FEDERAL NATIONAL MORTGAGE ASSOCIATION
FANNIE
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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-Q
☑ QUARTERLY
REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
ACT OF 1934
For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2020
OR
☐ TRANSITION
REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE
ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission file number: 0-50231
Federal National Mortgage Association
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Fannie Mae
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Federally chartered corporation
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52-0883107 |
1100 15th Street, NW
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800 |
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232-6643 |
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Washington, |
DC |
20005 |
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(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
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(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
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(Address of principal executive offices, including zip
code) |
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(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code) |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Act:
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Title of each class |
Trading Symbol(s) |
Name of each exchange on which registered |
None |
N/A |
N/A |
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all
reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or
for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file
such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements
for the past 90 days. Yes ☑ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted
electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted
pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter)
during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the
registrant was required to submit such
files). Yes ☑ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large
accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a
smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the
definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,”
“smaller reporting company,” and “emerging growth company” in Rule
12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
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Large accelerated filer |
☑
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Accelerated filer |
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Non-accelerated filer |
☐ |
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Smaller reporting company |
☐ |
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Emerging growth company |
☐ |
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the
registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period
for complying with any new or revised financial accounting
standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange
Act.
☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company
(as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act). Yes
☐ No ☑
As of October 15, 2020, there were 1,158,087,567 shares of common
stock of the registrant outstanding.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS |
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Page |
PART I—Financial Information |
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Item 1. |
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Item 2. |
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Item 3. |
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Item 4. |
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PART II—Other Information |
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Item 1. |
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Item 1A. |
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Item 2. |
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Item 3. |
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Item 4. |
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Item 5. |
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Item 6. |
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
1
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PART I—FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations
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We have been under conservatorship, with the Federal Housing
Finance Agency (“FHFA”) acting as conservator, since
September 6, 2008. As conservator, FHFA succeeded to all
rights, titles, powers and privileges of the company, and of any
shareholder, officer or director of the company with respect to the
company and its assets. The conservator has since provided for the
exercise of certain authorities by our Board of Directors. Our
directors do not have any fiduciary duties to any person or entity
except to the conservator and, accordingly, are not obligated to
consider the interests of the company, the holders of our equity or
debt securities, or the holders of Fannie Mae MBS unless
specifically directed to do so by the conservator. |
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We do not know when or how the conservatorship will terminate, what
further changes to our business will be made during or following
conservatorship, what form we will have and what ownership
interest, if any, our current common and preferred stockholders
will hold in us after the conservatorship is terminated or whether
we will continue to exist following conservatorship. The U.S.
Department of the Treasury (“Treasury”) released a plan in
September 2019 for housing finance reform (the “Treasury plan”)
that includes recommendations related to ending our
conservatorship. Congress and the Administration continue to
consider options for reform of the housing finance system,
including Fannie Mae. We are not permitted to retain more than $25
billion in capital reserves or to pay dividends or other
distributions to stockholders other than Treasury. Our agreements
with Treasury include covenants that significantly restrict our
business activities. For additional information on the
conservatorship, our uncertain future, our agreements with
Treasury, and recent housing finance reform developments, see
“Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing Finance
Reform” in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019
(“2019 Form 10-K”), “Risk Factors” in our 2019 Form 10-K and in
this report, and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations (‘MD&A’)—Legislation and
Regulation” in our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2020
(“Second Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q”).
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You should read this MD&A in conjunction with our unaudited
condensed consolidated financial statements and related notes in
this report and the more detailed information in our 2019
Form 10-K. You can find a “Glossary of Terms Used in
This
Report” in our 2019 Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements in
this report are based on management’s current expectations and are
subject to significant uncertainties and changes in circumstances,
as we describe in “Forward-Looking Statements.” Future events and
our future results may differ materially from those reflected in
our forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors,
including those discussed in “Risk Factors” and elsewhere in this
report and in our 2019 Form 10-K.
Introduction
Fannie Mae is a leading source of financing for mortgages in the
United States. Our revenues are primarily driven by guaranty fees
we receive for managing the credit risk on loans underlying the
mortgage-backed securities we issue. Our mission is to provide a
stable source of liquidity to support housing in the U.S. for low-
and moderate-income borrowers and renters. We operate in the
secondary mortgage market, primarily working with lenders, who
originate loans to borrowers. We do not originate loans or lend
money directly to borrowers in the primary mortgage market.
Instead, we securitize mortgage loans originated by lenders
into Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities that we guarantee
(which we refer to as Fannie Mae MBS or our MBS); purchase mortgage
loans and mortgage-related securities, primarily for securitization
and sale at a later date; manage mortgage credit risk; and engage
in other activities that support access to credit and the supply of
affordable housing. In order to perform these activities through
market cycles in accordance with our mission, we are working
closely with FHFA, our conservator and regulator, to prioritize
safety and soundness, strong risk management and strong corporate
governance.
Through
our
single-family and multifamily business segments,
we
provided $982 billion in liquidity to the mortgage market in the
first nine months of 2020, including $506 billion through our whole
loan conduit that primarily supports small- to medium-sized
lenders, enabling the financing of approximately 3.9 million
home purchases, refinancings or rental units. Our liquidity
provided in the first nine months of 2020 represents our highest
level of acquisition volume since the first nine months of
2003.
Fannie Mae Provided $982 Billion in Liquidity in the First Nine
Months of 2020
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Unpaid Principal Balance |
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Units |
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$286B |
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1.0M
Single-Family Home Purchases
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$647B |
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2.3M
Single-Family Refinancings
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$49B |
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542K
Multifamily Rental Units
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
1
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Executive Summary
Summary of Our Financial Performance

The increase in our net income in the third quarter of 2020,
compared with the third quarter of 2019, was primarily driven by an
increase in net interest income due to higher loan prepayments as a
result of the historically low interest rate environment, an
increase in investment gains and a decrease in fair value losses.
These were partially offset by a decrease in credit-related income
due to expected credit losses as a result of the economic
dislocation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Our net interest
income for the third quarter of 2020 was also impacted by the
application of our accounting policy for nonaccrual loans that
allowed us to continue accruing interest income on delinquent loans
that were current at March 1, 2020 and have been negatively
impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. As a result of this update, we
recognized $763 million in interest income related to these
loans in the third quarter which we would not have recognized prior
to the application of our updated policy. See “Consolidated Results
of Operations” for more information on our financial results and
“Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting
Guidance” for more information about our policy for nonaccrual
loans.

The decrease in our net income in the first nine months of 2020,
compared with the first nine months of 2019, was primarily driven
by a shift from credit-related income to credit-related expense
driven by the economic dislocation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic,
partially offset by an increase in net interest income due to
higher loan prepayments as a result of the historically low
interest rate environment. Our net interest income in the first
nine months of 2020 was also impacted by our recognition of $2.2
billion in interest income as a result of the update in our
application of our policy for nonaccrual loans as
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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described above. We also recognized $569 million of provision
for loan losses on the related accrued interest receivable in the
first nine months of 2020.
Net worth.
Our net worth was $20.7 billion as of September 30, 2020. This
amount reflects:
•our
net worth of $14.6 billion as of December 31, 2019;
•a
reduction in our net worth in the first quarter of 2020 driven by a
charge of $1.1 billion to retained earnings due to our
implementation of Accounting Standards Update 2016-13, Financial
Instruments—Credit Losses, Measurement of Credit Losses on
Financial Instruments and related amendments (the “CECL standard”)
on January 1, 2020; and
•our
comprehensive income of $7.2 billion for the first nine months of
2020.
See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New
Accounting Guidance—The Current Expected Credit Loss Standard” for
further details on our implementation of the CECL
standard.
Changes in our net worth can be significantly impacted by market
conditions that affect our net interest income; fluctuations in the
estimated fair value of our derivatives and other financial
instruments that we mark to market through our earnings;
developments that affect our loss reserves, such as changes in
interest rates, home prices or accounting standards, or events such
as natural disasters or pandemics; and other factors, as we discuss
in “Risk Factors” and “Consolidated Results of Operations” in our
2019 Form 10-K and in this report.
Financial performance.
Our long-term financial performance will depend on many factors,
including:
•the
size of and our share of the U.S. mortgage market, which in turn
will depend upon macroeconomic factors such as population growth,
household formation and housing supply;
•borrower
performance and changes in macroeconomic factors, including home
prices and interest rates; and
•actions
by FHFA, the Administration and Congress relating to our business
and housing finance reform, including the capital requirements that
will be applicable to us, our ongoing financial obligations to
Treasury, potential restrictions on our activities and our business
footprint, our competitive environment, and actions we are required
to take to support borrowers or the mortgage market.
Quarterly fluctuations in acquisition volumes, market share,
guaranty fees, or acquisition credit characteristics in any one
period typically have limited impact on the size and stability of
our conventional guaranty book of business and the associated
revenue, profitability, and credit quality. Only a portion of our
guaranty book of business turns over each year. In eight of the
past ten years, less than 20% of loans in our single-family
conventional guaranty book of business held at year end had been
originated during the year.
Historically low mortgage rates have contributed to our highest
level of acquisition volume in the first nine months of 2020 since
the same period in 2003. As a result, we acquired a
higher-than-usual portion of our book of business during the first
nine months of 2020, with 27% of the loans in our
single-family
conventional guaranty book of business as of September 30, 2020
originated in the first nine months of the
year.
Because we expect mortgage rates to remain low through 2021, we
anticipate a large and growing portion of our book of business,
originated in a historically-low-interest-rate environment, will
have less incentive to refinance in the future, slowing the pace at
which loans in our book of business turn over in future
years.
A slower turnover rate in our book of business would reduce our
ability to increase our future revenues by increasing guaranty
fees, as any such change would take longer to meaningfully increase
the average charged guaranty fee on our total book of business. See
“MD&A—Legislation and Regulation—Developments Relating to
Exiting Conservatorship” in our Second Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q for a
discussion of how this may impact our efforts to generate capital
and “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net Interest Income” in
this report for information on how this may affect amortization
income we receive in future periods. Also see “COVID-19
Impact—Fannie Mae Response” and “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Business Metrics” in this report for a
discussion of the new adverse market refinance fee we plan to
implement on December 1, 2020.
As described further in “COVID-19 Impact” and “Risk Factors,” the
COVID-19 pandemic has significantly affected our financial
performance and we expect that it will continue to do so. Given the
unprecedented nature of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fast pace at
which new developments relating to the pandemic are occurring, it
is difficult to assess or predict the long-term effects of the
pandemic on our financial performance.
Net Worth, Treasury Funding and Senior Preferred Stock
Dividends
Treasury has made a commitment under a senior preferred stock
purchase agreement to provide funding to us under certain
circumstances if we have a net worth deficit. Pursuant to the
senior preferred stock purchase agreement, we issued shares of
senior preferred stock to Treasury in 2008.
Under the terms of the senior preferred stock, we will not owe
senior preferred stock dividends to Treasury until we have
accumulated over $25 billion in net worth as of the end of a
quarter. Accordingly, no dividends were payable to Treasury for the
third quarter of 2020, and none are payable for the fourth quarter
of 2020.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
3
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The charts below show information about our net worth, the
remaining amount of Treasury’s funding commitment to us, senior
preferred stock dividends we have paid Treasury and funds we have
drawn from Treasury pursuant to its funding
commitment.
(1)Aggregate
amount of dividends we have paid to Treasury on the senior
preferred stock from 2008 through September 30, 2020. Under the
terms of the senior preferred stock purchase agreement, dividend
payments we make to Treasury do not offset our draws of funds from
Treasury.
(2)Aggregate
amount of funds we have drawn from Treasury pursuant to the senior
preferred stock purchase agreement from 2008 through September 30,
2020.
The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock
increased from $135.4 billion as of June 30, 2020 to $138.0
billion as of September 30, 2020 due to the $2.5 billion increase
in our net worth during the second quarter of 2020. The aggregate
liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will increase
to $142.2 billion as of December 31, 2020 due to the $4.2 billion
increase in our net worth during the third quarter of
2020.
If we were to draw additional funds from Treasury under the senior
preferred stock purchase agreement with respect to a future period,
the amount of remaining funding under the agreement would be
reduced by the amount of our draw, and the aggregate liquidation
preference of the senior preferred stock would increase by the
amount of our draw. For a description of the terms of the senior
preferred stock purchase agreement and the senior preferred stock,
see “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing
Finance Reform” in our 2019 Form 10-K.
Treasury owns our senior preferred stock and a warrant to purchase
79.9% of our common stock. Treasury has also made a commitment
under the senior preferred stock purchase agreement to provide us
with funds to maintain a positive net worth under specified
conditions. However, the U.S. government does not guarantee our
securities or other obligations.
COVID-19 Impact
In March 2020, President Trump declared the COVID-19 outbreak in
the United States a national emergency. The COVID-19 pandemic in
the United States resulted in stay-at-home orders, school closures
and widespread business shutdowns across the country. Although
business activity and community life have resumed to varying
degrees, the future path of economic activity remains highly
uncertain.
The pandemic continues to have a significant impact on our business
and on our financial results. We provide a brief overview below of
the economic impact of the pandemic, our response to it, and the
pandemic’s impact on our business and financial results, with
references to where these items are discussed in more detail in
this report. We also highlight below the many uncertainties
relating to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Fannie Mae and
the housing market.
Economic Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic caused substantial financial market
volatility and has significantly adversely affected both the U.S.
and global economies. While state and local governments throughout
the country have re-opened their economies to varying degrees, the
U.S. economy continues to be affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.
Although the economy has improved significantly since the second
quarter of 2020, business activity remains well below the level
before the onset of the pandemic, with unemployment remaining
substantially higher than pre-pandemic levels. Moreover, new daily
cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. have been trending upward in October,
exceeding their previous peak in July and increasing the risk of
new shut-downs and reductions in business activity. The federal
government has taken many actions to reduce the negative economic
impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. For example, the Federal Reserve
lowered the federal funds rate and increased its purchases
of
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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Treasury and mortgage-backed securities, purchased corporate debt
securities, and established and expanded liquidity facilities to
support the flow of credit to consumers and businesses. In
addition, the federal government passed legislation increasing and
expanding unemployment benefits, providing direct cash payments to
eligible taxpayers, and allocating funds to assist businesses,
states, and municipalities.
The disruption caused by the pandemic differs from previous
economic downturns because of the high level of uncertainty related
to the health and safety of consumers and workers. We expect the
path and timing of economic recovery will be impacted by the rate
of new COVID-19 cases and the associated mortality rates. We
believe that sustaining the current economic recovery depends on
continued growth in consumer spending, increased business activity,
and an associated reduction in unemployment, all of which impact
the ability of borrowers and renters to make their monthly
payments. Government support, as described above, has played a role
in helping to reduce the negative economic impact of the pandemic.
Some of these programs have ended, including the $600 federal
supplement to state unemployment benefits, which expired at the end
of July. The ultimate impact of the expiration of these programs
and the extent to which any future government actions will mitigate
the negative impacts of COVID-19 on the U.S. economy and our
business is highly unclear. The pandemic resulted in a contraction
in U.S. gross domestic product (“GDP”) in the second quarter of
2020 that we expect will not be entirely offset by growth in the
second half of the year. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for
information on macroeconomic conditions during the first nine
months of 2020 and our current forecasts regarding future
macroeconomic conditions.
Fannie Mae Response
We are taking a number of actions to help borrowers, renters,
lenders and servicers manage the negative impact of the COVID-19
pandemic, including:
•providing
payment forbearance (that is, a temporary suspension or reduction
of the borrower’s monthly mortgage payments) to single-family and
multifamily borrowers with COVID-19-related financial
hardships;
•suspending
most foreclosures and evictions;
•conducting
outreach efforts to provide borrowers and renters with information
on the relief options available to them, including our #HeretoHelp
media campaign and updating our KnowYourOptions.com
website;
•providing
lenders and servicers temporary flexibilities for certain of our
Selling Guide and Servicing Guide requirements; and
•providing
liquidity to lenders by purchasing a higher-than-usual volume of
loans through our whole loan conduit.
