Despite the uncertainty related to sequestration, huge defense
budget cuts, and cancellation of big-ticket programs, the global
aerospace and defense industry has nicely held up so far this year.
This is largely attributable to technological innovations, big
contracts, acquisitions and growing commercial demand.
Since the domestic aerospace and defense sector is facing budget
cuts and a constrained spending environment from the U.S.
government, the industry is looking for growth from international
orders.
Additionally, a number of new emerging markets as well as
developed nations, such as India, Japan, the United Arab Emirates,
Saudi Arabia and Brazil, are boosting defense spending and
generating business for the U.S. aerospace and defense
companies.
Still, the U.S. is the leader in global defense spending. The
country is not only a major superpower, but it also has strategic
alliances with other foreign nations that have major military
strengths and geopolitical concerns.
The country sometimes shares its military technology and
supplies sophisticated weapons to its allies. These activities in
turn boost the revenue of the defense operators and suppliers who
sell these military applications to nations around the world (read:
Any hope for Aerospace and Defense Industry ETFs in 2013?).
However, on the flip side, the industry's position is challenged
by global competition, changes in technology, national and
worldwide economic conditions, and global policies affecting
defense, civilian and commercial aviation. Going forward, the
industry, in particular the defense sector, will face challenges as
the federal government will look for solutions to the ongoing
budget crisis.
Further, sequestration still remains an overhang both in the
civil and military sectors. The companies that have little
diversification outside the U.S. are highly susceptible to spending
cuts from sequestration. On the other hand, those with an
international order book would find it less difficult to face the
brunt of sequestration (read: With Sequester Ahead, Are Defense
ETFs in Trouble?).
Overall, the industry has been performing well compared to other
sectors, so investors seeking diversification should consider ETFs
that target the aerospace & defense industry in the
portfolio.
Considering the broad issues and opportunities, a look at top
ranked aerospace & defense ETFs could be a winning choice for
investors seeking to benefit from the positive market trends. One
way to find a top ranked ETF in the financial space is by using the
Zacks ETF Ranking system (read: Zacks ETF Rank Guide).
About the Zacks ETF Rank
The Zacks ETF Rank provides a recommendation for the ETF in the
context of our outlook for the underlying industry, sector, style
box, or asset class. Our proprietary methodology also takes into
account the risk preferences of investors. ETFs are ranked on a
scale of 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) while they also receive
one of three risk ratings, namely Low, Medium or High.
The aim of our models is to select the best ETFs within each
risk category. We assign each ETF one of five ranks within each
risk bucket. Thus, the Zacks Rank reflects the expected return of
an ETF relative to other products with a similar level of risk (see
more ETFs in the Zacks ETF Center).
For investors seeking to apply this methodology to their
portfolios in the aerospace and defense sector, we have taken a
closer look at the top ranked XAR, which has a Zacks ETF Rank of 1
or Strong Buy with a Low risk outlook. The details of this
outperforming fund are highlighted below:
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
(XAR)
Investors seeking exposure to the U.S. aerospace & defense
market may find XAR an intriguing choice. Launched in September
2011, this is the most recent addition in the aerospace &
defense ETF world. The fund seeks to match the price and yield of
the S&P Aerospace & Defense Select Industry Index, before
fees and expenses.
With holdings of 34 stocks, the fund is somewhat
concentrated in certain individual securities as it puts
roughly 46% of assets in the top 10 firms. Northrop Grumman (NOC),
Boeing (BA) and Spirit Aerosystems (SPR) take the top three spots
in the basket with 4.8% share each.
The product has its assets invested across all classes of the
market spectrum. Large caps accounts for 37% of XAR while mid and
small caps take 30% and 33% share, respectively. Further, the fund
has a nice mixture of blend, growth and value securities, ensuring
broad diversification in terms of style (read: The Best Investing
Style ETF This Fiscal?).
The ETF charges investors 35 bps in the form of fees and
expenses, the lowest among the three ETFs in the space (the others
being ITA and PPA). However, the product has amassed just $14.8
million in AUM and trades in a paltry average daily volume of less
than 2,000 shares. This increases the total cost of the product in
the form of a wider bid ask spreads.
Although the ETF does not appear to be popular, its performance
has been quite remarkable. XAR is the best performing ETF among the
three, delivering a robust return of 31.7% over the trailing one
year period and 16.6% in the year-to-date time frame.
The fund also yields 1.72% in annual dividends, suggesting that
it is a decent yield play too. These incredible returns make the
fund an attractive choice in the industrial space, and imply that
the aerospace and defense market is quite resilient in the face of
broader market troubles (read: 3 Sector ETFs Surviving This
Slump).
Further, it is less volatile as indicated by its annualized
standard deviation of 19.15%. Despite the fund’s relatively
moderate concentration (12.02% as per xtf.com), the aerospace and
defense ETF still could be a solid choice for investors, and one
that can definitely fight through weakness to surge higher in the
weeks and months ahead.
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BOEING CO (BA): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-DJ AEROS (ITA): ETF Research Reports
NORTHROP GRUMMN (NOC): Free Stock Analysis Report
PWRSH-AERO&DEF (PPA): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP AER&DEF (XAR): ETF Research Reports
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