UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-Q

(Mark One)

x
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2008

o
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
 
For the transition period from ___________________ to ___________________

Commission file no. 001-33143
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 
Delaware
04-3106389
(State or other jurisdiction of
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
incorporation or organization)
 
 
 
59 Maiden Lane, 6  th Floor, New York, New York
10038
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)

(212) 220-7120
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x No o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

Large accelerated filer o    Accelerated Filer x    Non-accelerated filer o

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act). Yes o   No x

As of April 2, 2008, the Registrant had one class of Common Stock ($.01 par value), of which 59,989,839 shares were issued and outstanding.
 


 

 
INDEX

   
 Page 
PART I
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
 
 
 
 
Item 1.
Unaudited Financial Statements:
 
 
 
 
 
Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets as of March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007
3
 
 
 
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
4
 
— Three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007
 
 
 
 
 
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
5
 
— Three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007
 
 
 
 
   
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
6
 
 
 
Item 2.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
20
 
 
 
Item 3.
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
31
 
 
 
Item 4.
Controls and Procedures
33
 
 
 
PART II
OTHER INFORMATION
 
 
 
 
Item 6.
Exhibits
34
 
 
 
 
Signatures
35

2

 
PART 1 - FINANCIAL INFORMATION
  Item 1. Financial Statements
AMTRUST FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets
(in thousands, except per share data)

    
 
March 31,
2008
 
December 31,
2007
 
   
  (Unaudited)
      
ASSETS
 
    
 
    
 
Investments:
 
    
 
    
 
Fixed maturities, held-to-maturity, at amortized cost (fair value $119,971; $162,661)
 
$
118,501
 
$
161,901
 
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at market value (amortized cost $863,440; $745,132)
   
826,251
   
726,749
 
Equity securities, available-for-sale, at market value (cost $106,165; $106,956)
   
68,643
   
79,037
 
Short-term investments
   
259,027
   
148,541
 
Other investments
   
22,739
   
28,035
 
Total investments
   
1,295,161
   
1,144,263
 
Cash and cash equivalents
   
168,777
   
145,337
 
Assets under management
   
15,639
   
18,541
 
Accrued interest and dividends
   
8,588
   
9,811
 
Premiums receivable, net
   
296,806
   
257,756
 
Note receivable – related party
   
20,954
   
20,746
 
Reinsurance recoverable
   
233,194
   
225,941
 
Reinsurance recoverable – related party
   
87,050
   
55,973
 
Prepaid reinsurance premium
   
108,915
   
107,585
 
Prepaid reinsurance premium – related party
   
156,258
   
137,099
 
Prepaid expenses and other assets
   
31,483
   
26,131
 
Deferred policy acquisition costs
   
73,005
   
70,903
 
Deferred income taxes
   
45,567
   
36,502
 
Property and equipment, net
   
14,555
   
12,974
 
Goodwill
   
10,733
   
10,549
 
Intangible assets
   
41,875
   
42,683
 
  
 
$
2,608,560
 
$
2,322,794
 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
         
Liabilities:
         
Loss and loss expense reserves
 
$
786,051
 
$
775,392
 
Unearned premiums
   
570,267
   
527,758
 
Ceded reinsurance premiums payable
   
68,307
   
39,464
 
Ceded reinsurance premium payable – related party
   
85,552
   
38,792
 
Reinsurance payable on paid losses
   
4,342
   
4,266
 
Federal income tax payable
   
12,659
   
4,123
 
Funds held under reinsurance treaties
   
3,086
   
4,400
 
Securities sold but not yet purchased, market
   
16,686
   
18,426
 
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase, at contract value
   
300,492
   
146,403
 
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities
   
107,691
   
113,800
 
Derivatives liabilities
   
5,932
   
4,101
 
Note payable – related party
   
113,228
   
113,228
 
Junior subordinated debt
   
123,714
   
123,714
 
Total liabilities
   
2,198,007
   
1,913,867
 
Commitments and contingencies
         
Minority Interest
   
15,639
   
18,541
 
Stockholders’ equity:
         
Common stock, $.01 par value; 100,000 shares authorized, 84,047 issued in March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively; 59,985 and 59,952 outstanding in March 31, 2008 and December 31, 2007, respectively
   
841
   
841
 
Preferred stock, $.01 par value; 10,000,000 shares authorized
   
   
 
Additional paid-in capital
   
536,122
   
535,123
 
Treasury stock at cost; 24,094 shares in 2008 and 2007
   
(294,671
)
 
(294,671
)
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
   
(48,021
)
 
(31,688
)
Retained earnings
   
200,643
   
180,781
 
Total stockholders’ equity
   
394,914
   
390,386
 
  
 
$
2,608,560
 
$
2,322,794
 
 
  See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated statements.

3


AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income
(Unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
   
2008
 
  2007
 
Gross written premium
  $ 234,756   $ 189,673  
Revenues:
             
Premium income:
             
Net premium written
 
$
117,442
 
$
160,619
 
Change in unearned premium
   
(20,029
)
 
(41,927
)
Net earned premium
   
97,413
   
118,692
 
Ceding commission – related party
   
20,184
   
-
 
Commission and fee income
   
6,287
   
4,490
 
Net investment income
   
13,531
   
11,391
 
Net realized (loss) gain on investments
   
(5,220
)
 
6,060
 
Other investment loss on managed assets
   
(2,900
)
 
(290
)
Total revenues
   
129,295
   
140,343
 
Expenses:
             
Loss and loss adjustment expense
   
55,165
   
74,557
 
Policy acquisition expenses
   
18,308
   
14,583
 
Salaries and benefits
   
12,044
   
9,012
 
Other insurance general and administrative expense
   
9,834
   
7,574
 
Other underwriting expenses
   
4,794
   
3,113
 
Total expenses
   
100,145
   
108,839
 
Operating income from continuing operations
   
29,150
   
31,504
 
Other income (expenses):
             
Foreign currency gain (loss)
   
159
   
(510
)
Interest expense
   
(2,629
)
 
(1,804
)
Total other expenses
   
(2,470
)
 
(2,314
)
Income from continuing operations before provision for income taxes and minority interest
   
26,680
   
29,190
 
Provision for income taxes
   
7,317
   
8,002
 
Minority interest in net loss of subsidiary
   
(2,900
)
 
(290
)
Net income
 
$
22,263
 
$
21,478
 
               
Earnings per common share:
             
Basic - EPS
 
$
0.37
 
$
0.36
 
Diluted - EPS
   
0.37
   
0.36
 
Dividends Declared Per Share
 
$
0.04
 
$
0.02
 
 
See accompanying notes unaudited to condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
4

 
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows
(Unaudited)
(in thousands)
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
   
  2008
 
  2007
 
  Cash flows from operating activities:
 
  
 
  
 
Net income from continuing operations
 
$
22,263
 
$
21,478
 
Adjustments to reconcile net income from continuing operations to net cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations:
         
Depreciation and amortization
   
1,614
   
927
 
Realized loss (gain) marketable securities
   
4,478
   
(6,060
)
Non-cash write-down of marketable securities
   
742
   
-
 
Non-cash stock compensation expense
   
758
   
361
 
Bad debt expense
   
475
   
299
 
Foreign currency (gain) loss
   
(159
)
 
510
 
Changes in assets - (increase) decrease:
         
Premiums receivable
   
(37,525
)
 
(40,511
)
Reinsurance recoverable
   
(7,253
)
 
(5,312
)
Reinsurance recoverable – related party
   
(31,077
)
 
-
 
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net
   
(2,102
)
 
(9,540
)
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
   
(1,330
)
 
(10,156
)
Prepaid reinsurance premiums – related party
   
(19,159
)
 
-
 
Prepaid expenses and other assets
   
(4,337
)
 
(12,066
)
Deferred tax asset
   
(9,065
)
 
(2,382
)
Changes in liabilities - increase (decrease):
         
Reinsurance premium payable
   
75,603
   
4,938
 
Loss and loss expense reserve
   
10,659
   
38,038
 
Unearned premiums
   
42,509
   
53,169
 
Funds held under reinsurance treaties
   
(1,314
)
 
5,016
 
Accrued expenses and other current liabilities
   
(983
)
 
16,047
 
Net cash provided in operating activities
   
44,797
   
54,756
 
Cash flows from investing activities:
         
Net (purchases) sales of securities with fixed maturities
   
139,499
   
33,145
 
Net (purchases) sales of equity securities
   
(10,839
)
 
(1,412
)
Net sales (purchases) of other investments
   
5,296
   
(14,156
)
Note receivable - related party
   
(2,000
)
 
(18,000
)
Acquisition of renewal rights and goodwill
   
(296
)
 
(989
)
Purchase of property and equipment
   
(2,275
)
 
(328
)
Net cash used in investing activities
   
129,385
   
(1,740
)
Cash flows from financing activities:
         
Repurchase agreements, net
   
(153,775
)
 
-
 
Issuance of junior subordinated debentures
   
-
   
40,000
 
Debt financing fees
   
-
   
(820
)
Option exercise
   
241
   
-
 
Dividends distributed on common stock
   
(2,400
)
 
(1,199
)
Net cash provided by financing activities
   
(155,934
)
 
37,981
 
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash
   
5,192
    29  
Net increase in cash and cash equivalents
   
23,440
   
91,026
 
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of the period
   
145,337
   
59,916
 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of the period
 
$
168,777
 
$
150,942
 
Supplemental Cash Flow Information
         
Income tax payments
 
$
574
 
$
2,436
 
Interest payments on debt
   
2,530
   
1,713
 

  See accompanying notes to unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements
 
5

 
Notes to Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
(Unaudited)
(dollars in thousands, except share data)
 
1.
Basis of Reporting

The accompanying unaudited interim consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) for interim financial statements and with the instructions to Form 10-Q and Article 10 of Regulation S-X and, therefore, do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. These interim statements should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes thereto included in the AmTrust Financial Services, Inc. (“AmTrust” or the “Company”) Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007, previously filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on March 14, 2008. The balance sheet at December 31, 2007 has been derived from the audited consolidated financial statements at that date but does not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements.
 
These interim consolidated financial statements reflect all adjustments that are, in the opinion of management, necessary for a fair presentation of the results for the interim period and all such adjustments are of a normal recurring nature. The results of operations for the interim period are not necessarily indicative, if annualized, of those to be expected for the full year.   The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from those estimates.

A detailed description of the Company’s significant accounting policies and management judgments is located in the audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2007, included in the Company’s Form 10-K filed with the SEC.

All significant inter-company transactions and accounts have been eliminated in the consolidated financial statements.   To facilitate period-to-period comparisons, certain reclassifications have been made to prior period consolidated financial statement amounts to conform to current period presentation. There was no effect on net income from the change in presentation.

2.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
 
With the exception of those discussed below, there have been no recent accounting pronouncements or changes in accounting pronouncements during the three months ended March 31, 2008, as compared to the recent accounting pronouncements described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007, that are of significance, or potential significance, to us.

In March 2008, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”) issued FASB Statement No. 161 (“SFAS 161”), “ Disclosures about Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities ”. SFAS 161 requires companies with derivative instruments to disclose information that should enable financial-statement users to understand how and why a company uses derivative instruments, how derivative instruments and related hedged items are accounted for under FASB Statement No. 133 “ Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities ” and how derivative instruments and related hedged items affect a company's financial position, financial performance and cash flows. SFAS 161 is effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years and interim periods beginning after November 15, 2008. We are currently evaluating the impact, if any, that SFAS 161 will have on our consolidated financial statements.
 
In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 160, “ Noncontrolling Interests in Consolidated Financial Statements, an amendment of ARB No. 51 ”. SFAS No. 160 establishes accounting and reporting standards that require that the ownership interests in subsidiaries held by parties other than the parent be clearly identified, labeled, and presented in the consolidated statement of financial position within equity, but separate from the parent’s equity; the amount of consolidated net income attributable to the parent and to the noncontrolling interest be clearly identified and presented on the face of the consolidated statement of income; and changes in a parent’s ownership interest while the parent retains its controlling financial interest in its subsidiary be accounted for consistently. SFAS No. 160 also requires that any retained noncontrolling equity investment in the former subsidiary be initially measured at fair value when a subsidiary is deconsolidated. SFAS No. 160 also sets forth the disclosure requirements to identify and distinguish between the interests of the parent and the interests of the noncontrolling owners. SFAS No. 160 applies to all entities that prepare consolidated financial statements, except not-for-profit organizations, but will affect only those entities that have an outstanding noncontrolling interest in one or more subsidiaries or that deconsolidate a subsidiary. SFAS No. 160 is effective for fiscal years, and interim periods within those fiscal years, beginning on or after December 15, 2008. Earlier adoption is prohibited. SFAS No. 160 must be applied prospectively as of the beginning of the fiscal year in which SFAS No. 160 is initially applied, except for the presentation and disclosure requirements. The presentation and disclosure requirements are applied retrospectively for all periods presented. The Company does not have a noncontrolling interest in one or more subsidiaries. The Company does not believe the adoption will have a material impact on its financial condition or results of operations.
 
