Global Stocks Gain as U.S.-China Trade Talks Commence
December 11 2018 - 8:02AM
Dow Jones News
By David Hodari
Global stocks climbed Tuesday, as investors awaited developments
in trade talks between Washington and Beijing that kicked off with
a phone call involving key negotiators.
U.S. futures put both the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones
Industrial Average on course to gain 0.6% at the New York open.
Trade-exposed stocks like Boeing, up 1% in premarket trade, were on
course for opening rises.
The Stoxx Europe 600 was up 1.6% in midday trading, retracing
most of the losses that dragged the index to a two-year low Monday
after U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May postponed a crucial vote on
the Brexit bill.
Chinese stocks gained, with the Shanghai Composite Index and the
Shenzhen A-Share climbing 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, after a
phone call involving U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer,
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He
focused on Chinese purchases of agricultural products and changes
to fundamental Chinese economic policies.
Apple Inc., also up 1% in premarket trading, was among the tech
stocks set to climb, after facing pressure Monday on the news that
a Chinese court had ordered Apple to stop selling older iPhone
models, following findings that the company had infringed on two
Qualcomm patents.
The court ruling added another source of friction in the trade
skirmish between the world's two largest economies, as did the
recent arrest in Canada of Huawei Technologies Co. Chief Financial
Officer Meng Wanzhou on behalf of U.S. authorities. Ms. Meng is
accused of lying to banks about Huawei's ties to a company that
violated U.S. sanctions on Iranian business.
The Trump and Xi administrations have been locked in a battle
over trade for months but the latest developments have marked a
shift in focus for some investors. While earlier rounds of tariffs
were more broadly-based, the accusations and recriminations of
recent weeks have focused more sharply on U.S. allegations of
intellectual-property theft and cyber espionage on the part of
China, according to Cesar Perez Ruiz, chief investment officer at
Pictet Wealth Management.
"I don't call it a trade war, anymore. I call it a tech war,"
Mr. Perez Ruiz said.
Another source of early week pressure, uncertainty over the
U.K.'s route out of the European Union, also appeared to ease
Tuesday, with the British pound recovering 0.4% versus the U.S.
dollar. Sterling still remained near the 18-month low it hit
Monday, though, while the yield on 10-year British government bonds
was 1.231%, having partially recovered after falling to 1.151% late
Monday. Yields go up when prices go down.
Still, the shock decision by the May administration to pull the
vote served to further damage the reliability of U.K. assets for
some investors.
"If you're a macro investor you're going to get blown out of the
water by events like yesterday's," said John Wraith, head of U.K.
rates strategy at UBS. "It makes investors incapable of trading
those markets with any conviction whatsoever, so you see a lot of
fund managers staying neutral and keeping their exposure to a
minimum."
Elsewhere, India's Nifty 50 index slumped 1.9% following the
resignation of the governor of its central bank.
Central banking policy was also a subject of focus in the U.S.,
where producer price figures, due out later in the day, will be
parsed for any signals as to the health of the American
economy.
Market participants widely expect the Federal Reserve to
announce an increase in interest rates when it meets next week,
with CME Group numbers giving a 75% probability of such an
outcome.
Any forward guidance out of the Fed will be closely scrutinized,
with some investors suggesting Chairman Jerome Powell has conveyed
mixed messages over recent months, after first suggesting rates
weren't close to neutral and then backtracking on those
remarks.
"I think he got a bit ahead of himself saying that we're not
close to neutral," said Mark Heppenstall, chief investment officer
at Penn Mutual Asset Management. "I think that was language we
weren't prepared for and it helped tip the market. Now I think
you'll see his language more focused on gradual patience."
In commodities, Brent crude oil prices were up 1% at $60.54 a
barrel, rallying on faltering Libyan production. Gold prices were
up 0.3% at $1,253.20 a troy ounce.
Write to David Hodari at David.Hodari@dowjones.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 11, 2018 07:47 ET (12:47 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2018 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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