July Consumer Prices Rise Amid Increased Demand for a Range of Goods, Services -- Update
August 12 2020 - 12:57PM
Dow Jones News
By Amara Omeokwe
WASHINGTON -- U.S. consumer prices rose in July on higher costs
for a range of products and services, a sign of firming inflation
as demand for goods rebounded following steep declines earlier in
the coronavirus pandemic.
The consumer-price index -- which measures what consumers pay
for everyday items including driving fuel, clothing and electricity
-- climbed a seasonally adjusted 0.6% in July, the Labor Department
said Wednesday. The rise was the second in as many months. The
index also rose 0.6% in June, which was seen as a potential turning
point for consumer prices, following declines in March, April and
May amid the pandemic's initial economic fallout.
"What we're seeing is largely a rebound in prices that were
depressed because of the pandemic," said Scott Brown, chief
economist at Raymond James & Associates, who pointed to strong
price gains in July for items such as transportation services,
apparel and used vehicles.
Gasoline prices jumped 5.6% in July and accounted for roughly a
quarter of the increase in the overall index, the Labor Department
said. Prices for used vehicles rose 2.3% on the month.
Mr. Brown said such increases likely reflected that people
driving more, as states continue to reopen their economies and some
flight-wary consumers opt to drive to vacation and other
destinations.
Excluding the often-volatile categories of food and energy,
so-called core prices rose 0.6%, compared with a 0.2% increase in
June, posting their largest month-to-month increase since January
1991.
Economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal expected a 0.3%
increase for the overall consumer-price index, and a 0.2% gain for
the core index.
The July CPI readings "should end any speculation that the
pandemic-related slump in demand will quickly push the economy into
a deflationary spiral," said Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at
Capital Economics, in a note to clients.
Roughly a quarter of the July increase was due to gasoline
prices, the Labor Department said, which were up 5.6%. Prices for
apparel and used vehicles also rose sharply. Notably, prices for
food fell 0.4%, with grocery costs declining 1.1%, following
significant increases earlier in the pandemic as Americans stayed
at home.
The advance in overall consumer prices during July came despite
a month when the U.S. saw a resurgence in coronavirus cases, which
forced some states to put new restrictions in place aimed at
containing the virus. Some states reimposed social distancing
measures and business closures as a result.
The rise in consumer prices last month aligns with an increase
in the producer-price index, a measure of the prices businesses
receive for their goods and services. That index rose a seasonally
adjusted 0.6% in July, the Labor Department reported Tuesday, the
largest monthly rise since October 2018.
Longer-term trends suggest inflation remains subdued. On a
non-seasonally adjusted basis, the overall consumer-price index
rose 1% in July from a year earlier and core prices increased
1.6%.
"There's nothing to fear about inflation getting out of hand,"
Mr. Brown, of Raymond James, said.
Write to Amara Omeokwe at amara.omeokwe@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 12, 2020 12:42 ET (16:42 GMT)
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