We have also taken steps to mitigate the risk to Fannie Mae from
the impacts of the pandemic, including the following:
•Selling
Guide Changes.
We have temporarily changed some of our Single-Family Selling Guide
requirements to help ensure that up-to-date information is being
considered to support the borrower’s ability to repay the loan,
such as requiring more recent documentation of borrower employment,
income and assets.
•Adverse
Market Refinance Fee.
We are implementing a new adverse market refinance fee in light of
the increased costs and risk we expect to incur due to the COVID-19
pandemic. This new adverse market refinance fee is a one-time
charge of 0.5% of the loan amount that the lender is required to
pay at the time we acquire the loan and will be effective December
1, 2020. To help ensure that the fee does not negatively impact our
affordable housing mission, the fee will only apply to eligible
single-family loan refinances and will not apply to loans for home
purchases, refinance loans with an original principal amount of
less than or equal to $125,000, or certain HomeReady® refinance
loans. The lender may choose whether to pass on all, some or none
of the fee to the borrower. The new fee is intended to help us
offset some of the higher projected expenses and risk due to
COVID-19, including costs associated with the actions we are taking
to help borrowers, lenders and servicers impacted by the pandemic,
such as providing forbearances, suspending foreclosures and
evictions, and offering repayment plans, payment deferrals and loan
modifications.
See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit
Risk Management” for more information on the actions we are taking
in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
We have also taken steps to help protect the safety and resiliency
of our workforce. From mid-March through early October 2020, we
required nearly all of our workforce to work remotely. Beginning in
early October, we are now allowing employees, on a voluntary basis,
to request approval to return to work at some of our office
locations and have established mandatory COVID-19 safety protocols
for these locations. We expect a significant majority of our
employees will continue to work remotely for the foreseeable
future. To date, our business resiliency plans and technology
systems have effectively supported this telework
arrangement.
Impact on our Business and Financial Results
The economic dislocation caused by the COVID-19 pandemic was the
primary driver of the decline in our net income in the first nine
months of 2020, as compared with the first nine months of 2019. We
significantly increased our allowance for loan losses in the first
nine months of 2020 to reflect our expected loan losses as a result
of the pandemic, which resulted in
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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substantial credit-related expenses. We are also incurring other
costs associated with the pandemic, such as paying higher fees to
servicers to support providing loss mitigation to borrowers. We
expect the impact of the pandemic to continue to negatively affect
our financial results, contributing to lower net income in 2020
than in 2019. We could also have net losses in future periods. In
addition, we expect the pandemic to negatively affect our returns
on capital under FHFA’s conservatorship capital requirements. See
“Consolidated Results of Operations,” “Single-Family Business” and
“Multifamily Business” for more information on our financial
results for the third quarter and first nine months of
2020.
We did not enter into new credit risk transfer transactions in the
second quarter of 2020 due to adverse market conditions resulting
from the COVID-19 pandemic. Although market conditions improved in
the third quarter of 2020, we did not enter into any new credit
risk transfer transactions in the third quarter and currently do
not have plans to engage in additional new credit risk transfer
transactions in the near future, as we evaluate FHFA’s recently
proposed capital rule, FHFA’s conservatorship scorecard
requirements and other factors. FHFA’s proposed capital rule would
reduce the amount of capital relief we obtain from these
transactions. We will continue to review our plans, which may be
affected by our evaluation of the proposed capital rule and changes
in the rule as it is finalized, our progress in meeting FHFA’s
conservatorship scorecard, the strength of future market
conditions, and our review of our overall business and capital plan
to enable us to exit conservatorship. See “MD&A—Legislation and
Regulation” in our Second Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q for more
information on FHFA’s proposed capital rule. See “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of
Mortgage Credit Risk” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily
Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage
Credit Risk” for more information about our credit-risk transfer
activity.
Also see “Retained Mortgage Portfolio,” “Liquidity and Capital
Management” and “Risk Management” for discussions of the impact of
the COVID-19 pandemic on our business.
Risks and Uncertainties
Our current forecasts and expectations relating to the impact of
the COVID-19 pandemic are subject to many uncertainties and may
change, perhaps substantially. It is difficult to assess or predict
the impact of this unprecedented event on our business, financial
results or financial condition. Factors that will impact the extent
to which the COVID-19 pandemic affects our business, financial
results and financial condition include: the duration, spread and
severity of COVID-19 outbreaks; the actions taken to contain the
virus or treat its impact, including government actions to mitigate
the economic impact of the pandemic and the widespread availability
and public acceptance of a COVID-19 vaccine; the extent to which
consumers, workers and families feel safe resuming pre-pandemic
activities; the nature, extent and success of the forbearance,
payment deferrals, modifications and other loss mitigation options
we provide to borrowers affected by the pandemic; accounting
elections and estimates relating to the impact of the COVID-19
pandemic; borrower and renter behavior in response to the pandemic
and its economic impact; how quickly and to what extent normal
economic and operating conditions can resume, including whether any
future outbreaks or increases in the daily number of new COVID-19
cases interrupt economic recovery; and how quickly and to what
extent affected borrowers, renters and counterparties can recover
from the negative economic impact of the pandemic. See “Risk
Factors” for a discussion of the risks to our business, financial
results and financial condition relating to the COVID-19 pandemic.
See “Forward-Looking Statements” for a discussion of factors that
could cause actual conditions, events or results to differ
materially from those described in our forecasts, expectations and
other forward-looking statements in this report.
Legislation and Regulation
The information in this section updates and supplements information
regarding legislative and regulatory developments affecting our
business set forth in “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury
Agreements and Housing Finance Reform” and “Business—Charter Act
and Regulation” in our 2019 Form 10-K, as well as in
“MD&A—Legislation and Regulation” in our Form 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2020 (“First Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q”) and
our Second Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q. Also see “Risk Factors” in this
report and in our 2019 Form 10-K for discussions of risks relating
to legislative and regulatory matters.
FHFA Instruction to Extend Timeframe for Single-Family MBS
Delinquent Loan Buyout Policy
Under the terms of our MBS trust documents, we have the option or,
in some instances, the obligation to purchase mortgage loans that
meet specific criteria from an MBS trust. Our current policy is
that, except for loans that are in forbearance or that have been
granted certain other types of loss mitigation options (such as a
repayment plan or payment deferral), we generally purchase loans
from single-family MBS trusts when they become four consecutive
monthly payments delinquent. In September 2020, FHFA instructed
both us and Freddie Mac to extend the timeframe for our
single-family delinquent loan buyout policy to twenty-four
consecutively missed monthly payments (that is, loans that are 24
months past due), with the same exceptions noted above, effective
January 1, 2021. Despite this change in policy, we currently
anticipate that in most cases we will purchase delinquent loans
from single-family MBS trusts prior to the 24-month deadline under
one of the exceptions to the general policy, which includes loans
that are permanently modified, loans subject to a short-sale or
deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, loans that are paid in full and loans
referred to foreclosure. FHFA’s instruction provides that this new
buyout
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Legislation and Regulation |
timeframe must be in effect for at least two years from the January
1, 2021 effective date and that market participants must be
provided at least six months advance notice of any change. FHFA’s
instruction also provides that we update our requirements
to:
•limit
servicers’ obligations to advance guaranty fees to four months;
and
•allow
servicers to receive reimbursement for advanced payments of
principal and interest on a delinquent loan after four missed
payments without being required to request
reimbursement.
We are currently examining updates to our requirements on guaranty
fee advances and reimbursement of principal and interest advances
to comply with FHFA’s instruction, and expect to communicate
additional details and effective dates in the future. See “Retained
Mortgage Portfolio” for more information on our purchases of loans
from MBS trusts.
FHFA Waiver Regarding Publication of Stress Test
Results
The Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act (the
“Dodd-Frank Act”) requires certain financial companies to conduct
annual stress tests to determine whether the companies have the
capital necessary to absorb losses as a result of adverse economic
conditions. Under FHFA regulations implementing this requirement,
each year we are required to conduct a stress test using two
different scenarios of financial conditions provided by
FHFA—baseline and severely adverse—and to publish a summary of our
stress test results for the severely adverse scenario by August
15.
FHFA regulation requires that the scenarios provided by FHFA be
generally consistent with and comparable to those established by
the Federal Reserve Board. Following the onset of the COVID-19
pandemic, the Federal Reserve Board considered alternative
scenarios that were not included among the scenarios initially
issued by FHFA. Accordingly, on August 13, 2020, FHFA issued a
waiver to delay publication of our stress test results for this
year so that we may include the alternative scenarios considered by
the Federal Reserve Board in the summary of our results, with such
other supporting analysis that the Director of FHFA may deem
necessary. In September 2020, in light of the continued uncertainty
posed by the COVID-19 pandemic, the Federal Reserve Board published
alternative hypothetical scenarios featuring severe recessions. We
will publish our 2020 stress test results after FHFA provides us
with instructions regarding these alternative scenarios and a
revised publication timeframe.
CDC Eviction Moratorium
On September 4, 2020, to prevent the further spread of COVID-19,
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (the “CDC”)
published an order prohibiting the eviction of any tenant, lessee
or resident of a residential property for nonpayment of rent
through December 31, 2020, if such person provides a specified
declaration attesting that they meet the requirements to obtain the
protection of the order. The requirements to obtain the protection
of the order include a specified income cap and an inability to pay
their full rent. The CDC order does not apply in any jurisdiction
with a moratorium on residential evictions that provides the same
or greater level of public-health protection. While the CDC order
does not impose any obligations on Fannie Mae or its servicers to
ensure compliance by borrowers, a borrower’s income may be impacted
by tenants who do not pay their rent while under the protection of
the CDC order. As a result, as described in “Risk Factors,” this
eviction moratorium could adversely affect the ability of some of
our borrowers to make payments on their loans.
2019 Housing Goals Performance
We are subject to housing goals, which establish specified
requirements for our mortgage acquisitions relating to
affordability or location. In October 2020, FHFA notified us that
it had determined that we met all of our single-family and
multifamily housing goals for 2019. See “Business—Charter Act and
Regulation—GSE Act and Other Legislation—Housing Goals” in our 2019
Form 10-K for more information regarding our housing
goals.
Financial Stability Oversight Council Statement on Activities-Based
Review of Secondary Mortgage Market Activities
In September 2020, the Financial Stability Oversight Council (the
“FSOC”) announced that it had completed an activities-based review
of the secondary mortgage market, focused in particular on the
activities of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the “GSEs”). In assessing
potential risks to financial stability, the FSOC applied the
framework for an activities-based approach described in its
interpretative guidance on nonbank financial company determinations
issued in December 2019. This framework provides that the FSOC will
consult with relevant financial regulatory agencies, consider the
risk profiles and business models of market participants engaging
in the activities under evaluation, and take into account existing
laws and regulations that may mitigate a potential risk to U.S.
financial stability.
The FSOC noted that any distress at the GSEs that affected their
secondary mortgage market activities could pose a risk to financial
stability if the risks are not properly mitigated. In conducting
its analysis on the extent to which FHFA’s regulatory framework
would adequately mitigate potential stability risks, the FSOC
reviewed FHFA’s recent proposed capital rule (which we describe in
“MD&A—Legislation and Regulation” in our Second Quarter 2020
Form 10-Q) and additional enhancements FHFA is implementing to the
GSEs’ regulatory framework. The FSOC’s announcement provided the
following suggestions for FHFA to consider relating to the proposed
capital rule:
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
7
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MD&A | Legislation and Regulation |
•Risk-based
capital requirements.
The FSOC noted that FHFA’s proposed capital rule would require
aggregate credit risk capital on mortgage exposures that would lead
to a substantially lower risk-based capital requirement than the
bank capital framework. The FSOC encouraged FHFA and other
regulatory agencies to coordinate and take other appropriate action
to avoid market distortions that could increase risks to financial
stability by generally taking consistent approaches to the capital
requirements and other regulation of similar risks across market
participants, consistent with the business models and missions of
their regulated entities.
•Capital
buffers.
The FSOC encouraged FHFA to consider the relative merits of
alternative approaches for more dynamically calibrating the capital
buffers. The FSOC noted that the capital buffers should be tailored
to mitigate the potential risks to financial stability and
otherwise ensure that the GSEs have sufficient capital to absorb
losses during periods of severe stress and remain viable going
concerns, while balancing other policy objectives.
•Total
capital sufficiency.
The FSOC noted that FHFA’s proposed capital rule requires a
meaningful amount of capital for the GSEs, and is a significant
step towards ensuring that the GSEs would be able to provide
liquidity to the secondary mortgage market and satisfy their
obligations during and after a period of severe stress. However,
the FSOC also noted that its analysis using benchmark comparisons
suggests that risk-based capital requirements and leverage ratio
requirements that are materially less than those contemplated by
FHFA’s proposed capital rule would likely not adequately mitigate
the potential stability risk posed by the GSEs. Moreover, the FSOC
noted that it is possible that additional capital could be required
for the GSEs to remain viable concerns in the event of a severely
adverse stress, particularly if the GSEs’ asset quality were ever
to deteriorate to levels comparable to the experience leading up to
the 2008 financial crisis. The FSOC encouraged FHFA to ensure
high-quality capital by implementing regulatory capital definitions
that are similar to those in the U.S. banking framework. The FSOC
also encouraged FHFA to require the GSEs to be sufficiently
capitalized to remain viable as going concerns during and after a
severe economic downturn.
The FSOC also referenced FHFA’s implementation of other significant
enhancements to the GSEs’ regulatory framework that would help
mitigate the potential risk to financial stability, including
efforts to strengthen GSE liquidity regulation, stress testing,
supervision and resolution planning. The FSOC’s announcement stated
that, “Should these reforms be implemented appropriately, they will
lead to a more durable secondary mortgage market that helps provide
sustainable access to mortgage credit across the economic cycle and
is more resistant to shocks that could impair financial
intermediation or financial market functioning to a degree that
would be sufficient to inflict significant damage on the broader
economy.” The FSOC concluded that it will continue to monitor the
secondary mortgage market activities of the GSEs and FHFA’s
implementation of the regulatory framework to ensure potential
risks to financial stability are adequately addressed; if the FSOC
determines that such risks to financial stability are not
adequately addressed by FHFA’s capital and other regulatory
requirements or other risk mitigants, the FSOC may consider more
formal recommendations or other actions.
Proposed Rule on New Products and Activities
The Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety and Soundness Act
of 1992, as amended, including by the Federal Housing Finance
Regulatory Reform Act of 2008 (together, the “GSE Act”), requires
us to obtain prior approval from FHFA before initially offering new
products and to provide advance notice to FHFA of new activities,
subject to certain exceptions. In October 2020, FHFA issued a
proposed rule implementing this provision. The proposed rule
establishes a process for the review of new products and activities
by FHFA, including providing for a public notice and comment period
with respect to new products. The proposed rule also establishes
revised criteria for determining what constitutes a new activity
that requires notice to FHFA and describes the activities that are
excluded from the requirements of the proposed rule. The proposed
rule, if adopted as final, would replace an interim final rule that
has been in effect since July 2009. Once adopted, the new rule
would apply both during and after our transition from
conservatorship. The new rule also would cover new activities and
new products proposed by Common Securitization Solutions, LLC
(“CSS”), which is an affiliate of Fannie Mae.
Extension of Qualified Mortgage Patch
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s (the “CFPB’s”)
“ability-to-repay” rule under the Truth in Lending Act includes a
general “qualified mortgage” definition, and an exception to that
definition referred to as the qualified mortgage “patch,” pursuant
to which conventional mortgage loans are considered qualified
mortgages if they (1) meet certain qualified mortgage requirements
generally and (2) are eligible to be purchased or guaranteed by
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac operating under the conservatorship or
receivership of FHFA.