6

 
In December 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 141(R), “ Business Combinations ”. SFAS No. 141(R) establishes principles and requirements for how an acquirer recognizes and measures in its financial statements the identifiable assets acquired, the liabilities assumed, and any noncontrolling interest in the acquiree and recognizes and measures the goodwill acquired in the business combination or a gain from a bargain purchase. SFAS No. 141(R) also sets forth the disclosures required to be made in the financial statements to evaluate the nature and financial effects of the business combination. SFAS No. 141(R) applies prospectively to business combinations for which the acquisition date is on or after the beginning of the first annual reporting period beginning on or after December 15, 2008. Accordingly, SFAS No. 141(R) will be applied by the Company to business combinations occurring on or after January 1, 2009.

In February 2007, the FASB issued SFAS No. 159, “ The Fair Value Option for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities ”. Under SFAS 159, companies may elect to measure certain financial instruments and certain other items at fair value. The standard requires that unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair value option has been elected be reported in earnings. SFAS 159 was effective for us beginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2008. We chose not elect the fair value option. Therefore, the adoption of SFAS 159 in the first quarter of fiscal 2008 did not impact our consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows.

In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, “ Fair Value Measurements ,” which defines fair value, establishes guidelines for measuring fair value and expands disclosures regarding fair value measurements. SFAS 157 does not require any new fair value measurements but rather eliminates inconsistencies in guidance found in various prior accounting pronouncements and is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007. In February 2008, the FASB issued FASB FSP 157-2 which delays the effective date of SFAS 157 for all nonfinancial assets and nonfinancial liabilities, except those that are recognized or disclosed at fair value in the financial statements on a recurring basis (at least annually), until fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2008, and interim periods within those fiscal years. These nonfinancial items include assets and liabilities such as reporting units measured at fair value in a goodwill impairment test and nonfinancial assets acquired and liabilities assumed in a business combination. Effective January 1, 2008, we adopted SFAS 157 for financial assets and liabilities recognized at fair value on a recurring basis. The partial adoption of SFAS 157 for financial assets and liabilities did not have a material impact on our consolidated financial position, results of operations or cash flows. See Note 5. “Fair Value of Financial Instruments” for information and related disclosures regarding our fair value measurements.
 
7

 
3.
Investments

  (a) Available-for-Sale Securities

The original cost, estimated market value and gross unrealized appreciation and depreciation of available-for-sale securities as of March 31, 2008, are presented in the table below:
 
 
 
Original or
amortized
cost
 
Gross
unrealized
gains
 
Gross
unrealized
losses
 
 
Market
value
 
Preferred stock
 
$
750
 
$
-
 
$
(166
)
$
584
 
Common stock
   
105,415
   
1,969
   
(39,325
)
 
68,059
 
U.S. treasury securities
   
5,554
   
377
   
-
   
5,931
 
U.S. government agencies
   
22,331
   
793
   
-
   
23,124
 
U.S. agency - collateralized mortgage obligations
   
300,438
   
225
   
(1,952
)
 
298,711
 
U.S. agency - mortgage backed securities
   
92,785
   
1,563
   
(5
)
 
94,343
 
Other mortgage backed securities
   
4,034
   
24
   
(24
)
 
4,034
 
Municipal bonds
   
9,731
   
430
   
-
   
10,161
 
Asset backed securities
   
9,583
   
115
   
(83
)
 
9,615
 
Corporate bonds
   
418,984
   
1,394
   
(40,046
)
 
380,332
 
      
 
$
969,605
 
$
6,890
 
$
(81,601
)
$
894,894
 
 
  (b) Held-to-Maturity Securities
 
The amortized cost, estimated market value and gross unrealized appreciation and depreciation of held to maturity securities as of March 31, 2008 are presented in the table below:

 
 
    Amortized
cost
 
Unrealized
gains
 
Unrealized
losses
 
Fair
value
 
U.S. treasury securities
 
$
12,465
 
$
195
 
$
(1
)
$
12,659
 
U.S. government agencies
   
57,139
   
793
   
-
   
57,932
 
U.S. agency - collateralized mortgage obligations
   
193
   
3
   
-
   
196
 
U.S. agency - mortgage backed securities
   
48,704
   
752
   
(272
)
 
49,184
 
     
 
$
118,501
 
$
1,743
 
$
(273
)
$
119,971
 
 
(c) Investment Income

Net investment income for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007 was derived from the following sources:
 
 
 
2008
 
2007
 
Fixed maturities
 
$
10,883
 
$
7,930
 
Equity securities
   
531
   
488
 
Cash and short term investments
   
3,336
   
2,737
 
Note receivable - related party
   
589
   
500
 
 
   
15,339
   
11,655
 
Less:
             
Investment expenses
   
23
   
264
 
Interest expense on securities sold under agreement to repurchase
   
1,785
   
-
 
 
 
$
13,531
 
$
11,391
 

8


(d) Other-Than-Temporary Impairment
 
We review our investment portfolio for impairment on a quarterly basis. Impairment of investment securities result in a charge to operations when a market decline below cost is deemed to be other-than-temporary. As of March 31, 2008, we reviewed our fixed-maturity and equity securities portfolios to evaluate the necessity of recording impairment losses for other-than-temporary declines in the fair value of investments. The Company determined that 4 equity investments were other-than-temporarily impaired and accordingly wrote down the investments and recorded a $742 realized loss during the three months ended March 31, 2008.
 
The tables below summarize the gross unrealized losses of our fixed maturity and equity securities as of March 31, 2008:
 
 
 
Less than 12 months
 
12 months or more
 
Total
 
 
 
Fair market
value
 
Unrealized
losses
 
Fair market
value
 
Unrealized
losses
 
Fair market
value
 
Unrealized
losses
 
Available-for-sale securities:
                                     
Common and preferred stock
 
$
42,288
 
$
(26,474
)
$
10,077
 
$
(13,016
)
$
52,365
 
$
(39,490
)
Collateralized mortgage obligations
   
242,514
   
(1,952
)
 
-
   
-
   
242,514
   
(1,952
)
U.S. Agency - mortgage backed securities
   
365
   
(5
)
 
-
   
-
   
365
   
(5
)
Other - mortgage backed securities
   
1,411
   
(24
)
 
-
   
-
   
1,411
   
(24
)
Asset backed securities
   
2,453
   
(81
)
 
1,751
   
(2
)
 
4,204
   
(83
)
Corporate bonds
   
296,987
   
(38,882
)
 
12,122
   
(1,165
)
 
309,109
   
(40,047
)
Total temporarily impaired -available-for-sale securities
 
$
586,018
 
$
(67,418
)
$
23,950
 
$
(14,183
)
$
609,968
 
$
(81,601
)
 
 
   
Less than 12 months  
 
12 months or more  
 
Total  
 
   
Fair market
value  
 
 
Unrealized
losses
 
 
Fair market
value
 
 
Unrealized
losses
 
 
Fair market
value
 
 
Unrealized
losses
 
Held-to-maturity securities:
                                   
U.S. treasury securities
 
$
124
 
$
(1
)
$
124
  $ -  
$
248
 
$
(1
)
Mortgage backed securities
   
1,600
   
(89
)
 
6,836
    (183 )  
8,436
   
(272
)
Total temporarily impaired - held-to-maturity securities
 
$
1,724
 
$
(90
)
$
6,960
  $ (183 )
$
8,684
 
$
(273
)
 
(e) Derivatives
 
The following table presents the notional amounts by remaining maturity of the Company’s Total Return Swaps, Credit Default Swaps and Contracts for Differences as of March 31, 2008:

 
 
Remaining Life of Notional Amount  (1)
 
 
 
 
One Year
 
Two Through
Five Years
 
Six Through
Ten Years
 
After Ten
Years
 
 
Total
 
Total return swaps
 
$
 
$
21,243
 
$
 
$
 
$
21,243
 
Credit default swaps
 
 
6,436
 
 
3,436
 
 
630
 
 
 
 
10,502
 
Contracts for differences
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,066
 
 
 
 
2,066
 
  
 
$
6,436
 
$
24,679
 
$
2,696
 
$
 
$
33,811
 
 
 
(1)
Notional amount is not representative of either market risk or credit risk and is not recorded in the consolidated balance sheet.
 
9

 
(f) Other
 
Securities sold but not yet purchased, represent obligations of the Company to deliver the specified security at the contracted price and thereby, create a liability to purchase the security in the market at prevailing prices. The Company’s liability for securities to be delivered is measured at their fair value and as of March 31, 2008 and was $4,053 for corporate bonds and $12,633 and   for equity securities. These transactions result in off-balance sheet risk, as the Company’s ultimate cost to satisfy the delivery of securities sold, not yet purchased, may exceed the amount reflected at March 31, 2008. Substantially all securities owned are pledged to the clearing broker to sell or repledge the securities to others subject to certain limitations.
 
The Company enters into repurchase agreements. The agreements are accounted for as collateralized borrowing transactions and are recorded at contract amounts. The Company receives cash or securities, that it invests or hold in short term or fixed income securities. As of March 31, 2008, there were $300,492 principal amount outstanding at interest rates between 2.4% and 3.6%. Interest expense associated with these repurchase agreements for the three months ended March 31, 2008 was $1,784 of which $398 was accrued as of March 31, 2008. The Company has approximately $305,000 of collateral pledged in support of these agreements.

4.
Assets Under Management

Leap Tide Partners, LP (“LTP”), a hedge fund limited partnership, manages the assets of the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiaries, AmTrust Capital Management Inc. (“ACMI”) and AmTrust Capital Mangement GP, LLC (“ACM”). ACM has a 1% ownership in LTP. ACMI earns a management fee equal to 1% of LTP’s assets. ACM also earns an incentive fee of 20% of the cumulative profits of LTP. In accordance with EITF 04-05 “Determining Whether a General Partner, or General Partners as a Group Controls a Limited Partnership or Similar Entity When the Limited Partners Have Certain Rights,” ACM consolidates LTP as the rights of the limited partners’ do not overcome the rights of the general partner. We allocate an equivalent portion of the limited partners’ income or loss to minority interest. For the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, LTP had an investment loss of $2,900 and $290, respectively and resulted in an allocation to minority interest of $2,900 and $290. The management companies earned approximately $43 and $55 of fees under the agreement during the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.

The original cost, estimated market value and gross unrealized appreciation and depreciation of equity securities as of March 31, 2008 are presented in the table below:
 
(a) Trading Securities
 
 
 
Original or
amortized
cost
 
Gross
unrealized
gains
 
Gross
unrealized
losses
 
Market
value
 
Equity securities
 
$
27,312
 
$
613
 
$
(9,841
)
$
18,084
 
Corporate bond
   
584
   
-
   
(237
)
 
347
 
Securities sold but not yet purchased, at market
   
(2,162
)
 
200
   
(434
)
 
(2,396
)
    $
25,734
  $
813
  $
(10,512
)
$
16,035
 
(b) Investment Income from Assets Under Management
 
Net investment income for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007 was derived from the following sources:

   
2008
 
2007
 
Equity securities:
         
Dividends
 
$
8
 
$
74
 
Realized gain (loss)
   
431
   
565
 
Unrealized gain (loss)
   
(3,297
)
 
(1,011
)
Cash and cash equivalents
   
6
   
136
 
  
   
(2,852
)
 
(236
)
Less: Investment expenses
   
(48
)
 
(54
)
  
 
$
(2,900
)
$
(290
)

Additionally, LTP had approximately $396 of accrued liabilities as of March 31, 2008.
10

5.
Fair Value of Financial Instruments

The Company’s estimates of fair value for financial assets and financial liabilities are based on the framework established in SFAS 157. The framework is based on the inputs used in valuation and gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets and requires that observable inputs be used in the valuations when available. The disclosure of fair value estimates in the SFAS 157 hierarchy is based on whether the significant inputs into the valuation are observable. In determining the level of the hierarchy in which the estimate is disclosed, the highest priority is given to unadjusted quoted prices in active markets and the lowest priority to unobservable inputs that reflect the Company’s significant market assumptions. The three levels of the hierarchy are as follows:

·
Level 1 - Unadjusted quoted market prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets that the Company has the ability to access.

