BYD (USOTC:BYDDY) faces
hurdles due to Indian scrutiny, Tesla is accelerating discussions
to invest in the country. With the electric vehicle market on
the rise, India could be a strategic base for Tesla to expand
globally.
Toyota (NYSE:TM) – Toyota has unveiled a
hybrid version of the Land Cruiser, targeting key markets such as
North America. The automaker will produce the new model at
factories in Japan and launch it elsewhere. The Land Cruiser
is an iconic and profitable vehicle for Toyota.
American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) – American
Airlines announced that it is negotiating
with Airbus (USOTC:EADSY)
and Boeing (NYSE:BA) for a new order for
narrowbody jets, responding to the growing demand for aircraft
during the travel boom. Order size can be as high as 200 jets,
including commitments for future purchases.
Vodafone (NASDAQ:VOD) – German broadband
and mobile provider 1&1 (XE:1U1) has
entered into an agreement with Vodafone to provide 5G coverage to
its customers, replacing current network
partner Telefonica
Deutschland (USOTC:TELDY) by October 2024.
Vodafone will provide mobile coverage in areas not covered by the
1&1 network, including 5G, 2G and 4G. The 18-year
commercial agreement will start delivering 5G coverage to 1&1
customers from the second half of 2024. Costs will be indexed to
the cost of Vodafone’s mobile network.
Lions Gate
Entertainment (NYSE:LGF.B), Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS)
– Lions Gate is close to acquiring Hasbro’s EOne film and TV studio
for approximately $400 million. The deal will delay Lions
Gate’s planned spinoff of its Starz TV business until the end of
the year. With the purchase, Lions Gate will obtain a library
of approximately 6,500 titles and rights to a Monopoly
film. EOne generated $829 million in revenue last
year. Hasbro is selling non-core divisions of EOne to focus on
its core strategy.
Coursera (NYSE:COUR) – Online learning
platform Coursera recently launched Coach, an AI-powered chatbot
that connects to ChatGPT to answer questions about the Coursera
curriculum. CEO Jeff Maggioncalda spoke about how generative
AI is changing teaching, the need for continuous learning and the
demand for digital skills. He also addressed the issue of the
four-day week, saying that while desirable, it is not practical for
the fast pace of current change.
Airbnb (NASDAQ:ABNB) – Nearly 15 years
ago, Airbnb ignited a global boom in short-term home rentals, but
cities are still struggling to regulate the industry. Attempts
include limiting the number of nights, requiring records, and
fining violations. The effectiveness of these measures is
questioned, and many homeowners find ways around the
rules. Cities are looking to Airbnb for more sophisticated
solutions and cooperation to address short-term rental market
challenges.
Grab (NASDAQ:GRAB) – Singaporean food
delivery companies Grab and Foodpanda are expanding into the
on-site dining space, allowing users to pre-purchase dinner
vouchers at discounts of up to 50%. Businesses see great
potential in this sector and are looking to increase monetization
of existing users.
Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ:COST) – Costco
Wholesale same-store sales rebounded in July, up 2.5%
year-over-year after two consecutive months of declines. Net
sales also improved, rising 4.5% to $17.6 billion. The
company’s shares are flat in premarket trading on Thursday.
Earnings
Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) –
Occidental Petroleum shares are down -2.5% in premarket Thursday
after the company raised its annual production forecast by 1% but
came in short of expectations of profit in the second quarter due
to the drop in oil and gas prices. The company made an
accounting write-off to exit some operations. Quarterly
production was up 6% and helped lift the annual production
outlook. Occidental will not proceed with future exploration
in Wyoming’s Powder River Basin, assuming an after-tax loss charge
of $164 million. Adjusted earnings per share of 68 cents were
4 cents short of analyst estimates.
Sunrun (NASDAQ:RUN) – Shares in Sunrun
rose 7.51% in premarket Thursday after a surprise profit, but the
solar sector faces challenges in its earnings season, with several
companies issuing disappointing outlooks. Sunrun has not
issued any projections, but its steady growth and surprising profit
brought some relief to its investors. In the second quarter,
the company posted a windfall of $55.5 million, equivalent to 25
cents a share. Analysts anticipated an adjusted loss of 24
cents a share, according to FactSet. Total revenue grew 1% to
$590 million, but missed analysts’ estimates of $628 million.
Albemarle (NYSE:ALB) – Albemarle beat
second-quarter earnings estimates, but volatility in lithium prices
and future competition has investors worried. The company
faces challenges in projecting earnings due to the unpredictable
nature of lithium prices. The company posted adjusted earnings
per share of $7.33 on $2.4 billion in sales. Wall Street had
expected earnings per share of $4.48 on sales of $2.4
billion. Albemarle now expects to earn between $25 and $29.50
a share in 2023.
PayPal (NASDAQ:PYPL) – Shares of PayPal
were down 8.5% in premarket Thursday after reporting earnings that
were in line with analyst forecasts. The payments company
reported adjusted earnings of $1.16 per share, the same amount
expected by analysts polled by Refinitiv. However, revenue
beat expectations, with PayPal posting $7.29 billion, versus
analyst estimates of $7.27 billion.
Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) – Shares of
Qualcomm fell 8.9% in premarket Thursday after posting
lower-than-expected revenue in the fiscal third
quarter. Qualcomm reported adjusted revenue of $8.44 billion,
while analysts surveyed by Refinitiv were forecasting $8.5
billion. Furthermore, the outlook for the fourth quarter was
also below expectations.
Unity Software (NYSE:U) – Shares of Unity
rose 6.2% after reporting second-quarter earnings that beat
analysts’ revenue estimates. The company posted revenue of
$533 million, while analysts polled by Refinitiv were expecting a
figure of $518 million.
Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) – Shares
of trading platform Robinhood were down 6.6% in premarket Thursday
after the release of quarterly results. The company surprised
analysts by reporting second-quarter adjusted earnings of 3 cents a
share, beating Refinitiv’s expectations, which had forecast a loss
of 1 cent a share. However, there was a slight drop in the
number of monthly active users, at 10.8 million, while analysts
were expecting a higher number, at 11.2 million, according to
information from StreetAccount.
Clorox (NYSE:CLX) – Clorox shares gained
5.7% premarket after beating earnings expectations. The
company reported adjusted earnings of $1.67 per share on revenue of
$2.02 billion, surprising analysts polled by Refinitiv who had
expected earnings of $1.18 per share on revenue of $2. 1.88
billion.
Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) – Shares of Qorvo are
flat premarket after a positive earnings report. Qorvo
reported fiscal first-quarter earnings of $0.34 per share,
excluding items, on total revenue of $651 million. Analysts
polled by FactSet had expected a gain of 15 cents a share and
revenue of $640.3 million.
Etsy (NASDAQ:ETSY) – E-commerce company
Etsy posted a 6.5% drop in pre-market trading after releasing
third-quarter revenue forecasts, coming in below analyst
expectations at the lower end of the range. . According to
data from Refinitiv, Etsy is forecasting revenue ranging between
$610 million and $645 million, while analysts were expecting an
average value of $632 million.
Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) – Shares of Shopify
are down -2.5% in premarket Thursday, despite the company
predicting strong revenue growth and delivering
better-than-expected Q2 results due to to new hires and price
increases in its online commerce services. The company expects
“low twenties” and “mid twenties” revenue growth for the next
quarter, beating analysts’ expectations. The company undergoes
a reformulation to face the competition and focus on costs. In
the second quarter, total revenue grew 31% to $1.69 billion.
Lemonade (NYSE:LMND) – Shares in Lemonade
were down 5.2% in premarket Thursday despite earnings and outlook
slightly above Wall Street expectations. The company reported
a second-quarter loss of $67.2 million on total revenue of $104.6
million. The projections for the third quarter are for revenue
between US$ 102 million and US$ 104 million, and for the year,
between US$ 402 million and US$ 408 million. The shares, which
debuted higher in the 2020 IPO, are still 24% below their original
IPO price.
Mercado Libre (NASDAQ:MELI) – MercadoLibre
was flat in premarket Thursday after the Latin American e-commerce
giant posted a 113% rise in its second-quarter net profit to $261,
9 million dollars, driven by higher sales volume and increased
users. The company added 8.1 million new users, bringing its
total to 108.6 million active users. Net income grew 57.3% at
constant currency to $3.4 billion. Gross merchandise volume
increased 47.2% to $10.5 billion. The company has also seen
significant growth in its fintech unit and plans to explore credit
opportunities in Mexico and invest in ad tech.
Simon Property (NYSE:SPG) – Simon Property
lowered its full-year profit forecast due to falling rental demand
from retailers facing conservative consumer spending and higher
rents. $6.39 and $6.49 per share, compared to its previous forecast
of $6.45 and $6.60 per share. High borrowing and input costs
hurt retailers and restaurants, while shopping mall traffic
declined. Returning student loan payments can also reduce
discretionary spending. Per-share trading funds in the second
quarter were down year-over-year. Shopping malls facing
supermarkets performed better.
Zillow (NASDAQ:Z) – Shares of online real
estate company Zillow were up 0.3% premarket although the issue was
disappointing for the third quarter. The company forecast
revenue of between $458 million and $486 million, while analysts
polled by FactSet were expecting higher revenue at around $488.1
million.
MGM Resorts (NYSE:MGM) – Shares in casino
operator MGM Resorts were down 6.8% premarket despite the company
posting a hit in earnings and earnings in the second
quarter. MGM reported adjusted earnings of 59 cents a share on
revenue of $3.94 billion. Analysts polled by Refinitiv had
expected earnings of 54 cents a share and revenue of $3.82
billion.
