Wheat Futures Soar on Australian Supply-Forecast Cut
February 18 2020 - 4:00PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Wheat for March delivery rose 4.4% to $5.66 3/4 a bushel on
the Chicago Board of Trade on Tuesday, in reaction to a reduced
wheat harvest estimate in Australia and hope for soon-to-come
tariff exemptions from China.
--Corn for March delivery rose 1.4% to $3.83 a bushel.
--Soybeans for March delivery fell 0.2% to $8.92 1/4 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Less Wheat From Down Under: Australia is likely to have the
smallest wheat crop in more than a decade after widespread
brushfires stifled the harvests. Crop agency ABARES estimates the
2019 wheat crop will total 15.2 million metric tons, down from
15.85 million tons previously. The new forecast is a 12% drop from
the 2018 crop, according to USDA figures.
More China Hopes: The U.S. and China each signaled that they
intend to follow through with the phase one trade deal. Chinese
officials said Beijing aims to exempt some 697 U.S. products,
including farm goods, from tariffs beginning March 2, while
President Trump tweeted that "The United States cannot, & will
not, become such a difficult place to deal with in terms of foreign
countries buying our product." China is expected to be particularly
interested in hogs and soybeans.
INSIGHT
Corn Catch-Up: Corn export inspections hit their highest level
since May, according to USDA data, but analysts at INTL FCStone say
exports are still behind schedule. Corn inspections totaled 31.3
million bushels in the week ended Feb. 13, while the USDA projects
the U.S. will ship out 1.725 billion bushels of corn for the
marketing year.
Shorts on Fire: Grains traders have built large short positions
in soybeans and corn, according to data released by the CFTC on
Friday. Through Feb. 11, managed money traders have built a net
short position of nearly 100,000 contracts in soybeans, a
"historically large" position, according to Doug Bergman of RCM
Alternatives. Corn futures were net short by roughly 70,000
contracts.
AHEAD
--The EIA releases its weekly update on ethanol production and
inventories at 10:30 a.m. ET Wednesday.
--Deere & Co. reports its first-quarter earnings before the
market opens Friday.
--The USDA will release its latest weekly export sales numbers
at 8:30 a.m. ET Friday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 18, 2020 15:45 ET (20:45 GMT)
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