·
Level 2 - Quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets; quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in inactive markets; or valuations based on models where the significant inputs are observable (e.g., interest rates, yield curves, prepayment speeds, default rates, loss severities, etc.) or can be corroborated by observable market data.

·
Level 3 - Valuations based on models where significant inputs are not observable. The unobservable inputs reflect the Company’s own assumptions about the assumptions that market participants would use.

In accordance with SFAS 157, the Company determines fair value based on the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The following section describes the valuation methodologies used by the Company to measure assets and liabilities at fair value, including an indication of the level within the fair value hierarchy in which each asset or liability is generally classified.

Investments held to maturity . Investments held to maturity are recorded at cost on a recurring basis and include fixed maturities. Fair value of investments held to maturity is measured based upon quoted prices in active markets, if available. If quoted prices in active markets are not available, fair values are measured by an independent pricing service that utilizes valuation techniques based upon observable market data. Level 1 investments include those traded on an active exchange, such as the NASDAQ. Since fixed maturities other than U.S. treasury securities generally do not trade on a daily basis, an independent pricing service prepares estimates of fair value measurements for these securities using its proprietary pricing applications which include available relevant market information. These investments are classified as Level 2 investments and include obligations of U.S. government agencies, municipal bonds, corporate debt securities and other mortgage backed securities.
 
Investments available for sale . Investments available for dale are recorded at fair value on a recurring basis and include fixed maturities, equity securities, securities sold not yet purchased and securities sold under agreements to repurchae. Fair value of investments is measured based upon quoted prices in active markets, if available. If quoted prices in active markets are not available, fair values are measured by an independent pricing service that utilizes valuation techniques based upon observable market data. Level 1 investments include those traded on an active exchange, such as the NASDAQ. Since fixed maturities other than U.S. treasury securities generally do not trade on a daily basis, the independent pricing service prepares estimates of fair value measurements for these securities using its proprietary pricing applications which include available relevant market information. These investments are classified as Level 2 investments and include obligations of U.S. government agencies, municipal bonds, corporate debt securities and other mortgage backed securities.
 
Other investments. Other investments consist primarily of limited partnerships or hedge funds where the fair value estimate is determined by an external fund manager based on recent filings, operating results, balance sheet stability, growth and other business and market sector fundamentals. Due to the significant unobservable inputs in these valuations, the Company includes the estimate in the amount disclosed in Level 3.
 
 
Derivatives. The Company from time to time invests in a limited amount of derivatives and other financial instruments as part of its investment portfolio. Derivatives, as defined in SFAS 133, are financial arrangements among two or more parties with returns linked to an underlying equity, debt, commodity, asset, liability, foreign exchange rate or other index. Unless subject to a scope exclusion, AmTrust carries all derivatives on the consolidated balance sheet at fair value. The changes in fair value of the derivative are presented as a component of operating income. The Company primarily utilizes the following types of derivatives:

·
Total return swap contracts (“TRS”), which, are valued based upon market maker quoted prices. Fair values are based on valuations provided by the counterparty based on prices provided by an independent pricing service or dealer runs;

·
Credit default swap contracts (“CDS”), which, are valued in accordance with the terms of each contract based on the current interest rate spreads and credit risk of the referenced obligation of the underlying issuer and interest accrual through valuation date. Fair values are based on valuations provided by a counterparty. The Company may be required to deposit collateral with the counterparty if the market values of the contract fall below a stipulated amount in the contract. Such amounts are limited to the total equity of the account; and

·
Contracts for difference contracts (“CFD”), which, are valued based on the market price of the underlying stock. The Company may be required to deposit collateral with the counterparty if the market values of the contract fall below a stipulated amount in the contract.
 
The Company estimates fair value using information provided by the portfolio manager for TRS and CDS and the counterparty for CFD.

Fair Value Hierarchy

The following table presents the level within the fair value hierarchy at which the Company’s financial assets and financial liabilities are measured on a recurring basis as of March 31, 2008:

   
Total
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
Assets:
                         
Held-to-maturity securities
 
$
119,971
   
12,659
   
107,312
   
-
 
Available-for-sale fixed securities
   
826,251
   
5,931
   
820,320
   
-
 
Equity securities
   
68,643
   
68,059
   
584
   
-
 
Other investments
   
22,739
   
-
   
-
   
22,739
 
 
   
1,037,604
   
86,649
   
928,216
   
22,739
 
Liabilities:
                         
Securities sold but not yet purchased, market
   
16,686
   
12,633
   
4,053
   
-
 
Securities sold under agreements to repurchase, at contract value
   
300,492
   
-
   
300,492
   
-
 
Derivatives
   
5,932
   
-
   
-
   
5,932
 
  
 
$
323,110
   
12,633
   
304,545
   
5,932
 
 

The following table provides a summary of changes in fair value of the Company’s Level 3 financial assets as of March 31, 2008:

   
Other
investments
 
Derivatives
 
Total
 
Beginning balance as of January 1, 2008
  $
28,035
  $
(4,101
)
$
23,934
 
Total net losses for the quarter include in:
                 
Net income
   
44
   
(1,831
)
 
(1,786
)
Other comprehensive loss
   
-
   
-
   
-
 
Purchases, sales, issuances and settlements, net
   
(5,340
)
 
-
   
(5,340
)
Net transfers into (out of) Level 3
   
-
   
-
   
-
 
Ending balance as of March 31, 2008
  $
22,739
  $
(5,932
)
$
16,808
 
 
12

 
6.
Junior Subordinated Debt
 
The Company established four special purpose trusts between 2005 and 2007 for the purpose of issuing trust preferred securities. The proceeds from such issuances, together with the proceeds of the related issuances of common securities of the trusts, were invested by the trusts in junior subordinated debentures issued by the Company. As a result of FIN 46, the Company does not consolidate such special purpose trusts, as the Company is not considered to be the primary beneficiary under this accounting standard. The equity investment, totaling $3,714 as of March 31, 2008 on the Company’s consolidated balance sheet, represents the Company’s ownership of common securities issued by the trusts. The debentures require interest-only payments to be made on a quarterly basis, with principal due at maturity. The Company incurred $2,605 of placement fees in connection with these issuances which is being amortized over thirty years.

The table below summarizes the Company’s trust preferred securities as of March 31, 2008:

 
 
Name of Trust
 
Aggregate
Liquidation
Amount of
Trust
Preferred
Securities
 
Aggregate
Liquidation
Amount of
Common
Securities
 
Aggregate
Principal
Amount
of Notes
 
Stated
Maturity
of Notes
 
Per
Annum
Interest
Rate of
Notes
         
AmTrust Capital Financing Trust I
 
$
25,000
    
$
774
     
$
25,774
   
3/17/2035
   
8.275
%(1)
AmTrust Capital Financing Trust II
   
25,000
   
774
   
25,774
   
6/15/2035
   
7.710
(1)
AmTrust Capital Financing Trust III
   
30,000
   
928
   
30,928
   
9/15/2036
   
8.830
(2)
AmTrust Capital Financing Trust IV
   
40,000
   
1,238
   
41,238
   
3/15/2037
   
7.930
(3)
Total trust preferred securities
 
$
120,000
 
$
3,714
 
$
123,714
   
   
 
 
(1)  
The interest rate will change to three-month LIBOR plus 3.40% after the tenth anniversary.
(2)  
The interest rate will change to LIBOR plus 3.30% after the fifth anniversary.
(3)  
The interest rate will change to LIBOR plus 3.00% after the fifth anniversary.
 
7.
Earnings Per Share

The following, is a summary of the elements used in calculating basic and diluted earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007:
 
 
2008
 
  2007
 
Net income available to common shareholders
 
$
22,263
 
$
21,478
 
 
             
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - basic
   
59,969
   
59,959
 
Potentially dilutive shares:
             
Dilutive shares from stock-based compensation
   
956
   
9
 
Weighted average number of common shares outstanding - dilutive
   
60,925
   
59,968
 
 
             
Net income - basic and diluted earnings per share
 
$
0.37
 
$
0.36
 
 
As of March 31, 2008, there were approximately 190 anti-dilutive securities excluded from diluted earnings per share.
 
13


8.
Share Based Compensation

The Company’s 2005 Equity and Incentive Plan (“2005 Plan”) permits the Company to grant to officers, employees and non-employee directors of the Company incentive compensation directly linked to the price of the Company’s stock. The Company grants options at prices equal to the closing stock price of the Company’s stock on the dates the options were granted. The Company recognizes compensation expense under SFAS No. 123(R) “Share-Based Payment” for its share-based payments based on the fair value of the awards. The fair value of each option grant is separately estimated for each vesting date. The fair value of each option is amortized into compensation expense on a straight-line basis between the grant date for the award and each vesting date. The Company has estimated the fair value of all stock option awards as of the date of the grant by applying the Black-Scholes-Merton multiple-option pricing valuation model. The application of this valuation model involves assumptions that are judgmental and highly sensitive in the determination of compensation expense. SFAS 123(R)’s fair value valuation method resulted in share-based expense (a component of salaries and benefits) in the amount of approximately $758 and $361 related to stock options for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.

The following schedule shows all options granted, exercised, expired and exchanged under the 2005 Plan for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007:
   
2008
 
2007
 
 
Amounts in thousands except per share
 
Number of
Shares
 
Amount per
Share
 
Number of
Shares
 
Amount per
Share
 
                       
Outstanding beginning of period
   
3,126
 
$
7.00-14.55
   
2,390
 
$
7.00-7.50
 
Granted
   
50
   
15.02
   
160
   
10.56-10.77
 
Exercised
   
(32
)
 
7.50
   
-
   
-
 
Cancelled or terminated
 
 
(6
)
 
7.50
 
 
(12
)
 
7.50
 
Outstanding end of period
   
3,138
 
$
7.00-15.02
   
2,538
 
$
7.00-10.77
 
 
The weighted average grant date fair value of options granted during the first quarter of 2008 was $4.89. As of March 31, 2008 there was approximately $6,500 of total unrecognized compensation cost related to non-vested share-based compensation arrangements.

9.
Comprehensive Income

The following table summarizes the components of comprehensive income:

 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,  
 
 
 
2008  
 
2007  
 
Net Income
 
$
22,263
 
$
21,478
 
Unrealized holding loss
   
(17,087
)
 
(3,831
)
Reclassification adjustment
   
(135
)
 
2,668
 
Foreign currency translation
   
888
   
510
 
Comprehensive Income
 
$
5,929
 
$
20,825
 
 
14

 
10.
Income Taxes

Income tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2008 was $7,317 compared to $8,002 for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The following table reconciles the Company’s statutory federal income tax rate to its effective tax rate.
 
 
Three Months Ended   March 31,
 
 
 
2008
 
2007
 
Income from continuing operations before provision for income taxes and minority interest
 
$
26,680
 
$
29,190
 
Less: minority interest
   
(2,900
)
 
(290
)
Income from continuing operations after minority interest before provision for income taxes
   
29,580
   
29,480
 
Income taxes at statutory rates
   
10,231
   
9,660
 
Effect of Income not subject to US taxation
   
(2,992
)
 
(1,658
)
Other, net
   
78
   
-
 
Provision for income taxes as shown on the Consolidated Statements of Earnings
 
$
7,317
 
$
8,002
 
GAAP effective tax rate
   
24.7
%
 
27.1
%
 
The Company’s major taxing jurisdictions include the U.S. (federal and state), the United Kingdom and Ireland. The years subject to potential audit vary depending on the tax jurisdiction.  Generally, the Company’s statute of limitation is open for tax years ended December 31, 2004 and forward. At March 31, 2008, the Company has approximately $1,500 of accrued interest and penalties related to FIN 48 unrecognized tax benefits.

