ECB Steps Up Support for Credit Markets
October 01 2020 - 4:51AM
Dow Jones News
By Anna Hirtenstein
The European Central Bank is ramping up its corporate-bond
purchases, increasing its support for the region's companies as
weaker economic data weigh on credit markets.
The central bank bought EUR2.6 billion, equivalent to $3
billion, of company debt in the week ended Sept. 25 -- a third more
than the previous week and over three times higher than the last
week of August, according to ECB data. Since the market turmoil
began in March, it has increased its corporate bondholdings by
close to EUR40 billion.
The purchases have channeled funds to the energy sector, as it
bought hundreds of bonds of oil-and-gas companies such as Royal
Dutch Shell PLC, Total SA and Eni SpA, as well as from some of
Europe's largest utilities such as France's Electricite de France
SA and Germany's EON SE.
The central bank has also been active in transport, snapping up
debt from airports and highways in Italy and France, as well as
Airbus SE and International Consolidated Airlines Group SA, which
owns British Airways. Auto makers have been another major
recipient, with purchases of bonds issued by BMW AG, Daimler AG,
Fiat Chrysler NV, PSA Group, Renault SA and Volkswagen AG.
While the ECB generally seeks to buy bonds evenly across the
broader market, it may buy more of certain bonds if it thought a
sector "was coming under pressure and had downgrade risk," said
Stephen Caprio, a global credit strategist at UBS. "They'll likely
have been a bit concerned by some of the corporate bond volatility
we saw in March with spreads blowing out."
The European Commission approved a EUR750 billion
coronavirus-relief fund in May, which is likely to start to pay out
next year. The ECB in March announced a EUR750 billion bond-buying
program for government and corporate debt, increasing it to EUR1.35
trillion in June.
These moves have kept some parts of Europe's credit market
relatively stable at a time when volatility has returned to global
markets. The ECB has a mandate to only buy investment-grade bonds
and its demand has kept yields low both in the primary and
secondary markets.
The areas where the ECB isn't present, such as the high-yield
market, are showing signs of stress. The ICE BofA Euro High Yield
Index has been largely ticking up over the past two weeks. It
widened 0.2 percentage point over the past seven days.
"Economic data has been coming in weaker than expected," said
Andrey Kuznetsov, a credit portfolio manager at Federated Hermes.
"It's encouraging investors to think about all the risks we're
facing until the year end -- the pickup in Covid cases, more
stringent social distancing measures in Europe."
Data that tracks the health of the eurozone's services industry
through purchasing managers' indexes fell below expectations last
week and showed a contraction.
Mr. Kuznetsov is more cautious about the high-yield sector in
anticipation of defaults and is buying subordinated debt of
Europe's investment-grade companies, a type of bond whose holders
are second or third in line to be repaid in the event of a
bankruptcy -- and one the ECB doesn't buy.
"You have to reach for yield and this is one way to do that. You
take on the subordination risk but you're exposed to a corporate
that has a lower probability of default than in high yield," said
Mr. Kuznetsov. "The support from the ECB has led us to considering
more opportunities outside of eligible assets" for their
bond-buying programs due to the pressure it puts on yields.
Coronavirus infections have climbed in many European countries
in recent weeks, amid a shift to colder weather and following a
period of looser social-distancing measures. Several governments
have recently renewed some restrictions, including Germany, France
and Spain.
"The last quarter is going to be a bit more difficult, we're
going to continue to see the economy recover but the bounce is not
going to be as strong," said Jon Jonsson, a fixed-income portfolio
manager at Neuberger Berman. "There's a lot of unknowns around how
the Covid spread plays out."
Write to Anna Hirtenstein at anna.hirtenstein@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 01, 2020 04:36 ET (08:36 GMT)
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