MARKET WRAPS
Watch For:
U.S. Durable Goods for August.
Opening Call:
Stock futures rose, and oil hit its highest level in nearly
three years, as fears about China Evergrande Group 's debt problems
waned and investors bet on further economic reopening from the
pandemic.
Stocks swung last week as fears about Evergrande's debt problems
weighed on markets. Despite the Chinese property developer missing
a bond coupon payment, the S&P 500 still finished the week up
0.5%.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell helped boost confidence
when he said the U.S. economy has recovered sufficiently for the
central bank to potentially announce the start of bond-purchase
tapering at its next meeting.
"People have had time to think over the weekend and have decided
that this is another occasion to buy the dip," said Sebastien Galy,
a macro strategist at Nordea Asset Management, referring to the
practice of buying after stocks fall. "The high levels of liquidity
in the market changes our view of the world and how fast we fade
the fear."
In Asia, major benchmarks were mixed Monday. The Shanghai
Composite Index slipped 0.8%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index
edged up 0.1%. Evergrande shares rallied 8%, but remained down more
than 80% for the year. China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group, a
subsidiary of the Evergrande parent company, scrapped plans to list
on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
The DAX, Germany's benchmark stock index, rose 1% in the best
intraday performance among Western European indexes. Germans voted
for a new chancellor over the weekend. The initial results showed a
tight race that will likely mean lengthy coalition talks and no
major changes to policy, according to Peter Schaffrik, a global
macro strategist at RBC Capital Markets.
"For markets this means continuity. At the end of the day, it
will remain a centrist government in all cases," Mr. Schaffrik
said. "Germany's fiscal stance will remain within the boundaries of
what the market will find easily acceptable."
The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 advanced 0.7%, with stocks
that benefit from the loosening of pandemic restrictions leading
the index higher.
At 8:30 a.m. ET Monday, fresh data on new U.S. orders for
durable goods in August is set to be released. Economists are
expecting an increase, as business investment and consumer spending
was strong.
Forex:
Bitcoin recovered after falling in reaction to Friday's news
that China will ban all cryptocurrency transactions and mining.
Bitcoin rose 5.6% to $43,858, having fallen as low as $41,120 on
Friday, according to CoinDesk.
"The impact of the latest Chinese news on Bitcoin's price was
significant but not dramatic as the $40K support held well during
the kneejerk drop and during the weekend," Swissquote Bank analyst
Ipek Ozkardeskaya said.
"But Bitcoin is still in the bearish consolidation zone and
should make a move above the $44/45K mark to step back to the
positive trend, otherwise we may see the price of a coin
fluctuating between $40K and $45K range without too much excitement
for traders."
The U.K.'s supply constraints could send the pound lower even
though the market has recently priced in more interest rate rises
by the Bank of England for next year, MUFG Bank said.
The seriousness of supply side bottlenecks was underlined by the
U.K. government's decision to offer temporary visas to fuel tanker
and food truck drivers, and to poultry workers, MUFG currency
analyst Lee Hardman said.
"The latest developments are creating a more negative
combination of weaker growth and higher inflation in the U.K. which
we believe is a bad mix for pound performance." GBP/USD could
weaken, especially if it falls below the 1.3600 support level, he
said.
Bonds:
The yield on the 10-year benchmark U.S. Treasury note ticked
down to 1.447% Monday, from 1.459% Friday, capping a four-day rise
that drove the biggest weekly increase since March.
Investors are likely to continue to sell U.S. Treasurys and U.K.
government bonds, pushing their yields higher, as they price in the
possibility of higher interest rates, said Mizuho.
"The move higher in yields should continue in U.S. Treasurys and
more forcefully in GBP rates," analysts at the Japanese bank
said.
The Bank of England's surprise comments last week that the
latest developments had strengthened the case for modest tightening
makes foreign selling of gilts more likely, they said.
Commodities:
Oil prices rose thanks in part to broader concerns over the
tightness in energy markets, with oil demand expected to get an
additional boost from gas to oil switching over the course of this
winter, according to DNB Markets' Helge Andre Martinsen.
Those gains also come after Goldman Sachs on Sunday increased
its year-end Brent forecast by $10 to $90 a barrel.
