Nevada Mining Rush is Back On
and It’s Not Gold!
November 1,
2018
John Lee,
CFA
When it comes to vanadium,
here are some pertinent facts of which you should be
aware:
Vanadium price has increased
by more than 1000% since 2016 (from US$2.5/lb to US$33.9/lb)
on the back of strong demand and restricted supply. China accounts
for 50% of all vanadium production, followed by Brazil, Russia, and
South Africa.
Vanadium demand is increasing globally:
steel rebar, the aerospace industry, and large-scale vanadium
batteries in the alternative energy space.
In the USA, there are no active primary
vanadium producing mines with most primary vanadium
deposits concentrated in the northern Nevada mining
belt.
A strong upward surge in the vanadium
price is resulting in vanadium mining and exploration companies
finally getting noticed by investors; and yet not to the full
extent that reflects the current trend of the ascending vanadium
price.
Amongst all US vanadium mining
companies, Prophecy Development Corp. (TSX: PCY, OTC: PRPCF) has the largest measured and indicated
vanadium resource with a preliminarily scheduled path to
production, making it the most advanced vanadium project of such
standing in North America.
Prophecy Development Corp (TSX: PCY) owns the Gibellini project –
the only large-scale, open-pit, heap-leach vanadium project of its
kind in North America.
Located in Nevada, Gibellini has the largest NI 43-101 compliant
measured and indicated primary vanadium resource in the USA. It is
currently undergoing EPCM and EIS preparation.
With global vanadium supply declining and demand increasing, this
is the right project at the right time. Trading millions of shares
a day at $0.50, Prophecy has approximately 78 million shares
outstanding.
|
|
|
Watch Gibellini Project Summary
The only large-scale, open-pit,
heap-leach vanadium project of its kind in North
America
Nevada Gold Rush in the past, what’s the
latest Fad?
The region of Nevada is one of the largest
source areas of gold production in the world. Central Nevada
precious metals rush started in the 1900s and brought hundreds of
thousands of people from all over the world to explore gold and
silver treasure.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gold_mining_in_Nevada
Panoramic view of the Tonopah Mining
District, ca 1905.
Source: USGS
Professional Paper 42
Goldfield Miners
Underground.
Source: https://www.mininghistoryassociation.org/Tonopah.htm
The legacy that was borne from this gold
rush continues today with some of the world’s biggest mining
companies, including Newmont, Barrick and Kinross, actively mining
endowing the state with excellent mining infrastructure and
expertise, a mining friendly regulatory environment, and skilled
workforce.
In 2015 Nevada produced
5,339,659 troy ounces (166.0820 t) of gold worth $6.194
billion, representing 78% of gold produced in the United States and
5.4% of the world's production.[1][2] Total gold production
recorded from Nevada from 1835 to 2008 totals 152,000,000 troy
ounces (4,700 t), worth over US$186 billion at today’s
prices,[3] making it the
second-largest gold resource in the world behind Witwatersrand in
South Africa.
While gold and silver mining are prevalent
in the Nevada mining story, recently mining companies and investors
have descended to Nevada in hunt and looking to striking rich with
a niche metal: vanadium—a commodity that has gone up in price 1000%
in less than 3 years.
What is Vanadium
Vanadium pentoxide price has reached an
all-time high of $33.9/lb (www.vanadiumprice.com),
up from 2016 low of $2.5/lb. This was due in no small part to the
Chinese upgrade of vanadium intensity in steel re-enforcement bars
in the construction industry, increasing vanadium use in the
aerospace industry, and the use of large-scale vanadium batteries
in the utility industry.
China V2O5 Vanadium Pentoxide Flake 98%
Price USD / lb
Source: www.vanadiumprice.com
Vanadium Production by Country and
Sources
Source:
www.prophecydev.com
Legendary Mining Investor
Robert Friedland, having invested $90 million in vanadium battery
technology to the utility industry, calls vanadium “the modern
miracle metal.” In an interview earlier this
year, Mr. Friedland
spoke positively about vanadium, commenting, “We think there’s a
revolution coming in vanadium redox flow batteries. You’ll have to
get into the mining business and produce ultra-pure vanadium
electrolyte for those batteries on a massive
scale.”
