Timothy Smith
13 years ago
Canadian Natural Resources Limited has a 1-Year Projected Earnings Per Share Growth Rate of 49.50%, and a Analysts' Rating of 1.80.
The short interest was 0.59% as of 08/17/2012. Canadian Natural Resources Limited engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, production, marketing, and sale of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas.
Its products include natural gas, light and medium crude oil, primary heavy crude oil, bitumen, synthetic crude oil, and NGLs. The company operates primarily in North America; the United Kingdom portion of the North Sea; and Cote d'Ivoire, Gabon, and South Africa in offshore Africa.
OilStockReport
15 years ago
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - 12/02/10) - Canadian Natural Resources Limited ("Canadian Natural" or the "Company") (TSX:CNQ - News) (NYSE:CNQ - News) announces monthly production of Synthetic Crude Oil ("SCO") at Horizon Oil Sands as follows:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Month SCO Production (bbl/d)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Q1 2010 86,995
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Q2 2010 99,950
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Q3 2010 83,809
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
October 2010 87,600(i)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
November 2010 107,900(i)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
(i)rounded to the nearest hundred
The Pressure Swing Adsorption (PSA) beds recovered better than expected resulting in production of approximately 107,900 bbl/d SCO for November 2010. The PSA unit performance will be closely monitored, however the likelihood that a complete shutdown will be required has been reduced significantly, and scheduled maintenance work will be performed if necessary. The Company continues to target Q4/10 production between 90,000 bbl/d and 100,000 bbl/d and overall annual production between 90,000 bbl/d and 93,000 bbl/d.
Canadian Natural is a senior crude oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore West Africa.
OilStockReport
15 years ago
Good Q & A from the conference call. The upside here is streaming.
Joe Citarrella - Goldman Sachs
In terms of just following up on Horizon here on future phases is, we are waiting for more detailed cost estimates. I was hoping you could offer some early thoughts on how you expect costs to compare to the first phase. I mean, should we be thinking about close to the $88,000 per barrel a day that we had from Phase 1 or anticipating anything meaningfully different here? Thank you.
Steve Laut
I think Joe, right now we're still in the final stages of it. We're kind of in a unique window right now. And the cost estimates that we've had before may look a little high compared to what we are able to execute in this environment.
However, a concern is, once you start announcing projects, we could get the industry as a whole back into that inflationary period, and we would have cost pressures again. So all our execution strategy is built around giving us the maximum flexibility and the ability to control cost and stop and start as we go forward.
As far as $88,000 or $89,000 which we did Phase 1 for, I think it would be difficult to achieve that level of cost going forward in expansions.
So, it will be higher than the $89,000 in Phase 1. Just how much higher, we haven't nailed down exactly yet.
Joe Citarrella - Goldman Sachs
Got it. And similar lines on Kirby, hoping you just provide some additional color there. I mean, you're expanding the whole project to 70,000 to 100,000 per day now, and you mentioned capital of about 31,000 for the first phase. Should we be thinking about a lower capital spend for the remainder of the project given expected synergies? And also any thoughts on timing for production here? Thank you.
Steve Laut
So Kirby Phase 1, (first) team and his 23rd team, and then the oil will come up you know around let's say, (diesel) won't be like cyclic where it comes out at you right away. So it will take some time, probably in 2014 when we start production.
As far as costs going forward for the expansion on Kirby Phase 2 and the de-bottlenecking we'd expect to be able to leverage the infrastructure we've built here for Kirby Phase 1. And the de-bottlenecking for sure will give us better cost energies. So we think it will be lower.
At this point in time, we haven't quantified how much lower that will be, but we expect it to trend lower for future expansions. We'd also expect to see operating cost to be a little bit lower with expansions.
Operator
Our next question is from Mark Polak from Scotia Capital.
Mark Polak - Scotia Capital
A quick question for you. Now that you've acquired the (interspersed) lands around Kirby, that expansion and the bottleneck, should we think about that sort of pushing out Grouse and all the other projects a little further and sort of coming on in that 2016 timeframe?
Peter Janson
That's a good question. Mark, we're still looking at it. What we're planning to do with both Grouse and Birch Mountain East is that we're looking now at the possibility of making regulatory applications for both of those in 2011 and trying to put Kirby 2 in there in between. So we're not sure exactly how the schedule would be, but there maybe some juggling of schedules. You would think just logically Kirby 2 would probably become before; however, Grouse is looking very good, so we may try to do Grouse first or very close together with Kirby 2.
Mark Polak - Scotia Capital
Okay, but no chance to the overall, kind of adding 30,000 to 60,000 barrels at average 2 to 3 years? Is that still sort of the pace you are comfortable with?