As described in our Second Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q, in June 2020,
the CFPB proposed a revised qualified mortgage rule that would
eliminate the qualified mortgage patch and revise the general
qualified mortgage definition. This proposed rule has not been
finalized.
In October 2020, the CFPB issued a final rule extending the
expiration of the qualified mortgage patch until the mandatory
compliance date for the revised qualified mortgage rule or when
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exit conservatorship, whichever occurs
first. The qualified mortgage patch was previously scheduled to
expire on the earlier of January 10, 2021 or the exit of the GSEs
from conservatorship.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
8
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MD&A | Key Market Economic Indicators |
Key Market Economic Indicators
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant adverse effect on both
the U.S. and global economies. Below we discuss how varying
macroeconomic conditions can influence our financial results across
different business and economic environments. See “Executive
Summary—COVID-19 Impact” for additional information on the effects
of the pandemic on the economy and the uncertainty associated with
its ultimate impact on our business and financial
results.
Our forecasts and expectations relating to the impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic are subject to many uncertainties and may change,
perhaps substantially, from our current forecasts and
expectations.
Selected Benchmark Interest Rates
(1)According
to Bloomberg.
(2)Refers
to the U.S. weekly average fixed-rate mortgage rate according to
Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey®.
These rates are reported using the latest available data for a
given period.
How interest rates can affect our financial results
•Net
interest income.
In a rising interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to
prepay more slowly, which typically results in lower net
amortization income from cost basis adjustments on mortgage loans
and related debt. Conversely, in a declining interest-rate
environment, our mortgage loans tend to prepay faster, typically
resulting in higher net amortization income from cost basis
adjustments on mortgage loans and related debt.
•Fair
value gains (losses).
We have exposure to fair value gains and losses resulting from
changes in interest rates, primarily through our mortgage
commitment derivatives and risk management derivatives, which we
mark to market through earnings. Fair value gains and losses on our
mortgage commitment derivatives fluctuate depending on how interest
rates and prices move between the time the commitment is opened and
settled. The net position and composition across the yield curve of
our risk management derivatives changes over time. As a result,
interest rate changes (increases or decreases) and yield curve
changes (parallel, steepening or flattening shifts) will generate
varying amounts of fair value gains or losses in a given period. We
are preparing to implement hedge accounting in the first quarter of
2021 to reduce the impact of interest-rate volatility on our
financial results. For additional information on the expected
impact of hedge accounting, see “Consolidated Results of
Operations—Fair Value Losses, Net.”
•Credit-related
income (expense).
Increases in mortgage interest rates tend to lengthen the expected
lives of our loans, which generally increases the expected
impairment and provision for credit losses on such loans. Decreases
in mortgage interest rates tend to shorten the expected lives of
our loans, which reduces the impairment and provision for credit
losses on such loans.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
9
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MD&A | Key Market Economic Indicators |
Single-Family Quarterly Home Price Growth Rate(1)
(1)Calculated
internally using property data on loans purchased by Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac, and other third-party home sales data. Fannie Mae’s
home price index is a weighted repeat transactions index, measuring
average price changes in repeat sales on the same properties.
Fannie Mae’s home price index excludes prices on properties sold in
foreclosure. Fannie Mae’s home price estimates are based on
preliminary data and are subject to change as additional data
become available.
How home prices can affect our financial results
•Actual
and forecasted home prices impact our provision or benefit for
credit losses.
•Changes
in home prices affect the amount of equity that borrowers have in
their homes. Borrowers with less equity typically have higher
delinquency and default rates.
•As
home prices increase, the severity of losses we incur on defaulted
loans that we hold or guarantee decreases because the amount we can
recover from the properties securing the loans increases. Decreases
in home prices increase the losses we incur on defaulted
loans.
•Home
price growth in the third quarter
of 2020 was unseasonably strong despite the COVID-19 pandemic,
benefiting from continued low interest rates, low levels of supply
and high levels of demand, particularly from first-time homebuyers.
Higher-than-expected increases in supply or decreases in demand
could lead to decreases in home prices.
•We
currently expect home prices on a national basis to increase 7.0%
in 2020, compared with 4.8% home price growth in 2019. We revised
our 2020 home price forecast upward since the second quarter due to
better-than-expected housing demand and continued low levels of
supply through the first nine months of the year. However, we have
adjusted downward our longer-term projection of home price growth
as we believe there may be an eventual weakening in housing demand
due to the ongoing economic and labor market weaknesses caused by
the pandemic. As such, our current estimate of home price growth on
a national basis for 2021 is 1.7%. We also expect significant
regional variation in the timing and rate of home price
growth.
•Our
forecasts and expectations relating to the impact of the COVID-19
pandemic are subject to many uncertainties and may change, perhaps
substantially, from our current forecasts and expectations. For
example, home price growth could slow and potentially decline if
GDP growth is weaker than we currently expect, if unemployment,
particularly among existing homeowners and potential new home
buyers, is higher than we expect, or if the housing market is more
sensitive to economic and labor-market weaknesses than we expect.
For further discussion on housing activity, see “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Mortgage Market” and “Multifamily
Business—Multifamily Mortgage Market.”
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Key Market Economic Indicators |
New Housing Starts(1)
(1)According
to U.S. Census Bureau and subject to revision.
How housing activity can affect our financial results
•Two
key aspects of economic activity that can impact supply and demand
for housing and thus mortgage lending are the rate of household
formation and housing construction.
•Household
formation is a key driver of demand for both single-family and
multifamily housing. A newly formed household will either rent or
purchase a home. Thus, changes in the pace of household formation
can affect prices and credit performance as well as the degree of
loss on defaulted loans.
•Growth
of household formation stimulates homebuilding. Homebuilding has
typically been a cyclical leader of broader economic activity
contributing to the growth of GDP and to employment. Residential
construction activity has historically been a leading indicator,
weakening prior to a slowdown in U.S. economic activity and
accelerating prior to a recovery. However, the housing sector’s
performance may vary from its historical precedent due to the many
uncertainties related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the
economy and the housing market, as well as uncertainty surrounding
future economic or housing policy.
•With
regard to housing construction, a decline in housing starts results
in fewer new homes being available for purchase and potentially a
lower volume of mortgage originations. Construction activity can
also affect credit losses through its impact on home prices. If the
growth of demand exceeds the growth of supply, prices will
appreciate and impact the risk profile of newly originated home
purchase mortgages, depending on where in the housing cycle the
market is. A reduced pace of construction is often associated with
a broader economic slowdown and may signal expected increases in
delinquency and losses on defaulted loans.
•In
light of the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on the
economy, home sales fell sharply in the second quarter but then
rebounded in the third quarter. Purchase demand has remained
resilient, supported by the low mortgage-rate environment. Given
both the current strength in demand and low inventories, we expect
single-family housing starts to further increase in the fourth
quarter and full-year 2020 housing starts to exceed 2019
levels.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Key Market Economic Indicators |
GDP, Unemployment Rate and Personal Consumption
(1)GDP
growth (decline) and personal consumption growth (decline) for
periods prior to the third quarter of 2020 are based on the
quarterly series calculated by the Bureau of Economic Analysis and
are subject to revision. GDP growth and personal consumption growth
for the third quarter of 2020 are based on Fannie Mae’s
forecast.
(2)According
to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and subject to
revision.
How GDP, the unemployment rate and personal consumption can affect
our financial results
•Changes
in GDP, the unemployment rate and personal consumption can affect
several mortgage market factors, including the demand for both
single-family and multifamily housing and the level of loan
delinquencies. Reduced housing demand and higher loan delinquencies
can contribute to credit losses.
•Economic
growth is a key factor for the performance of mortgage-related
assets. In a growing economy, employment and income are rising,
thus allowing existing borrowers to meet payment requirements,
existing homeowners to consider purchasing and moving to another
home, and renters to consider becoming homeowners. Homebuilding
typically increases to meet the rise in demand. Mortgage
delinquencies typically fall in an expanding economy, thereby
decreasing credit losses.
•In
a slowing economy, employment and income growth slow and housing
activity slows as an early indicator of reduced economic activity.
Typically, as an economic slowdown intensifies, households reduce
their spending. This reduction in consumption then accelerates the
slowdown. An economic slowdown can lead to employment losses,
impairing the ability of borrowers and renters to meet mortgage and
rental payments, thus causing loan delinquencies to rise. Home
sales and mortgage originations also typically fall in a slowing
economy.
•Due
to the impact of COVID-19, the unemployment rate rose significantly
and GDP declined significantly in the first half of 2020. After a
partial recovery in the third quarter, we expect GDP and
unemployment to improve further in the fourth quarter of 2020.
Overall for full-year 2020, we expect a decline in GDP compared
with 2019, as well as elevated unemployment levels from
pre-pandemic levels.
See “Risk Factors—Market and Industry Risk” in our 2019 Form 10-K
and “Risk Factors” in this report for further discussion of risks
to our business and financial results associated with interest
rates, home prices, housing activity and economic
conditions.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
12
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MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Consolidated Results of Operations
This section discusses our condensed consolidated results of
operations and should be read together with our condensed
consolidated financial statements and the accompanying
notes.
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Summary of Condensed Consolidated Results of
Operations
|
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
|
Net interest income(1)
|
|
$ |
6,656 |
|
|
$ |
5,348 |
|
|
$ |
1,308 |
|
|
$ |
17,780 |
|
|
$ |
15,371 |
|
|
$ |
2,409 |
|
|
Fee and other income |
|
93 |
|
|
188 |
|
|
(95) |
|
|
303 |
|
|
435 |
|
|
(132) |
|
|
Net revenues |
|
6,749 |
|
|
5,536 |
|
|
1,213 |
|
|
18,083 |
|
|
15,806 |
|
|
2,277 |
|
|
Investment gains, net |
|
653 |
|
|
253 |
|
|
400 |
|
|
644 |
|
|
847 |
|
|
(203) |
|
|
Fair value losses, net |
|
(327) |
|
|
(713) |
|
|
386 |
|
|
(1,621) |
|
|
(2,298) |
|
|
677 |
|
|
Administrative expenses |
|
(762) |
|
|
(749) |
|
|
(13) |
|
|
(2,265) |
|
|
(2,237) |
|
|
(28) |
|
|
Credit-related income (expenses): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Benefit (provision) for credit losses |
|
501 |
|
|
1,857 |
|
|
(1,356) |
|
|
(2,094) |
|
|
3,732 |
|
|
(5,826) |
|
|
Foreclosed property expense |
|
(71) |
|
|
(96) |
|
|
25 |
|
|
(161) |
|
|
(364) |
|
|
203 |
|
|
Total credit-related income (expenses) |
|
430 |
|
|
1,761 |
|
|
(1,331) |
|
|
(2,255) |
|
|
3,368 |
|
|
(5,623) |
|
|
Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of
2011 (“TCCA”) fees
|
|
(679) |
|
|
(613) |
|
|
(66) |
|
|
(1,976) |
|
|
(1,806) |
|
|
(170) |
|
|
Credit enhancement expense(2)
|
|
(325) |
|
|
(290) |
|
|
(35) |
|
|
(1,061) |
|
|
(782) |
|
|
(279) |
|
|
Change in expected credit enhancement
recoveries(3)
|
|
(48) |
|
|
— |
|
|
(48) |
|
|
413 |
|
|
— |
|
|
413 |
|
|
Other expenses, net(4)
|
|
(313) |
|
|
(186) |
|
|
(127) |
|
|
(792) |
|
|
(551) |
|
|
(241) |
|
|
Income before federal income taxes |
|
5,378 |
|
|
4,999 |
|
|
379 |
|
|
9,170 |
|
|
12,347 |
|
|
(3,177) |
|
|
Provision for federal income taxes |
|
(1,149) |
|
|
(1,036) |
|
|
(113) |
|
|
(1,935) |
|
|
(2,552) |
|
|
617 |
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
4,229 |
|
|
$ |
3,963 |
|
|
$ |
266 |
|
|
$ |
7,235 |
|
|
$ |
9,795 |
|
|
$ |
(2,560) |
|
|
Total comprehensive income |
|
$ |
4,216 |
|
|
$ |
3,977 |
|
|
$ |
239 |
|
|
$ |
7,224 |
|
|
$ |
9,703 |
|
|
$ |
(2,479) |
|
|
(1)Prior-period
amounts have been adjusted to reflect the current-year change in
presentation related to our yield maintenance fees. See “Note 1,
Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” for more information
about our change in presentation.
(2)Previously
included in Other expenses, net. Consists of costs associated with
our freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our
Connecticut Avenue Securities®
(“CAS”) and Credit Insurance Risk TransferTM
(“CIRTTM”)
programs, enterprise-paid mortgage insurance (“EPMI”), and certain
lender risk-sharing programs. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant
Accounting Policies” for more information about our change in
presentation.
(3)Consists
of change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit
enhancements, including any realized amounts. See “Note 1, Summary
of Significant Accounting Policies” for more information about our
change in presentation.
(4)Consists
of debt extinguishment gains and losses, housing trust fund
expenses, loan subservicing costs, servicer fees paid in connection
with certain loss mitigation activities, and gains and losses from
partnership investments.
Net Interest Income
Our primary source of net interest income is guaranty fees we
receive for managing the credit risk on loans underlying Fannie Mae
MBS held by third parties.
Guaranty fees consist of two primary components:
•base
guaranty fees that we receive over the life of the loan;
and
•upfront
fees that we receive at the time of loan acquisition primarily
related to single-family loan-level pricing adjustments and other
fees we receive from lenders, which are amortized into net interest
income as cost basis adjustments over the contractual life of the
loan. We refer to this as amortization income.
We recognize almost all of our guaranty fee revenue in net interest
income because we consolidate the substantial majority of loans
underlying our Fannie Mae MBS in consolidated trusts in our
condensed consolidated balance sheets. Those guaranty fees are the
primary component of the difference between the interest income on
loans in consolidated trusts and the interest expense on the debt
of consolidated trusts.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
13
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MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
The timing of when we recognize amortization income can vary based
on a number of factors, the most significant of which is a change
in mortgage interest rates. In a rising interest-rate environment,
our mortgage loans tend to prepay more slowly, which typically
results in lower net amortization income. Conversely, in a
declining interest-rate environment, our mortgage loans tend to
prepay faster, typically resulting in higher net amortization
income.
We also recognize net interest income on the difference between
interest income earned on the assets in our retained mortgage
portfolio and our other investments portfolio (collectively, our
“portfolios”) and the interest expense associated with the debt
that funds those assets. See “Retained Mortgage Portfolio” and
“Liquidity and Capital Management—Liquidity Management—Other
Investments Portfolio” for more information about our
portfolios.
The table below displays the components of our net interest income
from our guaranty book of business, which we discuss in “Guaranty
Book of Business,” and from our portfolios. Prior period amounts
have been adjusted to reflect the current year change in
presentation related to our yield maintenance fees.
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|
Components of Net Interest Income |
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income from guaranty book of business: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Base guaranty fee income, net of TCCA |
|
$ |
2,842 |
|
|
$ |
2,478 |
|
|
$ |
364 |
|
|
$ |
8,119 |
|
|
$ |
7,178 |
|
|
$ |
941 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Base guaranty fee income related to TCCA(1)
|
|
679 |
|
|
613 |
|
|
66 |
|
|
1,976 |
|
|
1,806 |
|
|
170 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net amortization income |
|
2,713 |
|
|
1,487 |
|
|
1,226 |
|
|
6,174 |
|
|
3,851 |
|
|
2,323 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net interest income from guaranty book of
business
|
|
6,234 |
|
|
4,578 |
|
|
1,656 |
|
|
16,269 |
|
|
12,835 |
|
|
3,434 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net interest income from portfolios |
|
422 |
|
|
770 |
|
|
(348) |
|
|
1,511 |
|
|
2,536 |
|
|
(1,025) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total net interest income |
|
$ |
6,656 |
|
|
$ |
5,348 |
|
|
$ |
1,308 |
|
|
$ |
17,780 |
|
|
$ |
15,371 |
|
|
$ |
2,409 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)Represents
revenues generated by the 10 basis point guaranty fee increase we
implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from
which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
Net interest income increased in the third quarter and first nine
months of 2020 compared with the third quarter and first nine
months of 2019, driven by higher net amortization income and higher
base guaranty fee income, partially offset by lower income from
portfolios.
