MARKET WRAPS
Watch For:
EU Unemployment; EU Flash Estimate euro area inflation; EU
Preliminary Flash Estimate GDP; EU bank stress test results
published; updates from IAG, Renault, Hermes, EssilorLuxottica, Air
France-KLM, BNP Paribas, Eni, Swiss Re, Unicredit, Pearson,
NatWest.
Opening Call:
European stocks could open lower. Dollar weakens. Long-term
Treasury yields rose. Oil down and gold is flat.
Equities:
European stocks are set to open lower Friday after major U.S.
stock indexes rose Thursday, despite new data suggesting the
economic recovery has started to slow.
The market gains followed data showing gross domestic product
grew by 6.5% on an annualized basis in the second quarter, up
slightly from earlier in the year. Meanwhile, jobless claims, a
proxy for layoffs, came in at 400,000, resuming their downward
trajectory.
Both figures missed Wall Street expectations, though investors
largely shrugged off the disappointment.
Matt Peron, director of research at asset management firm Janus
Henderson Investors, said that data deep in the GDP report, such as
consumer spending, was strong, suggesting the economic recovery
remains intact despite recent concerns about the Delta variant of
Covid-19.
"Consumer spending surged, while the negatives in the report
were from inventory drawdown, presumably from supply shortages,"
said Mr. Peron. "This implies that the economy, and hence earnings
which have also been very strong so far for [the second quarter],
will continue for some time."
Many investors seemed to agree with the take. Stocks rose most
of Thursday's session, with the Dow and the S&P 500 briefly
flirting with new records before slipping from their session
highs.
"Most companies are in a pretty positive situation. They have
cash, they have demand. It's something that was a bit expected
already from last quarter, but we're still having positive
surprises," said Ludovic Subran, chief economist at Allianz.
Some U.S.-listed Chinese tech stocks recovered from recent
losses after the Chinese government sought to reassure global banks
and investors about the recent volatility in markets, saying that
Beijing would consider the market impact of future policies.
In Asia, Chinese stocks fell in morning trade, dragged by
consumer-related sectors. Sentiment has been affected by social
reforms and regulatory actions that have exceeded expectations,
Ping An Securities said, adding that the market may be entering an
adjustment phase but remains supported overall.
Forex:
The WSJ U.S. Dollar Index slid for the fourth consecutive day,
losing 0.4%, and the USD weakened against major currencies as
economic recovery looks less strong than previously thought.
The Commerce Department reports annual 2Q GDP growth of 6.5%,
slower than the 8.4% growth expected in a WSJ survey of economists.
"US GDP data for Q2 below expectations means that the Fed would not
have to rush with the tapering," Carlo Alberto De Casa, from
Kinesis, told WSJ.
"The reaction on the FX market was a continuation of the bearish
movement seen in the last 24 hours on the greenback," he said.
The dollar will be more sensitive to U.S. jobs data after
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the labor market still had
"ground to cover" before the central bank started reducing
stimulus, FXTM said.
"Given how this will drive [asset purchase] taper discussions
and rate-hike expectations, we could be in for some bumpy months
and increased dollar volatility," FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga
said.
In a press conference after the Fed's policy announcement on
Wednesday, Powell said: "I think we're some way away from having
had substantial further progress toward the maximum employment
goal."
Bonds:
Long-term Treasury yields rose on economic data showing strong
recovery, although not as much as expected. The 10-year yield is at
1.268%, after reaching 1.289% shortly after the economic data
release.
An expected boom in USD-denominated green bonds may close the
gap with Europe, which accounts for some 60% of the worldwide
issuance of green bonds, Robeco said.
The sustainable investment firm says green bond issuance in the
U.S. has already topped $65 billion in the first half of this year
and is set to surpass 2020's record of $95 billion.
Luxembourg-based Quintet Private Bank--owned by the Al-Thani family
of Qatar--has pledged an initial $125 million to Robeco's green
bond strategy to invest in the U.S. green bond market.
