By David Harrison
State and local governments from Georgia to California are
cutting money for schools, universities and other services as the
coronavirus-induced recession wreaks havoc on their finances.
Widespread job losses and closed businesses have reduced revenue
from sales and income taxes, forcing officials to make agonizing
choices in budgets for the new fiscal year, which started July 1 in
much of the country.
Governments have cut 1.5 million jobs since March, mostly in
education, and more reductions are likely barring a quick economic
recovery. In Washington state, some state workers will take unpaid
furloughs. In Idaho, Boise State University cut its baseball and
swim teams in an effort to save $3 million.
Dayton, Ohio, Mayor Nan Whaley says the city may have to cut up
to 8% of its general fund budget, which pays for fire, police,
roads, water and trash collection.
"I'm concerned we'll have to lay folks off before the end of the
year," Ms. Whaley said.
Nationwide protests sparked by the killing of George Floyd at
the hands of Minneapolis police have heightened attention to
municipal budgeting. In many cities, protesters are demanding that
police budgets be cut or money redirected toward social
services.
Across the country, the weeks before July 1 were marked by a
scramble to complete spending plans. The task has been complicated
by uncertainty over the economic outlook, which depends largely on
unknowns such as the course of the virus and how quickly a vaccine
can be developed. As a result, budgets may have to be rewritten in
the coming months.
"I don't think you can overstate the amount of uncertainty that
states are dealing with," said Tracy Gordon, an expert on state and
local budgets at the Urban Institute in Washington. "You're asking
revenue estimators basically to consult epidemiological models and
public health experts and take account of all kinds of variables
that are normally not part of their forecasts."
Adding to the uncertainty: Many states pushed back the
income-tax-filing deadline to July 15 from April 15, following the
U.S. Treasury's lead. While that should bring a short-term revenue
boost, officials don't know how much revenue to expect in the
months ahead.
It is also unclear whether states will get more help from
Congress, which in March provided $150 billion but limited its use
for pandemic response. Dayton got about $8 million and will use it
to buy face masks for residents, Ms. Whaley said.
The National Governors Association says states need another $500
billion in federal aid to make up for lost revenue. The U.S.
Conference of Mayors says cities need $250 billion.
The Democratic-led House in May passed a bill that included $1
trillion to help state and local governments.
But Republican senators have paused discussion on another fiscal
package until later this month.
Almost all states and local governments require balanced
budgets. For now, they have largely avoided raising taxes to plug
budget holes, opting instead to cut spending or dip into
reserves.
In Georgia, Gov. Brian Kemp signed a budget bill that reduces
spending by about 10%, including a $950 million cut to the main
state education fund. Some poorer school districts rely on the
state to cover 70% of operating expenses, said Margaret Ciccarelli,
director of legislative services for Page Inc., the state's
teachers' association.
"These are challenging times and the budget reflects that
reality," Mr. Kemp, a Republican, said in a signing ceremony on
June 30.
Maryland imposed $412 million in cuts, of which $136 million
will come from higher education, an 8% reduction. Funding was also
reduced for Washington, D.C.-area transit system, neighborhood
revitalization and drug treatment.
Such cuts, though painful, could have been worse, experts say.
The decadelong economic expansion that ended in February allowed
states to replenish rainy-day funds. The median state went into the
crisis with reserves totaling a record 7.8% of its general fund
budget, according to the National Association of State Budget
Officers.
California lawmakers used $9 billion of their $16 billion
rainy-day fund to help balance the $202 billion budget that Gov.
Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, signed June 29. Even so, state employees
will have to take up to two unpaid furlough days a month, and
public colleges and universities face about $602 million in
reductions.
Some states are putting off hard decisions. New Jersey Gov. Phil
Murphy, a Democrat, signed a $7.6 billion stopgap budget for the
next three months, which cuts $1.2 billion in previously allocated
spending.
With an uncertain outlook, officials are trying to maintain
reserves in anticipation of more lean years.
"You may need to use it in 2022 and beyond," said Brian Sigritz,
director of state fiscal studies at the budget officers'
association. "They're not expecting this decline to be a one-year
or two-year thing."
The fiscal squeeze comes as cities face demands to cut police
funding in the wake of Mr. Floyd's killing. Los Angeles redirected
$150 million from the police department's nearly $2 billion budget
to social services.
In New York, Mayor Bill de Blasio and the City Council struck a
deal that he said would cut the police budget by about $1 billion,
to $5.2 billion, and protesters are demanding even larger
reductions.
The Atlanta City Council narrowly defeated a proposal to hold
back some police funding until the department presented a plan to
become more inclusive and transparent.
Most years, Atlanta council members hear two to three hours of
public comment on the budget. This year, they listened to about 50
hours, largely about police funding, said City Council President
Felicia Moore. To comply with social-distancing efforts, people
called in to record their comments rather than appear in
person.
"We had calls from people all over the world," Ms. Moore
said.
Shrinking budgets could make it easier for city officials to
heed calls to cut police funding, said the Urban Institute's Ms.
Gordon.
"When revenues are constrained is exactly when you have some
flexibility to look at longstanding practices and ways of doing
things and potentially changing that," she said.
--Alicia Caldwell and Joseph De Avila contributed to this
article.
Write to David Harrison at david.harrison@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 08, 2020 05:44 ET (09:44 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.