During 2006, the Internal Revenue Service (“IRS”) completed an audit of the Company’s subsidiaries, Associated Industries Insurance Services, Inc. (“AIIS”) and Associated Industries Insurance Company’s (“AIIC”) (collectively “Associated”) which the Company acquired in 2007. For the IRS’ 2002 and 2003 consolidated federal income tax returns, the field examiner indicated Associated underpaid their liability by approximately $3,200. In addition, interest and penalties of $600 were assessed. During 2006, management of Associated accrued a liability for its best estimate of a settlement with the IRS. Although Associated’s management disagrees with the majority of the positions taken by the examiner and has appealed the assessment, the Company has estimated the potential liability related to the audit to be $4,300 (including $1,400 for penalties and interest) and has reflected this position, per FIN 48 guidelines, in the consolidated financial statements.
 
During 2007, the Company, while performing a review of the most recently filed income tax return with the IRS for calendar year ending December 31, 2006, determined an issue exists per FIN 48 guidelines concerning its position related to accrued market discount. The Company reverses accrued market discount income recognized for book purposes when calculating taxable income. The reversal results from the accrued market discount income recognized by the insurance subsidiaries for bonds and other investments. The Company inadvertently reversed the amount related to commercial paper investments on the 2006 income tax return. The Company has estimated the potential liability to be approximately $900 (including $100 for penalties and interest) and has reflected this position, per FIN 48 guidelines, in the consolidated financial statements.

15

 
11.
Acquisition

In September 2007, the Company acquired all the issued and outstanding stock of AIIS a Florida-based workers' compensation managing general agency, and its wholly-owned subsidiary, AIIC, a Florida workers' compensation insurer, also licensed in Alabama, Georgia and Mississippi for consideration of approximately $38,854. The $38,854 consisted of approximately $33,930 of cash, $599 of direct acquisition costs and $4,325 for a contingent liability related to income taxes (see Note 10. “Income Taxes”). The Company estimates the contingency period will last approximately six months at which time the Company will distribute the $4,325 to either the IRS or the sellers of Associated. Additionally, the Company preliminarily recorded $3,720 of goodwill and $10,210 of intangible assets related to trademarks, licenses, distribution networks and non-compete agreements. The Company determined that the trademarks and licenses have indefinite lives and the remaining intangible assets are being amortized over a period of one to 15 years.

The results of operations of Associated have been included in the Company’s consolidated financial statements since the acquisition date. Selected unaudited pro forma results of operations assuming acquisition had occurred as of January 1, 2007, are set forth below:

 
 
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2007
 
Net premium written
 
$
186,404
 
Income from continuing operations
  $
22,601
 
Income from continuing operations:
     
per common share - basic
 
$
0.38
 
per common share - diluted
 
$
0.38
 

12.
Other Investments

In February 2007, the Company participated with H.I.G. Capital, a Miami-based private equity firm, in financing H.I.G. Capital’s acquisition of Warrantech Corporation (“Warrantech”) in a cash merger. The Company contributed $3,850 for a 27% equity interest in Warrantech. Additionally, the Company provided Warrantech with a $20,000 senior secured note due January 30, 2012 (note receivable - related party). Interest on the note is payable monthly at a rate of 15% per annum and consists of a cash component at 11% per annum and 4% per annum for the issuance of additional notes (“PIK Notes”) in a principal amount equal to the interest not paid in cash on such date. The Company provided the funding for the senior secured note in two tranches, which included an initial funding of $18,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2007 and the remaining $2,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2008. Warrantech is an independent developer, marketer and third party administrator of service contracts and after-market warranties primarily for the motor vehicle and consumer products industries. The Company currently provides insurance coverage for Warrantech's consumer product programs and on certain nationwide warranty programs, which produced premiums of approximately $17,700 and $6,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. As the Company does not control Warrantech, the Company accounts for this investment under the equity method. As of March 31, 2008 the carrying value of the note receivable was $20,954 (note receivable - related party).

16


13.
Related Party Transactions

Reinsurance Agreement

Maiden Holdings, Inc. (“Maiden”) is a Bermuda insurance holding company formed by Michael Karfunkel, George Karfunkel and Barry Zyskind, the principal shareholders, and, respectively, the Chairman of the Board of Directors, a Director, and the Chief Executive Officer and Director of AmTrust. Messrs. Karfunkel and Mr. Zyskind contributed $50,000 to Maiden Insurance. In July 2007, Maiden raised approximately $480,600 in a private placement. Maiden Insurance Company, Ltd. (“Maiden Insurance”), a wholly-owned subsidiary of Maiden, is a Bermuda reinsurer.

During the third quarter of 2007, the Company and Maiden entered into master agreement, as amended, by which they caused the Company’s Bermuda affiliate, AII and Maiden Insurance to enter into a quota share reinsurance agreement (the “Reinsurance Agreement”) by which (a) AII retrocedes to Maiden Insurance an amount equal to 40% of the premium written by AmTrust’s U.S., Irish and U.K. insurance companies (the “AmTrust Ceding Insurers”), net of the cost of unaffiliated insuring reinsurance (and in the case of AmTrust’s U.K. insurance subsidiary IGI, net of commissions) and 40% of losses and (b) AII transferred to Maiden Insurance 40% of the AmTrust Ceding Insurer’s unearned premium reserves, effective as of July 1, 2007, with respect to current lines of business, excluding risks for which the AmTrust Ceding Insurers’ net retention exceeds $5,000 (“Covered Business”). AmTrust also has agreed to cause AII, subject to regulatory requirements, to reinsure any insurance company which writes Covered Business in which AmTrust acquires a majority interest to the extent required to enable AII to cede to Maiden Insurance 40% of the premiums and losses related to such Covered Business. The Agreement further provides that the AII receives a ceding commission of 31% of ceded written premiums. The Reinsurance Agreement has an initial term of three years and will automatically renew for successive three year terms thereafter, unless either AII or Maiden Insurance notifies the other of its election not to renew not less than nine months prior to the end of any such three year term. In addition, either party is entitled to terminate on thirty day’s notice or less upon the occurrence of certain early termination events, which include a default in payment, insolvency, change in control of AII or Maiden Insurance, run-off, or a reduction of 50% or more of the shareholders’ equity of Maiden Insurance or the combined shareholders’ equity of AII and the AmTrust Ceding Insurers. The Company recorded approximately $20,184 of ceding commission during the three months ended March 31, 2008 as a result of this transaction.
 
The following is the effect on the Company’s balance sheet as of March 31, 2008 and the results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2008 related to reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance:

Assets and liabilities:
   
 
Reinsurance recoverable
 
$
87,050
 
Prepaid reinsurance premium
   
156,258
 
Ceded reinsurance premiums payable
   
85,552
 
Note payable
   
113,228
 
         
Results of operations:
   
 
Premium written - ceded
 
$
(82,948
)
Change in unearned premium - ceded
   
19,160
 
Earned premium - ceded
 
$
(63,788
)
 
   
 
Ceding commission on premium written
 
$
25,992
 
Ceding commission – deferred
   
(5,808
)
Ceding commission - earned
 
$
20,184
 
         
Incurred loss and loss adjustment expense - ceded
 
$
41,472
 

The Reinsurance Agreement requires that Maiden Insurance provide to AII sufficient collateral to secure its proportional share of AII’s obligations to the U.S. AmTrust Ceding Insurers. AII is required to return to Maiden Insurance any assets of Maiden Insurance in excess of the amount required to secure its proportional share of AII’s collateral requirements, subject to certain deductions.

AmTrust, through subsidiaries, has entered into a reinsurance brokerage agreement and an asset management agreement with Maiden Insurance, under which the Company receives a brokerage commission of 1.25% of reinsured premium and an annual asset management fee of 0.35% of assets under management, respectively. The Company recorded $1,036 of brokerage commission during the three months ended March 31, 2008.

17


AmTrust Capital Management

AmTrust Capital Management, Inc. (“ACM”), our wholly owned subsidiary, currently manages approximately $57,800 of our assets.  These assets are held in a Bermuda managed account.
 
ACM also serves as the Investment Manager of Leap Tide Partners, L.P., a domestic partnership, (see Note 4 “Assets under Management”) and Leap Tide Offshore, Ltd., a Cayman exempted company, both of which were formed for the purpose of providing qualified third-party investors the opportunity to invest funds in a vehicle managed by ACM (the “Hedge Funds”).  To date, approximately $22,400 have been invested in the Hedge Funds.  Approximately 88% of these funds were contributed by Michael Karfunkel, George Karfunkel and Barry D. Zyskind.  Our Audit Committee has reviewed the Leap Tide transactions and determined that they were entered into at arm’s-length and did not violate our Code of Business Conduct and Ethics.
 
Note Payable — Collateral for Proportionate Share of Reinsurance Obligation
 
In conjunction with the Reinsurance Agreement, AII entered into a loan agreement with Maiden Insurance during the fourth quarter of 2007, whereby, Maiden Insurance will lend to AII from time to time for the amount of obligation of the AmTrust Ceding Insurers that AII is obligated to secure, not to exceed an amount equal to the Maiden Insurance’s proportionate share of such obligations to such AmTrust Ceding Insurers in accordance with the reinsurance agreement. The Company is required to deposit all proceeds from the advances into a sub-account of each trust account that has been established for each AmTrust Ceding Insurer. To the extent of the loan, Maiden Insurance shall be discharged from providing   security for its proportionate share of the obligations as contemplated by the reinsurance agreement. If an AmTrust Ceding Insurer withdraws loan proceeds from the trust account for the purpose of reimbursing such AmTrust Ceding Insurer, for an ultimate net loss, the outstanding principal balance of the loan shall be reduced by the amount of such withdrawal. The loan agreement was amended in February 2008 to provide for interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 90 basis points and is payable on a quarterly basis. Each advance under the loan is secured by a promissory note. Advances totaled $113,228 as of March 31, 2008.

Lease Agreement

In June 2002, we entered into a lease for approximately 9,000 square feet of office space at 59 Maiden Lane in downtown Manhattan from 59 Maiden Lane Associates, LLC, an entity which is wholly owned by Michael Karfunkel and George Karfunkel. Effective January 1, 2008, we entered into an amended lease whereby we increased our leased space to 14,807 square feet and extended the lease through December 31, 2017. The Audit Committee reviewed and approved the amended lease agreement. The Company paid approximately $83 and $92 for the lease for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively.

Employment Relationship

Barry Karfunkel, an analyst with a Company subsidiary, earned approximately $63 and $56 for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Barry Karfunkel is the son of Michael Karfunkel and the brother-in-law of Barry Zyskind.
 
Warrantech
 
     In February of 2007, the Company participated with H.I.G. Capital, a Miami-based private equity firm, in financing H.I.G. Capital’s acquisition of Warrantech (see Note 12 “Other Investments”) in a cash merger. The Company contributed $3,850 for a 27% equity interest Warrantech. As of March 31, 2008 the Company’s equity interest was approximately $3,100. Warrantech is an independent developer, marketer and third party administrator of service contracts and after-market warranty primarily for the motor vehicle and consumer product industries. The Company currently provides insurance coverage for Warrantech’s consumer product programs and on certain nationwide warranty programs, which produced premiums of approximately $17,700 and $6,000 during the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Additionally in 2007, the Company provided Warrantech with a $20,000 senior secured note due January 31,2012 (note receivable - related party). Interest on the notes is payable monthly at a rate of 15% per annum and consisted of a cash component at 11% per annum and 4% per annum for the issuance of additional notes (“PIK Notes”) in a principle amount equal to the interest not paid in cash on such date. As of March 31, 2008 the carrying value of the note receivable was $20,954 (note receivable - related party).
 
14.
Contingent Liabilities
 
The Company’s insurance subsidiaries are named as defendants in various legal actions arising principally from claims made under insurance policies and contracts. Those actions are considered by the Company in estimating the loss and LAE reserves. The Company’s management believes the resolution of those actions should not have a material adverse effect on the Company’s financial position or results of operations.

18


15.
Segments

The Company currently operates three business segments, Workers’ Compensation Insurance; Specialty Risk and Extended Warranty Insurance; and Specialty Middle-Market Property and Casualty Insurance. The “Corporate & Other” segment represents the activities of the holding company including interest income attributed to holding company assets as well as a portion of fee revenue. In determining total assets (excluding cash and invested assets) by segment the Company identifies those assets that are attributable to a particular segment such as premium receivable, deferred acquisition cost, reinsurance recoverable and prepaid reinsurance while the remaining assets are allocated based on net written premium by segment. In determining cash and invested assets by segment the Company matches certain identifiable liabilities such as unearned premium and loss and loss adjustment expense reserves by segment. The remaining cash and invested assets are then allocated based on net written premium by segment. Investment income and realized gains (losses) are determined by calculating an overall annual return on cash and invested assets and applying that overall return to the cash and invested assets by segment. These operating segments are segments of the Company for which separate financial information is available and for which operating results are evaluated regularly by executive management in deciding how to allocate resources and in assessing performance.
 
