Kohl's Beats, Ups Guidance - Analyst Blog
August 11 2011 - 8:35AM
Zacks
Kohl’s Corporation (KSS) reported its operating
earnings of $1.09 per share in the second-quarter 2011, beating the
Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny. The earnings however,
surpassed the prior-year quarter earnings by 30%.
Profits were largely driven by prudent expense management across
many of Kohl’s stores. Besides, strong profitability in the credit
card partnership with Capital One Financial Corp.
(COF) helped as bad debt expenses declined significantly during the
quarter over last year.
Sales and Margins
Amidst a challenging sales environment, net sales rose 3.6% to
$4.2 billion, driven by a 1.9% increase in comparable store
sales.
The gross margin increased by 40 basis points to 40.7%, on the
back of increased penetration of private and exclusive brands and
disciplined inventory management. The operating margin also jumped
110 basis points to 12.0% of net sales.
Store Update
At the end of the quarter, Kohl’s added 30 stores to reach a
total of 1,097 stores in 49 states, compared with 1,067 stores in
the prior-year quarter. The company expects to open an additional
31 stores and remodel an additional 15 stores in September.
Dividend Update
On August 9, 2011, Kohl's Board declared a quarterly cash
dividend of 25 cents per share, payable on September 28, 2011 to
shareholders of record at the close of business on September 7,
2011.
Other Financial Update
Kohl’s ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1.2
billion, up 53.6% from the prior-year quarter-end.
Long-term debt and capital leases were down 5.9% to $1.7 billion
and shareholders’ equity also reduced 12.3% to $7.3 billion as of
July 30, 2011.
Management Guided
Driven by strong profits in the second-quarter, Kohl’s now
expects to increase its total sales forecast to range between 4% -
6%, and comparable store sales forecast to 2% - 4%.
The company also anticipates a gross margin in the range of down
10 basis points to up 10 basis points. Selling, general and
administrative expenses are expected to increase in the range of
1.5% - 3%.
In addition, Kohl’s expects to repurchase approximately $500
million of shares in the third-quarter 2011, which is expected to
result in earnings per share in the range of 76 - 82 cents for the
third-quarter 2011.
For fiscal 2011, the company has further increased its earnings
guidance from $4.25 - $4.40 per share to $4.45 - $4.60 per share,
as a result of its strong second-quarter performance and its
third-quarter share repurchase estimate.
Kohl’s has had a consistent merchandise mix over the past three
years. In addition, the company’s pricing strategy and overall
profitability culture is focused on maintaining a low-cost
structure.
A strong balance sheet coupled with strong cash balances and
attractive dividend yields makes the stock attractive.
However, some mid-priced retailers are struggling to combat rising
input costs. Kohl’s also faces increased competition from
Target Corp. (TGT), which is a concern.
Kohl’s holds a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short-term
‘Hold’ rating. Currently, we maintain a long term Neutral
recommendation on the stock.
CAPITAL ONE FIN (COF): Free Stock Analysis Report
KOHLS CORP (KSS): Free Stock Analysis Report
TARGET CORP (TGT): Free Stock Analysis Report
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