"The current global oil supply-demand deficit is larger than we
expected, with the recovery in global demand from the Delta impact
even faster than our above consensus forecast and with global
supply remaining short of our below consensus forecasts," Goldman
Sachs's Damien Courvalin said.
Gold prices traded sideways as investors shun the metal in favor
of other assets. Investors continued to wind down their gold
positions last week as the precious metal's lackluster price
performance made other assets more appealing, Commerzbank said.
Gold exchange-traded funds tracked by FactSet saw a net outflow
of $464 million last week. Speculative investors also slashed their
exposure to gold futures, according to CFTC data. Money managers
cut their net long positions in gold futures by 24,000 lots in the
week to 21 September. That is equivalent to selling 76 metric tons
of gold in one week, noted Commerzbank.
Copper prices edged lower as the dollar rises and investors
weigh risks from central bank tightening and the Evergrande saga.
Three-month copper on the LME edged down 0.4% to $9,317 a metric
ton.
Other base metals also begin the week on the ropes. Aluminum
fell 1.2% to $9,316.50 a ton while nickel fell 1.6% to $18,900 a
ton.
"Deleveraging and regulatory pressures will continue to see
tailwinds morph to headwinds in the coming months," TD Securities
said in a note.
The Fed is likely to begin tapering next month, "[suggesting]
that macro forces will increasingly point to the downside as the
path of least resistance in the coming months," the bank said.
TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES
Google Pushes to Overturn EU's $5 Billion Antitrust Decision on
Android
BRUSSELS-Alphabet Inc.'s Google begun its appeal Monday to
overturn a $5 billion antitrust fine imposed by the European Union,
contending that its Android operating system for mobile devices has
boosted competition rather than foreclosing it.
The tech giant presented oral arguments in Luxembourg before the
EU's second-highest court, in its appeal to overturn the 2018
decision from the bloc's antitrust enforcer. In that case, EU
authorities found Google had illegally abused the market power of
Android to push companies that manufacture and distribute Android
phones into agreements aimed at entrenching and expanding the
dominance of the Google search engine on mobile devices.
Read More ->
Gores Guggenheim SPAC Nears Deal to Combine With Polestar
Polestar is nearing a deal to go public through a merger with a
special-purpose acquisition company that would value the Swedish
electric-vehicle maker at $21 billion, according to people familiar
with the matter.
Polestar, owned by Chinese car maker Zhejiang Geely Holding
Group Co., is in advanced talks with Gores Guggenheim Inc. and
could reach a deal by Monday, the people said, assuming talks don't
fall apart.
Read More ->
China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Scraps Shanghai Listing
Plans
Cash-strapped China Evergrande New Energy Vehicle Group Ltd. has
shelved plans to list on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, as the debt
crisis at its parent, China Evergrande Group, weighs on market
confidence.
The proposed issue of A-Shares "will not proceed further," the
company said late Sunday without elaborating.
Read More ->
China Wields New Legal Weapon to Fight Claims of Intellectual
Property Theft
WASHINGTON-Chinese technology giants have seized on a new legal
tactic to fight claims of intellectual property theft, raising
concerns in the U.S. that Beijing's promises to strictly enforce
patent and copyright laws will be undermined by Chinese courts.
In four major cases since 2020, Chinese courts granted so-called
anti-suit injunctions blocking foreign companies from taking legal
action anywhere in the world to protect their trade secrets.
Read More ->
China's Cnooc Plans Big Share Sale at Home as U.S. Delisting
Looms
One of China's big state-owned oil companies, Cnooc Ltd., plans
to raise more than $5 billion from a domestic share sale as it
faces a possible delisting of its U.S. securities.
The planned issuance-like a recent megadeal by China Telecom
Corp.-shows that China's corporate champions are able to access
large pools of capital back home if needed, blunting the impact of
being exiled from American markets.
Read More ->
Commodity Boom Is Too Much of a Good Thing for Many Traders
It has been a banner year for fossil-fuel, metals and
agricultural markets. For many commodity traders, the boom in
prices has had an unexpected effect: a credit crunch that is
reshaping the industry in favor of the largest players.
Higher prices are requiring traders to borrow more money to
finance the same volume of oil, copper or coffee. In some
instances, extreme or unusual weather is causing gyrations in
commodity prices, prompting traders to amass cash in a pinch.