5 Reasons to Follow Gibellini Vanadium
Project
|
- Located in Nevada, a premium location for mining -
Ranked #1 for North America mining investment
(Fraser Institute)
- Vanadium price has increased by more than
1000% since 2016 – from US$2.5/lb to US$33.9/lb on the
back of strong demand and restricted supply
- Low Capex, Low Opex, High IRR
- Near Term Production – complete permitting in
2020, commence construction in 2021, start vanadium production in
2022
- Vanadium is key to the world’s green and
renewable energy future!
|
|
|
Watch Doug Casey’s International Speculator Team
Member Interview Prophecy’s Chairman John
Lee
Vanadium
Mining
More than 70% of vanadium is
produced as a steel by-product where by complex vanadium bearing
iron ore are roasted in furnace at high temperature (1,000C) to
produce vanadium stag which are then further refined. The
process is energy intensive, with large carbon emissions and
difficult to permit in North America.
Conceptual Process Flow Sheet for V2O5
Production
Source:
www.largoresources.com, Maracás Menchen Project,
Bahia, Brazil Independent Technical Report – AN UPDATED MINE
PLAN, MINERAL RESERVE AND PRELIMINARY ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT OF THE
INFERRED RESOURCES, October 26, 2017.
In this article, I will
concentrate on primary vanadium deposits (also called black shale
deposits) in the USA, which are not mingled with heavy iron and
titanium metals, and therefore the vanadium could potentially be
recovered by more environmentally friendly hydrometallurgical
processes. And while there are some uranium mines in Colorado with
vanadium by-product credits, their vanadium resources are
relatively small and can be metallurgically challenging and as
uranium deposits do not represent pure vanadium plays.
Which brings us to northern
Nevada, and the largest known black vanadium resource in North
America
Primary Vanadium Mining
Companies in Nevada
Ticker
|
LGO
|
PCY
|
FVAN
|
CUBE
|
UBM
|
Company Name
|
Largo Resources
|
Prophecy Development
|
First Vanadium
|
CellCube Energy Storage
Systems
|
United Battery Metals
|
Trading Volume CAD$
|
15.27
|
1.64
|
0.40
|
2.55
|
0.42
|
Market Cap CAD$
|
2089.2
|
41.50
|
56.15
|
40.83
|
32.85
|
Share Price CAD$
|
3.99
|
0.52
|
1.52
|
0.295
|
1.32
|
Project Location
|
Bahia, Brazil
|
Nevada, USA
|
Nevada, USA
|
Nevada, USA
|
Colorado, USA
|
Measured & Indicated Resources @ V2O5
%
|
21.8 mn t @1.20%
|
22.95 mn t @0.29%
|
|
11.9 mn t @0.39%
|
0.09 mn t @1.7%
|
Inferred Resources @ V2O5 %
|
32.5 mn t @0.81%
|
14.97 mn t @0.18%
|
25.4 mn t @0.515%
|
7.05 mn t @0.42%
|
0.06 mn t @1.57%
|
Total Resources @ V2O5 %
|
54.3 mn t @0.96%
|
37.92 mn t @0.24%
|
25.4 mn t @0.515%
|
18.95 mn t @0.40%
|
0.14 mn t @1.65%
|
Project Development Stage
|
Production*
|
Permitting**
|
Exploration***
|
Exploration***
|
Exploration
|
V2O5 production per year, forecast
|
20.2 - 22.4 mn lbs
|
11 mn lbs
|
|
|
|
*-Production process involves
high temperature roasting
**- Processing: heap leaching,
no roasting
***- Sulphide, requires
roasting
Source:
www.prophecydev.com
As a benchmark Largo Resources
is presented herein, a TSX-listed vanadium producer in Brazil,
which extracts vanadium from iron ore as the benchmark.
