U.K. House Prices Likely to Fall in Second Half, Says Pantheon
June 28 2022 - 3:57AM
Dow Jones News
U.K. House Prices Are Likely to Fall in 2H
0708 GMT - House prices in the U.K. are expected to decline by
around 2% in the second half of the year because of the recent
surge in mortgage rates, Pantheon Macroeconomics' senior U.K.
economist Gabriella Dickens says in a note. Some households may
still be able to buy a house because of a strong labor market and
the extra savings accumulated during the Covid-19 pandemic, though
the increase in mortgage rates for new borrowers will be a burden
even if house prices and the average mortgage size hold steady, she
says. For 2023, house prices are expected to rise 2.5%, though the
forecast assumes that the Bank of England will stop increasing
interest rates sooner than markets currently expect, Dickens says.
(xavier.fontdegloria@wsj.com)
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---
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Market Talk:
Recession Fears Bring Two-Way Risk to Rates Prices
0705 GMT - Recession fears have brought much needed two-way risk
in rates price action, ING's rates strategists say. "This isn't to
say that the past few months were a smooth transition towards a
world of higher interest rates, but it feels like last week's rally
has really woken up investors to the rates downside scenario," they
write in a note. Growing recession fears have undoubtedly
contributed to calm long-term inflation swaps, the strategists say.
"We are tempted to say that the upside in long-term yields is more
limited than a few months ago, and that a bond market sell-off
would likely be felt more acutely in the front-end," they add,
referring to short-dated bonds. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)
Contact: London NewsPlus; paul.larkins@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 28, 2022 03:42 ET (07:42 GMT)
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