U.S. Stock Futures Tick Up Ahead of Jobs Report
July 02 2020 - 6:50AM
Dow Jones News
By Caitlin Ostroff
U.S. stock futures edged higher Thursday ahead of June
employment figures that will offer insights into the health of the
American labor market as coronavirus lockdown-measures eased.
Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.6%, indicating that
stocks could rise after the New York opening bell. The gauge ticked
up 0.5% on Wednesday after another key indicator showed that the
nonfarm private sector created 2.4 million jobs in June.
The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 gained 1%, while most major
Asian equity benchmarks ended the day higher.
Signs of the U.S. economy's revival has bolstered optimism among
some investors that the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic
could be quickly erased. That, combined with speculation that the
Federal Reserve and the government will continue funneling large
amounts of money to American businesses and households, is
propelling stocks higher.
"In my mind, this is the beginning of a new bull market," said
Patrick Spencer, managing director of U.S. investment firm Baird.
"Aggressive fiscal and monetary stimulus is going to continue and
that's going to support the market, and recent economic data
suggests a recovery is starting to emerge."
The latest jobs report is likely to show that millions of lost
positions were regained in June, though the rise in coronavirus
infections in several states could be hampering the labor market's
recovery. The survey data, due at 8:30 a.m. ET, are largely
collected in mid-June and won't reflect recent government-mandated
business closures and related layoffs over the last two weeks as
some states in the South and West reversed or paused reopening
plans.
"Everybody is obviously watching the changes in the American
labor market," said Florian Hense, an economist at Berenberg Bank.
"The U.S. consumer is the most important driver of the global
economy."
Weekly unemployment claims data, also due at 8:30 a.m., could
offer a more up-to-date view on the U.S. labor market. The number
of applications for jobless benefits filed every week has come down
from a peak of nearly 7 million in late March, but has stabilized
near a historically high 1.5 million, an indication that companies
are continuing to cut jobs.
While economic data may continue to signal recovery in the short
term, the revival is likely to slow, and even sputter, as
businesses navigate their way through new or remaining restrictions
on social and economic activity, investors said. American consumers
could also continue to avoid restaurants and entertainment venues
because of the infection risk or concerns about their paychecks
even after state and local authorities ease restrictions, which
would dampen the pace of the economic revival.
"There are huge questions over whether the recovery will
continue at this pace over the coming months" on nonfarm payrolls,
said Andrew Hunter, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics.
"Employment is pretty key for consumer spending."
The surge in coronavirus cases in some states prompted Apple to
close 16 locations in Florida, Mississippi, Texas and Utah, with
plans to shut down 30 more locations by Thursday. McDonald's is
also pausing the reopening of dine-in service in the U.S.
In Asia, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closed up 2.9%, while the
Shanghai Composite Index gained 2.1%.
In bond markets, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note ticked
down to 0.674%, from 0.682% Wednesday. U.S. bond markets will close
at 2 p.m. ET ahead of the Independence Day holiday.
Write to Caitlin Ostroff at caitlin.ostroff@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 02, 2020 06:35 ET (10:35 GMT)
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