Fed's Mester Doesn't Regret Her FOMC Dissent at Last Meeting
March 31 2020 - 6:29PM
Dow Jones News
By Michael S. Derby
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland leader Loretta Mester said
that when it comes to the formal opposition she offered to the full
scope of the central bank's last interest-rate cut, "I don't regret
it."
"A low interest rate doesn't transmit into the economy if
financial markets aren't functioning well" and at the time the
central bank lowered rates earlier in March, markets were in
trouble, Ms. Mester said Tuesday..
"To have monetary policy and an interest-rate cut actually do
good, right, you need to have the transmission mechanism of that
policy through the economy actually working, so that was my focus,"
Ms. Mester said, noting that she fully supported actions the
central bank took then to bolster financial markets.
In the current situation, where economic activity has cratered
as the nation and global economy shuts down many of its sectors to
help limit coronavirus risks, a rate cut "has less bang for the
buck" because it can't help stimulate economic activity.
Ms. Mester was interviewed on the CNBC television channel. The
veteran central banker was the only voting member of the
rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee to oppose the central
bank's emergency rate cut on March 16. Then, the central bank
slashed its short-term rate target to near zero levels and launched
expanded asset buying, as well as other efforts to help bolster
credit and support the financial system.
Ms. Mester said at the time she supported Fed efforts to aid
markets and she was on board for lower rates but preferred a
smaller move than her colleagues wanted. In a statement on March
17, she said a smaller move could have "preserved the option" of
further cuts "for a time when market functioning had improved and
such an action could be expected to be most effective in supporting
the economy."
Ms. Mester in the interview said Fed actions have helped restore
a lot of market functioning. She also said that whatever happens
with the economy at this point will be driven by the decisions of
public-health officials.
She said she is bracing for some really bad economic numbers as
a result of the shutdown and said the jobless rate will almost
certainly exceed 10% -- it was at 3.5% in February -- but is
unlikely to go as high as 30%.
"I expect to see some very bad numbers coming out of the economy
in the first quarter, second quarter, and then what it looks like
coming out of that, it's going to really depend" on the health-care
response, Ms. Mester said.
Write to Michael S. Derby at michael.derby@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 31, 2020 18:14 ET (22:14 GMT)
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