•Higher
net amortization income.
A declining interest-rate environment in the third quarter and
first nine months of 2020 led to significantly increased prepayment
volumes as loans refinanced, which accelerated the amortization of
cost basis adjustments on mortgage loans of consolidated trusts and
the related debt.
When refinance activity slows, we expect the amortization rate of
our loans to also slow, which will likely result in less
amortization income in a given period.
•Higher
base guaranty fee income.
An increase in the size of our guaranty book of business combined
with loans with higher average base guaranty fees comprising a
greater portion of our book contributed to the increase in base
guaranty fee income in the third quarter and first nine months of
2020.
•Lower
income from portfolios.
Lower yields in the third quarter and first nine months of 2020 on
mortgage loans and assets in our other investments portfolio were
partially offset by a decrease in interest expense on our funding
debt as key benchmark rates declined as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic. For a discussion of the impact of COVID-19 on our funding
needs and funding activity, see “Liquidity and Capital
Management—Liquidity Management—Debt Funding.”
We expect mortgage rates to remain low through 2021, contributing
to a significant amount of mortgage refinance activity and high
levels of amortization income. Because a large portion of our book
of business has been and is expected to be originated in a
historically low interest rate environment, we anticipate that
refinancing activity will decrease at some point in the future as
fewer borrowers can benefit from a refinancing or as interest rates
rise. Lower levels of refinancing in the future will likely slow
the rate at which we amortize cost basis adjustments and therefore
will likely result in lower amortization income in a given period
as the average life of our outstanding book of business may
extend.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Analysis of Deferred Amortization Income
We initially recognize mortgage loans and debt of consolidated
trusts in our condensed consolidated balance sheets at fair value.
The difference between the initial fair value and the carrying
value of these instruments is recorded as a cost basis adjustment,
either as a premium or a discount, in our condensed consolidated
balance sheets. We amortize these cost basis adjustments over the
contractual lives of the loans or debt. On a net basis, for
mortgage loans and debt of consolidated trusts, we are in a premium
position with respect to debt of consolidated trusts, which
represents deferred income we will recognize in our condensed
consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income as
amortization income in future periods.
Deferred Income Represented by Net Premium Position
on Debt of Consolidated Trusts
(Dollars in billions)
Analysis of Net Interest Income
We have updated the application of our accounting policy for
nonaccrual loans as it relates to loans negatively impacted by
COVID-19. As a result, for loans that were current as of March 1,
2020 and subsequently become delinquent, we continue to accrue
interest income for up to six months pursuant to an April 2020
Interagency Statement on Loan Modifications and Reporting for
Financial Institutions Working with Customers Affected by the
Coronavirus (the “Interagency Statement”). If those loans are in a
forbearance plan beyond six months of delinquency, we continue to
accrue interest income provided collection of principal and
interest continues to be reasonably assured. As a result of this
update, we recognized $763 million in the third quarter of 2020 and
$2.2 billion in the first nine months of 2020 in interest income
related to these loans which we would not have recognized prior to
the application of our updated policy. We also recognized $569
million of provision for loan losses on the related accrued
interest receivable in the first nine months of 2020. This update
also resulted in a significant portion of delinquent loans staying
on accrual status. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting
Policies” for more information about our accounting policy update
and “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management” and “Multifamily
Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management” for details
about loans in forbearance, as well as on-balance sheet loans past
due 90 days or more and continuing to accrue interest.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
The table below displays an analysis of our net interest income,
average balances, and related yields earned on assets and incurred
on liabilities. For most components of the average balances, we use
a daily weighted average of unpaid principal balance net of
unamortized cost basis adjustments. When daily average balance
information is not available, such as for mortgage loans, we use
monthly averages. Prior-period amounts have been adjusted to
reflect the current-year change in presentation related to our
yield maintenance fees.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Analysis of Net Interest Income and Yield(1)
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
|
Average
Balance |
|
Interest
Income/
(Expense) |
|
Average
Rates
Earned/Paid |
|
Average
Balance |
|
Interest
Income/
(Expense) |
|
Average
Rates
Earned/Paid |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Interest-earning assets: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae |
|
$ |
118,270 |
|
|
$ |
959 |
|
|
3.24 |
% |
|
$ |
119,887 |
|
|
$ |
1,248 |
|
|
4.16 |
% |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts |
|
3,401,660 |
|
|
24,851 |
|
|
2.92 |
|
|
3,185,389 |
|
|
27,824 |
|
|
3.49 |
|
Total mortgage loans(2)
|
|
3,519,930 |
|
|
25,810 |
|
|
2.93 |
|
|
3,305,276 |
|
|
29,072 |
|
|
3.52 |
|
Mortgage-related securities |
|
9,582 |
|
|
63 |
|
|
2.63 |
|
|
10,859 |
|
|
111 |
|
|
4.09 |
|
Non-mortgage-related securities(3)
|
|
152,229 |
|
|
133 |
|
|
0.34 |
|
|
62,294 |
|
|
347 |
|
|
2.18 |
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell or similar arrangements
|
|
47,200 |
|
|
14 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
|
29,792 |
|
|
178 |
|
|
2.34 |
|
Advances to lenders |
|
8,845 |
|
|
33 |
|
|
1.46 |
|
|
6,287 |
|
|
47 |
|
|
2.93 |
|
Total interest-earning assets |
|
$ |
3,737,786 |
|
|
$ |
26,053 |
|
|
2.79 |
% |
|
$ |
3,414,508 |
|
|
$ |
29,755 |
|
|
3.48 |
% |
Interest-bearing liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term funding debt |
|
$ |
33,349 |
|
|
$ |
(19) |
|
|
0.22 |
% |
|
$ |
23,064 |
|
|
$ |
(125) |
|
|
2.12 |
% |
Long-term funding debt |
|
237,020 |
|
|
(806) |
|
|
1.36 |
|
|
163,996 |
|
|
(1,056) |
|
|
2.58 |
|
Connecticut Avenue Securities®
(“CAS”)
|
|
16,932 |
|
|
(188) |
|
|
4.44 |
|
|
23,364 |
|
|
(356) |
|
|
6.09 |
|
Total debt of Fannie Mae |
|
287,301 |
|
|
(1,013) |
|
|
1.41 |
|
|
210,424 |
|
|
(1,537) |
|
|
2.92 |
|
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third
parties
|
|
3,439,484 |
|
|
(18,384) |
|
|
2.14 |
|
|
3,196,503 |
|
|
(22,870) |
|
|
2.86 |
|
Total interest-bearing liabilities |
|
$ |
3,726,785 |
|
|
$ |
(19,397) |
|
|
2.08 |
% |
|
$ |
3,406,927 |
|
|
$ |
(24,407) |
|
|
2.87 |
% |
Net interest income/net interest yield |
|
|
|
$ |
6,656 |
|
|
0.71 |
% |
|
|
|
$ |
5,348 |
|
|
0.61 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
|
Average
Balance |
|
Interest
Income/
(Expense) |
|
Average
Rates
Earned/Paid |
|
Average
Balance |
|
Interest
Income/
(Expense) |
|
Average
Rates
Earned/Paid |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Interest-earning assets: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae |
|
$ |
111,752 |
|
|
$ |
3,003 |
|
|
3.58 |
% |
|
$ |
119,180 |
|
|
$ |
3,848 |
|
|
4.30 |
% |
Mortgage loans of consolidated trusts |
|
3,326,312 |
|
|
78,752 |
|
|
3.16 |
|
|
3,167,172 |
|
|
84,597 |
|
|
3.56 |
|
Total mortgage loans(2)
|
|
3,438,064 |
|
|
81,755 |
|
|
3.17 |
|
|
3,286,352 |
|
|
88,445 |
|
|
3.59 |
|
Mortgage-related securities |
|
10,474 |
|
|
278 |
|
|
3.54 |
|
|
9,904 |
|
|
320 |
|
|
4.31 |
|
Non-mortgage-related securities(3)
|
|
107,155 |
|
|
510 |
|
|
0.63 |
|
|
61,109 |
|
|
1,095 |
|
|
2.36 |
|
Federal funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to
resell or similar arrangements
|
|
41,030 |
|
|
135 |
|
|
0.43 |
|
|
37,349 |
|
|
698 |
|
|
2.46 |
|
Advances to lenders |
|
7,726 |
|
|
92 |
|
|
1.56 |
|
|
4,975 |
|
|
120 |
|
|
3.18 |
|
Total interest-earning assets |
|
$ |
3,604,449 |
|
|
$ |
82,770 |
|
|
3.06 |
% |
|
$ |
3,399,689 |
|
|
$ |
90,678 |
|
|
3.56 |
% |
Interest-bearing liabilities: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term funding debt |
|
$ |
38,637 |
|
|
$ |
(175) |
|
|
0.60 |
% |
|
$ |
21,138 |
|
|
$ |
(369) |
|
|
2.30 |
% |
Long-term funding debt |
|
187,628 |
|
|
(2,370) |
|
|
1.68 |
|
|
172,284 |
|
|
(3,272) |
|
|
2.53 |
|
Connecticut Avenue Securities®
(“CAS”)
|
|
18,813 |
|
|
(696) |
|
|
4.93 |
|
|
24,170 |
|
|
(1,114) |
|
|
6.15 |
|
Total debt of Fannie Mae |
|
245,078 |
|
|
(3,241) |
|
|
1.76 |
|
|
217,592 |
|
|
(4,755) |
|
|
2.91 |
|
Debt securities of consolidated trusts held by third
parties
|
|
3,357,411 |
|
|
(61,749) |
|
|
2.45 |
|
|
3,173,700 |
|
|
(70,552) |
|
|
2.96 |
|
Total interest-bearing liabilities |
|
$ |
3,602,489 |
|
|
$ |
(64,990) |
|
|
2.41 |
% |
|
$ |
3,391,292 |
|
|
$ |
(75,307) |
|
|
2.96 |
% |
Net interest income/net interest yield |
|
|
|
$ |
17,780 |
|
|
0.66 |
% |
|
|
|
$ |
15,371 |
|
|
0.60 |
% |
(1)Includes
the effects of discounts, premiums and other cost basis
adjustments.
(2)Average
balance includes mortgage loans on nonaccrual status. For
nonaccrual mortgage loans not subject to the COVID-19-related
nonaccrual guidance, interest income is recognized when cash is
received. Interest income from the amortization of loan fees,
primarily consisting of upfront cash fees and yield maintenance
fees, was $2.6 billion and $6.6 billion, respectively,
for the third quarter and first nine months of 2020, compared with
$1.8 billion and $4.2 billion, respectively, for the
third quarter and first nine months of 2019.
(3)Consists
of cash, cash equivalents and U.S Treasury securities.
Investment Gains, Net
Investment gains, net primarily includes gains and losses
recognized from the sale of loans and available-for-sale (“AFS”)
securities, gains and losses recognized on the consolidation and
deconsolidation of securities, and the lower of cost or fair value
adjustments on single-family loans held-for-sale
(“HFS”).
Investment gains, net increased in the third quarter of 2020,
compared with the third quarter of 2019, as a result of an increase
in both volume and gains on sales of single-family reperforming
loans. Investment gains decreased in the first nine months of 2020,
compared with the first nine months of 2019, as a result of a lower
volume of sales of single-family reperforming loans.
Fair Value Losses, Net
The estimated fair value of our derivatives, trading securities and
other financial instruments carried at fair value may fluctuate
substantially from period to period because of changes in interest
rates, the yield curve, mortgage and credit spreads and implied
volatility, as well as activity related to these financial
instruments. While the estimated fair value of our derivatives that
mitigate certain risk exposures may fluctuate, some of the
financial instruments that generate these exposures are not
recorded at fair value in our condensed consolidated financial
statements.
We are preparing to implement fair value hedge accounting in the
first quarter of 2021 to reduce the impact of interest-rate
volatility on our financial results. Once implemented, for
derivatives in designated hedges, fair value gains and losses
attributable to changes in certain benchmark interest rates, such
as LIBOR or SOFR, may be reduced by offsetting gains and losses in
the fair value of designated hedged mortgage loans or debt.
Therefore, we expect the volatility of our financial results
associated with changes in interest rates will be reduced
substantially. We expect fair value gains and losses driven by
other factors, such as credit spreads, will remain.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
The table below displays the components of our fair value gains and
losses.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fair Value Losses, Net |
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Risk management derivatives fair value losses attributable
to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net contractual interest expense on interest-rate swaps |
|
$ |
(46) |
|
|
$ |
(190) |
|
|
$ |
(216) |
|
|
$ |
(698) |
|
Net change in fair value during the period |
|
44 |
|
|
(294) |
|
|
(85) |
|
|
(541) |
|
Total risk management derivatives fair value losses,
net |
|
(2) |
|
|
(484) |
|
|
(301) |
|
|
(1,239) |
|
Mortgage commitment derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
(672) |
|
|
(177) |
|
|
(2,327) |
|
|
(946) |
|
Credit enhancement derivatives fair value gains (losses),
net
|
|
380 |
|
|
(7) |
|
|
400 |
|
|
(31) |
|
Total derivatives fair value losses, net
|
|
(294) |
|
|
(668) |
|
|
(2,228) |
|
|
(2,216) |
|
Trading securities gains (losses), net
|
|
(91) |
|
|
95 |
|
|
691 |
|
|
370 |
|
CAS debt fair value gains (losses), net
|
|
(9) |
|
|
59 |
|
|
465 |
|
|
156 |
|
Other, net(1)
|
|
67 |
|
|
(199) |
|
|
(549) |
|
|
(608) |
|
Fair value losses, net |
|
$ |
(327) |
|
|
$ |
(713) |
|
|
$ |
(1,621) |
|
|
$ |
(2,298) |
|
(1)Consists
of fair value gains and losses on non-CAS debt and mortgage loans
held at fair value.
Fair value losses in the third quarter of 2020 were primarily
driven by:
•decreases
in the fair value of mortgage commitment derivatives due to losses
on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices
increased during the commitment period due to tightening spreads
between current coupon yields and treasury yields, which were
partially offset by gains on commitments to buy mortgage-related
securities; and
•losses
on trading securities due to increases in U.S. Treasury yields
during the period, which resulted in losses on fixed-rate
securities held in our other investments portfolio.
These losses were partially offset by fair value gains in the third
quarter of 2020 on credit enhancement derivatives, primarily driven
by higher projected default rates on our lender risk-sharing
securities as delinquencies increased on the underlying loans thus
increasing the value of the securities to us.
Fair value losses in the first nine months of 2020 were primarily
driven by:
•decreases
in the fair value of mortgage commitment derivatives due to losses
on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices
increased during the commitment period due to tightening spreads
between current coupon yields and treasury yields, which were
partially offset by gains on commitments to buy mortgage-related
securities;
•increases
in the fair value of long-term debt of consolidated trusts held at
fair value, which are included in “Other, net,” due to declines in
interest rates; and
•net
interest expense on risk management derivatives combined with
decreases in the fair value of pay-fixed risk management
derivatives due to declines in swap rates, which were partially
offset by increases in the fair value of receive-fixed risk
management derivatives.
These losses were partially offset by fair value gains in the first
nine months of 2020 on trading securities and CAS debt, primarily
driven by declines in interest rates and widened spreads between
CAS debt yields and LIBOR, which resulted in gains on fixed-rate
securities held in our other investments portfolio and our CAS debt
held at fair value.