Read More ->
After Early Investors Flee SPAC Deals, Day Traders Rush In
Day traders are targeting some companies that recently closed
SPAC mergers, reinvigorating some of the meme-stock excitement that
helped make such deals popular early in the year.
The latest special-purpose-acquisition-company excitement
focuses on firms like cybersecurity firm IronNet Inc. that suffered
significant investor withdrawals ahead of going public by closing
SPAC mergers. High withdrawals leave the companies going public
with less cash to put into their businesses and can make it harder
for them to meet the growth projections they made as part of the
deals with so-called blank-check companies.
Read More ->
Economy Week Ahead: Consumer Spending, Inflation,
Manufacturing
The Commerce Department's monthly report on U.S. consumer
spending highlights this week's economic data.
Read More ->
Cargo Piles Up as California Ports Jostle Over How to Resolve
Delays
Nike Inc. doesn't have enough sneakers to sell for the holidays.
Costco Wholesale Corp. is reimposing limits on paper towel
purchases. Prices for artificial Christmas trees have jumped 25%
this season.
Despite mounting shipping delays and cargo backlogs, the busiest
U.S. port complex shuts its gates for hours on most days and
remains closed on Sundays. Meanwhile, major ports in Asia and
Europe have operated round-the-clock for years.
Read More ->
In a Troubled U.S.-China Relationship, Moments of Pragmatism
Emerge
Behind-the-scenes dealings that freed a Chinese executive from
U.S. prosecution removed a stumbling block between the nations and
demonstrated a little-noticed pragmatic dimension to the
relationship.
The U.S. and China are at loggerheads on numerous fronts, from
technology and human rights to Beijing's territorial claims; the
United Nations secretary-general this month termed the nations'
relationship as "completely dysfunctional."
Read More ->
Debt-Limit Standoff Could Force Fed to Revisit Emergency
Playbook
A crisis-management playbook Federal Reserve officials created
years ago could guide their response this fall if the federal
government can't pay all its bills because of a political standoff
over raising the federal debt limit.
The options include the Fed buying Treasury securities in
default on the open market and selling Treasurys owned by the Fed
to counteract potentially severe strains in financial markets,
according to the transcript of an October 2013 conference call.
Read More ->
Logistics Operators Raise Pay, Enlist Robots to Meet Holiday
Demand
Warehouse operators are throwing every tool they can at
increasingly urgent efforts to hire seasonal workers as they brace
for an expected flood of holiday goods amid competition for scarce
labor from deep-pocketed rivals.
Logistics providers are boosting pay, adding flexibility to
shifts, blanketing social media with recruitment ads and even
shipping in more robots to help workers field surging e-commerce
volumes. They are also jockeying with titans like Amazon.com Inc.,
Walmart Inc. and United Parcel Service Inc. that are dangling
inducements, from signing bonuses to assistance with college
tuition, as they push to bring on hundreds of thousands of workers
ahead of the holidays.
Read More ->
Bitcoin Miners Eye Nuclear Power as Environmental Criticism
Mounts
Bitcoin miners, under fire for their sizable environmental
footprint, are forging partnerships with owners of struggling
nuclear-power plants with electricity to spare.
The matchups have the potential to solve key issues facing each
industry, executives and analysts say: Electricity-hungry bitcoin
miners want stable and carbon-free power, while nuclear plants
facing competition from cheaper power sources need new
customers.
Read More ->
Center-Left Wins Narrow Victory in German Elections
BERLIN-Germany faces weeks and perhaps months of uncertainty as
Sunday's narrow victory for the center-left in national elections
left open the shape and agenda of its next government and offered
little clarity about who would succeed Chancellor Angela
Merkel.
At least initially, the world's fourth-largest economy and the
European Union's biggest member could find itself without strong
leadership, then with a weakened government in the following four
years.
Read More ->
Congress Heads Into Tumultuous Week Pressured by Converging
Deadlines
WASHINGTON-A slew of high-stakes deadlines will collide on
Capitol Hill this week, setting up potentially chaotic negotiations
against the backdrop of expiring government funding and the threat
of a possible U.S. default.
Even by the standards of a Capitol used to operating under
pressure, this week's maelstrom of legislative and fiscal
crosscurrents is setting the stage for an extraordinary sprint.
