Oil Pulls Back As OPEC Optimism Fades
November 20 2017 - 12:19PM
Dow Jones News
By Sarah McFarlane and Stephanie Yang
Oil prices pulled back on Monday, as doubts arose over whether a
meeting of global crude producers next week will result in an
extension of output cuts.
Light, sweet crude for December delivery fell 70 cents, or 1.2%,
to $55.85 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent, the
global benchmark, declined 88 cents, or 1.4%, to $61.84 a
barrel.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other
producers including Russia will meet on Nov. 30 and review whether
to extend the production cuts due to expire in March 2018. The deal
aims to reduce a glut of global stocks to their five-year
average.
"We're expecting a potential extension of the deal, that's the
general market consensus, OPEC knows that it needs to continue
doing what it's doing because its targets haven't been reached,"
said Mustafa Ansari, energy economist at development bank Arab
Petroleum Investments Corp.
However, while Saudi Arabia has expressed its dedication to
extending the agreement, investors are less sure of Russia's
commitment as a major participant outside of the cartel.
"There seems to be some equivocation by the Russians about
extending the OPEC deal," said John Kilduff, founding partner at
Again Capital. "With the door being left open, you're seeing the
market take a hit on a potential unraveling."
Oil prices have rallied in recent months to two-year highs,
aided by increased geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing
nations including Saudi Arabia, along with expectations of an
extension to the cuts. Prices ended the week lower Friday for the
first time in six weeks.
"Markets are in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the OPEC meeting
later this month," said consultancy Global Risk Management in a
note.
Analysts also warned that U.S. shale production was likely to
respond quickly to the higher prices.
"Even if they [OPEC] do extend the deal, I don't see too
significant a price rise because the market understands even more
than ever before that shale production can respond immediately,"
Mr. Ansari said.
Baker Hughes reported on Friday that the number of U.S. rigs
drilling for oil was unchanged at 738, having risen by nine the
previous week.
Gasoline futures fell 0.5% to $1.7356 a gallon and diesel
futures lost 1.4% to $1.9191 a gallon.
Write to Sarah McFarlane at sarah.mcfarlane@wsj.com and
Stephanie Yang at stephanie.yang@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 20, 2017 12:04 ET (17:04 GMT)
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