Peter Janson
We are very comfortable with that pace, and we think basically the contracting and construction market can handle that. If we get going too far, you are going to outrun the construction market and overrun the engineering firm's ability to deliver for you.
Mark Polak - Scotia Capital
And just curious what you are seeing in terms of inflation as you're working through the latter stages of, you know, looking at Horizon here we've seen costs go up on (curl), and some (inaudible) mentioned this morning that after a fairly sharp reduction and the slowdown of '08, '09 costs are coming up, so you are getting busy as you look at that pipeline. Just curious what you're thinking there?
Peter Janson
We are Mark, concerned about inflation and about the ability to reignite inflation. I will say that on our projects on Tranche 2 we are tracking below our control estimate or cost estimate at this point in time and that's one of the reasons why we reduced capital spending in 2010 because of their ability to do their work with less. So we are seeing our ability to do it for less, and we (constricted). But going forward, I think it's all a matter of activity. So it becomes very difficult to say that going forward you're going to be able to do it for less. But we haven't seen inflation yet on that side.
Operator
Our next question is from George Toriola from UBS Securities.
George Toriola - UBS Securities
The question is around operating costs in the North Sea. Obviously in the quarter, you had some other issues. But just looking at that business, where would you expect operating costs to be, and what are the drivers you have to the extent that you can bring costs down, what drivers do you have?
Doug Proll
The biggest driver in the North Sea for operating costs are the production volumes. Mostly operating costs are essentially fixed. So we didn't have as we had in the third quarter all the turnarounds, and that's the time to do it is in the summer and the water conditions are better. Your production's down and your operating costs go up significantly.
So for us, maintaining production volumes is the biggest driver, and increasing volumes if we can. As you know, we started up a drill string in Ninian this year. Obviously we took a hiatus in 2009. Mainly because of the uncertainty in the global financial market, we want to reduce our capital spending. As a result, there's a lot of safety-critical work we have to do here in 2010 and 2011 we had to get to before we get to really see some of the juicier production volume adds. So as we get to that we'll see production more stable and operating costs stabilize as well.
George Toriola - UBS Securities
Sort of, where do you expect that to settle out at? What sort of numbers would you expect?
Doug Proll
We're saying for this year, operating costs are $30 to $31 a barrel. I would expect us to be very close to that in 2011.
George Toriola - UBS Securities
And then quickly on Horizon, is it fair to say that as you push Phase 1 volumes towards sort of design capacities here that you are now getting to test some of the pieces of equipment there, and that's where you're starting to see some of this reliability issues. Is that a fair way to look at it?
Doug Proll
Actually George, I don't think that's the case actually. When we're at higher volumes we actually run better. It's when we have upsets; we go down and go back up, that's when we have issues with reliability; starting equipment up and pulling it down causes reliability issues. When we run at design capacity, that's the best time we run; everything runs smooth, it just spurs along.
So, really what we're finding here, to be blunt, the hydrogen exchanger that we had here was a manufacturing error here that occurred and was not detected by their quality control or our quality control. I don't know if you could have detected it actually. And it took this long before it actually generated a leak. So we're still working through some of those issues which occurred in that 2007, 2008 period with all the hyperinflation, and every vendor was trying to get as much equipment out the door as possible.
And so we still have some of those things coming back to bite us.
George Toriola - UBS Securities
So it's not really sort of the pushing the envelope, but more and more issues from start-up so to speak.
Doug Proll
Not at all. When we run at higher rates, that's when we run best.
Peter Janson
That's what the equipment is designed to run, that it mixes sweet spot at that rate.
http://seekingalpha.com/article/234880-canadian-natural-ceo-discusses-q3-2010-results-earnings-call-transcript?source=qp_transcript
frenchee
17 years ago
Canadian Natural Resources Limited Announces Fourth Quarter 2007 Update on the Progress of the Horizon Oil Sands Project
February 12, 2008 5:00 a.m.