The following tables summarize business segments as follows:  

 
 
 
Workers’
compensation
 
 
Specialty risk
and extended
warranty  
 
Specialty
middle-market
property and
casualty
insurance
 
 
Corporate
and other
 
 
Total
 
Three months ended March 31, 2008:
                     
Gross premium written
 
$
89,261
 
$
87,769
 
$
57,726
 
$
-
 
$
234,756
 
Earned premium
   
46,305
   
29,596
   
21,512
   
-
   
97,413
 
Ceding commission revenue – related party
   
11,909
   
3,431
   
4,844
   
-
   
20,184
 
Investment income and other revenues
   
4,303
   
2,583
   
1,425
   
(2,900
)
 
5,411
 
Commission and fee revenue
   
2,759
   
1,796
   
-
   
1,732
   
6,287
 
Operating income from continuing operations
   
15,008
   
4,755
   
8,085
   
(1,168
)
 
26,680
 
Interest expense
   
1,100
   
925
   
604
   
-
   
2,629
 
Income taxes
   
3,713
   
1,176
   
2,000
   
428
   
7,317
 
Net income
   
11,295
   
3,579
   
6,085
   
1,304
   
22,263
 
 
                     
Three months ended March 31, 2007:
                     
Gross written premium
 
$
89,796
 
$
47,942
 
$
51,935
 
$
-
 
$
189,673
 
Earned premium
   
65,209
   
24,700
   
28,783
   
-
   
118,692
 
Investment income and other revenues
   
10,054
   
4,085
   
3,312
   
(290
)
 
17,161
 
Commission and fee revenue
   
2,642
   
1,701
   
-
   
147
   
4,490
 
Operating income from continuing operations
   
19,259
   
8,458
   
3,930
   
(143
)
 
31,504
 
Interest expense
   
960
   
430
   
414
   
-
   
1,804
 
Income taxes
   
4,970
   
1,899
   
1,093
   
40
   
8,002
 
Net income
   
13,410
   
5,399
   
2,562
   
107
   
21,478
 
                                 
As of March 31, 2008:
                               
Fixed assets
 
$
6,091
 
$
5,121
 
$
3,343
 
$
-
 
$
14,555
 
Goodwill and intangible assets
   
28,484
   
12,564
   
11,560
   
-
   
52,608
 
Total assets
    1,316,391     849,694     426,836    
15,639
   
2,608,560
 
                                 
As of March 31, 2007:
                               
Fixed assets
 
$
5,869
 
$
2,631
   
2,530
 
$
-
 
$
11,030
 
Goodwill and intangible assets
   
18,608
   
2,500
   
8,796
   
-
   
29,904
 
Total assets
   
735,704
   
304,618
   
299,255
   
23,204
   
1,362,781
 
 
19

 
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

The Company is a multinational specialty property and casualty insurer focused on generating consistent underwriting profits. We provide insurance coverage for small businesses and products with high volumes of insureds and loss profiles which we believe are predictable. We target lines of insurance that we believe generally are underserved by larger insurance carriers. The Company has grown by hiring teams of underwriters with expertise in our specialty lines and through stock and asset acquisitions of companies and access to distribution networks and renewal rights to established books of specialty insurance business. We have operations in three business segments:
 
 
·
Workers’ compensation for small businesses (average premium less than $5,000 per policy) in the United States;
 
 
·
Specialty risk and extended warranty coverage for consumer and commercial goods and custom designed coverages, such as accidental damage plans and payment protection plans offered in connection with the sale of consumer and commercial goods, in the United Kingdom, certain other European Union countries and the United States; and
 
 
·
Specialty middle-market property and casualty insurance. We write commercial insurance for homogeneous, narrowly defined classes of insureds, requiring an in-depth knowledge of the insured’s industry segment, through general and other wholesale agents.

The Company transacts business through seven insurance company subsidiaries: Technology Insurance Company, Inc. (“TIC”), Rochdale Insurance Company (“RIC”), Wesco Insurance Company (“WIC”) and Associated Industries Insurance Company, Inc. (“AIIC”), which are domiciled in New Hampshire, New York, Delaware and Florida, respectively; and AmTrust International Insurance Ltd. (“AII”), AmTrust International Underwriters Limited (“AIU”) and IGI Insurance Company, Ltd. (“IGI”), which are domiciled in Bermuda, Ireland and England, respectively.

Insurance, particularly workers’ compensation, is, generally, affected by seasonality. The first quarter generally produces greater premiums than subsequent quarters. Nevertheless, the impact of seasonality on our small business workers’ compensation and specialty middle market segments has not been significant. We believe that this is because we serve many small businesses in different geographic locations. In addition, seasonality may have been muted by our acquisition activity.

We evaluate our operations by monitoring key measures of growth and profitability. We measure our growth by examining our net income, return on average equity, and our loss, expense and combined ratios. The following provides further explanation of the key measures that we use to evaluate our results:
 
Gross Premium Written. Gross premium written represent estimated premiums from each insurance policy that we write, including as part of an assigned risk pool, during a reporting period based on the effective date of the individual policy. Certain policies that are underwritten by the Company are subject to premium audit at that policy’s cancellation or expiration. The final actual gross premiums written may vary from the original estimate based on changes to the final rating parameters or classifications of the policy.
 
Net Premium Written. Net premium written are gross premiums written less that portion of premium that is ceded to third party reinsurers under reinsurance agreements. The amount ceded under these reinsurance agreements is based on a contractual formula contained in the individual reinsurance agreement.
 
Net Premium Earned. Net premium earned is the earned portion of our net premiums written. Insurance premiums are earned on a pro rata basis over the term of the policy. At the end of each reporting period, premiums written that are not earned are classified as unearned premiums and are earned in subsequent periods over the remaining term of the policy. Our workers’ compensation insurance policies typically have a term of one year. Thus, for a one-year policy written on July 1, 2007 for an employer with a constant payroll during the term of the policy, we would earn half of the premiums in 2007 and the other half in 2008. Our specialty risk and extended warranty coverages are earned over the estimated exposure time period. The terms vary depending on the risk and have an average duration of approximately 31 months, but range in duration from one month to 84 months.
 
  Net Loss Ratio . The net loss ratio is a measure of the underwriting profitability of an insurance company's business. Expressed as a percentage, this is the ratio of net losses and LAE incurred to net premiums earned.

20


Net Expense Ratio . The net expense ratio is a measure of an insurance company's operational efficiency in administering its business. Expressed as a percentage, this is the ratio of the sum of policy acquisition expenses, salaries and benefits, and other insurance general and administrative expenses less ceding commission to net premiums earned.
 
    Net Combined Ratio . The net combined ratio is a measure of an insurance company's overall underwriting profit. This is the sum of the net loss and net expense ratios. If the net combined ratio is at or above 100%, an insurance company cannot be profitable without investment income, and may not be profitable if investment income is insufficient.

    Annualized   Return on Equity. Return on equity is calculated by dividing net income (net income excludes results of discontinued operations as well as any currency gain or loss associated with discontinued operations on an after tax basis) by the average of shareholders’ equity.
 
One of the key financial measures that we use to evaluate our operating performance is return on average equity. Our return on average equity was 22.7% and 24.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007. In addition, we target a net combined ratio of 95.0% or lower over the long term, while seeking to maintain optimal operating leverage in our insurance subsidiaries commensurate with our A.M. Best rating objectives. Our net combined ratio was 77.2% and 89.1% for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The decline in the combined ratio period over period resulted primarily from entering into a reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance during the third quarter of 2007. We plan to write additional premiums without a proportional increase in expenses and further reduce the expense component of our net combined ratio over time.

Critical Accounting Policies
 
The Company’s discussion and analysis of its results of operations, financial condition and liquidity are based upon the Company’s consolidated financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. The preparation of these financial statements requires the Company to make estimates and judgments that affect the amounts of assets and liabilities, revenues and expenses and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the financial statements. As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions could change, which would have an impact on actual results that may differ materially from these estimates and judgments under different assumptions. The Company has not made any changes in estimates or judgments that have had a significant effect on the reported amounts as previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal period ended December 31, 2007.

21

 
Results of Operations

Consolidated Results of Operations (Unaudited)  
 
 
 
Three Months Ended  March 31,
 
 
 
2008
 
2007
 
   
($ amounts in thousands)
 
Gross written premium
 
$
234,756
 
$
189,673
 
 
   
   
 
Net premium written
 
$
117,442
 
$
160,619
 
Change in unearned premium
   
(20,029
)
 
(41,927
)
Net earned premium
   
97,413
   
118,692
 
Ceding commission – related party
   
20,184
   
-
 
Commission and fee income
   
6,287
   
4,490
 
Net investment income
   
13,531
   
11,391
 
Net realized (loss) gain on investments
   
(5,220
)
 
6,060
 
Other investment income (loss) on managed assets
   
(2,900
)
 
(290
)
Total revenue
   
129,295
   
140,343
 
 
   
   
 
Loss and loss adjustment expense
   
55,165
   
74,557
 
Policy acquisition expenses
   
18,308
   
14,583
 
Salaries and benefits
   
12,044
   
9,012
 
Other insurance general and administrative expense
   
9,834
   
7,574
 
Other underwriting expenses
   
4,794
   
3,113
 
 
   
100,145
   
108,839
 
Income from continuing operations
   
29,150
   
31,504
 
 
   
   
 
Other income (expense):
   
   
 
Foreign currency gain (loss)
   
159
   
(510
)
Interest expense
   
(2,629
)
 
(1,804
)
Total other expense
   
(2,470
)
 
(2,314
)
Income from continuing operations before provision for income taxes and minority interest
   
26,680
   
29,190
 
 
   
   
 
Provision for Income taxes
   
7,317
   
8,002
 
Minority interest in net loss of subsidiary
   
(2,900
)
 
(290
)
Net income
 
$
22,263
 
$
21,478
 
               
Key measures:    
             
Net loss ratio    
   
56.6
%
 
62.8
%
Net expense ratio    
   
20.5
%
 
26.3
%
Net combined ratio    
   
77.2
%
 
89.1
%

Consolidated Result of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 and 2007

Gross Premium Written . Gross premium written increased $45.1 million or 23.8% from $189.7 million to $234.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The increase of $45.1 million was attributable to a $0.5 million decrease in our small business workers’ compensation business, a $39.8 million increase in our specialty risk and extended warranty business and a $5.8 million increase in our specialty middle-market property and casualty business. The increase in specialty risk and extended warranty business resulted primarily from the underwriting of new coverage plans in the United States as well as the acquisition of IGI in the second quarter of 2007, which contributed approximately $17.0 million of gross written premium. The increase in the specialty middle-market gross premiums written resulted, primarily, from the underwriting of new programs and the growth of existing programs.
 
22


Net Premium Written . Net premium written decreased $43.2 million or 26.9% from $160.6 million to $117.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The decrease of $43.2 million resulted from the cession of $82.9 million of written premium to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008 under the terms of a reinsurance agreement entered into during the third quarter of 2007. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, net written premium increased $39.7 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The increase before cessions by segment was: small business workers’ compensation - $(1.6) million; specialty risk and extended warranty - $32.1 million; and specialty middle market property and casualty - $9.2 million.

    Net Premium Earned . Net premium earned decreased $21.3 million or (17.9)% from $118.7 million to $97.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008. The decrease of $21.3 million resulted from the cession of earned premium to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008 under the terms of a reinsurance agreement entered into during the third quarter of 2007. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, earned premium increased $42.5 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The increase by segment before cessions was: small business workers’ compensation - $6.5 million; specialty risk and extended warranty - $26.5 million; and specialty middle market property and casualty - $9.5 million.

  Commission and   Fee Income. Commission and fee income increased $1.8 million or 40.0% from $4.5 million to $6.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. A majority of the increase resulted from entering into a reinsurance agreement during the third quarter of 2007 with Maiden Insurance whereby the Company earned reinsurance brokerage fees under the agreement.

  Net Investment Income. Net investment income increased $2.1 million or 18.8% from $11.4 million to $13.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The increase resulted primarily from increased invested assets over the two periods. Average invested assets (excluding equity securities) was approximately $1.4 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2008 compared to approximately $0.8 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2007, an increase of $0.5 billion. The increase was offset by lower yields on the Company’s fixed maturities which decreased over the same time period from approximately 6.0% to 4.2%.

