Fed Officials Maintain Calls for More Government Spending to Support Economic Recovery -- Update
September 23 2020 - 2:25PM
Dow Jones News
By Nick Timiraos
Federal Reserve officials said Wednesday the economy was likely
to need additional government spending to avoid an uneven and
protracted recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the recovery would move along
faster "if there is support coming both from Congress and from the
Fed," he said during the second day of testimony on Capitol Hill.
"The power of fiscal policy is really unequaled by anything
else."
The Fed said last week it would hold interest rates near zero
until inflation reaches 2% and is likely to stay somewhat above
that level, something most officials don't see happening in the
next three years.
Recent improvements in economic data reflect both the reopening
of commercial activities that had been limited to suppress the
virus as well as enhanced unemployment benefits, small-business
grants and other relief measures Congress approved earlier this
year, Mr. Powell said.
While around half of 22 million workers who lost jobs in March
and April have returned to work, Mr. Powell said, "There's a long
way to go.... We need to stay with it, all of us."
Separately, Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said the economy
had recovered "very robustly" as curbs this spring to slow the
virus's spread had been lifted. "But we're still in a deep hole,"
he said in an interview on Bloomberg TV.
Congressional Democrats have been at a stalemate for months with
Republicans and the White House over the size of another spending
package. Democrats are pushing for significant relief to state and
local governments and a package of at least $2.2 trillion, the size
of the bipartisan measure approved in March.
Republicans have balked at the size and some of the individual
components and have proposed spending of as much as $1 trillion in
additional relief. The White House has indicated it could support
legislation that cost somewhere around $1.5 trillion.
House Democrats released a report Wednesday that was critical of
the Fed's emergency action to backstop an array of lending markets.
The report, published by the House Select Subcommittee on the
Coronavirus Crisis, suggested the Fed's approach to avoid severe
increases in borrowing costs for large corporations should have
been conditioned on those companies preventing all layoffs during
and after the pandemic.
Mr. Powell said the Fed's corporate-bond purchases hadn't
extended new credit to any companies and instead was designed to
restore private-market functioning. He said the program had
achieved that goal, as evidenced by records amounts of debt issued
in capital markets. Mr. Powell implied that the program wouldn't
have achieved such an outcome if it had instead been conditioned on
encouraging firms to borrow money in order to save jobs.
Several other Fed officials warned on Wednesday that the economy
would see slower growth, if not another downturn, without
additional spending from Congress and the White House.
In a speech, Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said he was
less optimistic than many of his colleagues about the economy
because of continued difficulties the U.S. faces containing the
virus and because of reduced prospects for more spending.
"Additional support from fiscal policy, which I believe is very
much needed, seems increasingly unlikely to materialize any time
soon," he said.
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans told reporters that his
projection that the unemployment rate would fall to 5.5% by the end
of 2021, from 8.4% in August, had been premised on around $500
billion to $1 trillion in additional fiscal relief. Without that,
he said he expected higher levels of joblessness and a slower
recovery.
The Fed last week said it was committed to holding rates near
zero until the labor market is strong, inflation reaches 2% and Fed
officials believe inflation will run slightly above 2% for some
interval.
Mr. Clarida said Wednesday all three conditions needed to be met
before the central bank would consider lifting short-term interest
rates. The Fed has effectively abandoned its prior strategy of
lifting rates to pre-empt anticipated price pressures before
inflation hits 2% and has switched to a "whites of their eyes"
approach.
"We want to see actual inflation" at 2%, said Mr. Clarida.
Officials would also want to have some evidence that inflation was
expected to remain moderately above 2%. "We don't want it to be a
fleeting, you know, one quarter and done," he said.
Write to Nick Timiraos at nick.timiraos@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 23, 2020 14:10 ET (18:10 GMT)
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