Democratic leaders are trying to shepherd two complicated
legislative packages: a roughly $1 trillion bipartisan
infrastructure bill and a sprawling healthcare, education and
climate package whose proposed $3.5 trillion price tag and contents
are still under intense debate within the party.
Read More ->
WHO Seeks to Revive Stalled Inquiry Into Origins of Covid-19
With New Team
The World Health Organization is reviving its stalled
investigation into the origins of the Covid-19 virus as agency
officials warn that time is running out to determine how the
pandemic that has killed more than 4.7 million people world-wide
began.
A new team of about 20 scientists-including specialists in
laboratory safety and biosecurity and geneticists and
animal-disease experts versed in how viruses spill over from
nature-is being assembled with a mandate to hunt for new evidence
in China and elsewhere.
Read More ->
Covid-19 Panel of Scientists Investigating Origins of Virus Is
Disbanded
Columbia University professor Jeffrey Sachs said he has
disbanded a task force of scientists probing the origins of
Covid-19 in favor of wider biosafety research.
Dr. Sachs, chairman of a Covid-19 commission affiliated with the
Lancet scientific journals, said he closed the task force because
he was concerned about its links to EcoHealth Alliance. The New
York-based nonprofit has been under scrutiny from some scientists,
members of Congress and other officials since 2020 for using U.S.
funds for studies on bat coronaviruses with the Wuhan Institute of
Virology, a research facility in the Chinese city where the first
Covid-19 outbreak occurred.
Read More ->
Write to sarka.halas@wsj.com
TODAY IN CANADA
Earnings:
Aurora Cannabis 4Q
Economic Indicators:
Nothing major scheduled
Expected Major Events for Monday
05:00/JPN: Jul Indexes of Business Conditions - Revision
08:00/ITA: Aug Foreign Trade non-EU
08:30/UK: Aug Capital issuance
12:30/US: Aug Advance Report on Durable Goods
14:30/US: Sep Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
23:01/UK: Aug Zoopla House Price Index
All times in GMT. Powered by Kantar Media and Dow Jones.
Expected Earnings for Monday
Adamis Pharmaceuticals Corp (ADMP) is expected to report $-0.04
for 2Q.
Allied Healthcare (AHPI) is expected to report for 4Q.
Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB,ACB.T) is expected to report for
4Q.
Concentrix Corp (CNXC) is expected to report for 3Q.
Escalon Medical (ESMC) is expected to report for 4Q.
Espey Manufacturing & Electronics Corp (ESP) is expected to
report for 4Q.
Fonar Corp (FONR) is expected to report for 4Q.
Natural Alternatives International Inc (NAII) is expected to
report for 4Q.
Perpetua Resources Corp (PPTA.T) is expected to report for
3Q.
Pioneer Bancorp Inc (PBFS) is expected to report for 4Q.
S&W Seed (SANW) is expected to report $-0.16 for 4Q.
iBio Inc (IBIO) is expected to report $-0.04 for 4Q.
Powered by Kantar Media and Dow Jones.
ANALYST RATINGS ACTIONS
Allogene Therapeutics Raised to Outperform From Market Perform
by Raymond James
BJ's Restaurants Raised to Buy From Hold by Jefferies
CenterPoint Energy Raised to Overweight From Sector Weight by
Keybanc
Cheesecake Factory Raised to Buy From Hold by Jefferies
Chuy's Holdings Raised to Buy From Hold by Jefferies
Dave & Busters Raised to Buy From Hold by Jefferies
Hexcel Cut to Neutral From Buy by Seaport Global
Infinera Cut to Neutral From Buy by MKM Partners
Red Robin Raised to Buy From Hold by Jefferies
Roku Cut to Equal-Weight From Overweight by Wells Fargo
SL Green Realty Raised to Neutral From Underperform by B of A
Securities
Spire Inc Raised to Buy From Neutral by Mizuho
Tenable Holdings Raised to Buy From Hold by Berenberg
Valley National Bancorp Raised to Neutral From Sell by
Citigroup
Vornado Raised to Neutral From Underperform by B of A
Securities
This article is a text version of a Wall Street Journal
newsletter published earlier today.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 27, 2021 06:12 ET (10:12 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.