Spirit AeroSystems (NYSE:SPR) – Shares in
Spirit AeroSystems closed down 27.3% on Wednesday after reporting
$105 million in production losses for Boeing and Airbus, and a
dismal cash flow forecast. The company faces financial
challenges due to rising labor costs, supply chain disruptions and
rising debt, as it struggles to meet excess orders from aviation
giants. The company is considering renegotiating contracts
with plane makers to offset rising costs. Spirit is pursuing
refinancing options to pay down debt due in 2025.
Tripadvisor (NASDAQ:TRIP) – Tripadvisor
shares were up 2.2% premarket. The company reported revenue of
US$494 million in the second quarter, beating the expectations of
analysts polled by Refinitiv, who had forecast revenue of US$473
million.
EVgo (NASDAQ:EVGO) – EVgo saw its stock
jump 13.7% premarket after reporting better-than-expected
second-quarter results and presenting a more optimistic sales
outlook for the year. The company reported a net loss of $21.5
million, or 8 cents per share, and revenue of $50.6 million, an
increase of 457%. EVgo now expects annual sales of between
$120 million and $150 million.
Allstate (NYSE:ALL) – Insurance company
Allstate suffered heavy losses due to bad weather caused by climate
change. The industry is reassessing risk in the face of these
frequent events. Allstate reported a net loss of $1.4
billion. Insurers are adjusting premiums to improve
profitability, but the volatility of weather events still presents
challenges. Analysts have varying expectations for the
sector’s recovery.
Merck (NYSE:MRK) – German company Merck
KGaA has warned of a sharper drop in earnings due to reduced demand
for materials used in the production of pharmaceuticals and
semiconductors, as well as factors such as inflation and a negative
currency impact. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to decline
between 3% and 9%.
Teva Pharmaceutical (NYSE:TEVA) – Teva
Pharmaceutical beat expectations with higher second-quarter profit,
driven by sales of the Huntington’s disease treatment
Austedo. Chief Executive Richard Francis is upbeat about the
company’s branded drugs, including the recently launched Uzedy for
schizophrenia. The company anticipates an increase in Austedo
sales and also plans to launch Uzedy next year. The 2023
revenue forecast was revised upwards, and the company’s net debt
decreased.
Cognizant Technology (NASDAQ:CTSH) –
Cognizant projected higher-than-expectations third-quarter revenue,
driven by growing demand from companies to digitize their
operations. Expected quarterly revenue is $4.89 billion to
$4.94 billion. CFO Jan Siegmund will retire in early 2024. The
company also raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share
projections. For the second quarter, revenue was $4.89 billion
and adjusted earnings per share were $1.10.
DoorDash (NYSE:DASH) – Food delivery
company DoorDash was up 3.6% premarket after the release of
quarterly results. Second-quarter revenue hit $2.13 billion,
beating analysts’ expectations of $2.06 billion, according to
Refinitiv. However, the company posted a larger-than-expected
loss at 44 cents a share, while analysts were projecting a loss of
41 cents a share.
Yum Brands (NYSE:YUM) – Yum Brands beat
expectations for quarterly sales and earnings, driven by demand for
more affordable meals at KFC. KFC’s comparable sales grew by
13%, attracting low-income consumers with promotional
offers. However, performance at Taco Bell and Pizza Hut was
mediocre. Revenue increased 3% to $1.69 billion. The
company also benefited from reduced costs on key commodities and
increased total same-store sales.
Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC) – Kraft Heinz
posted quarterly sales below estimates due to reduced customer
purchases of packaged meals and condiments, hit by inflation and
higher prices. The company maintained its profit and organic
growth forecasts for 2023. Prices increased 11% in the quarter,
resulting in a 7% decline in volumes. The company also
observed stronger competition and signaled higher promotions in the
market. The company posted adjusted earnings of 79 cents a
share for the quarter, above analysts’ estimate of 76 cents a
share.
Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (NYSE:BUD) –
Shares in Anheuser-Busch InBev NV rose 3.0% in premarket Thursday
after profit growth beat analyst expectations, with more than 20%
up on Brazil, China and Colombia in the second quarter. The
company faced a 28% drop in the US due to a Bud Light marketing
fiasco. AB InBev maintained its 2023 earnings outlook.
Ambev (NYSE:ABEV) – Brazilian brewery
Ambev reported a 15.2% drop in second-quarter net profit of
US$540.34 million, below market forecasts. Revenue increased
by 20%, but sales volume fell by 2.2%. The Brazilian market
led the commercial momentum, but beer volumes in Brazil were down
2.5%. The company is focused on growth and profitability
improvements despite volatility in its markets.
Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) – Ferrari has raised
its full-year revenue and profit forecasts, driven by exceptional
second-quarter results and robust orders. Ferrari posted
profit of 334 million euros, or 1.83 euros per share, up 33% on
profit of 251 million euros, or 1.36 euros per share, during the
same period a year ago. Growth was supported by profitable
customizations and strong demand for the Daytona SP3, 812
Competizione and SF90 models. The company also announced that
it plans to introduce its first electric car in 2025. Car shipments
are down slightly, but hybrid deliveries are up significantly.
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