What The Drop In Spot And Derivatives Volumes Means For The Price Of Bitcoin
September 24 2023 - 09:50AM
NEWSBTC
It has been a quiet week of caution for Bitcoin traders in terms of
price action. This caution has trickled into trading volume in
particular, as volumes on major crypto exchanges for both spot
Bitcoin trading and Bitcoin derivatives have fallen far below their
levels at the beginning of the year. On-chain data from CryptoQuant
charts have shown the daily spot and derivatives trading volume of
Bitcoin has been steadily declining since the first quarter of the
year. The question is, what does this collapse in trading volumes
mean for the future price of Bitcoin? Related Reading: Polkadot
Cross-Chain Bid Takes Flight As DOT Battles Uncertainty Decline In
Trading Volumes Trading volumes this year have declined
significantly from their highs in March during the Silicon Valley
Bank fiasco. Since this period, the derivatives or futures market
has fallen 96% and the spot market has fallen 98%. Bitcoin trading
in particular, has been down by a significant margin the past week.
Data from CoinMarketCap has shown Bitcoin spot trading volume has
decreased by 33.67% in a 24-hour timeframe. Similarly, the spot
exchange trade volume was shown by CryptoQuant data to be 9,627,
down 81% from 50,692 at the beginning of the week. The situation
looks even more glaring when you consider falling derivatives
volumes as well. On-chain data collected by CryptoQuant indicates
that the derivatives trade volume is currently at 108,852. This
represents a decrease of 88% from the volume of 950,331 at the
beginning of the week. The market cap of cryptocurrencies is
currently at $1.03 trillion. Chart: TradingView.com What Does This
Mean For The Price Of Bitcoin? When activity in these markets
dwindles, it signals a lack of interest from institutional traders
and retail investors. With interest seeming to wane, the next few
weeks could determine Bitcoin’s near-term direction. As the largest
cryptocurrency in the world, this could also determine the
direction of the majority of the crypto market. At the time of
writing, Bitcoin is trading at $26,556. Without much trading
activity to drive prices up, Bitcoin could continue trading
sideways or even face downward pressure. The next major support for
Bitcoin is at $25,000, and a fall below this price could indicate a
prolonged bearish trend with increased selling pressure.
Related Reading: XRP Forecast: Is A Retreat Below $0.5 Likely
Before October? Another way this could go is the lower price
eventually leading to higher volumes again as investors see an
opportunity to buy. According to a social media post by crypto
analyst Captain Faibik, Bitcoin could reach as low as $23,000 in
October before breaking out to reach $34,500 by early next year.
Similarly, Didar Bekbauov, founder and CEO of Bitcoin joint mining
business Xive, stated that the price of Bitcoin could soar past the
year-to-date (YTD) price of $31,700 while speaking to Bitcoinist.
(This site’s content should not be construed as investment advice.
Investing involves risk. When you invest, your capital is subject
to risk). Featured image from iStock
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