Fair value losses in the third quarter and first nine months of
2019 were primarily driven by:
•net
interest expense accruals on risk management derivatives combined
with decreases in the fair value of pay-fixed risk management
derivatives due to declines in longer-term swap rates, which were
partially offset by increases in the fair value of our
receive-fixed risk management derivatives;
•decreases
in the fair value of our mortgage commitment derivatives due to
losses on commitments to sell mortgage-related securities as prices
increased and interest rates declined during the commitment period,
partially offset by gains on commitments to buy mortgage-related
securities; and
•increases
in the fair value of our long-term debt of consolidated trusts held
at fair value, which are included in “Other, net,” due to declines
in interest rates.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
18
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Credit-Related Income (Expense)
Our credit-related income or expense can vary substantially from
period to period based on a number of factors, such as changes in
actual and forecasted home prices or property valuations,
fluctuations in actual and forecasted interest rates, borrower
payment behavior, events such as natural disasters or pandemics,
the types and volume of our loss mitigation activities, including
forbearances and loan modifications, the volume of foreclosures
completed, and the redesignation of loans from held for investment
(“HFI”) to HFS. In recent periods, the redesignation of certain
reperforming and nonperforming single-family loans has been a
significant driver of credit-related income. We suspended new sales
of reperforming and nonperforming loans in the second quarter of
2020, as investor interest in purchasing these loans was severely
impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and its effects. Market
conditions for the sale of these loans, particularly reperforming
loans, has improved following the second quarter. As a result, we
resumed sales of reperforming loans in the third
quarter.
Our credit-related income or expense and our loss reserves can also
be impacted by updates to the models, assumptions and data used in
determining our allowance for loan losses. The January 1, 2020 CECL
standard implementation introduced additional volatility in our
financial results as credit-related income or expense now includes
expected lifetime losses on our loans and thus are sensitive to
fluctuations in the factors detailed above. Although CECL impacts
the timing and amount of estimated credit-related income or expense
recognized in any given period, it does not impact the amount of
credit losses we ultimately realize at the time a loan is
written-off.
As described below, during 2020, our credit-related income or
expense and our loss reserves have been significantly affected by
our estimates of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, which require
significant management judgment. Changes in our estimates of
borrowers that will ultimately receive forbearance (referred to as
our “cumulative forbearance take-up rate”) and even more
significantly, the loss mitigation outcomes of affected borrowers
after the forbearance period ends, remain uncertain and can affect
the amount of credit-related income or expense we recognize.
Although we believe the estimates underlying our allowance
determination are reasonable, we may observe future volatility in
these estimates as we continue to observe actual loan performance
data and update our models and assumptions relating to this
unprecedented event.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
19
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MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The table below provides a quantitative analysis of the drivers for
the third quarter and first nine months of 2020 of our
single-family and multifamily benefit or provision for credit
losses and the decrease or increase in expected benefit from
freestanding credit enhancements. The benefit or provision for
credit losses includes our benefit or provision for loan losses,
accrued interest receivable losses, and our guaranty loss reserves.
It excludes the transition impact of adopting the CECL standard,
which was recorded as an adjustment to retained earnings as of
January 1, 2020. Many of the drivers that contribute to our benefit
or provision for credit losses overlap or are interdependent. The
attribution shown below is based on internal allocation
estimates.
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Components of Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses and Change in
Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries |
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2020 |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020 |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses:
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in loan activity(1)
|
|
$ |
(18) |
|
|
$ |
(85) |
|
Redesignation of loans from HFI to HFS |
|
510 |
|
|
685 |
|
Actual and forecasted home prices |
|
939 |
|
|
355 |
|
Actual and projected interest rates |
|
25 |
|
|
1,366 |
|
Change in actual and expected loan delinquencies and change in
assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance(2)
|
|
(537) |
|
|
(3,127) |
|
Provision from allowance on accrued interest receivable |
|
(391) |
|
|
(560) |
|
Other(3)
|
|
14 |
|
|
(43) |
|
Single-family benefit (provision) for credit losses |
|
542 |
|
|
(1,409) |
|
Multifamily provision for credit losses: |
|
|
|
|
Changes in loan activity(1)
|
|
(32) |
|
|
(106) |
|
Actual and projected interest rates |
|
(48) |
|
|
226 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual and projected economic data and estimated impact of the
COVID-19
pandemic
|
|
49 |
|
|
(825) |
|
Other(3)
|
|
(11) |
|
|
22 |
|
Multifamily provision for credit losses |
|
(42) |
|
|
(683) |
|
Total benefit (provision) for credit losses(4)
|
|
$ |
500 |
|
|
$ |
(2,092) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in expected credit enhancement
recoveries:(5)
|
|
|
|
|
Single-family |
|
$ |
(48) |
|
|
$ |
218 |
|
Multifamily |
|
(4) |
|
|
188 |
|
Total change in expected credit enhancement recoveries |
|
$ |
(52) |
|
|
$ |
406 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)Primarily
consists of loan liquidations, new troubled debt restructurings
(“TDRs”), amortization of concessions granted to borrowers and the
impact of FHFA’s Advisory Bulletin 2012-02, “Framework for
Adversely Classifying Loans, Other Real Estate Owned, and Other
Assets and Listing Assets for Special Mention” (the “Advisory
Bulletin”). For multifamily, changes in loan activity also includes
changes in the allowance due to loan delinquencies and the impact
of changes in debt service coverage ratios (“DSCRs”) based on
updated property financial information, which is used to assess
loan credit quality.
(2)Includes
changes in the allowance due to assumptions regarding loss
mitigation when loans exit forbearance.
(3)For
single-family, includes changes in the reserve for guaranty losses
that are not separately included in the other components. For
multifamily, includes provision for allowance on accrued interest
receivable.
(4)Excludes
credit losses on our AFS securities, which are included in “Benefit
(provision) for credit losses” in Summary of Condensed Consolidated
Results of Operations.
(5)Includes
only changes in expected credit enhancement recoveries for active
loans. Recoveries received after foreclosure, which are included in
“Changes in expected credit enhancement recoveries” in Summary of
Condensed Consolidated Results of Operations, are not
included.
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|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
20
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MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
Single-Family Benefit (Provision) for Credit Losses
The primary factors that contributed to our single-family provision
for credit losses in the first nine months of 2020
were:
•Provision
from change in actual and expected loan delinquencies and change in
assumptions regarding COVID-19 forbearance, which includes
adjustments to modeled results.
Our single-family provision for credit losses for the first nine
months of 2020 was driven by the economic dislocation caused by the
COVID-19 pandemic, with the majority of the provision recognized in
the first quarter of 2020. Estimating expected credit losses as a
result of the COVID-19 pandemic continues to require significant
management judgment regarding a number of matters, including our
expectations surrounding borrower participation in a
COVID-19-related forbearance, the type and extent of loss
mitigation that may be needed when the loan exits forbearance, the
high degree of uncertainty regarding the future course of the
pandemic and its effect on the economy, and expectations regarding
the impact of fiscal stimulus to support borrowers. As a result,
the model used to estimate single-family credit losses does not
capture the entirety of losses we expect to incur relating to
COVID-19. The model has consumed data from the initial months of
the pandemic, including loan delinquencies, and updated credit
profile data for loans in forbearance. As more of this data was
consumed by our credit loss model, we reduced the non-modeled
adjustment initially recorded in the first quarter.
In the third quarter of 2020, management continued to apply its
judgment and supplement model results as of September 30, 2020,
taking into account the continued high degree of uncertainty
regarding the future impact of the pandemic and its effect on the
economy, future economic and housing policy, and extended
foreclosure moratoriums. These factors, combined with higher loan
delinquencies, led to an increase in provision attributable to
these COVID-19-related factors, which was partially offset by a
decrease in our estimated single-family cumulative forbearance
take-up. This take-up rate, calculated by loan count, was revised
from 12.5% as of June 30, 2020 to 8.8% as of September 30,
2020, based on recent economic data and actual forbearance activity
observed through the third quarter of 2020. See “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Problem Loan Management—Single-Family
Loans in Forbearance” for information on our single-family loans in
forbearance.
•Provision
from allowance on accrued interest receivable.
As a result of our update to the application of our nonaccrual
policy in the second quarter of 2020, we continue to accrue
interest for those loans that were negatively impacted by the
COVID-19 pandemic. This update resulted in a significant portion of
delinquent loans, that were current as of March 1, 2020 and
subsequently became delinquent, remaining on accrual status.
Accordingly, we established a valuation allowance for expected
credit losses on the accrued interest receivable balance based on
our evaluation of collectability. As shown in the table above, this
contributed to a provision for credit losses attributable to this
factor for the third quarter and first nine months of 2020. See
“Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies” for more
information about our nonaccrual policy.
The factors discussed above were offset by the factors below, which
contributed to a single-family benefit for credit losses for the
third quarter of 2020 and reduced the amount of single-family
provision for credit losses recognized in the first nine months of
2020:
•Benefit
from lower actual and projected interest rates.
For much of 2020, we continued to be in a historically low interest
rate environment. As mortgage interest rates decline, we expect an
increase in future prepayments on single-family loans, including
modified loans. Higher expected prepayments shorten the expected
lives of modified loans, which decreases the expected impairment
relating to term and interest-rate concessions provided on these
loans and results in a benefit for credit losses. Most of this
benefit from lower actual and projected mortgage interest rates was
recognized in the first half of 2020.
•Benefit
from the redesignation of certain reperforming single-family loans
from HFI to HFS.
In the third quarter of 2020, we resumed sales of reperforming
loans after our suspension of new loan sales in the second quarter
of 2020. As a result, we redesignated certain reperforming
single-family loans from HFI to HFS in the third quarter of 2020,
as we no longer intend to hold them for the foreseeable future or
to maturity. Upon redesignation of these loans, we recorded the
loans at the lower of cost or fair value with a write-off against
the allowance for loan losses. Amounts recorded in the allowance
related to these loans exceeded the amounts written off, which
contributed to a net benefit for credit losses for the third
quarter and first nine months of 2020 as shown in the table
above.
•Benefit
from actual and expected home price growth.
In the first quarter of 2020, we significantly reduced our
expectations for home price growth to near-zero for 2020. However,
the negative impact from the first quarter of 2020 was more than
offset by an increase in actual home price growth in the second and
third quarters. See “Key Market Economic Indicators” for additional
information about how home prices affect our credit loss estimates,
including a discussion of our home price forecast.
Multifamily Provision for Credit Losses
Our multifamily provision for credit losses in the third quarter
and first nine months of 2020 was primarily driven by:
•Provision
from actual and projected economic data and estimated impact of the
COVID-19 pandemic, which includes adjustments to modeled
results.
Our multifamily provision for credit losses for the first nine
months of 2020 was driven
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
21
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MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
by higher expected losses as a result of the economic dislocation
caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and heightened economic
uncertainty, driven by elevated unemployment, which we expect will
result in a decrease of multifamily property income and property
values. In addition, the multifamily provision for credit losses
includes increased expected credit losses on seniors housing loans,
as these properties have been disproportionately impacted by the
pandemic. The vast majority of these expenses were recognized in
the first half of 2020. Consistent with the single-family
discussion above, the model we use to estimate multifamily credit
losses does not capture the entirety of losses we expect to incur
relating to COVID-19. The model has consumed data from the initial
months of the pandemic, but we continue to apply management
judgment and supplement model results as of September 30, 2020,
taking into account the continued high degree of uncertainty that
remains relating to the impact of the pandemic.
In the third quarter of 2020, our multifamily provision for
expected losses as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic was relatively
flat. In September 2020, we decreased our estimate for credit
losses due to a downward revision of our estimated multifamily
cumulative forbearance take-up rate from 10.0% as of June 30,
2020 to 5.0% as of September 30, 2020 based on the unpaid principal
balance of the multifamily book of business, as well as an improved
forecasted unemployment rate. These benefits were offset by
continued economic uncertainty, forbearance arrangements that were
extended beyond the initial term, and overall increased
delinquencies. These factors, inclusive of the other components of
the multifamily provision for credit losses, resulted in a modest
expense for the third quarter of 2020. See “Multifamily
Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—-Multifamily
Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention” for information
on our multifamily loans in forbearance.
The table below provides quantitative analysis of the drivers for
the third quarter and first nine months of 2019 of our
single-family benefit for credit losses. The presentation of our
components represents amounts recognized prior to our transition to
the lifetime loss model prescribed by the CECL standard. Many of
the drivers that contribute to our benefit for credit losses
overlap or are interdependent. The attribution shown below is based
on internal allocation estimates. The table does not include our
multifamily benefit (provision) for credit losses as the amounts
for 2019 were less than $50 million.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Components of Benefit for Credit Losses |
|
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, 2019 |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2019 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
|
|
Single-family benefit for credit losses: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Changes in loan activity(1)
|
|
|
|
$ |
161 |
|
|
$ |
383 |
|
|
|
Redesignation of loans from HFI to HFS
|
|
|
|
553 |
|
|
1,203 |
|
|
|
Actual and forecasted home prices |
|
|
|
121 |
|
|
661 |
|
|
|
Actual and projected interest rates |
|
|
|
126 |
|
|
486 |
|
|
|
Other(2)
|
|
|
|
879 |
|
|
1,020 |
|
|
|
Total single-family benefit for credit losses |
|
|
|
$ |
1,840 |
|
|
$ |
3,753 |
|
|
|
(1)Primarily
consists of changes in the allowance due to loan delinquency, loan
liquidations, new TDRs, amortization of concessions granted to
borrowers and the impact of FHFA’s Advisory Bulletin.
(2)Primarily
consists of the impact of model and assumption changes and changes
in the reserve for guaranty losses that are not separately included
in the other components.
The primary factors that contributed to our benefit for credit
losses in the third quarter and first nine months of 2019
were:
•Redesignation
of certain reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS during
the periods.
•An
enhancement in the third quarter of 2019 to the model used to
estimate cash flows for individually impaired single-family loans
within our allowance for loan losses. This enhancement was
performed as a part of management’s routine model performance
review process. In addition to incorporating recent loan
performance data, this model enhancement better captures recent
prepayment activity, default rates, and loss severity in the event
of default. The enhancement resulted in a decrease to our allowance
for loan losses and an incremental benefit for credit losses of
approximately $850 million and is included in “Other” in the table
above.
•An
increase in actual and forecasted home prices.
•Lower
actual and projected mortgage interest rates.
•Changes
in loan activity. Higher loan liquidation activity generally occurs
during a lower interest rate environment as loans prepay, and
during the peak home buying season of the second and third quarters
of each year. When mortgage loans prepay, we reverse any remaining
allowance related to these loans, which contributed to the benefit
for credit losses.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
22
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Results of Operations |
TCCA Fees
Pursuant to the TCCA, in 2012, FHFA directed us to increase our
single-family guaranty fees by 10 basis points and remit this
increase to Treasury. This TCCA-related revenue is included in “Net
interest income” and the expense is recognized as “TCCA fees” in
our condensed consolidated financial statements. TCCA fees
increased in the third quarter and first nine months of 2020
compared with the third quarter and first nine months of 2019 as
our book of business subject to the TCCA continued to
grow.
FHFA has provided guidance that we are not required to accrue or
remit TCCA fees to Treasury with respect to loans backing MBS
trusts that have been delinquent for four months or longer. Once
payments on such loans resume, we will resume accrual and
remittance to Treasury of the associated TCCA fees on the loans.
See “Business—Charter Act and Regulation—GSE Act and Other
Legislation—Guaranty Fees and Pricing” in our 2019 Form 10-K for
further discussion of the TCCA.