CALGARY, ALBERTA--(Marketwire - Feb. 12, 2008) - Canadian Natural Resources Limited (TSX:CNQ) (NYSE:CNQ) ("Canadian Natural") is pleased to provide its regular quarterly update on the Horizon Oil Sands Project ("Horizon Project"). Commenting on fourth quarter progress on the Horizon Oil Sands Project, Real Doucet, Sr. Vice President, Oil Sands stated, "We achieved 90% completion of the Horizon Project by year-end 2007, a major accomplishment, which remains on track for first oil in the third quarter of 2008. The remaining 10%, however, is in many ways the toughest as it is the most labour intensive portion of the Horizon Project. Unfortunately, mid to late January and early February saw a significant deterioration in labour productivity on the construction site as much colder than normal weather seriously curtailed activity. The weather also affected the commissioning schedule of certain plants; however, at present this is not expected to have any impact on our targeted completion of Phase 1." "As of December 31, 2007 our forecasted total costs of the Horizon Project were at 13.4% over our $6.8 billion Board of Directors authorization. We just completed a thorough review of the productivity that we have recently experienced at the Horizon Project construction site and have determined that should no improvements in productivity be achieved through the remainder of construction, then the cost estimate for Phase 1 of the Horizon Project would need to be increased to 28% above the original $6.8 billion Board authorization. If we can regain targeted labour efficiencies and productivity, this overage could be reduced to approximately 25% above the original $6.8 billion Board authorization. This range of outcomes will result in an on-stream cost of less than $80,000 bbl/d of capacity, including the benefits of the significant pre-build capital invested for Phase 2/3. In the fourth quarter of 2007, we reached many significant milestones including completion of the tailings pond, filling of the raw water pond and preparing two tanks to receive start-up diluent in January. We have experienced minor slippage in certain non-critical path plants where mechanical completion has moved from the end of the second quarter to early in the third quarter - having no expected impact however on targeted Project completion. Our critical path plants, Delayed Coker / Diluent Recovery Unit and Hydrotreater remain on track for first oil in the third quarter of this year. In parallel with completing major systems, we are getting ready for operations. Our rate of operations hiring and training has gained significant momentum with 100% of Mining, 89% of Bitumen Extraction, 80% of Upgrading and 76% of Utilities and Offsites staffing requirements hired to date. We have also now awarded all of the maintenance contracts, with these contractors immediately mobilizing to site in the last part of the fourth quarter of 2007. We remain focused on timely completion of Phase 1, while getting ready to operate the new facilities. Meanwhile, following Board authorization to proceed with Tranche 2 of our next expansion, we were immediately able to award a contract for an additional Ore Prep Plant to an existing contractor that is performing well. In addition, other long lead equipment (Coke Drums and Reactors) for Phase 2/3 will be delivered to site during the first quarter of 2008, as we look forward to successful construction and completion of future phases."
PROJECT STATUS SUMMARY
September 30, December 31, March 31,
2007 2007 2008
Q4/07 Original Q1/08 Original
Actual Actual Forecast Plan Forecast Plan
------ ------ -------- -------- -------- --------
Phase 1 - Work
progress
(cumulative) 84% 90% 90% 94% 95% 97%
Phase 1 - Construction
capital spending(1) 89% 99% 99% 92% 110% 97%
(cumulative)
(1) Relative to overall Phase 1 project capital of $6.8 billion
Accomplished to the end of the Fourth Quarter of 2007
Detailed Engineering
- Overall detailed engineering 98.5% complete and substantially complete in most areas.
Procurement
- Overall procurement progress is 99% complete.
- Awarded over $5.6 billion in purchase orders and contracts to date.
- Only one significant contract remains to be awarded for Phase 1 - mechanical for Sulphur Blocking.
- Commenced receipt and site assembly of Mine Operations Equipment (Shovels and Heavy Haul Trucks).
- Operations and maintenance service and supply agreements have been awarded.
Modularization
- Delivered an additional 54 oversized loads to site for a total of 1,560 loads, representing approximately 94% of the total requirement. Remaining deliveries consist primarily of the balance of required Mine Operations Equipment (Shovels and Heavy Haul Trucks).
Construction
- Overall construction progress is 85% complete.
- Mine overburden removal has moved 49.9 million bank cubic meters, which represents approximately 72% of the total to be moved and is 0.6 million bank cubic meters ahead of schedule.
- Main Control Room Distributed Control Systems equipment powered and tested.
- Commissioned 260kV Transmission line and turned over to operations.
- Commissioned Raw Water Pumphouse and turned over to operations.
- Completed reformer erection in Hydrogen Plant.
- Completed installation and pre-commissioning of CPI Separator Building.
- Completed the closure of Dyke 10 (external tailings pond) in Mining.
- Completed erection of Crushing Plants and conveyors in Ore Preparation Area.
- Completed Primary Separation Cells in Extraction.
- Completed construction of Main Laboratory.
Milestones for the First Quarter of 2008
- Mechanically Complete Extraction Plant.
- Mechanically Complete Froth Treatment Plant.
- Mechanically Complete Amine Plant.
- Complete Auxiliary Boiler installation in Cogeneration.
- Complete Piping in Heat Integration.