Vanadium Projects Location, Nevada,
USA
Source:
www.prophecydev.com
First Vanadium Corp, Prophecy
Development Corp, and Cellcube Energy Storage Systems occupy
projects on the same vanadium-bearing trend which spans an extent
of over 180 miles. While all 3 projects have verifiable vanadium
resources, Prophecy
Development Corp’s (TSX: PCY, OTC: PRPCF) Gibellini project
has a completed historic feasibility study and contains the largest
measured and indicated vanadium resource in the belt. Prophecy is
the only company to have filed a Plan of Operation to the proper
Federal branches, including environmental baseline studies in May
2018 (link), laying the groundwork for to a definitive path to
production to become America’s first primary vanadium producing
mine.
Race to be the
First Major Vanadium Mine in the US
Prophecy has recently appointed Gerald Panneton
as Prophecy’s
(TSX:
PCY) new President
and CEO (Mr. Panneton was the founder and CEO of Detour Gold, a
multi-billion dollar major gold producer in Canada, where he help
raised $2.6 billion) and Prophecy is on a blazing trail due to
prying a top gun from McEwen Mining
Corp. , Ron Espell,
to permit arguably the most exciting vanadium project in the
US. McEwen Mining is run by the legendary Rob McEwen, the
ex-Chairman and CEO of GoldCorp Inc., one of largest gold-mining
companies in the world.
One of Ron’s most recent
accomplishments in Nevada is permitting the McKewen Mining’s Gold
Bar Project.
Within 18 months his joining
McEwen Mining as Environmental Director, Mr. Espell had led his
team to successfully obtain the Gold Bar Project’s Environmental
Impact Statement (EIS) approval from the Bureau of Land
Management’s (BLM) Battle Mountain District office (November
2017).
Nick Hodge of
the outsider Club (https://www.outsiderclub.com/)
on Friday issued an alert to its subscribers with following
highlights:
“An updated, 2018 PEA pegged
the after-tax NPV at US$338.3 million and the IRR at 50.8%.
Gibellini contains 129.28 million pounds of vanadium pentoxide
(V205) grading 0.294%. The current mine plan envisions producing
9.65 million pounds annually for over 13 years, paying back its
capital cost of US$116.8 million in 1.72 years. The after tax net
present value of the Gibellini vanadium project is north of US$338
million, meaning Prophecy is trading at a significant discount to
its project value.” *
That was all done at a
vanadium price of $12.73 per pound. Vanadium prices are currently
twice that.
Indeed, by comparing Largo’s production
profile and valuation, Prophecy appears to have lots of upside
potential.
Trade Prophecy
at links below:
US Brokers (OTC:
PRPCF)
www.tdameritrade.com
www.etrade.com
www.fidelity.com
www.merrilledge.com
Canadian Brokers
(TSX: PCY)
www.Td.com
www.rbcdirectinvesting.com
www.qtrade.com
www.questrade.com
www.scotiabank.com/itrade
www.bmo.com/investorline
* - “Gibellini Vanadium
Project, Eureka County Nevada, NI 43-101 Technical Report on
Preliminary Economic Assessment” filed May 29, 2018 "
Cautionary Note
Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
The
Gibellini project attributes are taken from its May 29, 2018 PEA,
which includes inferred resources that are considered too
speculative geologically to have the economic considerations
applied to them that would enable them to be categorized as mineral
reserves. And there is no certainty that the PEA will be realized.
Mineral resources are not mineral reserves and do not have
demonstrated economic viability.
Certain
statements contained in this news release (including statements
which may contain words such as “expects”, “anticipates”,
“intends”, “plans”, “believes”, “estimates”, and similar
expressions) and statements related to matters which are not
historical facts are forward-looking information within the meaning
of applicable securities laws. Such forward-looking statements,
which reflect management’s expectations regarding Prophecy’s future
growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and
opportunities, are based on certain factors and assumptions. They
involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties which may cause
the actual results, performance, or achievements to be materially
different from the future results, performance, or achievements
expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.
[1] George, Micheal
W. (19 January 2017). "Mineral Commodity Summaries 2017”.
Reston, Virginia: U.S. Geological Survey.
p. 73.
[2] Perry, Rick;
Visher, Mike (1 November 2016). "Major Mines of Nevada 2015”. Nevada Division of Minerals. Nevada
Bureau of Mines and Geology. Retrieved 24 January 2017.
[3] Update on
Production and Exploration Activity in Nevada -
2009 at Nevada Bureau of Mines and
Geology
|