Marriott Sees Hit as Occupancy Rates Drop -- WSJ
February 27 2020 - 3:02AM
Dow Jones News
By Dave Sebastian
This article is being republished as part of our daily
reproduction of WSJ.com articles that also appeared in the U.S.
print edition of The Wall Street Journal (February 27, 2020).
Marriott International Inc. expects the coronavirus epidemic to
weigh on its fee revenue in 2020, as the pathogen's spread outside
of China stokes fears and disrupts travel.
The world's largest hotel company said Wednesday that it could
have about $25 million less in fee revenue a month this year,
compared with its outlook, assuming current low occupancy rates in
the Asia-Pacific region continue.
Excluding the epidemic's effect, Marriott expects 2020 global
room growth of 5% to 5.25%, and gross fee revenue -- or revenue
that it collected for maintaining its properties and from franchise
agreements -- to rise 4% to 6%, to $3.96 billion to $4.04 billion,
compared with last year.
The Bethesda, Md., company, which has roughly 7,300 properties,
expects earnings of $6.30 to $6.53 a share for the year.
The company predicted 2020 comparable systemwide revenue per
available room, an industry metric that measures performance, on a
constant-currency basis to be flat to up 2% world-wide, with its
rise in North America to be in the middle of the range.
For the first quarter, when the epidemic began to trigger travel
restrictions, the company expects earnings of $1.47 to $1.50 a
share on gross fee revenue of $940 million to $950 million.
Marriott said its overall quarterly forecast excludes the
epidemic's impact, because of the outbreak's fluid nature.
"We certainly do see lower occupancies in Asia Pacific outside
of Greater China, but nowhere near the same reduction in occupancy
levels as in Greater China," finance chief Leeny Oberg said in an
interview.
Ms. Oberg said Marriott has about 800 hotels in the Asia-Pacific
region. Of those, 89 hotels in Greater China -- an area that
encompasses mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan -- aren't
accepting reservations at the moment.
Companies with high exposure to travel and tourism have borne
the brunt of the epidemic, with hotels closing some operations,
airlines canceling flights, cruise ships becoming incubators for
the pathogen and casinos closed off for two weeks in the gaming
enclave of Macau.
Originating in the central Chinese city of Wuhan, the epidemic
has widened globally, with cases recently surging in South Korea
and Italy and new infections diagnosed in Brazil, Spain, Germany
and Switzerland, as well as elsewhere.
Ms. Oberg said Marriott isn't able to determine the epidemic's
effect on the company beyond the Asia-Pacific region, though
cancellations of corporate events have occurred in certain cities
outside that area. Fears over the epidemic have prompted global
companies to drop plans for industry gatherings, such as Facebook
Inc.'s cancellation of its annual marketing conference originally
scheduled for San Francisco in March.
For the fourth quarter, the company's comparable systemwide
revenue per available room rose 1.1% world-wide, 1.5% outside North
America and 0.9% in North America. The metric fell 5.2% in Greater
China.
Marriott posted net income of $279 million, or 85 cents a share,
compared with $317 million, or 92 cents a share, a year earlier.
Adjusted earnings were $1.57 a share, beating the $1.47 a share
analysts polled by FactSet had expected.
Revenue rose 1.6% to $5.37 billion, missing the $5.51 billion
analysts were targeting. The company's net fee revenue rose to $957
million from $896 million.
The company added more than 78,000 rooms last year. At the end
of 2019, it had 3,050 hotels and about 515,000 rooms in its
development pipeline.
Write to Dave Sebastian at dave.sebastian@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 27, 2020 02:47 ET (07:47 GMT)
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