Plant and System Commissioning Schedule
Completed
- Permanent Potable Water Treatment
- Permanent Sewage Treatment
- Natural Gas Pipeline
- Raw and Recycled Water Pipelines
- River Water Intake and Pumphouse
- Raw Water Pond and Pumphouse
- Recycle Water Pond and Pumphouse
- Electrical Distribution System
Q1 2008
- Tanks 11 and 12 completed for early diluent fill
- Main Piperack
- Instrument and Utility Air System
- Flare System
Q2 2008
- Cogeneration
- Cooling and Heating
- Delayed Coker / Diluent Recovery Unit
- Gas Treating and Sulphur Recovery
- West Tank Farm (inter plant)
- Sulphur Block Pipelines
- Synthetic Crude Oil Pipeline
Q3 2008
- Ore Preparation Plant
- Extraction
- Froth Treatment
- Pipeline Corridors
- Hydrogen Plant
- Hydrotreater
- East Tank Farm (product)
A picture gallery providing visual updates on construction progress is available on the Company's website (http://www.cnrl.com/horizon/about_horizon/photo_gallery.html).
CONFERENCE CALL
A conference call will be held at 7:30 a.m. Mountain Time, 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time on Tuesday, February 12, 2008. The North American conference call number is 1-866-540-8136 and the outside North American conference call number is 001-416-340-8010. Please call in about 10 minutes before the starting time in order to be patched into the call. The conference call will also be broadcast live on the internet and may be accessed through the Canadian Natural website at www.cnrl.com.
A taped rebroadcast will be available until 6:00 p.m. Mountain Time, Tuesday, February 19, 2008. To access the postview in North America, dial 1-800-408-3053. Those outside of North America, dial 001-416-695-5800. The passcode to use is 3252546.
WEBCAST
This call is being webcast by Vcall and can be accessed on Canadian Natural's website at www.cnrl.com/investor_info/calendar.html.
The webcast is also being distributed over PrecisionIR's Investor Distribution Network to both institutional and individual investors. Investors can listen to the call through www.vcall.com or by visiting any of the investor sites in PrecisionIR's Individual Investor Network.
2007 FOURTH QUARTER RESULTS
The Company's results for the fourth quarter of 2007 will be released on February 28, 2008. A conference call will be held on that day at 9:00 a.m. Mountain Time, 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time.
Canadian Natural is a senior oil and natural gas production company, with continuing operations in its core areas located in Western Canada, the U.K. portion of the North Sea and Offshore West Africa.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements in this document or documents incorporated herein by reference for Canadian Natural Resources Limited (the "Company") constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements can generally be identified as such because of the context of the statements including words such as the Company "believes", "anticipates", "expects", "plans", "estimates", "targets", or words of a similar nature.
The forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such factors include, among others: general economic and business conditions which will, among other things, impact demand for and market prices of the Company's products; foreign currency exchange rates; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which the Company conducts business; political uncertainty, including actions of or against terrorists, insurgent groups or other conflict including conflict between states; industry capacity; ability of the Company to implement its business strategy, including exploration and development activities; impact of competition; availability and cost of seismic, drilling and other equipment; ability of the Company to complete its capital programs; ability of the Company to transport its products to market; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; ability of the Company to attract the necessary labour required to build its projects; operating hazards and other difficulties inherent in the exploration for and production and sale of crude oil and natural gas; availability and cost of financing; success of exploration and development activities; timing and success of integrating the business and operations of acquired companies; production levels; uncertainty of reserve estimates; actions by governmental authorities; government regulations and the expenditures required to comply with them (especially safety and environmental laws and regulations); asset retirement obligations; and other circumstances affecting revenues and expenses. Our domestic operations are subject to governmental risks that may impact our operations. Our domestic operations have been, and at times in the future may be affected by political developments and by federal, provincial and local laws and regulations such as restrictions on production, changes in taxes, royalties and other amounts payable to governments or governmental agencies, price or gathering rate controls and environmental protection regulations. The impact of any one factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as such factors are interdependent upon other factors, and the Company's course of action would depend upon its assessment of the future considering all information then available.
Statements relating to "reserves" are deemed to be forward-looking statements as they involve the implied assessment based on certain estimates and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably produced in the future.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of important factors is not exhaustive. Although the Company believes that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to it on the date such forward-looking statements are made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. All subsequent forward-looking statements, whether written or oral, attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. Except as required by law, the Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or Management's estimates or opinions change.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION PLEASE CONTACT:
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Allan P. Markin
Chairman
(403) 514-7777
(403) 514-7888 (FAX)
or
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
John G. Langille
Vice-Chairman
(403) 514-7777
(403) 514-7888 (FAX)
or
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Steve W. Laut
President and Chief Operating Officer
(403) 514-7777
(403) 514-7888 (FAX)
or
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Douglas A. Proll
Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice-President, Finance
(403) 514-7777
(403) 514-7888 (FAX)
or
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
Corey B. Bieber
Vice-President, Finance & Investor Relations
(403) 514-7777
(403) 514-7888 (FAX)
or
Canadian Natural Resources Limited
2500, 855 - 2nd Street S.W.
Calgary, Alberta
T2P 4J8
Email: ir@cnrl.com
Website: www.cnrl.com
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