Credit Enhancement Expense
Credit enhancement expense consists of costs associated with our
freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily include our CAS
and CIRT programs, EPMI, and amortization expense for certain
lender risk-sharing programs. For our CAS and CIRT programs, this
expense is generally based on the outstanding balance of the
covered reference pool. Therefore, the periodic expense at the
transaction or security level generally increases or decreases as
the outstanding covered balance increases or decreases,
respectively. We exclude from this expense costs related to our CAS
transactions accounted for as debt instruments and credit risk
transfer programs accounted for as derivative instruments. Credit
enhancement expense has been presented as a separate line item for
all periods presented. In prior periods, credit enhancement
expenses were recorded in “Other expenses, net.” We discuss the
transfer of mortgage credit risk in “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Credit Enhancement and Transfer of
Mortgage Credit Risk” and “Multifamily Business—Multifamily
Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Transfer of Multifamily Mortgage
Credit Risk.”
Change in Expected Credit Enhancement Recoveries
Change in expected credit enhancement recoveries consists of the
change in benefits recognized from our freestanding credit
enhancements, including any realized amounts. Benefits, if any,
from our CAS, CIRT and EPMI programs previously recorded in “Fee
and other income” have been reclassified to “Change in expected
credit enhancement recoveries” for all periods presented. Benefits
from other lender risk-sharing programs, including our multifamily
Delegated Underwriting and Servicing (“DUS®”)
program, were recorded as a reduction of credit-related expense in
periods prior to 2020. However, with our adoption of the CECL
standard on January 1, 2020, benefits from freestanding credit
enhancements are no longer recorded as a reduction of
credit-related expenses. These benefits from lender risk-sharing
have been reclassified into “Change in expected credit enhancement
recoveries” on a prospective basis beginning January 1,
2020.
Other Expenses, Net
Other expenses primarily consists of debt extinguishment gains and
losses, housing trust fund expenses, loan subservicing costs,
servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss mitigation
activities, and gains and losses from partnership investments. We
expect our fees paid to servicers for loss mitigation work to
increase into 2021 as single-family borrowers who received a
COVID-19-related forbearance enter into various loss mitigation
solutions once the forbearance period ends, such as repayment
plans, payment deferrals or loan modifications. For additional
information about our loans in forbearance, see “Single-Family
Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Loans in Forbearance.”
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
23
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis
This section discusses our condensed consolidated balance sheets
and should be read together with our condensed consolidated
financial statements and the accompanying notes.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets |
|
|
As of |
|
|
|
|
September 30, 2020 |
|
December 31, 2019 |
|
Variance |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and cash equivalents and federal funds sold and securities
purchased
under agreements to resell or similar
arrangements
|
|
$ |
50,172 |
|
|
$ |
34,762 |
|
|
$ |
15,410 |
|
Restricted cash |
|
73,516 |
|
|
40,223 |
|
|
33,293 |
|
Investments in securities |
|
144,367 |
|
|
50,527 |
|
|
93,840 |
|
Mortgage loans: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Of Fannie Mae |
|
119,337 |
|
|
101,668 |
|
|
17,669 |
|
Of consolidated trusts |
|
3,439,709 |
|
|
3,241,510 |
|
|
198,199 |
|
Allowance for loan losses |
|
(11,703) |
|
|
(9,016) |
|
|
(2,687) |
|
Mortgage loans, net of allowance for loan losses |
|
3,547,343 |
|
|
3,334,162 |
|
|
213,181 |
|
Deferred tax assets, net |
|
12,808 |
|
|
11,910 |
|
|
898 |
|
Other assets |
|
36,397 |
|
|
31,735 |
|
|
4,662 |
|
Total assets |
|
$ |
3,864,603 |
|
|
$ |
3,503,319 |
|
|
$ |
361,284 |
|
Liabilities and equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Debt: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Of Fannie Mae |
|
$ |
289,423 |
|
|
$ |
182,247 |
|
|
$ |
107,176 |
|
Of consolidated trusts |
|
3,530,381 |
|
|
3,285,139 |
|
|
245,242 |
|
Other liabilities |
|
24,106 |
|
|
21,325 |
|
|
2,781 |
|
Total liabilities |
|
3,843,910 |
|
|
3,488,711 |
|
|
355,199 |
|
Fannie Mae stockholders’ equity: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Senior preferred stock |
|
120,836 |
|
|
120,836 |
|
|
— |
|
Other net deficit |
|
(100,143) |
|
|
(106,228) |
|
|
6,085 |
|
Total equity |
|
20,693 |
|
|
14,608 |
|
|
6,085 |
|
Total liabilities and equity |
|
$ |
3,864,603 |
|
|
$ |
3,503,319 |
|
|
$ |
361,284 |
|
Cash and Cash Equivalents and Federal Funds Sold and Securities
Purchased under Agreements to Resell or Similar Arrangements and
Investments in Securities
The increase in both (1) cash and cash equivalents and federal
funds sold and securities purchased under agreements to resell or
similar arrangements and (2) investments in securities from
December 31, 2019 to September 30, 2020 was primarily driven by the
investment of proceeds from new debt issuances, which we discuss in
“Liquidity and Capital Management—Debt Funding—Debt Funding
Activity,” as well as proceeds from loan payoffs. These funds were
mostly invested in U.S. Treasury securities at period
end.
Mortgage Loans, Net of Allowance
The mortgage loans reported in our condensed consolidated balance
sheets are classified as either HFS or HFI and include loans owned
by Fannie Mae and loans held in consolidated trusts.
Mortgage loans, net of allowance increased as of September 30, 2020
compared with December 31, 2019, primarily driven by:
•an
increase in mortgage loans due to acquisitions, primarily from
higher mortgage refinance activity, outpacing liquidations and
sales;
•partially
offset by an increase in our allowance for loan losses due to
losses we expect to incur as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and
the impact of our adoption of the CECL standard on January 1,
2020.
For additional information on our mortgage loans, see “Note 3,
Mortgage Loans,” and for additional information on changes in our
allowance for loan losses, see “Note 4, Allowance for Loan
Losses.”
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|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
24
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|
MD&A | Consolidated Balance Sheet Analysis |
Debt
The increase in debt of Fannie Mae from December 31, 2019 to
September 30, 2020 was primarily driven by new long-term debt
issuances to support elevated refinancing and
purchase
activity, in preparation for the implementation in December 2020 of
the new liquidity risk management requirements issued by FHFA, and
in anticipation of future potential liquidity needs as a result of
the COVID-19 pandemic. The increase in debt of consolidated trusts
from December 31, 2019 to September 30, 2020 was primarily driven
by sales of Fannie Mae MBS, which are accounted for as issuances of
debt of consolidated trusts in our condensed consolidated balance
sheets, since the MBS certificate ownership is transferred from us
to a third party. See “Liquidity and Capital Management—Debt
Funding” for a summary of activity in debt of Fannie Mae and a
comparison of the mix between our outstanding short-term and
long-term debt. Also see “Note 7, Short-Term and Long-Term Debt”
for additional information on our total outstanding
debt.
Stockholders’ Equity
Our net equity increased as of September 30, 2020 compared with
December 31, 2019 by the amount of our comprehensive
income recognized during the first nine months of 2020, partially
offset by a charge of $1.1 billion to retained earnings due to our
implementation of the CECL standard on January 1, 2020. See “Note
1, Summary of Significant Accounting Policies—New Accounting
Guidance—The Current Expected Credit Loss Standard” for further
details.
The aggregate liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock
increased from $135.4 billion as of June 30, 2020 to $138.0
billion as of September 30, 2020 due to the $2.5 billion increase
in our net worth during the second quarter of 2020. The aggregate
liquidation preference of the senior preferred stock will increase
to $142.2 billion as of December 31, 2020 due to the $4.2 billion
increase in our net worth during the third quarter of
2020.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
We use our retained mortgage portfolio primarily to provide
liquidity to the mortgage market through our whole loan conduit and
to support our loss mitigation activities, particularly in times of
economic stress when other sources of liquidity to the mortgage
market may decrease or withdraw. Previously, we also used our
retained mortgage portfolio for investment purposes.
Our retained mortgage portfolio consists of mortgage loans and
mortgage-related securities that we own, including Fannie Mae MBS
and non-Fannie Mae mortgage-related securities. Assets held by
consolidated MBS trusts that back mortgage-related securities owned
by third parties are not included in our retained mortgage
portfolio.
The chart below separates the instruments within our retained
mortgage portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance, into
three categories based on each instrument’s use:
•Lender
liquidity,
which includes balances related to our whole loan conduit activity,
supports our efforts to provide liquidity to the single-family and
multifamily mortgage markets.
•Loss
mitigation
supports our loss mitigation efforts through the purchase of
delinquent loans from our MBS trusts.
•Other
represents assets that were previously purchased for investment
purposes. More than half of the balance of “Other” as of September
30, 2020 consisted of Fannie Mae reverse mortgage securities and
reverse mortgage loans. We expect the amount of assets in “Other”
will continue to decline over time as they liquidate, mature or are
sold.
Retained Mortgage Portfolio
(Dollars in billions)
The increase in our retained mortgage portfolio as of September 30,
2020 compared with December 31, 2019 was primarily due to an
increase in our acquisitions of loans through our whole loan
conduit, which primarily supports liquidity for small- to
medium-sized lenders, in the first nine months of 2020 driven by
higher mortgage refinance activity. This increase was
partially
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
offset by a decrease in our legacy investment portfolio due to
continued liquidations of loans and a decrease in our loss
mitigation portfolio due to the sale of reperforming
loans.
The table below displays the components of our retained mortgage
portfolio, measured by unpaid principal balance. Based on the
nature of the asset, these balances are included in either
“Investments in securities” or “Mortgage loans of Fannie Mae” in
our Summary of Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets shown
above.
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Retained Mortgage Portfolio
|
|
As of |
|
September 30, 2020 |
|
December 31, 2019 |
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Lender liquidity: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Agency securities(1)
|
|
$ |
42,196 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
38,375 |
|
|
Mortgage loans |
|
44,061 |
|
|
|
|
21,152 |
|
|
Total lender liquidity |
|
86,257 |
|
|
|
|
59,527 |
|
|
Loss mitigation mortgage loans(2)
|
|
57,460 |
|
|
|
|
60,731 |
|
|
Other: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reverse mortgage loans |
|
14,533 |
|
|
|
|
17,129 |
|
|
Mortgage loans |
|
5,287 |
|
|
|
|
6,546 |
|
|
Reverse mortgage securities(3)
|
|
7,324 |
|
|
|
|
7,575 |
|
|
Private-label and other securities |
|
495 |
|
|
|
|
1,250 |
|
|
Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities |
|
534 |
|
|
|
|
581 |
|
|
Mortgage revenue bonds |
|
218 |
|
|
|
|
272 |
|
|
Total other |
|
28,391 |
|
|
|
|
33,353 |
|
|
Total retained mortgage portfolio |
|
$ |
172,108 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
153,611 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Retained mortgage portfolio by segment: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-family mortgage loans and mortgage-related
securities |
|
$ |
166,038 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
145,179 |
|
|
Multifamily mortgage loans and mortgage-related
securities |
|
$ |
6,070 |
|
|
|
|
$ |
8,432 |
|
|
(1)Consists
of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae mortgage-related
securities, including Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie
Mae. Excludes Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage securities
and Fannie Mae-wrapped private-label securities.
(2)Includes
single-family loans classified as TDRs that were on accrual status
of $33.1 billion and $38.2 billion as of September 30, 2020 and
December 31, 2019, and single-family loans on nonaccrual status of
$18.9 billion and $19.6 billion as of September 30, 2020 and
December 31, 2019. Includes multifamily loans classified as TDRs
that were on accrual status of $26 million and $51 million as of
September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively, and
multifamily loans on nonaccrual status of $355 million and $132
million as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019,
respectively.
(3)Consists
of Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae reverse mortgage
securities.
The amount of mortgage assets that we may own is capped at $250
billion by our senior preferred stock purchase agreement with
Treasury, and FHFA has directed that we further cap our mortgage
assets at $225 billion. The Treasury plan includes a recommendation
that Treasury and FHFA amend our senior preferred stock purchase
agreement to further reduce the cap on our investments in
mortgage-related assets, and also to restrict our retained mortgage
portfolio to solely supporting the business of securitizing MBS.
See “Business—Conservatorship, Treasury Agreements and Housing
Finance Reform” in our 2019 Form 10-K for additional information on
our portfolio cap and the Treasury plan.
Effective January 31, 2020, FHFA directed us to include 10% of the
notional value of interest-only securities in calculating the size
of the retained portfolio for the purpose of determining compliance
with the senior preferred stock purchase agreement retained
portfolio limits and associated FHFA guidance. As of September 30,
2020, 10% of the notional value of our interest-only securities was
$2.4 billion, which is not included in the table
above.
Under the terms of our MBS trust documents, we have the option or,
in some instances, the obligation, to purchase mortgage loans that
meet specific criteria from an MBS trust. The purchase price for
these loans is the unpaid principal balance of the loan plus
accrued interest. If a delinquent loan remains in a single-family
MBS trust, the servicer is responsible for advancing the borrower’s
missed scheduled principal and interest payments to the MBS holders
for up to four months, after which time we must make these missed
payments. In addition, we must eventually reimburse servicers for
advanced principal and interest payments. In deciding whether and
when to exercise our option to purchase a loan from a single-family
MBS trust, we consider a variety of factors, including, but not
limited to, our cost of funds, general market conditions, and
relevant market yields. The cost of purchasing most delinquent
loans from a single-family Fannie Mae MBS trust and holding them in
our retained mortgage portfolio is currently less than the cost of
advancing delinquent payments to security holders.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Retained Mortgage Portfolio |
Our current policy is that, except for loans that are in
forbearance or that have been granted certain other types of loss
mitigation options (such as a repayment plan or payment deferral),
we generally purchase loans from single-family MBS trusts when they
become four consecutive monthly payments delinquent. As described
in “Legislation and Regulation—FHFA Instruction to Extend Timeframe
for Single-Family MBS Delinquent Loan Buyout Policy,” in September
2020, FHFA instructed both us and Freddie Mac to extend the
timeframe for our single-family delinquent loan buyout policy to
twenty-four consecutively missed monthly payments (that is, loans
that are 24 months past due), with the same exceptions noted above,
effective January 1, 2021. Despite this change in policy, we
currently anticipate that in most cases we will purchase delinquent
loans from single-family MBS trusts prior to the 24-month deadline
under one of the exceptions to the general policy, which includes
loans that are permanently modified, loans subject to a short-sale
or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure, loans that are paid in full and
loans referred to foreclosure.
In support of our loss mitigation strategies, we purchased
$9.2 billion of loans from our single-family MBS trusts in the
first nine months of 2020, the substantial majority of which were
delinquent, compared with $7.8 billion of loans purchased from
single-family MBS trusts in the first nine months of 2019. We
expect the amount of loans we buy out of trusts to increase
significantly in 2021 as a result of COVID-19-related loan
delinquencies and loss mitigation strategies, which will increase
the size of our retained mortgage portfolio, perhaps substantially.
The volume of loans we ultimately buy, the timing of those
purchases, and the length of time those loans remain in our
retained mortgage portfolio remain highly uncertain and depend on a
number of factors, including the success of our loss mitigation
activities. If the amount of mortgage loans we purchase from MBS
trusts is significantly higher than we currently expect, or if
liquidations and sales from our retained mortgage portfolio are
significantly lower than we expect, we may seek to obtain FHFA’s
and Treasury’s prior written consent to increase our current
mortgage asset limit. Depending on the amount, if any, by which
Treasury and FHFA agree to any request we make for an increase in
our mortgage asset limit, our business activities may be
constrained. See “Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage
Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Problem Loan
Management—Single-Family Loans in Forbearance” and “Multifamily
Business—Multifamily Mortgage Credit Risk Management—Multifamily
Problem Loan Management and Foreclosure Prevention” for information
on our loans in forbearance.
Guaranty Book of Business
Our “guaranty book of business” consists of:
•Fannie
Mae MBS outstanding, excluding the portions of any structured
securities we issue that are backed by Freddie Mac
securities;
•mortgage
loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained mortgage portfolio;
and
•other
credit enhancements that we provide on mortgage
assets.
