Commodity ETFs in Focus as Fed Unleashes QE3 - ETF News And Commentary
September 13 2012 - 12:45PM
Zacks
Although stock markets are approaching highs yet again, the job
market remains uncomfortably weak for many. Unemployment rates are
still stuck above 8%, while the latest report saw roughly four
times as many people leave the workforce as those that found a
job.
With this backdrop, many investors were looking to the Fed to
spur more economic growth via another round of quantitative easing,
or QE. While it certainly wasn’t a sure thing, Bernanke and company
delivered in a near unanimous decision—an 11 to 1 vote—a third
round of QE on the American economy (see Long Term Treasury ETFs:
Ultimate QE3 Play?).
This latest round of easing will largely take the form of
mortgage-backed security purchases at a pace of roughly $40 billion
a month. The FOMC will also continue, through the end of the year,
its program to extend the average maturity of its holdings, while
it will also rollover agency debt and agency MBS into more MBS as
the old ones come due.
The committee also pledged to keep rates at their extremely low
levels until at least through mid-2015, suggesting that rock bottom
rates could be in the marketplace for quite some time to come. In
fact, rates have been stuck at their current level of between 0%
and 0.25% since the end of 2008, meaning that nearly a decade could
pass before investors see the Fed Funds rate rise above the 1% mark
(read Escape Low Yields with These Three Bond ETFs).
Stock investors largely cheered this release, as the Dow,
Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 all finished the day up more than 1.3%.
Meanwhile, commodities also rose broadly on the day while investors
saw a modest decline in the value of the U.S. dollar as well as the
10 Year note’s yield, although both finished just marginally lower
on the session.
In the ETF world, investors saw robust trading levels in a
number of securities as the bull rush was on for risky assets once
again. In particular, investors saw a few big winners on the day
and we have highlighted a couple of the biggest gainers that rose
to the occasion after the Fed-induced stimulus hit the markets:
- SPDR Gold Trust (GLD)/iShares COMEX Gold Trust
(IAU) - The gold market was a big winner today as volume
was far above normal thanks to the Fed’s announcement. The
additionally monetary stimulus was definitely viewed as
inflationary by some, as the gold ETF market saw gains of roughly
2% on the day (watch Precious Metal ETFs 101).
- iShares Silver Trust (SLV)/ ETF Securities Silver Trust
(SIVR) - Silver is also seen as a way to protect against
inflationary shocks, however, it is usually more volatile than its
gold counterpart. This worked in the white metal’s advantage today
as most silver ETFs added roughly 4.4% on the day on volume that
was far higher than what investors usually see in the silver
market.
- Silver and Gold mining ETFs - Often times
mining ETFs act as a leveraged play on the underlying metal, making
them excellent picks in bull market environments. This turned out
to be the case during Thursday trading as the Global X
Silver Miners ETF (SIL) added about 7.5% while the most
popular gold mining ETF, GDX, gained just over 5%
on the day (see Are Silver ETFs Back on Track?).
- Risky, commodity driven emerging markets -
With the risk-on trade back in the market, investors flowed towards
shaky developing nations that have a strong history of commodity
production. This was the case for the Market Vectors Russia
ETF (RSX) as it added roughly 3.9% on 2x the normal
volume, and one of the world’s top silver producers, Peru, and its
ETF, EPU, as this fund gained more than 3.3% on
solid volume during today’s session.
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Follow @Eric Dutram on Twitter
Disclosure: Long IAU, gold and silver bullion.
ISHARS-MSCI PER (EPU): ETF Research Reports
MKT VEC-GOLD MI (GDX): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-GOLD TRUST (GLD): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-GOLD TR (IAU): ETF Research Reports
MKT VEC-RUSSIA (RSX): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X SILVER (SIL): ETF Research Reports
ETF-SILVER TRST (SIVR): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SLVR TR (SLV): ETF Research Reports
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