UPDATE: Allstate Profit Falls On Derivative Losses, Write-Downs
August 04 2010 - 6:51PM
Dow Jones News
Allstate Corp. (ALL), the largest publicly traded home and auto
insurer in the U.S., said profit fell 63% as the company recorded
investment losses on derivatives and wrote down the value of
securities in its portfolio.
But operating profit, which excludes some investment results,
rose about 50% and beat the estimates of analysts who had predicted
that disaster claims from midwestern storms would cut into
profit.
Disaster costs fell to $636 million from a record $818 million a
year earlier. Catastrophe claims were still the third-highest the
company had ever recorded in the second quarter.
Net income was $145 million, or 27 cents a share, compared with
$389 million, or 72 cents, a year earlier. The insurer had a net
realized capital loss of $451 million before taxes, compared with a
net realized capital gain of $328 million in last year's second
quarter. The derivatives portfolio was responsible for the majority
of the $779 million difference, and the firm said it had
write-downs related to residential and commercial-real-estate
investments.
Analysts began cutting their estimates on Allstate after rival
insurer Travelers Cos. (TRV) reported record disaster costs when it
released results last month. In mid-July, analysts surveyed by
Thomson Reuters expected Allstate to earn an operating profit of 92
cents a share, but that had fallen to 69 cents by the time the firm
said Wednesday that it had an operating profit of 81 cents.
Allstate rose 1.5% to $29.03 after hours.
The company has stepped up efforts to raise prices and pare back
the number of houses it covers in some states to turn a profit in
its homeowners business. On one level, that strategy shows signs of
paying off: the value of policies sold in the quarter rose slightly
even as the number of policyholders fell. But for every dollar it
collected from customers, it spent almost $1.04 on claims and
expenses. It was the fourth time in the last six quarters that the
homeowners business spent more than it took in.
"I don't feel like we've fixed that one yet," Allstate Chief
Executive Tom Wilson said in an interview. "We need to generate a
profit from that business."
The disaster costs were tied to 30 separate events in the second
quarter. Brutal hailstorms plagued Oklahoma, while massive
thunderstorms hit Michigan, Ohio and Illinois. And Tennessee was
immersed under record floodwaters that swamped the Grand Ole
Opry.
The only insurer that sells coverage on more homes that Allstate
is State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co., and that company
said in late July that it had paid $1.9 billion in losses on
second-quarter disasters to date. Both companies tend to have a
greater share in the homeowners market in states located away from
the East and West coasts of the U.S.
Allstate and other property insurers face the prospect of
further disaster costs with the peak of the 2010 Atlantic hurricane
season still to come. Forecasters have predicted this year's season
will be an active one.
Allstate gets a larger portion of its revenue from its
auto-insurance operation, which has been a steady source of profit.
The unit helped underwriting income to recover from a $3 million
loss in 2009 to a $207 million profit in this year's second
quarter.
But the auto unit has also been losing customers, and that trend
continued in the latest quarter as the number of policyholders with
Allstate's standard auto coverage fell for the 10th straight
period. Some smaller rivals, including Progressive Corp. (PGR),
have been adding customers while Allstate lost them.
"We want to turn that around," Wilson said. "The number should
be higher than that. If you look at other companies in the
industry, you'd find we're not at the low end. We'd be in the upper
range, but we wouldn't be as high as people like State Farm and
USAA and others, which means we have some upside on that."
Separately, life and property insurer Hartford Financial
Services Group Inc. (HIG) reported its third consecutive profit,
but its so-called core earnings, which exclude some investment
results, were below analyst expectations. Hartford shares fell 3.5%
to $23 after hours as the company lowered its 2010 target for
operating earnings to a range of $2.10 to $2.30 a share.
Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU) profit jumped 48% in its
financial-services business and core earnings were much better than
analysts anticipated. Shares of the life insurer rose 1.9% to
$57.80 after hours.
-By Erik Holm, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2892;
erik.holm@dowjones.com
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