“Total Fannie Mae guarantees” consists of:
•our
guaranty book of business; and
•the
portions of any structured securities we issue that are backed by
Freddie Mac securities.
We and Freddie Mac began issuing single-family uniform
mortgage-backed securities, or “UMBS®,”
in June 2019. In this report, we use the term “Fannie Mae-issued
UMBS” to refer to single-family Fannie Mae MBS that are directly
backed by fixed-rate mortgage loans and generally eligible for
trading in the to-be-announced (“TBA”) market. We use the term
“Fannie Mae MBS” or “our MBS” to refer to any type of
mortgage-backed security that we issue, including UMBS,
Supers®,
Real Estate Mortgage Investment Conduit securities (“REMICs”) and
other types of single-family or multifamily mortgage-backed
securities.
Some Fannie Mae MBS that we issue are backed in whole or in part by
Freddie Mac securities. When we resecuritize Freddie Mac securities
into Fannie Mae-issued structured securities, such as Supers and
REMICs, our guaranty of principal and interest extends to the
underlying Freddie Mac securities. However, Freddie Mac continues
to guarantee the payment of principal and interest on the
underlying Freddie Mac securities that we have resecuritized. We do
not charge an incremental guaranty fee to include Freddie Mac
securities in the structured securities that we issue. References
to our single-family guaranty book of business in this report
exclude Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage loans underlying Freddie Mac
securities that we have resecuritized.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Guaranty Book of Business |
The table below displays the composition of our guaranty book of
business based on unpaid principal balance. Our single-family
guaranty book of business accounted for 90% of our guaranty book of
business as of September 30, 2020 and December 31,
2019.
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|
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|
|
|
|
Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of
Business(1)
|
|
|
As of |
|
|
September 30, 2020 |
|
December 31, 2019 |
|
|
Single-Family
|
|
Multifamily
|
|
Total
|
|
Single-Family
|
|
Multifamily
|
|
Total
|
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Conventional guaranty book of business(2)
|
|
$ |
3,221,939 |
|
|
$ |
367,209 |
|
|
$ |
3,589,148 |
|
|
$ |
2,997,475 |
|
|
$ |
341,522 |
|
|
$ |
3,338,997 |
|
Government guaranty book of business(3)
|
|
23,402 |
|
|
2,303 |
|
|
25,705 |
|
|
27,422 |
|
|
1,079 |
|
|
28,501 |
|
Guaranty book of business |
|
3,245,341 |
|
|
369,512 |
|
|
3,614,853 |
|
|
3,024,897 |
|
|
342,601 |
|
|
3,367,498 |
|
Freddie Mac securities guaranteed by Fannie Mae(4)
|
|
117,748 |
|
|
— |
|
|
117,748 |
|
|
50,100 |
|
|
— |
|
|
50,100 |
|
Total Fannie Mae guarantees |
|
$ |
3,363,089 |
|
|
$ |
369,512 |
|
|
$ |
3,732,601 |
|
|
$ |
3,074,997 |
|
|
$ |
342,601 |
|
|
$ |
3,417,598 |
|
(1)Includes
other single-family Fannie Mae guaranty arrangements of $1.1
billion and $1.3 billion as of September 30, 2020 and December 31,
2019, and other multifamily Fannie Mae guaranty arrangements of
$10.8 billion and $11.3 billion as of September 30, 2020 and
December 31, 2019, respectively. The unpaid principal balance of
resecuritized Fannie Mae MBS is included only once in the reported
amount.
(2)Refers
to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities that are not
guaranteed or insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S.
government.
(3)Refers
to mortgage loans and mortgage-related securities guaranteed or
insured, in whole or in part, by the U.S. government.
(4)Consists
of approximately (i) $93.3 billion and $37.8 billion in unpaid
principal balance of Freddie Mac-issued UMBS backing Fannie
Mae-issued Supers as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019,
respectively; and (ii) $24.4 billion and $12.3 billion in unpaid
principal balance of Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie
Mae-issued REMICs as of September 30, 2020 and December 31, 2019,
respectively.
Our total exposure to Freddie Mac securities backing Fannie
Mae-issued REMICs disclosed as of December 31, 2019 may have been
lower because a portion of the Freddie Mac securities backing these
Fannie Mae-issued REMICs may have been backed by Fannie Mae
MBS.
The GSE Act requires us to set aside each year an amount equal to
4.2 basis points of the unpaid principal balance of our new
business purchases and to pay this amount to specified U.S.
Department of Housing and Urban Development (“HUD”) and Treasury
funds in support of affordable housing. In February 2020, we paid
$280 million to the funds based on our new business purchases
in 2019. For the first nine months of 2020, we recognized an
expense of $413 million related to this obligation based on
$982.6 billion in new business purchases during the period. We
expect to pay this amount to the funds in 2021, plus additional
amounts to be accrued based on our new business purchases in the
fourth quarter of 2020. See “Business—Charter Act and
Regulation—GSE Act and Other Legislation—Affordable Housing
Allocations” in our 2019 Form 10-K for more information regarding
this obligation.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
28
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Business Segments
We have two reportable business segments: Single-Family and
Multifamily. The Single-Family business operates in the secondary
mortgage market relating to single-family mortgage loans, which are
secured by properties containing four or fewer residential dwelling
units. The Multifamily business operates in the secondary mortgage
market relating primarily to multifamily mortgage loans, which are
secured by properties containing five or more residential
units.
The chart below displays the net revenues and net income for each
of our business segments for the first nine months of 2019 compared
with the first nine months of 2020. Net revenues consist of net
interest income and fee and other income.
Business Segment Net Revenues and Net Income
(Dollars in billions)
In the following sections, we describe each segment’s business
metrics, financial results and credit performance.
Single-Family Business
Our Single-Family business provides liquidity to the mortgage
market primarily by acquiring single-family loans from lenders and
securitizing those loans into Fannie Mae MBS, which are either
delivered to the lenders or sold to investors or
dealers.
This section supplements and updates information regarding our
Single-Family business segment in our 2019 Form 10-K. See
“MD&A—Single-Family Business” in our 2019 Form 10-K for
additional information regarding the primary business activities,
customers and competition of our Single-Family
business.
Single-Family Market Activity
Single-Family Mortgage Acquisition Share
Our share of the single-family mortgage acquisition market
fluctuates from period to period. We currently estimate our
single-family acquisition share in the last three years was within
the range of 23% to 30%, supporting approximately one in four
single-family mortgage loans. As shown in the table below, our
share of total mortgage acquisitions over a longer period of time
has varied within a wider range and is often impacted by economic
cycles. For example, during periods of recession, our acquisition
share has historically increased as some other market competitors
reduced their acquisitions.
Our competitors for the acquisition of single-family mortgage
assets are financial institutions and government agencies that
manage residential mortgage credit risk or invest in residential
mortgage loans, including Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing
Administration (“FHA”), the United States Department of Veterans
Affairs (“VA”), Ginnie Mae (which primarily guarantees securities
backed by FHA-insured loans and VA-guaranteed loans), the Federal
Home Loan Banks (“FHLBs”), U.S. banks and thrifts, securities
dealers, insurance companies, pension funds, investment funds and
other mortgage investors.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
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MD&A | Single-Family Business |
The table below shows our estimated share of mortgage acquisitions
from 2000 through the first nine months of 2020.
Fannie Mae Single-Family Acquisition Share of Total Market
Originations(1)
(1)
Acquisition share is calculated as the ratio of Fannie Mae
single-family acquisitions over our estimate of total market
originations. We exclude our purchase of delinquent loans from our
MBS trusts in the calculation of our acquisition
share.
(2)
Recession periods include any year in which any month in that year
is determined to be recessionary by the National Bureau of Economic
Research.
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances
Share
Our single-family Fannie Mae MBS issuances were $383.8 billion for
the third quarter of 2020, compared with $188.5 billion for the
third quarter of 2019. This increase was driven by a high volume of
refinance activity in the second and third quarters of 2020 due to
historically low mortgage rates. Based on the latest data
available, the chart below displays our estimated share of
single-family mortgage-related securities issuances in the third
quarter of 2020 as compared with that of our primary competitors
for the issuance of single-family mortgage-related
securities.
Single-Family Mortgage-Related Securities Issuances
Share
Third Quarter 2020
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
30
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MD&A | Single-Family Business |
We estimate our share of single-family mortgage-related securities
issuances was 45% in the second quarter of 2020 and 39% in the
third quarter of 2019.
Single-Family Mortgage Market
Housing activity improved substantially in the third quarter of
2020, remaining resilient in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic.
While we expect a slight slowdown in housing activity in the fourth
quarter of 2020, we expect solid gains in total home sales and
housing starts for full-year 2020 over 2019 levels. Additionally,
we expect mortgage rates to remain low through 2021, supporting
refinance originations, which we expect to reach the highest level
since 2003 this year.
Housing activity increased in the third quarter of 2020 compared
with the second quarter of 2020. Total existing home sales averaged
6.1 million units annualized in the third quarter of 2020, compared
with 4.3 million units in the second quarter of 2020, according to
data from the National Association of REALTORS®.
According to the U.S. Census Bureau, new single-family home sales
increased during the third quarter of 2020, averaging an annualized
rate of 973,000 units, compared with 703,000 units in the second
quarter of 2020.
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 2.95% in the third quarter
of 2020, compared with 3.23% in the second quarter of 2020,
according to Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market
Survey®.
We forecast that total originations in the U.S. single-family
mortgage market in 2020 will increase from 2019 levels by
approximately 66%, from an estimated $2.46 trillion in 2019 to
$4.08 trillion in 2020 (an all-time high for annual originations),
and that the amount of originations in the U.S. single-family
mortgage market that are refinances will increase from an estimated
$1.14 trillion in 2019 to $2.59 trillion in 2020.
Presentation of Our Single-Family Guaranty Book of
Business
For purposes of the information reported in this “Single-Family
Business” section, we measure the single-family guaranty book of
business using the unpaid principal balance of our mortgage loans
underlying Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. By contrast, the
single-family guaranty book of business presented in the
“Composition of Fannie Mae Guaranty Book of Business” table in the
“Guaranty Book of Business” section is based on the unpaid
principal balance of the Fannie Mae MBS outstanding, rather than
the unpaid principal balance of the underlying mortgage loans.
These amounts differ primarily as a result of payments we receive
on underlying loans that have not yet been remitted to the MBS
holders. As measured for purposes of the information reported
below, our single-family conventional guaranty book of business was
$3,120.3 billion as of September 30, 2020 and $2,951.9 billion as
of December 31, 2019.
Single-Family Business Metrics
Net interest income for our Single-Family business is driven by the
guaranty fees we charge and the size of our single-family
conventional guaranty book of business. Our business volume and
growth in our guaranty book of business is affected by the rate of
growth in total U.S. residential mortgage debt outstanding, the
size of the U.S. residential mortgage market and our share of
mortgage acquisitions. The guaranty fees we charge are based on the
characteristics of the loans we acquire. We may adjust our guaranty
fees in light of market conditions and to achieve return targets,
which are based on FHFA’s conservatorship capital framework that
currently applies to Fannie Mae. As a result, the average charged
guaranty fee on new acquisitions may fluctuate based on the credit
quality and product mix of loans acquired, as well as market
conditions and other factors.
We are implementing a new adverse market refinance fee effective
December 1, 2020. The new fee is intended to help us offset some of
the higher projected expenses and risk due to COVID-19. For every
$1 billion in eligible refinance loans we acquire, we will collect
$5 million in adverse market refinance fees, which will be
amortized into net interest income over the contractual life of the
loans as a cost basis adjustment. See “Executive Summary—COVID-19
Impact” for additional information on the new adverse market
refinance fee we plan to implement.
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Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
31
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|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
The charts below display our average charged guaranty fees, net of
TCCA fees, on our single-family conventional guaranty book of
business and on new single-family conventional loan acquisitions,
along with our average single-family conventional guaranty book of
business and our single-family conventional loan acquisitions for
the periods presented.
Select Single-Family Business Metrics
(Dollars in billions)
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|
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|
|
|
|
Average charged guaranty fee on single-family conventional guaranty
book of business, net of TCCA fees(1)
|
|
|
|
Average single-family conventional guaranty book of
business(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average charged guaranty fee on new single-family conventional
acquisitions, net of TCCA fees(1)
|
|
|
|
Single-family conventional acquisitions |
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
Excludes the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase
implemented pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from
which is remitted to Treasury and not retained by us.
(2)
Our single-family conventional guaranty book of business primarily
consists of single-family conventional mortgage loans underlying
Fannie Mae MBS outstanding. It also includes single-family
conventional mortgage loans of Fannie Mae held in our retained
mortgage portfolio, and other credit enhancements that we provide
on single-family conventional mortgage assets. Our single-family
conventional guaranty book of business does not include: (a)
non-Fannie Mae single-family mortgage-related securities held in
our retained mortgage portfolio for which we do not provide a
guaranty; (b) mortgage loans guaranteed or insured, in whole or in
part, by the U.S. government; or (c) Freddie Mac-acquired mortgage
loans underlying Freddie Mac-issued UMBS that we have
resecuritized. Our average single-family conventional guaranty book
of business is based on quarter-end balances.
Average charged guaranty fee represents, on an annualized basis,
the sum of the average base guaranty fees for our single-family
conventional guaranty arrangements, which we receive over the life
of the loan, during the period, plus the recognition of any upfront
cash payments relating to these guaranty arrangements based on an
estimated average life at the time of acquisition. Management uses
average charged guaranty fee on new acquisitions as a metric to
assess the reasonableness of our compensation for the credit risk
we manage on newly acquired single-family loans.
Our average charged guaranty fee on new single-family conventional
acquisitions decreased in the third quarter of 2020 compared with
the third quarter of 2019 due to the improved credit risk profile
of our third quarter 2020 acquisitions. See “Single-Family Mortgage
Credit Risk Management—Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and
Monitoring” for further information on the credit risk profile of
our acquisitions in the third quarter of 2020 as compared with the
third quarter of 2019.
If refinances continue to be a large proportion of our acquisitions
in 2021, we expect our average charged guaranty fee on new
single-family conventional acquisitions to increase in 2021 as a
result of the new adverse market refinance fee we plan to implement
on December 1, 2020.
We use loan-level price adjustments, including various upfront
risk-based fees and the new adverse market refinance fee, to price
for the credit risk we assume in providing our guaranty. FHFA must
approve changes to the national loan-level price adjustments we
charge and can direct us to make other changes to our single-family
guaranty fee pricing.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
32
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-Family Business Financial Results(1)
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
Variance |
|
|
(Dollars in millions) |
Net interest income(2)
|
|
$ |
5,870 |
|
|
$ |
4,484 |
|
|
$ |
1,386 |
|
|
$ |
15,350 |
|
|
$ |
12,942 |
|
|
$ |
2,408 |
|
Fee and other income |
|
73 |
|
|
156 |
|
|
(83) |
|
|
238 |
|
|
350 |
|
|
(112) |
|
Net revenues |
|
5,943 |
|
|
4,640 |
|
|
1,303 |
|
|
15,588 |
|
|
13,292 |
|
|
2,296 |
|
Investment gains, net |
|
583 |
|
|
198 |
|
|
385 |
|
|
527 |
|
|
709 |
|
|
(182) |
|
Fair value losses, net |
|
(244) |
|
|
(719) |
|
|
475 |
|
|
(1,734) |
|
|
(2,364) |
|
|
630 |
|
Administrative expenses |
|
(634) |
|
|
(634) |
|
|
— |
|
|
(1,888) |
|
|
(1,899) |
|
|
11 |
|
Credit-related income (expense)(3)
|
|
478 |
|
|
1,747 |
|
|
(1,269) |
|
|
(1,556) |
|
|
3,391 |
|
|
(4,947) |
|
TCCA fees(2)
|
|
(679) |
|
|
(613) |
|
|
(66) |
|
|
(1,976) |
|
|
(1,806) |
|
|
(170) |
|
Credit enhancement expense |
|
(274) |
|
|
(240) |
|
|
(34) |
|
|
(897) |
|
|
(639) |
|
|
(258) |
|
Change in expected credit enhancement
recoveries(4)
|
|
(48) |
|
|
— |
|
|
(48) |
|
|
218 |
|
|
— |
|
|
218 |
|
Other expenses, net(5)
|
|
(307) |
|
|
(184) |
|
|
(123) |
|
|
(722) |
|
|
(540) |
|
|
(182) |
|
Income before federal income taxes |
|
4,818 |
|
|
4,195 |
|
|
623 |
|
|
7,560 |
|
|
10,144 |
|
|
(2,584) |
|
Provision for federal income taxes |
|
(1,049) |
|
|
(872) |
|
|
(177) |
|
|
(1,623) |
|
|
(2,125) |
|
|
502 |
|
Net income |
|
$ |
3,769 |
|
|
$ |
3,323 |
|
|
$ |
446 |
|
|
$ |
5,937 |
|
|
$ |
8,019 |
|
|
$ |
(2,082) |
|
(1)See
“Note 9, Segment Reporting” for information about our segment
allocation methodology.