    Net Realized Gains (Losses) on Investments. Net realized losses on investments for the three months ended March 31, 2008 were $5.2 million, compared to net realized gains of $6.1 million for the same period in 2007. The decrease related to the timing of certain sales of underperforming investments of the Company’s equity portfolio and the non-cash write-down of 4 equity securities of $0.7 million that were determined to be other than temporarily impaired during the first quarter of 2008.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased $19.4 million or 26.0% from $74.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $55.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The Company’s loss ratio for the three months ended March 31, 2007 decreased to 56.6% from 62.8% for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The improvement of the loss and loss adjustment ratio resulted primarily from a decrease in the Company’s actuarially projected ultimate losses based on the Company’s loss experience. 
 
Policy Acquisition Expense, Salaries and Benefits Expense and Other Insurance General and Administrative Expense less Ceding Commission. Policy acquisition expense, salaries and benefits expense and other insurance general and administrative expense less ceding commission decreased $11.2 million or 35.8% from $31.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $20.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The expense ratio for the same periods decreased from 26.3% to 20.5%, respectively. The decrease in expense ratio resulted primarily from ceding commission of $20.2 million earned through the reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance during the third quarter of 2007.

Operating Income from Continuing Operations. Income from continuing operations decreased $2.3 million or 7.4% from $31.5 million to $29.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The change in income from continuing operations from 2007 to 2008 resulted primarily from losses on managed assets as growth in gross premium written and commission income combined with an improvement in the net expense ratio was offset by net realized losses on our equity investments in the first quarter of 2008.

Interest Expense. Interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2008 was $2.6 million, compared to $1.8 million for the same period in 2007. The increase was attributable to interest expense on $40.0 million of junior subordinated debentures issued by the Company in the first quarter of 2007.

    Income Tax Expense (Benefit). Income tax expense for three months ended March 31, 2008 was $7.3 million which resulted in an effective tax rate of 24.7%. Income tax expense for three months ended March 31, 2007 was $8.0 million which resulted in an effective tax rate of 27.1%. The decrease in our effective rate was due primarily to federal tax-exempt investment income earned during the period ending March 31, 2008.

Small Business Workers’ Compensation Segment
 
 
 
  (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended  March 31,
 
 
 
2008
 
2007
 
   
($ amounts in thousands)
 
Gross premium written
 
$
89,261
 
$
89,796
 
 
   
   
 
Net premium written
   
51,332
   
85,464
 
Change in unearned premium
   
(5,027
)
 
(20,255
)
Net premium earned
   
46,305
   
65,209
 
               
Ceding commission revenue    
   
11,909
   
-
 
 
   
   
 
Loss and loss adjustment expense
   
24,567
   
38,824
 
Policy acquisition expenses
   
10,494
   
9,240
 
Salaries and benefits
   
7,415
   
4,848
 
Other insurance general and administrative expense
   
4,752
   
4,269
 
 
   
47,228
   
57,181
 
Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio
 
$
10,986
 
$
8,028
 
 
   
   
 
Key Measures:
   
   
 
Net loss ratio:
   
53.1
%
 
59.5
%
Net expense ratio:
   
23.2
%
 
28.2
%
Net combined ratio:
   
76.3
%
 
87.7
%

Small Business Workers’ Compensation Segment Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 and 2007

Gross Premium Written . Gross premium written decreased $0.5 million or (0.6)% from $89.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $89.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. On an overall basis, gross premium written was relatively flat primarily as a result of mandated rate reductions in New York and Florida, which was offset by increases in policies resulting from the acquisition of Associated in the third quarter of 2007.

  Net Premium Written . Net premium written decreased $34.2 million or (39.9)% from $85.5 million to $51.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The decrease of $34.2 million resulted from the cession of $32.5 million of premium written to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008 under the terms of a reinsurance agreement entered into during the third quarter of 2007. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, net premium written decreased $1.7 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The decrease of $1.7 million resulted from a gross premium written decline of $0.5 million period over period.

  Net Premium Earned . Net premium earned decreased $18.9 million or (29.0)% from $65.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $46.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease of $18.9 million resulted from the cession of earned premium of $25.4 million to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, earned premium increased $6.5 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. This increase was a result of the premium in the preceding twelve months being greater than the twelve months ended March 31, 2007.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased $14.2 million or 36.7% from $38.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $24.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The Company’s loss ratio for the segment for the three months ended March 31, 2008 decreased to 53.1% from 59.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The improvement of the loss and loss adjustment ratio resulted primarily from a decrease in the Company’s actuarially projected ultimate losses based on the Company’s loss experience.
 
24


  Policy Acquisition Expense, Salaries and Benefits Expense and Other Insurance General and Administrative Expense less Ceding Commission. Policy acquisition expense, salaries and benefits expense and other insurance general and administrative expense less ceding commission decreased $7.6 million or 41.4% from $18.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $10.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The expense ratio decreased from 28.2% for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to 23.2% for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease in expense ratio resulted primarily from ceding commissions of $11.9 million earned through the reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance during the third quarter of 2007 offset by increased salary expense of $2.6 million.

  Net Premiums Earned less Expenses Included in Combined Ratio (Underwriting Income).   Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio increased $3.0 million or 36.8% from $8.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $11.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. This increase is attributable to improvements in the expense ratio attributable to ceding commission from Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008.
 
Specialty Risk and Extended Warranty Segment 
 
 
 
  (Unaudited)
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
 
 
  2008 
 
  2007  
 
   
($ amounts in thousands)
 
Gross premium written
 
$
87,769
 
$
47,942
 
 
   
   
 
Net premium written
   
38,085
   
38,312
 
Change in unearned premium
   
(8,489
)
 
(13,612
)
Net premiums earned
   
29,596
   
24,700
 
               
Ceding commission revenue
   
3,431
   
-
 
 
   
   
 
Loss and loss adjustment expense
   
17,914
   
17,910
 
Policy acquisition expenses
   
1,002
   
-
 
Salaries and benefits
   
2,647
   
2,232
 
Other insurance general and administrative expense
   
3,136
   
1,376
 
 
   
24,699
   
21,518
 
Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio
 
$
8,328
 
$
3,182
 
 
   
   
 
Key Measures:
   
   
 
Net loss ratio
   
60.5
%
 
72.5
%
Net expense ratio
   
11.3
%
 
14.6
%
Net combined ratio
   
71.9
%
 
87.1
%
 
Specialty Risk and Extended Warranty Segment Results of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 and   2007

Gross Premium Written . Gross premium written increased $39.8 million or 83.1% from $47.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $87.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The increase in premium resulted, primarily, from the underwriting growth of coverage plans in the United States and the acquisition of IGI in the second quarter of 2007, which contributed $17.0 million of premiums in the first quarter of 2008.
 
  Net Premium Written . Net premium written decreased $0.2 million or 0.6% from $38.3 million to $38.1 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008, respectively. The decrease of $0.2 million resulted from the cession of $32.4 million of premium written to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008 under the terms of a reinsurance agreement entered into during the third quarter of 2007. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, net premium written increased $32.2 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The increase of $32.2 million resulted from an increase in gross written premium written in 2008.
 
25


  Net Premium Earned . Net premium earned increased $4.9 million or 19.8% from $24.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $29.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The increase of $4.9 million resulted from the cession of earned premium of $21.6 million to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, earned premium increased $26.5 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. The increase was a result of an increase in gross written premium in 2008.

Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Loss and loss adjustment expenses were $17.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 and 2008. The Company’s loss ratio for the segment for the three months ended March 31, 2008 decreased to 60.5% from 72.5% for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The improvement of the loss and loss adjustment ratio resulted primarily from a decrease in the Company’s actuarially projected ultimate losses based on the Company’s loss experience.

  Policy Acquisition Expense, Salaries and Benefits Expense and Other Insurance General and Administrative Expense less Ceding Commission. Policy acquisition expense, salaries and benefits expense and other insurance general and administrative expense less ceding commission decreased $0.3 million or (7.0)% from $3.6 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $3.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The expense ratio decreased from 14.6% for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to 11.3% for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease in expense ratio resulted primarily from ceding commissions of $3.4 million earned through the reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance during the third quarter of 2007 offset by increases in general and administrative expense of $1.8 million in the first quarter of 2008.

  Net Premiums Earned less Expenses Included in Combined Ratio (Underwriting Income).   Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio increased $5.1 million or 161.7% from $3.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $8.3 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. This increase is attributable to strong growth in gross written premium combined with improvements in the expense ratio attributable to ceding commission from Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008.

Specialty Middle Market Property and Casualty Segment Results of Operations  

 
 
(Unaudited)
 
 
 
Three Months Ended  March 31,
 
 
 
2008
 
2007
 
   
($ amounts in thousands)
 
Gross premium written
 
$
57,726
 
$
51,935
 
 
   
   
 
Net premium written
   
28,025
   
36,844
 
Change in unearned premium
   
(6,513
)
 
(8,061
)
Net premium earned
   
21,512
   
28,783
 
               
Ceding commission revenue    
   
4,844
   
-
 
 
   
   
 
Loss and loss adjustment expense
   
12,684
   
17,823
 
Policy acquisition expenses
   
6,812
   
5,343
 
Salaries and benefits
   
1,982
   
1,932
 
Other Insurance General and Administrative Expense
   
1,946
   
1,928
 
 
   
23,424
   
27,026
 
Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio
 
$
2,932
 
$
1,757
 
 
   
   
 
Key Measures:
   
   
 
Net loss ratio
   
59.0
%
 
61.9
%
Net expense ratio
   
27.4
%
 
32.0
%
Net combined ratio
   
86.4
%
 
93.9
%

26


Specialty Middle Market Segment Result of Operations for the Three Months Ended March 31, 2008 and 2007

Gross Premium Written . Gross premium increased $5.8 million or 11.2% from $51.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $57.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The increase related to growth in existing and new programs.

  Net Premium Written . Net premium decreased $8.8 million or 23.9% from $36.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $28.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease of $8.8 million resulted from the cession of $18.0 million of written premium to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008 under the terms of a reinsurance agreement entered into during the third quarter of 2007. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, net written premium increased $9.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008 compared to the three months ended March 31, 2007. The increase of $9.2 million resulted from an increase in gross premium written in 2008.

  Net Premium Earned . Net premium earned decreased $7.3 million or 25.3% from $28.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $21.5 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease of $7.3 million resulted from the cession of earned premium ceded to Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008. Before cessions to Maiden Insurance, earned premium increased $9.5 million in the first quarter of 2008 compared to the first quarter of 2007. This increase was a result of an increase in gross premium written.
 
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Loss and loss adjustment expenses decreased $5.1 million or 28.8% from $17.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 compared to $12.7 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The loss ratio for the segment decreased for the three months ended March 31, 2008 to 59.0% from 61.9% for the three months ended March 31, 2007. The improvement of the loss and loss adjustment ratio resulted primarily from a decrease in the Company’s actuarially projected ultimate losses based on the Company’s loss experience.

Policy Acquisition Expense, Salaries and Benefits Expense and Other Insurance General and Administrative Expense less Ceding Commission. Policy acquisition expense, salaries and benefits expense and other insurance general and administrative expense less ceding commission decreased $3.3 million or (35.9)% from $9.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to $5.9 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The expense ratio decreased from 32.0% for the three months ended March 31, 2007 to 27.4% for the three months ended March 31, 2008. The decrease in expense ratio resulted primarily from ceding commission of $4.8 million earned through the reinsurance agreement with Maiden Insurance during the first quarter of 2008.
 
Net Premiums Earned less Expenses Included in Combined Ratio (Underwriting Income).   Net premiums earned less expenses included in combined ratio were $2.9 million and $1.8 million for the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. The increase of $1.1 million resulted from growth in revenue and improvements in the expense ratio and the loss ratio.

Liquidity   and Capital Resources

Our principal sources of operating funds are premiums, investment income and proceeds from sales and maturities of investments. Our primary uses of operating funds include payments of claims and operating expenses. Currently, we pay claims using cash flow from operations and invest our excess cash primarily in fixed maturity and equity securities. We forecast claim payments based on our historical trends. We seek to manage the funding of claim payments by actively managing available cash and forecasting cash flows on short-term and long-term bases. Cash payments for claims were $58.1 million and $40.3 million in the three months ended March 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We expect cash flow from operations should be sufficient to meet our anticipated claim obligations. We further expect that projected cash flow from operations and the issuance of junior subordinated debentures should provide us sufficient liquidity to fund our current operations and anticipated growth for at least the next twelve months.   However, if our growth attributable to acquisitions, internally generated growth or a combination of these exceeds our projections, we may have to raise additional capital sooner to support our growth.