The Bank of England is expected to declare that negative
interest rates are part of the monetary policy toolbox at its Aug.
5 meeting, Societe Generale said.
"The minutes [of the meeting] should report that all necessary
adjustments have now been completed by the bank and the banking
industry to make a negative bank rate feasible," SocGen economist
Brian Hilliard said.
However, bank officials are likely to "repeat that this should
not be taken as a signal that this tool will soon be used," he
said.
Energy:
Oil fell in morning Asia trade as pandemic restrictions in the
region could weigh on demand. Traffic is substantially below normal
in big cities such as Kuala Lumpur, Bangkok, Jakarta and Singapore
as the spread of Covid-19 is battled, ANZ said.
Metals:
Gold was mostly flat alongside expectations that the Federal
Reserve won't abandon its accommodative monetary policies anytime
soon, Oanda said, pointing to U.S. economic data that fell short of
its expectations.
"A downside surprise in both GDP and jobless claims justifies
the Fed's dovish stance," it said. "That should provide a
short-term bullish environment for bullion."
Oanda said that if gold can exceed the $1,850/oz resistance
level, technical buying could support a strong rally back towards
the $1,900/oz.
Iron ore was lower in Asian trade, extending losses from the
previous day on continuing efforts by Chinese regulators to cut
steel production over environmental concerns, according to ANZ.
Beijing's latest target is the country's real estate industry,
which consumes 30% of all steel in China, the bank says.
At least five cities have been asked to "stabilize their
property markets by stronger regulation," it said. Should real
estate markets cool, the need for steel and iron ore would then
fall as construction wanes. The most-traded September iron ore
contract on the Dalian Commodity Exchange fell 4.8% to CNY1,064.5 a
ton.
TODAY'S TOP HEADLINES
U.S. Import Surge Overwhelms Warehouse Space Near Ports
Surging demand for warehousing close to major ports driven by
the growth of e-commerce and the flood of container imports hitting
U.S. shores is making storage space harder to find and more
expensive, adding new stresses to already strained supply
chains.
Logistics service providers and real-estate firms say
competition for warehouses close to ports such as those in Southern
California and New York City is intense, pushing up rents and
forcing companies to look to neighboring regions to serve shippers'
needs.
Robinhood's Stock Price Falls After IPO
Robinhood Markets Inc., the trading app synonymous with hot
stocks, got a cold reception from investors in its own stock-market
debut.
The investing app tumbled in its highly anticipated trading
debut Thursday, closing 8.4% below its initial public offering
price. Robinhood stock opened at $38, matching the IPO price, and
quickly fell more than 10%. The stock later climbed to approach the
IPO price before falling again in the final hour of trading to
close at $34.82.
Credit Suisse Failed to Act on Archegos Risks, Report Says
Credit Suisse Group AG knew Archegos Capital Management was a
massive risk and didn't take actions to fix it, according to an
investigation the bank commissioned into the collapse of the family
investment firm.
The report released Thursday, prepared by a law firm for Credit
Suisse, detailed how the bank for years granted Archegos special
dispensation to avoid rules meant to protect the bank. It also
ignored staff warnings before the family investment firm's
collapse.
Didi Global Considers Going Private to Placate China and
Compensate Investors
HONG KONG-Ride-hailing giant Didi Global Inc. is considering
going private in order to placate authorities in China and
compensate investors for losses incurred since the company listed
in the U.S. in late June, according to people familiar with the
matter.
The Beijing-headquartered company has been in discussions with
bankers, regulators and key investors about how it could resolve
some of the problems that emerged after Didi listed on the New York
Stock Exchange on June 30, the people said. A take-private deal
that would involve a tender offer for its publicly traded shares is
one of the preliminary options being considered, they added.
The U.S. Economy's Prospects Looked Bright, Until the Delta
Variant Surged
The U.S. economy grew rapidly in the second quarter and exceeded
its pre-pandemic size, but the outlook has suddenly turned cloudier
due to the fast-spreading Delta coronavirus variant.
