Ethereum Mirrors Bitcoin 2017-2021 Pattern – $4,000 Is The Trigger Point
June 19 2025 - 11:30AM
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Ethereum is trading within a tight range that has held for several
weeks, forming the kind of compression structure that often leads
to a significant breakout. Despite heightened volatility in global
markets driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, ETH has
remained resilient, holding strong above key demand zones around
the $2,500–$2,600 area. The current environment is marked by
uncertainty, with geopolitical conflict and macroeconomic risks
weighing on investor sentiment. Yet Ethereum’s price structure
suggests that bulls are patiently building momentum. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates as Realized Profits Stay Low – No
Signs Of Major Sell-Off Yet Top analyst Ted Pillows shared a
technical outlook, pointing out that Ethereum is mirroring the same
consolidation pattern that Bitcoin followed during its 2017–2021
cycle. In that historical setup, BTC compressed into a tight range
before entering a parabolic rally once the upper boundary was
broken. If Ethereum follows a similar path, the next move could be
dramatic, especially if it clears major resistance levels like
$2,800. As long as ETH holds range support and absorbs both upside
and downside wicks, this setup remains intact. A breakout above the
current range could ignite a fresh leg up for Ethereum—and possibly
spark renewed strength across the altcoin market. Ethereum Builds
Momentum As Market Awaits Clarity Ethereum is currently trading in
a tight range, consolidating just above the $2,600 level and
holding firm despite macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds.
After rallying nearly 80% from its April lows, ETH appears to be
preparing for a decisive move in the coming sessions. However, with
escalating tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainty
surrounding possible U.S. involvement, broader markets remain
cautious. Until clarity emerges on the geopolitical front, sideways
price action may persist. Still, Ethereum’s price structure remains
constructive. Strong consolidation above key demand zones reflects
ongoing buyer interest and a lack of heavy selling pressure. This
behavior often precedes major moves, as investors accumulate ahead
of expected volatility. Some market participants remain cautious,
warning of a possible retrace below the $2,400 level if demand
falters or broader risk sentiment weakens. In contrast, bullish
analysts like Ted Pillows suggest a more optimistic outlook.
According to Pillows, Ethereum is closely following the path
Bitcoin took during its 2017–2021 cycle, where tight consolidation
ultimately led to a breakout and parabolic rally. In this view,
ETH’s real explosive phase won’t begin until it breaks above
$4,000. If this scenario plays out, Ethereum could trigger a
broader altcoin surge and shift overall crypto market sentiment
bullish once again. Related Reading: Tron Shows Real Growth:
Transaction Volume Soars While Success Rate Stays Above 96% ETH
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Near Key Levels The 3-day
Ethereum chart shows a prolonged consolidation phase as ETH trades
near the $2,500 mark. Despite geopolitical uncertainty and rising
macroeconomic risks, Ethereum has held above the $2,400 support
zone, forming a tight range just below the critical resistance at
$2,775. This area also coincides with the 200-day SMA (red line),
which continues to cap upward momentum. ETH remains above the
50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) SMAs, suggesting bullish momentum
is intact, though lacking follow-through. The recent candle bodies
show decreasing volatility, with wicks on both sides being
absorbed—a classic sign of compression that often precedes a large
move. Related Reading: Ethereum Golden Cross Approaching – Will
History Repeat? Volume has declined slightly compared to the
breakout in early May, indicating a temporary pause in bullish
conviction. However, if Ethereum manages a higher close above the
$2,775 resistance, it could trigger an impulsive breakout targeting
the $3,000 level. On the downside, a break below $2,400 would
invalidate the current structure and expose ETH to a deeper
correction toward $2,100. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from
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