The following table is summary of our statement of cash flows:
 
 
 
Three Months Ended March 31,
 
   
2008
 
2007
 
 
($ amounts in thousands)
Cash and cash equivalents provided by (used in):
   
Operating activities
 
$
44,797
 
$
54,756
 
Investing activities
   
129,385
   
(1,740
)
Financing activities
   
(155,934
)
 
37,981
 
 
27

 
Net cash provided by operating activities was positive for the three months ended March 31, 2008 but lower than net cash provided by operating activities in the three months ended March 31, 2007, primarily because of the increase in claims paid during the three months ended March 31, 2008.
 
Cash used in investing activities during the period represents, primarily, the net purchases (purchases less sales) of investments. For the three months ended March 31, 2008, the Company’s net sales of fixed securities totaled $139.5 million and net sales of equity securities was $10.8 million. For the three months ended March 31, 2007, the Company’s net sales of fixed income securities totaled $33.1 million, net purchases of equity securities totaled $1.4 million and net purchases of other investments totaled $14.2 million. Additionally, in connection with the Warrantech transaction, the Company provided $18.0 million related to a secured note (see Note 12. “Other Investments”) to Warrantech.

Cash used in financing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2008 consisted of purchases of $153.8 million of securities sold under agreements to repurchase   and dividend payments of $2.4 million. Cash provided by financing activities for the three months ended March 31, 2007 consisted primarily of $40 million generated by the issuance of additional junior subordinated debt in connection with the issuance of trust preferred securities offset by dividend payments of $1.2 million.

Line of Credit

The Company entered into an agreement for an unsecured line of credit on June 30, 2007 with JP Morgan Chase Bank, N.A. in the aggregate amount of $50 million. The line will be used for general corporate purposes as required, as well as collateral for letters of credit. The agreement matures on June 30, 2008.   Interest payments are required to be paid monthly on any unpaid principal and bears interest at LIBOR plus 150 basis points.  As of March 31, 2008 there was no outstanding balance on the line of credit. The Company has an outstanding letter of credit in place at March 31, 2008 for $21.5 million that reduced the availability on the line of credit to $28.5 million as of March 31, 2008. The Company currently is negotiating to replace its existing line of credit  The Company does not believe its liquidity or borrowing rate will be materially impacted.

Securities Sold Under Agreements to Repurchase, at Contract Value
 
The Company enters into repurchase agreements. The agreements are accounted for as collateralized borrowing transactions and are recorded at contract amounts. The Company receives cash or securities, that it invests or hold in short term or fixed income securities. As of March 31, 2008, there were $300.5 million principal amount outstanding at interest rates between 2.4% and 3.6%. Interest expense associated with these repurchase agreements for the three months ended March 31, 2008 was $1.8 million of which $0.4 million was accrued as of March 31, 2008. The Company has approximately $305.0 million of collateral pledged in support of these agreements.
 
Note Payable — Collateral for Proportionate Share of Reinsurance Obligation
 
In conjunction with the Reinsurance Agreement between AII and Maiden Insurance (see Note 13. “Related Party Transactions”), AII entered into a loan agreement with Maiden Insurance during the fourth quarter of 2007, whereby, Maiden Insurance will lend to AII from time to time for the amount of obligation of the AmTrust Ceding Insurers that AII is obligated to secure, not to exceed an amount equal to the Maiden Insurance’s proportionate share of such obligations to such AmTrust Ceding Insurers in accordance with the reinsurance agreement. The Company is required to deposit all proceeds from the advances into a sub-account of each trust account that has been established for each AmTrust Ceding Insurer. To the extent of the loan, Maiden Insurance shall be discharged from providing   security for its proportionate share of the obligations as contemplated by the reinsurance agreement. If an AmTrust Ceding Insurer withdraws loan proceeds from the trust account for the purpose of reimbursing such AmTrust Ceding Insurer, for an ultimate net loss, the outstanding principal balance of the loan shall be reduced by the amount of such withdrawal. The loan agreement was amended in February 2008 to provide for interest at a rate of LIBOR plus 90 basis points and is payable on a quarterly basis. Each advance under the loan is secured by a promissory note. Advances totaled $113.2 million as of March 31, 2008.
 
28


Reinsurance
 
The Company utilizes reinsurance agreements to reduce its exposure to large claims and catastrophic loss occurrences. These agreements provide for recovery from reinsurers of a portion of losses and LAE under certain circumstances without relieving the insurer of its obligation to the policyholder. Losses and LAE incurred and premiums earned are reflected after deduction for reinsurance. In the event reinsurers are unable to meet their obligations under reinsurance agreements, the Company would not be able to realize the full value of the reinsurance recoverable balances. The Company periodically evaluates the financial condition of its reinsurers in order to minimize its exposure to significant losses from reinsurer insolvencies. Reinsurance does not discharge or diminish the primary liability of the Company; however, it does permit recovery of losses on such risks from the reinsurers.
 
The Company has coverage for its workers’ compensation line of business under excess of loss reinsurance agreements. The agreements cover losses in excess of $500 through December 31, 2004, $600 effective January 1, 2005 and $1,000 effective July 1, 2006, per occurrence up to a maximum $130,000 ($80,000 prior to 2004) in losses per occurrence. Our reinsurance for worker’s compensation losses caused by acts of terrorism is more limited than our reinsurance for other types of workers’ compensation losses. Beginning with policies effective January 1, 2006, the Company retains the first $1,000 per occurrence. We have obtained reinsurance for this line of business with higher limits as our exposures have increased. As the scale of our workers’ compensation business has increased, we have also increased the amount of risk we retain.
 
During 2007, TIC acted as servicing carrier on behalf of both the Georgia and Virginia Workers’ Compensation Assigned Risk Plans. In 2006, TIC was only a servicing carrier for the Georgia Assigned Risk Plan. In its role as a serving carrier TIC issues and services certain workers compensation policies to Georgia and Virginia insureds. Those policies are subject to a 100% quota-share reinsurance agreement offered by the National Workers Compensation Reinsurance Pool a state-based equivalent, which is administered by the National Council on Compensation Insurance, Inc. (“NCCI”).
 
As part of the agreement to purchase Wesco from Household Insurance Group Holding Company (“Household”), the Company agreed to write certain business on behalf Household for a three year period. The premium written under this arrangement is 100% reinsured by HSBC Insurance Company of Delaware, a subsidiary of Household. The reinsurance recoverable associated with this business is guaranteed by Household.
 
During the third quarter of 2007, the Company and Maiden entered into master agreement, as amended, by which they caused the Company’s Bermuda affiliate, AII and Maiden Insurance to enter into a the Reinsurance Agreement by which (a) AII retrocedes to Maiden Insurance an amount equal to 40% of the premium written by AmTrust’s U.S., Irish and U.K. insurance companies (the “AmTrust Ceding Insurers”), net of the cost of unaffiliated insuring reinsurance (and in the case of AmTrust’s U.K. insurance subsidiary IGI, net of commissions) and 40% of losses and (b) AII transferred to Maiden Insurance 40% of the AmTrust Ceding Insurer’s unearned premium reserves, effective as of July 1, 2007, with respect to current lines of business, excluding risks for which the AmTrust Ceding Insurers’ net retention exceeds $5,000 (“Covered Business”). AmTrust also has agreed to cause AII, subject to regulatory requirements, to reinsure any insurance company which writes Covered Business in which AmTrust acquires a majority interest to the extent required to enable AII to cede to Maiden Insurance 40% of the premiums and losses related to such Covered Business. The Agreement further provides that the AII receives a ceding commission of 31% of ceded written premiums. The Reinsurance Agreement has an initial term of three years and will automatically renew for successive three year terms thereafter, unless either AII or Maiden Insurance notifies the other of its election not to renew not less than nine months prior to the end of any such three year term. In addition, either party is entitled to terminate on thirty day’s notice or less upon the occurrence of certain early termination events, which include a default in payment, insolvency, change in control of AII or Maiden Insurance, run-off, or a reduction of 50% or more of the shareholders’ equity of Maiden Insurance or the combined shareholders’ equity of AII and the AmTrust Ceding Insurers.
 
As part of the acquisition of Associated, the Company acquired reinsurance recoverable as of the date of closing. The most significant reinsurance recoverable is from American Home Assurance Co. (“American Home”). AIIC’s reinsurance relationship with American Home incepted January 1, 1998 on a loss occurring basis. From January 1, 1998 through March 31, 1999 the American Home reinsurance covered losses in excess of $250 per occurrence up to statutory coverage limits. Effective April 1, 1999, American Home provided coverage in the amount of $150 in excess of $100. This additional coverage terminated on December 31, 2001 on a run-off basis. Therefore, for losses occurring in 2002 that attached to a 2001 policy, the retention was $100 per occurrence. Effective January 1, 2002 American Home increased its attachment was $250 per occurrence. The XOL treaty that had an attachment of $250 was terminated on a run-off basis on December 31, 2002. Therefore, losses occurring in 2003 that attached to a 2002 policy were ceded to American Home at an attachment point of $250 per occurrence.
 
29

 
Since January 1, 2003, the Company has had variable quota share reinsurance with Munich Reinsurance Company (“Munich Re”) for our specialty risk and extended warranty insurance. The scope of this reinsurance arrangement is broad enough to cover all of our specialty risk and extended warranty insurance worldwide. However, we do not cede to Munich Re the majority of our U.S. specialty risks and extended warranty business, although we may cede more of this U.S. business to Munich Re in the future.
 
Under the variable quota share reinsurance arrangements with Munich Re, we may elect to cede from 15% to 50% of each covered risk, but Munich Re shall not reinsure more than £500 for each ceded risk which we at acceptance regard as one individual risk. This means that regardless of the amount of insured losses generated by any ceded risk, the maximum coverage for that ceded risk under this reinsurance arrangement is £500,000. For the majority of the business ceded under this reinsurance arrangement, we cede 15% of the risk to Munich Re, but for some newer or larger risks, we cede a larger share to Munich Re. This reinsurance is subject to a limit of £2.5 million per occurrence of certain natural perils such as windstorms, earthquakes, floods and storm surge. Coverage for losses arising out of acts of terrorism is excluded from the scope of this reinsurance.
 
In October 2006, the Company entered into a quota-share reinsurance agreement with 5 syndicate members of Lloyd’s of London who collectively reinsure 70% of a particular specialty risk and extended warranty program.

Investment Portfolio

Our investment portfolio, including cash and cash equivalents, increased $179.6 million, or 14.2% to $1,441.2 million at March 31, 2008 from $1,261.6 million as of December 31, 2007 (excluding $22.7 million and $28.1 million of other investments, respectively). A majority of our fixed maturities are classified as available for sale (87.5%) as of March 31, 2008, as defined by SFAS No. 115, “Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities.” As such, the reported value of those securities is equal to their fair value. Additionally, our fixed maturities classified as held to maturity (12.5%) are not impacted by changing interest rates. Our fixed maturity securities, gross, as of this date had a fair value of $946.2 million and an amortized cost of $981.9 million. Our equity securities are classified as available-for-sale, as defined by SFAS 115. These securities are reported at fair value. The equity securities, gross, carried at fair value were $68.6 million with a cost of $106.2 million as of March 31, 2008. Securities sold but not yet purchased, represent obligations of the Company to deliver the specified security at the contracted price and thereby, create a liability to purchase the security in the market at prevailing rates. Sales of securities under repurchase agreements are accounted for as collateralized borrowing transactions and are recorded at their contracted amounts. Our investment portfolio is summarized in the table below by type of investment:

  
 
March 31, 2008
 
December 31, 2007
 
 
($ amounts in thousands)
 
Carrying
Value
 
Percentage of
Portfolio
 
Carrying
Value
 
Percentage of
Portfolio
 
Cash and cash equivalents
 
$
168,777
   
11.7
%
$
145,337
   
11.5
%
Time and short-term deposits
   
259,027
   
18.0
   
148,541
   
11.8
 
U.S. treasury securities
   
18,396
   
1.3
   
19,074
   
1.5
 
U.S. government agencies
   
80,263
   
5.6
   
144,173
   
11.4
 
U.S. agency - collateralized mortgage obligations
   
298,904
   
20.7
   
239,200
   
19.0
 
U.S. agency – mortgage backed securities
   
143,047
   
9.9
   
91,663
   
7.3
 
Other mortgage backed securities
   
4,034
   
0.3
   
4,153
   
0.3
 
Municipal bonds
   
10,161
   
0.7
   
10,428
   
0.8
 
Asset backed securities
   
9,615
   
0.7
   
10,226
   
0.8
 
Corporate bonds
   
380,332
   
26.4
   
369,733
   
29.3
 
Common stock
   
68,059
   
4.7
   
78,533
   
6.3
 
Preferred stock
   
584
   
   
504
   
 
  
 
$
1,441,199
   
100.0
%
$
1,261,565
   
100.0
%

    As of March 31, 2008, the weighted average duration of our fixed income securities was 5.6 years.
 