Virus cases are rising again, particularly in parts of the
country where vaccination rates remain low. The Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention this week recommended that vaccinated people
resume masking indoors in places with high or substantial
transmission of coronavirus, leading some local governments and
businesses to reinstate restrictions on activity.
Jobless Claims Resumed Decline Last Week
Workers' filings for new unemployment benefits resumed their
decline last week and remain near a pandemic low as the labor
market continues to recover from the pandemic, economists say.
New jobless claims dropped slightly to 400,000 for the week
ended July 24 from a revised 424,000 the week before, the Labor
Department reported Thursday. The four-week moving average, which
smooths out volatility in the weekly figures, edged higher to
394,500.
Startup Medical-Device Acquisitions Picked Up in First Half of
Year
Medical-technology companies are buying more startups as the
industry recovers from disruptions to healthcare procedures
triggered by the global pandemic last year.
Fourteen venture-backed medical-device companies were acquired
in the first half of 2021, nearly as many as the 16 that were sold
in all of 2020, according to global data from Silicon Valley
Bank.
Climate-Conscious Banks Stick With Distressed Polluters
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. have lofty
environmental goals but find themselves stuck in bets on two
less-than-green energy companies.
The banks are confronting the need to protect investments in
troubled energy companies while also living up to commitments to
sustainability in their environmental, social and governance
policies.
China Tech Stocks Rebound, but Investors Remain Cautious
Chinese technology shares recouped some of their recent steep
losses Thursday, after the country's authorities swung into
damage-control mode, but investors remain wary about how heightened
regulatory pressure might crimp future corporate profits.
On Wednesday, Chinese state media talked up local stocks, while
a top regulator privately told global financial firms that Beijing
will consider the market impact before introducing future policies,
according to people familiar with the matter.
Bayer Plans for Roundup Litigation Claims Rising by $4.5
Billion
Bayer AG sees expenses from lawsuits accusing its Roundup
weedkiller of causing cancer potentially rising by $4.5
billion-significantly more than it had previously planned for.
The company will set aside the additional funds to cover Roundup
claims in its next quarterly financial report, Bayer executives
said Thursday. The new provisions would raise Bayer's funds
earmarked for the claims to more than $16 billion from the $11.6
billion the company had previously said it would pay to resolve the
cases.
EU Overtakes U.S. in Covid-19 Vaccines as Delta Variant
Spreads
MILAN-The European Union passed the U.S. in Covid-19
vaccinations, with the continent inoculating people at a sustained
pace and America struggling to persuade vaccine holdouts to get a
shot to slow the spread of the Delta variant.
The EU has given at least one vaccine shot to 259 million
people, or 58.3% of the total population of its 27 member countries
as of Thursday, according to figures compiled by Our World in Data,
an Oxford University project tracking the global vaccine rollout.
The U.S. has reached 56.7% of its population, equivalent to 189
million people.
U.K. Shop Vacancies Rise for Third Consecutive Year
The second quarter marked the third year in a row of increasing
vacancy rates at U.K. shops and this trend is set to continue,
according to the latest report by Local Data Company and the
British Retail Consortium.
Perpetuating a trend started in the first quarter of 2018, the
vacancy rate in the second quarter of 2021 rose to 14.5% from 14.1%
in the first quarter of the year, the report found. This means that
one in seven British shops is unoccupied.
Israel to Offer Pfizer Booster Shots to Elderly as Delta Cases
Rise
TEL AVIV-Israel authorized the use of a booster shot of Pfizer
Inc.'s Covid-19 vaccine for people aged 60 and over starting
Sunday, after early data in the country suggested vaccine
protection against severe illness has waned.
Healthcare providers said Thursday a third dose would be offered
to those in that age group at least five months after their second
shot.
