Stock Futures Rise Ahead of Retail Sales Data
May 14 2021 - 5:16AM
Dow Jones News
By Joe Wallace
U.S. stock futures rose Friday, pointing to gains for major
indexes at the end of a choppy week in which a jump in inflation
rattled markets.
Futures for the S&P 500 rose 0.5%. An advance after the
opening bell is still likely to leave the broad market gauge in the
red for this week, its worst since the end of February. Contracts
for the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4%. Futures on the
technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 added 0.7%.
Stocks recouped some losses on Thursday after sliding in
response to data showing consumer prices leapt in April, which
added to evidence from commodity markets of building inflation.
Investors worry that a surge in prices for raw materials will eat
into profit margins. A burst of consumer-price inflation could also
prompt the Federal Reserve to pare back easy-money policies that
have buoyed stocks.
But several Fed officials have said this week the central bank
has no intention to withdraw that support, helping to calm markets.
The Fed needs to see several more months of data on jobs and
inflation before determining when to begin tightening monetary
policies, Gov. Christopher Waller said Thursday.
"The Fed has been very consistent," said Paul Donovan, chief
economist at UBS Global Wealth Management. "That is telling you
something: it is telling you [higher inflation] clearly is
transitory."
Nonetheless Mr. Donovan expects markets to remain jumpy in
response to higher inflation numbers in the coming months. "There
will be volatility in the near term over this: not just volatility
over inflation, but volatility over the central bank response to
that."
Money managers will glean fresh insights into the pace of the
economic recovery from data on retail sales, due at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Economists expect consumer spending to have risen in April, albeit
at a slower pace than in March, when stimulus checks boosted
household incomes.
Data on industrial production, scheduled for 9:15 a.m., will
give clues into the extent to which supply-chain bottlenecks have
held back output at factories, mines and utilities. Production is
forecast to have risen in April as factories looked to keep up with
demand for autos, appliances and other goods.
In the bond market, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes ticked
down to 1.654%, from 1.666% Thursday. Yields fall when bond prices
rise.
Brent-crude futures, the benchmark in energy markets, were flat
at $67.06 a barrel. Copper futures in New York, which hit a record
on Tuesday, slipped 0.7% to $4.66 a pound.
A recent surge in commodity prices has sharpened focus among
investors on companies that are likely to see profits pinched by
higher input costs.
"There is more pricing pressure and that will be harder on
certain companies," said Andrew Sheets, chief cross-asset
strategist at Morgan Stanley. Consumer-discretionary stocks in the
U.S. are most vulnerable, while banks and other financial firms are
relative beneficiaries because they have minimal raw-material
inputs, he added.
In overseas markets, the Stoxx Europe 600 edged up 0.4%.
Major Asian markets rallied by the close. Japan's Nikkei 225
gained 2.3%, China's Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.8% and
Taiwan's Taiex added 1%.
Write to Joe Wallace at joe.wallace@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 14, 2021 05:01 ET (09:01 GMT)
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