30

 
Quarterly, the Company’s Investment Committee (“Committee”) evaluates for other-than-temporary-impairment, whereby it evaluates each security which has an unrealized loss as of the end of the subject reporting period. The Committee uses a set of quantitative and qualitative criteria to review our investment portfolio to evaluate the necessity of recording impairment losses for other-than-temporary declines in the fair value of our investments. Some of the criteria we consider include:
 
·
how long and by how much the fair value of the security has been below its amortized cost;
 
·
the financial condition and near-term prospects of the issuer of the security, including any specific events that may affect its operations or earnings;
 
·
our intent and ability to keep the security for a sufficient time period for it to recover its value;
 
·
any reduction or elimination of dividends, or nonpayment of scheduled interest payments; and
 
·
The occurrence of discrete credit event resulting in (i) the issuer defaulting on material outstanding obligation (ii) the issuer seeking protection under bankruptcy law.
 
During the three months ended March 31, 2008, based on the criteria above, we determined that 4 equity securities were other-than-temporarily-impaired and accordingly wrote them down resulting in a $0.7 million realized loss.

At March 31, 2008, the Company had $39.5 million of gross unrealized losses related to marketable equity securities. The Company’s investment in marketable equity securities consist of investments in common stock across a wide range of sectors. The Company evaluated the near-term prospects for recovery of fair value in relation to the severity and duration of the impairment and has determined in each case that the probability of recovery is reasonable. Within the Company’s portfolio of common stocks, 39 equity securities comprised $37.6 million, or 95 % of the unrealized loss. The 39 stocks consisted of 16 securities in the consumer products sector and represent approximately 43% of the total fair value and 50% of the Company’s unrealized loss, four securities in the financial sector and represent approximately 9% of the total fair value and 9% of the Company’s total unrealized losses and 13 common stocks in the health care, industrial and technology sectors which have fair values of approximately 14%, 12% and 10%, respectively, and approximately 9%, 10% and 11%, respectively, of the Company’s unrealized losses. Additionally, the Company owns 6 stocks in other sectors which accounts for 7% of the Company’s unrealized losses. The duration of these impairments range from one to 19 months. The remaining securities in a loss position are not considered individually significant and accounted for 5% of the Company’s unrealized losses.

Corporate bonds represent 40% of the fair value of our fixed maturities and 96% of the total unrealized losses of our fixed maturities. The Company owns 210 corporate bonds in the industrial, bank & financial and other sectors, which have a fair value of approximately 8%, 31% and 1%, respectively, and 26%, 68% and 2% of total unrealized losses, respectively, of our fixed maturities. The Company expects the spreads to narrow again as the economic situation improves and the market price for these securities recovers.
 
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk

Market risk is the risk of potential economic loss principally arising from adverse changes in the fair value of financial instruments. The major components of market risk affecting us are credit risk, interest rate risk, foreign currency risk and equity price risk.
 
Liquidity Risk.   Liquidity risk represents the potential inability of AmTrust to meet all payment obligations when they become due. The Company maintains sufficient cash and marketable securities to fund claim payments and operations. We purchase reinsurance coverage to mitigate the liquidity risk of an unexpected rise in claims severity or frequency from catastrophic events or a single large loss. The availability, amount and cost of reinsurance depend on market conditions and may vary significantly.

Credit Risk. Credit risk is the potential loss arising principally from adverse changes in the financial condition of the issuers of our fixed maturity securities and the financial condition of our third party reinsurers. We address the credit risk related to the issuers of our fixed maturity securities by investing primarily in fixed maturity securities that are rated “BBB-” or higher by Standard & Poor’s. We also independently monitor the financial condition of all issuers of our fixed maturity securities. To limit our risk exposure, we employ diversification policies that limit the credit exposure to any single issuer or business sector.
 

We are subject to credit risk with respect to our third party reinsurers. Although our third party reinsurers are obligated to reimburse us to the extent we cede risk to them, we are ultimately liable to our policyholders on all risks we have ceded. As a result, reinsurance contracts do not limit our ultimate obligations to pay claims covered under the insurance policies we issue and we might not collect amounts recoverable from our reinsurers. We address this credit risk by selecting reinsurers which have an A.M. Best rating of “A” (Excellent) or better at the time we enter into the agreement and by performing, along with our reinsurance broker, periodic credit reviews of our reinsurers. If one of our reinsurers suffers a credit downgrade, we may consider various options to lessen the risk of asset impairment, including commutation, novation and letters of credit. See “—Reinsurance.”
 
Interest Rate Risk. We had fixed maturity securities (excluding $259.0 million of time and short-term deposits) with a fair value of $946.2 million and a carrying value of $981.9 million as of March 31, 2008 that are subject to interest rate risk. Interest rate risk is the risk that we may incur losses due to adverse changes in interest rates. Fluctuations in interest rates have a direct impact on the market valuation of our fixed maturity securities. We manage our exposure to interest rate risk through a disciplined asset and liability matching and capital management process. In the management of this risk, the characteristics of duration, credit and variability of cash flows are critical elements. These risks are assessed regularly and balanced within the context of our liability and capital position.
 
The table below summarizes the interest rate risk associated with our fixed maturity securities by illustrating the sensitivity of the fair value and carrying value of our fixed maturity securities as of March 31, 2008 to selected hypothetical changes in interest rates, and the associated impact on our stockholders’ equity. Because we anticipate that the Company will continue to meet its obligations out of income, we classify our fixed maturity securities, other than redeemable preferred stock, mortgage backed and corporate obligations, as held-to-maturity and carry them on our balance sheet at cost or amortized cost, as applicable. Any redeemable preferred stock we hold from time to time is classified as available-for-sale and carried on our balance sheet at fair value. Temporary changes in the fair value of our fixed maturity securities that are held-to-maturity, such as those resulting from interest rate fluctuations, do not impact the carrying value of these securities and, therefore, do not affect our shareholders’ equity. However, temporary changes in the fair value of our fixed maturity securities that are held as available-for-sale do impact the carrying value of these securities and are reported in our shareholders’ equity as a component of other comprehensive income, net of deferred taxes. The selected scenarios in the table below are not predictions of future events, but rather are intended to illustrate the effect such events may have on the fair value and carrying value of our fixed maturity securities and on our shareholders’ equity, each as of March 31, 2008. 

Hypothetical Change in Interest Rates
 
Fair Value
 
Estimated
Change in
Fair Value
 
 
Carrying
Value
 
Estimated
Change in
Carrying
Value
 
Hypothetical
Percentage
(Increase)
Decrease in
Shareholders’
Equity
 
   
($ in thousands)
 
200 basis point increase
 
$
888,881
 
$
(57,341
)
$
 
$
(49,010
)
 
(12.3 )%
 
100 basis point increase
   
915,233
   
(30,989
)
 
   
(26,182
)
 
(6.6 )
 
No change
   
946,222
   
   
944,752
   
   
 
100 basis point decrease
   
972,666
   
26,444
   
   
23,411
   
5.9
 
200 basis point decrease
   
1,002,399
   
56,177
   
   
48,771
   
12.3
 
 
Foreign Currency Risk. We write insurance in the United Kingdom and certain other European Union member countries through AIU. While the functional currency of AIU is the Euro, we write coverages that are settled in local currencies, including the British Pound. We attempt to maintain sufficient local currency assets on deposit to minimize our exposure to realized currency losses. Assuming a 5% increase in the exchange rate of the local currency in which the claims will be paid and that we do not hold that local currency, we would recognize a $1.9 million after tax realized currency loss based on our outstanding foreign denominated reserves of $57.6 million at March 31, 2008.
 
32


Equity Price Risk. Equity price risk is the risk that we may incur losses due to adverse changes in the market prices of the equity securities we hold in our investment portfolio, which include common stocks, non-redeemable preferred stocks and master limited partnerships. We classify our portfolio of equity securities as available-for-sale and carry these securities on our balance sheet at fair value. Accordingly, adverse changes in the market prices of our equity securities result in a decrease in the value of our total assets and a decrease in our shareholders’ equity. As of March 31, 2008, the equity securities in our investment portfolio had a fair value of $68.6 million, representing approximately nine percent of our total invested assets on that date. We are fundamental long buyers and short sellers, with a focus on value oriented stocks. The table below illustrates the impact on our equity portfolio and financial position given a hypothetical movement in the broader equity markets. The selected scenarios in the table below are not predictions of future events, but rather are intended to illustrate the effect such events may have on the carrying value of our equity portfolio and on shareholders’ equity as of March 31, 2007. The hypothetical scenarios below assume that the Company’s Beta is 1 when compared to the S&P 500 index.
Hypothetical Change in S&P 500 Index
 
 
Fair Value
 
 
Estimated Change in
Fair Value
 
Carrying
Value
 
Estimated Change in Carrying
Value
 
Hypothetical
Percentage
Increase
(Decrease) in
Shareholders
Equity
 
   
($ in thousands)
 
5% increase
 
$
72,075
 
$
3,432
 
 
 
$
3,432
 
 
0.6 %
 
No change
   
68,643
     
$
68,643
         
5% decrease
   
65,211
   
(3,432
)
     
(3,432
)
 
(0.6 )%
 
 
Off Balance Sheet Risk . The Company has exposure or risk related to securities sold but not yet purchased.

Risks Associated with Forward-Looking Statements Included in this Form 10-Q

This Form 10-Q contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created thereby. These statements include the plans and objectives of management for future operations, including plans and objectives relating to future growth of the Company’s business activities and availability of funds. The forward-looking statements included herein are based on current expectations that involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Assumptions relating to the foregoing involve judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic, competitive and market conditions, regulatory framework, weather-related events and future business decisions, all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately and many of which are beyond the control of the Company. Although the Company believes that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any of the assumptions could be inaccurate and, therefore, there can be no assurance that the forward-looking statements included in this Form 10-Q will prove to be accurate. In light of the significant uncertainties inherent in the forward-looking statements included herein, the inclusion of such information should not be regarded as a representation by the Company or any other person that the objectives and plans of the Company will be achieved.
 
Item 4. Controls and Procedures

The principal executive officer and principal financial officer of the Company have evaluated the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures and have concluded that, as of the end of the period covered by this report, such disclosure controls and procedures were effective in ensuring that information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports that it files or submits under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 is timely recorded, processed, summarized and reported. The principal executive officer and principal financial officer also concluded that such disclosure controls and procedures were effective in ensuring that information required to be disclosed by the Company in the reports that it files or submits under such Act is accumulated and communicated to the Company’s management, including its principal executive officer and principal financial officer, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. During the most recent fiscal quarter, there have been no changes in the Company’s internal controls over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.
 
33

 
PART II - OTHER INFORMATION
 
Item 6.   Exhibits
 
Exhibit
Number
 
Description
 
 
 
 
 
 
31.1
 
Certification of the Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or 15d-14(a), for the quarter ended March 31, 2008.
 
 
 
31.2
 
Certification of the Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or 15d-14(a), for the quarter ended March 31, 2008.
 
 
 
32.1
 
Certification of the Chief Executive Officer, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, for the quarter ended March 31, 2008.
 
 
 
32.2
 
Certification of the Chief Financial Officer, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, for the quarter ended March 31, 2008.
 
34


SIGNATURES

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 
AmTrust Financial Services, Inc.
 
(Registrant)
     
     
Date: May 12, 2008
 
/s/ Barry D. Zyskind
   
Barry D. Zyskind
President and Chief Executive Officer
     
     
   
/s/ Ronald E. Pipoly, Jr.
   
Ronald E. Pipoly, Jr.
Chief Financial Officer
 
35

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