FDA Lets Pharmacies Substitute Branded Insulin With Knockoff
Product, in First for a Biologic Drug
For the first time, U.S. regulators have said that a knockoff
version of a biologic drug is interchangeable with its branded
equivalent, a milestone in the yearslong effort to bring greater
competition to the market for expensive biologic drugs.
The U.S. Food and Drug Administration on Wednesday said the
biosimilar insulin product Semglee is interchangeable with Sanofi
SA's Lantus, a designation that allows pharmacists to automatically
substitute Semglee for prescriptions for Lantus, one of the
top-selling insulins in the world.
Tunisia, Sole Survivor of Arab Spring, Risks Sliding Back to
Autocratic Rule
Tunisia, the country whose protest movement promised to
transform the Middle East a decade ago, is in turmoil after its
president suspended parliament and seized executive power this
week, stirring concerns that the only democracy to emerge from the
Arab Spring uprisings is slipping back to autocracy.
The crisis is threatening to strike a blow against democratic
aspirations across the region, and while many Tunisians support the
removal of an unpopular government, others fear the country could
lose its status as North Africa's sole exemplar of democracy after
street rallies overthrew a dictator in 2011. Egypt's brief period
of democracy ended in a military coup in 2013. Libya, Syria, and
Yemen plunged into war.
China Telecom Plans Shanghai Listing
China Telecom Corp. is moving to sell billions of dollars worth
of shares in Shanghai as the telecom carrier turns to its home
market for funds.
The company said in a prospectus Friday that it will issue up to
10.40 billion shares. That implies a deal size of nearly US$4.16
billion based on the stock's closing price in Hong Kong on
Thursday.
Robinhood's Stock Price Falls After IPO
Robinhood Markets Inc., the trading app synonymous with hot
stocks, got a cold reception from investors in its own stock-market
debut.
The investing app tumbled in its highly anticipated trading
debut Thursday, closing 8.4% below its initial public offering
price. Robinhood stock opened at $38, matching the IPO price, and
quickly fell more than 10%. The stock later climbed to approach the
IPO price before falling again in the final hour of trading to
close at $34.82.
Write to sarka.halas@wsj.com
Expected Major Events for Friday
04:30/NED: Jun PPI
04:30/NED: Jun Retail turnover
05:30/FRA: Jun Household consumption expenditure in manufactured
goods
05:30/FRA: 2Q GDP - first estimate
06:00/DEN: Jun Unemployment
06:45/FRA: Jul Provisional CPI
07:00/SPN: Jun Retail Sales
07:00/TUR: Jun Foreign Trade
07:00/SWI: Jul KOF economic barometer
07:00/AUT: 2Q Flash Estimate GDP
07:00/ITA: Jun Unemployment
07:00/SPN: 2Q Preliminary GDP
07:00/CZE: 2Q GDP preliminary estimate
08:00/BUL: Jun PPI
08:00/GER: 2Q GDP - 1st release
08:00/ITA: 2Q GDP preliminary estimate
08:30/UK: 2Q Insolvency statistics
08:30/POR: 2Q Flash Estimate GDP
09:00/GRE: Jun PPI
09:00/CRO: Jun Retail trade
09:00/EU: Jun Unemployment
09:00/CYP: Jun PPI
09:00/GRE: May Turnover Index in Retail Trade
09:00/EU: Jul Flash Estimate euro area inflation
09:00/EU: 2Q Preliminary Flash Estimate GDP
09:00/ITA: Jul Cities CPI
09:00/ITA: Jul Provisional CPI
16:59/SPN: Jun Budget deficit
16:59/BEL: Jun PPI
16:59/SPN: May Monthly Balance of Payments
All times in GMT. Powered by Kantar Media and Dow Jones.
Write to us at newsletters@dowjones.com
We offer an enhanced version of this briefing that is optimized
for viewing on mobile devices and sent directly to your email
inbox. If you would like to sign up, please go to
https://newsplus.wsj.com/subscriptions.
This article is a text version of a Wall Street Journal
newsletter published earlier today.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 30, 2021 00:17 ET (04:17 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2021 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.