(2)Reflects
the impact of a 10 basis point guaranty fee increase implemented
pursuant to the TCCA, the incremental revenue from which is
remitted to Treasury. The resulting revenue is included in net
interest income and the expense is recognized as “TCCA
fees.”
(3)Consists
of the benefit or provision for credit losses and foreclosed
property income or expense. The presentation of our credit-related
income for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2019
represents amounts recognized prior to our transition to the
lifetime loss model prescribed by the CECL standard.
(4)Consists
of change in benefits recognized from our single-family
freestanding credit enhancements, which primarily relate to our CAS
and CIRT programs. See “Note 1, Summary of Significant Accounting
Policies” for more information about our change in
presentation.
(5)Consists
primarily of debt extinguishment gains and losses, housing trust
fund expenses, servicer fees paid in connection with certain loss
mitigation activities, and loan subservicing costs.
Net Interest Income
Single-family net interest income increased in the third quarter
and first nine months of 2020 compared with the third quarter and
first nine months of 2019, driven by higher net amortization income
and higher base guaranty fee income, partially offset by lower
income from portfolios.
The drivers of net interest income for the Single-Family segment
are consistent with the drivers of net interest income in our
condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive
income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Net
Interest Income.”
Investment Gains, Net
Single-family investment gains, net increased in the third quarter
of 2020, compared with the third quarter of 2019, as a result of an
increase in both volume and gains on sales of single-family
reperforming loans.
Single-family investment gains, net decreased in the first nine
months of 2020, compared with the first nine months of 2019, as a
result of a lower volume of sales of single-family reperforming
loans.
The drivers of investment gains, net for the Single-Family segment
are consistent with the drivers of investment gains, net in our
condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive
income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of
Operations—Investment Gains, Net.”
Fair Value Losses, Net
Fair value losses, net in the third quarter of 2020 were primarily
driven by decreases in the fair value of our mortgage commitment
derivatives and losses on trading securities, partially offset by
fair value gains on credit enhancement derivatives.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
33
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
Fair value losses, net in the first nine months of 2020 were
primarily driven by decreases in the fair value of our mortgage
commitment derivatives and increases in the fair value of long-term
debt of consolidated trusts held at fair value, partially offset by
fair value gains on trading securities and CAS debt.
Fair value losses, net in the third quarter and first nine months
of 2019 were primarily driven by net interest expense accruals on
our risk management derivatives combined with decreases in the fair
value of our pay-fixed risk management derivatives, partially
offset by increases in the fair value of our receive-fixed risk
management derivatives, and decreases in the fair value of our
mortgage commitment derivatives. In addition, increases in the fair
value of our debt also resulted in fair value losses for the third
quarter and first nine months of 2019.
The drivers of fair value losses, net for the Single-Family segment
are consistent with the drivers of fair value losses, net in our
condensed consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive
income, which we discuss in “Consolidated Results of
Operations—Fair Value Losses, Net.”
As we discuss in “Consolidated Results of Operations—Fair Value
Losses, Net,” we expect that implementing a hedge accounting
program will reduce the volatility of our financial results
associated with changes in interest rates, while fair value gains
and losses driven by other factors such as credit spreads will
remain.
Credit-Related Income (Expense)
Credit-related income for the third quarter of 2020 was primarily
driven by a decrease in our allowance for loan losses due to an
increase in actual and forecasted home prices and the redesignation
of certain reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS. This
was partially offset by an increase to our allowance for loan
losses we expect to incur as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic as
well as an increase in the allowance on accrued interest receivable
due to the updated application of our nonaccrual
policy.
Credit-related expense for the first nine months of 2020 was
primarily driven by an increase in our allowance for loan losses
due to losses we expect to incur as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic as well as an increase in the allowance on accrued
interest receivable due to the updated application of our
nonaccrual policy. This was partially offset by lower actual and
projected mortgage interest rates and the redesignation of certain
reperforming single-family loans from HFI to HFS.
Credit-related income for the third quarter and first nine months
of 2019 was primarily driven by the redesignation of certain
single-family loans from HFI to HFS; a model enhancement, including
the incorporation of updated loan performance data; an increase in
actual and forecasted home prices; lower actual and projected
mortgage interest rates; and changes in loan activity related to
loan liquidations.
See “Consolidated Results of Operations—Credit-Related Income
(Expense)” in this report for more information on the primary
factors that contributed to our single-family credit-related income
(expense).
Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk Management
This section updates our discussion of single-family mortgage
credit risk management in our 2019 Form 10-K. For additional
information on our acquisition and servicing policies, underwriting
and servicing standards, quality control process, repurchase
requests, and representation and warranty framework, see
“MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management” in our 2019 Form 10-K.
Single-Family Acquisition and Servicing Policies and Underwriting
and Servicing Standards
COVID-19 Selling Policies
We are working closely with Freddie Mac, under the guidance and at
the direction of FHFA, to offer temporary measures during the
COVID-19 national emergency that provide lenders with the clarity
and flexibility to continue lending in a prudent and responsible
manner.
Temporary policy flexibilities and updates to our Selling Guide
requirements are designed to mitigate the operational impact of
COVID-19 on loan underwriting and originations. These flexibilities
include:
•purchasing
certain loans that are subject to a COVID-19-related payment
forbearance at the time of sale, subject to payment of a loan-level
price adjustment;
•offering
additional methods of obtaining verbal verifications of borrower
employment;
•allowing
alternative property valuation methods; and
•expanding
guidelines for the use of a power of attorney.
Temporary policy updates to provide clarity and mitigate risk
include:
•assessment
of more recent documentation of borrower employment (including
self-employment), income, and assets;
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
34
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
•requiring
evidence of receipt of funds from stocks, stock options and mutual
funds when used for down payment or closing costs, and reducing the
value to 70% when considered for reserves;
•requiring
additional due diligence regarding the payment status of a
borrower’s existing mortgage loans;
•providing
clarity for assessing self-employment income for qualifying
purposes; and
•requiring
that loans be no more than six months old to be eligible for sale
to us.
COVID-19 Servicing Policies
We also continue to work with Freddie Mac as instructed by FHFA
and/or as required by the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic
Security Act (the “CARES Act”), to implement temporary policies to
enable our single-family loan servicers to better assist borrowers
impacted by COVID-19. We issued initial requirements to servicers
on temporary policies to assist borrowers impacted by COVID-19 in
March 2020, and have subsequently amended the requirements. We will
continue monitoring the market to determine whether further
adjustments to or extensions of our temporary policies are
appropriate.
These temporary policies include requiring that our single-family
loan servicers:
•provide
forbearance upon the request of any single-family borrower
experiencing a financial hardship due to the COVID-19 pandemic,
regardless of the borrower’s delinquency status and with no
additional documentation required other than the borrower’s
attestation to a financial hardship caused by COVID-19. The
borrower must be provided an initial forbearance plan for a period
up to 180 days, and that forbearance period may be extended for up
to an additional 180 days at the request of the borrower. If the
borrower’s COVID-19-related hardship has not been resolved during
an incremental forbearance period, the servicer must extend the
borrower’s forbearance period at the borrower’s request, not to
exceed 12 months total;
•beginning
July 1, 2020, offer a payment deferral workout option to eligible
borrowers who have resolved a COVID-19-related financial hardship
but cannot afford to bring the loan current by reinstating the loan
(that is, repaying all the missed payments at one time) or through
a repayment plan (that is, repaying the missed payments over time).
The payment deferral workout option allows the borrower to defer up
to 12 months of past-due payments, without interest, to the end of
the loan term (or when the loan is refinanced, the property is sold
or the loan is otherwise paid off before the end of the loan term).
All other terms of the loan remain unchanged;
•suspend
foreclosures and foreclosure-related activities for single-family
properties through at least December 31, 2020, other than for
vacant or abandoned properties; and
•report
as current to the credit bureaus the obligation of a borrower who
receives a forbearance plan or other form of relief as a result of
the COVID-19 pandemic during the covered period if the borrower was
current before the accommodation and makes payments as agreed under
the accommodation in accordance with the Fair Credit Reporting Act,
as amended by the CARES Act.
Certain states and localities have implemented COVID-19-related
borrower and renter protections that are more extensive than the
CARES Act requirements or our Servicing Guide requirements. States
and localities may continue to consider such proposals in the
future or extend the time period of existing protections. Our
servicers must comply with all applicable laws.
Desktop Underwriter Update
As part of our comprehensive risk management approach, we
periodically update our proprietary automated underwriting system,
Desktop Underwriter®
(“DU®”),
to reflect changes to our underwriting and eligibility guidelines.
As part of normal business operations, we regularly review DU to
determine whether its risk analysis and eligibility assessment are
appropriate based on the current market environment and loan
performance information. As a result of our most recent review, in
April 2020 we enhanced the DU eligibility assessment to help Fannie
Mae and our customers better manage credit risk in the current
market while providing sustainable options to borrowers. We expect
this change will result in a modest reduction of loans with
high-risk factors being eligible for acquisition through
DU.
We will continue to closely monitor loan acquisitions and market
conditions and, as appropriate, make changes to DU, including its
eligibility criteria, to ensure that the loans we acquire are
consistent with our risk appetite and FHFA guidance.
For further information regarding Desktop Underwriter, please see
“MD&A—Single-Family Business—Single-Family Mortgage Credit Risk
Management—Single-Family Acquisition and Servicing Policies and
Underwriting and Servicing Standards” in our 2019 Form
10-K.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
Single-Family Portfolio Diversification and Monitoring
The table below displays our single-family conventional business
volumes and our single-family conventional guaranty book of
business, based on certain key risk characteristics that we use to
evaluate the risk profile and credit quality of our single-family
loans. We provide additional information on the credit
characteristics of our single-family loans in quarterly financial
supplements, which we furnish to the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission (“SEC”) with current reports on Form 8-K.
Information in our quarterly financial supplements is not
incorporated by reference into this report.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Key Risk Characteristics of Single-Family Conventional Business
Volume and Guaranty Book of Business(1)
|
|
|
Percent of Single-Family Conventional
Business Volume at Acquisition(2)
|
|
Percent of Single-Family Conventional
Guaranty Book of Business(3)
As of
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
|
September 30, 2020 |
|
|
December 31, 2019 |
|
Original loan-to-value (“LTV”) ratio:(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<= 60% |
|
28 |
|
% |
16 |
|
% |
25 |
|
% |
16 |
|
% |
|
21 |
|
% |
|
19 |
|
% |
60.01% to 70% |
|
15 |
|
|
12 |
|
|
16 |
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
70.01% to 80% |
|
33 |
|
|
38 |
|
|
34 |
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
80.01% to 90% |
|
11 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
12 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
90.01% to 95% |
|
10 |
|
|
14 |
|
|
10 |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
|
95.01% to 100% |
|
3 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
Greater than 100% |
|
* |
|
— |
|
|
* |
|
* |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Weighted average
|
|
71 |
|
% |
77 |
|
% |
72 |
|
% |
77 |
|
% |
|
74 |
|
% |
|
76 |
|
% |
Average loan amount |
|
$ |
281,202 |
|
|
$ |
269,204 |
|
|
$ |
279,641 |
|
|
$ |
255,909 |
|
|
|
$ |
181,361 |
|
|
|
$ |
173,804 |
|
|
Estimated mark-to-market LTV ratio:(5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<= 60% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52 |
|
% |
|
54 |
|
% |
60.01% to 70% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
70.01% to 80% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
80.01% to 90% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
|
90.01% to 100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
Greater than 100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
* |
|
|
* |
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Weighted average
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
57 |
|
% |
|
57 |
|
% |
Product type: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed-rate:(6)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term |
|
84 |
|
% |
90 |
|
% |
85 |
|
% |
90 |
|
% |
|
85 |
|
% |
|
85 |
|
% |
Intermediate-term |
|
16 |
|
|
10 |
|
|
15 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
Total fixed-rate
|
|
100 |
|
|
100 |
|
|
100 |
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
Adjustable-rate |
|
* |
|
* |
|
* |
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Number of property units:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 unit |
|
99 |
|
% |
98 |
|
% |
98 |
|
% |
98 |
|
% |
|
97 |
|
% |
|
97 |
|
% |
2 to 4 units |
|
1 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Property type: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Single-family homes |
|
92 |
|
% |
91 |
|
% |
92 |
|
% |
91 |
|
% |
|
91 |
|
% |
|
91 |
|
% |
Condo/Co-op |
|
8 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fannie Mae Third Quarter 2020 Form 10-Q |
36
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MD&A | Single-Family Business |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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|
|
|
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|
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|
|
|
|
Percent of Single-Family Conventional
Business Volume at Acquisition(2)
|
|
Percent of Single-Family Conventional
Guaranty Book of Business(3)
As of
|
|
|
For the Three Months Ended September 30, |
|
For the Nine Months Ended September 30, |
|
|
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
2020 |
|
2019 |
|
|
September 30, 2020 |
|
|
December 31, 2019 |
|
Occupancy type: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary residence |
|
92 |
|
% |
93 |
|
% |
93 |
|
% |
91 |
|
% |
|
89 |
|
% |
|
89 |
|
% |
Second/vacation home |
|
4 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
Investor |
|
4 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
FICO credit score at origination:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
< 620 |
|
— |
|
% |
* |
% |
* |
% |
* |
% |
|
1 |
|
% |
|
1 |
|
% |
620 to < 660 |
|
2 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
660 to < 680 |
|
2 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
680 to < 700 |
|
5 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
700 to < 740 |
|
17 |
|
|
22 |
|
|
19 |
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
>= 740 |
|
74 |
|
|
65 |
|
|
72 |
|
|
61 |
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
61 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Weighted average |
|
762 |
|
|
751 |
|
|
759 |
|
|
747 |
|
|
|
749 |
|
|
|
746 |
|
|
Debt-to-income (“DTI”) ratio at origination:(7)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
<= 43% |
|
81 |
|
% |
74 |
|
% |
79 |
|
% |
71 |
|
% |
|
77 |
|
% |
|
76 |
|
% |
43.01% to 45% |
|
7 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
Greater than 45% |
|
12 |
|
|
17 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
|
Total |
|
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
|
100 |
|
% |
Weighted average |
|
33 |
|
% |
36 |
|
% |
34 |
|
% |
36 |
|
% |
|
35 |
|
% |
|
35 |
|
% |
Loan purpose:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchase |
|
32 |
|
% |
54 |
|
% |
31 |
|
% |
59 |
|
% |
|
40 |
|
% |
|
45 |
|
% |
Cash-out refinance |
|
17 |
|
|
18 |
|
|
19 |
|
|
19 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
19 |
|
|
Other refinance |
|
51 |
|
|
28 |
|
|
|